Suns vs Mavericks Game Breakdown

Get ready to turn up the heat as the blazing Phoenix Suns soar into the American Airlines Center with a fiery 7-1 record, ready to clash with the sharp-shooting Dallas Mavericks, who’ve notched a solid 5-3 start this season. As the clock ticks down to an 08:30 PM EST showdown in this first round of the NBA Playoffs, the stakes are sky-high. Both teams are neck and neck in the Western conference, making tonight’s matchup a pivotal battle for playoff positioning. With the over/under tantalizingly set at 232 and the lines drawing a close spread, expect every dribble, pass, and shot to be a heart-pounding affair. After recent victories, both squads are coming in hot, but as the Suns try to eclipse the Mavericks tonight, we’ll see which team truly shines under the postseason spotlight.

Game Breakdown

Game Time: November 08, 2024 08:30PM EST

Location: American Airlines Center, Dallas

Vegas Odds

	PHX ML	DAL ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+130	-150	230.0	3.0/-3.0
Recent	+110	-130	232.0	2.5/-2.5
Difference	-20	+20	+2.0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

7W-3L

AWAY

25W-18L

47.6% Win Probability

LAST 10

6W-4L

HOME

28W-18L

52.4% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	O/U
10/26/24	Dallas Mavericks DAL	26	29	25	22	102	Under
10/26/24	Phoenix Suns PHX	28	35	28	23	114	Under
02/22/24	Phoenix Suns PHX	33	30	28	22	113	Over
02/22/24	Dallas Mavericks DAL	32	28	36	27	123	Over
01/24/24	Phoenix Suns PHX	25	32	43	32	132	Over
01/24/24	Dallas Mavericks DAL	34	24	20	31	109	Over
12/25/23	Dallas Mavericks DAL	36	28	27	37	128	Over
12/25/23	Phoenix Suns PHX	24	30	38	22	114	Over
03/05/23	Phoenix Suns PHX	31	28	37	34	130	Over
03/05/23	Dallas Mavericks DAL	25	37	33	31	126	Over
01/26/23	Dallas Mavericks DAL	32	22	22	23	99	Under
01/26/23	Phoenix Suns PHX	32	16	21	26	95	Under
12/05/22	Phoenix Suns PHX	15	26	34	36	111	Over
12/05/22	Dallas Mavericks DAL	33	34	29	34	130	Over
10/19/22	Dallas Mavericks DAL	32	30	19	24	105	Under
10/19/22	Phoenix Suns PHX	24	21	31	31	107	Under
01/20/22	Phoenix Suns PHX	22	23	29	35	109	Under
01/20/22	Dallas Mavericks DAL	26	27	29	19	101	Under
11/19/21	Dallas Mavericks DAL	24	27	33	20	104	Under
11/19/21	Phoenix Suns PHX	27	28	24	33	112	Under
11/17/21	Dallas Mavericks DAL	22	24	27	25	98	Under
11/17/21	Phoenix Suns PHX	25	20	23	37	105	Under

Suns Vs Over/Under

Mavericks Vs Over/Under

Suns Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
11/06	@ MIA	115-112W	46	29	16	84
10/31	vs LAC	125-119W	39	29	12	82
10/28	@ LAL	109-105W	46	21	10	87
10/26	@ DAL	114-102W	47	26	11	80
10/25	vs LAL	116-123L	34	35	16	82
10/23	vs LAC	116-113W	42	25	22	78
04/12	vs SAC	108-107W	41	25	18	76
04/10	vs LAC	124-108W	48	29	13	95
04/09	@ LAC	92-105L	38	17	8	89
04/07	@ NOP	105-113L	38	30	15	87

Mavericks Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
11/06	@ CHI	119-99W	47	33	15	93
11/03	@ ORL	108-85W	53	25	18	85
10/31	@ HOU	102-108L	37	21	10	85
10/29	vs MIN	120-114W	40	25	9	93
10/28	@ UTA	110-102W	50	27	13	95
10/26	vs PHX	102-114L	46	22	8	93
10/24	@ SAS	120-109W	50	27	9	102
05/28	@ MIN	100-105L	38	23	13	81
04/12	@ DET	89-107L	49	20	20	83
04/10	vs MIA	111-92W	39	27	7	87

Starting Lineups

Phoenix Suns	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Bradley Beal SF	32.0	27.2	33.2	100%	33.5
Devin Booker SG	43.0	43.6	43.3	100%	43.8
Kevin Durant PF	43.0	47.0	43.5	100%	43.8
Tyus Jones PG	26.0	25.6	28.2	100%	27.5
Jusuf Nurkic C	31.0	26.4	31.4	100%	31.9

Dallas Mavericks	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Luka Doncic PG	60.0	49.7	57.9	100%	58.2
Daniel Gafford C	31.0	24.9	22.5	100%	22.9
Kyrie Irving SG	41.0	42.1	39.9	100%	40.2
Naji Marshall PF	26.0	16.5	15.8	3%	16.5
Klay Thompson SF	28.0	21.0	28.5	67%	27.9

Suns Notable Injuries

Ryan Dunn (SF/PF): Avg: 9.0pts, 2.0reb, 0.5ast, 17.1 minutes. Last game: 11/06/24. Impact: 2.6
Damion Lee (SG/SF): Avg: 2.0pts, 3.0reb, 2.0ast, 17.7 minutes. Last game: 10/26/24. Impact: 1.6
Collin Gillespie (PG): Avg: 3.6pts, 0.9reb, 1.1ast, 9.2 minutes. Last game: 10/26/24. Impact: 1.7

Mavericks Notable Injuries

PJ Washington (PF): Avg: 12.7pts, 5.9reb, 1.8ast, 31.6 minutes. Last game: 11/03/24. Impact: 4.5
Dereck Lively II (C): Avg: 8.9pts, 7.0reb, 1.3ast, 23.1 minutes. Last game: 11/03/24. Impact: 4.2
Maxi Kleber (PF/C): Avg: 4.5pts, 3.2reb, 1.6ast, 19.9 minutes. Last game: 10/26/24. Impact: 2.0
Markieff Morris (PF/C): Avg: 2.2pts, 1.4reb, 0.6ast, 7.6 minutes. Last game: 11/06/24. Impact: 0.6
Brandon Williams (PG): Avg: 1.9pts, 0.6reb, 0.8ast, 5.1 minutes. Last game: 11/06/24. Impact: 0.5
Kessler Edwards (SG/SF): Avg: 1.7pts, 0.8reb, 0.3ast, 5.0 minutes. Last game: 11/06/24. Impact: 0.6
Jazian Gortman (PG): Avg: 1.5pts, 0.0reb, 0.0ast, 2.3 minutes. Last game: 11/06/24. Impact: 0.4

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Klay Thompson	DAL	Pts	14.5	16.8	+2.3	20%	60%	60%	60%	PHX	-0.2	#17
Naji Marshall	DAL	Pts	8.5	10.7	+2.2	0%	20%	13%	13%	PHX	-2.1	#7
Daniel Gafford	DAL	Reb	7.5	8.1	+0.6	20%	30%	33%	33%	PHX	0.0	#17
Grayson Allen	PHX	Ast	0.5	2.1	+1.6	40%	70%	80%	80%	DAL	-0.2	#11
Royce O’Neale	PHX	Ast	1.5	2.7	+1.2	80%	50%	53%	53%	DAL	-0.5	#8

View All Player Prop Projections

Suns Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#9	#2	#18	#7	-8.8%
PF	#19	#17	#10	#16	1.2%
PG	#29	#30	#4	#30	11.1%
SF	#7	#18	#5	#5	-7.4%
SG	#17	#18	#26	#21	2.4%

Mavericks Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#8	#3	#14	#5	-9.2%
PF	#12	#6	#9	#7	-4.3%
PG	#6	#10	#27	#10	-2.3%
SF	#12	#21	#8	#13	-2.3%
SG	#13	#28	#11	#16	-0.0%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

114.1

115.6

Rebounds per Game

45.6

45.2

Assists per Game

27.6

26.1

Steals per Game

7.5

7.6

Blocks per Game

6.2

6.1

Shots per Game

84.9

90.0

3-Pointers Made per Game

13.7

13.6

2-Pt Percentage per Game

54.6

56.9

3-Pt Percentage per Game

38.6

36.0

Turnovers per Game

14.4

12.3

Fouls per Game

17.6

18.6

Recent Trends

Ryan Dunn (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 36.3% to 19.7, 14.5 min average previous 3 games.
Quentin Grimes (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 41.0% to 14.4, 10.2 min average previous 3 games.
Naji Marshall (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 37.5% to 21.4, 15.6 min average previous 3 games.