Suns vs Warriors Game Breakdown

Get ready for an electrifying showdown as the Phoenix Suns blaze into the Chase Center to battle the Golden State Warriors in what promises to be a pivotal first round playoff game. Both teams are neck-and-neck with identical 15-15 records, making this matchup a crucial tiebreaker in the Western conference stakes. With the game tipping off at 9:30 PM EST and the betting lines buzzing, fans are on edge to see if the Suns can rise from their recent stumble against Dallas or if the Warriors will sharpen their swords following their slip against the Clippers. As the over/under hovers at 219, tonight’s game is not just about advancing in the playoffs—it’s about pride, performance, and pushing the limits. So, as the Suns aim to eclipse their rivals, and the Warriors look to forge ahead, expect a clash that’s as fiery as the Suns and as dynamic as a Warrior’s sword strike!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: December 28, 2024 09:30PM EST

Location: Chase Center, Golden State

Vegas Odds

	PHX ML	GSW ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+175	-210	219.5	5.5/-5.5
Recent	+180	-220	219.0	6.0/-6.0
Difference	+5	-10	-0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

4W-6L

AWAY

28W-24L

35.7% Win Probability

LAST 10

3W-7L

HOME

26W-25L

64.3% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	O/U
11/30/24	Golden State Warriors GSW	29	20	29	27	105	Under
11/30/24	Phoenix Suns PHX	35	31	19	28	113	Under
02/10/24	Phoenix Suns PHX	28	30	24	30	112	Over
02/10/24	Golden State Warriors GSW	33	26	25	29	113	Over
12/12/23	Golden State Warriors GSW	25	31	31	29	116	Over
12/12/23	Phoenix Suns PHX	25	28	35	31	119	Over
11/22/23	Golden State Warriors GSW	31	16	28	40	115	Over
11/22/23	Phoenix Suns PHX	26	37	28	32	123	Over
10/24/23	Phoenix Suns PHX	28	33	19	28	108	Under
10/24/23	Golden State Warriors GSW	28	18	40	18	104	Under
03/13/23	Phoenix Suns PHX	21	37	30	24	112	Over
03/13/23	Golden State Warriors GSW	43	32	23	25	123	Over
01/10/23	Phoenix Suns PHX	31	28	39	27	125	Over
01/10/23	Golden State Warriors GSW	26	19	34	34	113	Over
11/16/22	Golden State Warriors GSW	33	32	24	30	119	Over
11/16/22	Phoenix Suns PHX	36	36	31	27	130	Over
10/25/22	Golden State Warriors GSW	29	37	20	19	105	Over
10/25/22	Phoenix Suns PHX	37	35	33	29	134	Over
03/30/22	Phoenix Suns PHX	29	21	27	30	107	Under
03/30/22	Golden State Warriors GSW	32	16	27	28	103	Under
12/25/21	Golden State Warriors GSW	33	25	26	32	116	Over
12/25/21	Phoenix Suns PHX	27	35	22	23	107	Over
12/03/21	Phoenix Suns PHX	21	27	20	28	96	Under
12/03/21	Golden State Warriors GSW	28	23	29	38	118	Under
11/30/21	Golden State Warriors GSW	35	19	24	18	96	Under
11/30/21	Phoenix Suns PHX	31	25	24	24	104	Under

Suns Vs Over/Under

Warriors Vs Over/Under

Suns Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
12/27	@ DAL	89-98L	42	23	13	83
12/25	@ DEN	110-100W	42	31	7	88
12/21	@ DET	125-133L	35	30	19	78
12/19	@ IND	111-120L	44	28	16	82
12/15	@ POR	116-109W	46	23	11	89
12/13	vs UTA	134-126W	37	36	7	89
12/08	vs ORL	110-115L	39	24	19	83
12/07	vs MIA	111-121L	41	29	14	82
12/05	vs NOP	124-126L	46	32	17	85
12/03	@ SAS	104-93W	44	26	12	78

Warriors Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
12/27	vs LAC	92-102L	47	24	14	95
12/25	@ LAL	113-115L	44	26	12	89
12/21	vs MIN	113-103W	45	30	10	87
12/19	vs MEM	93-144L	36	20	17	90
12/15	@ DAL	133-143L	37	39	10	103
12/11	vs HOU	90-91L	39	22	15	84
12/08	@ MIN	114-106W	45	28	11	90
12/06	@ MIN	90-107L	41	21	22	82
12/05	@ HOU	99-93W	54	19	10	86
12/03	vs DEN	115-119L	48	36	14	95

Starting Lineups

Phoenix Suns	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Bradley Beal SG	36.0	32.5	32.3	100%	32.6
Ryan Dunn SF	18.0	10.9	13.5	50%	16.1
Kevin Durant PF	49.0	50.0	43.7	100%	44.1
Tyus Jones PG	29.0	24.4	26.9	100%	27.3
Mason Plumlee C	15.0	11.8	14.5	23%	24.4

Golden State Warriors	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Stephen Curry PG	42.0	40.9	43.1	100%	43.5
Draymond Green PF	29.0	22.8	28.1	93%	28.0
Trayce Jackson-Davis C	28.0	27.5	21.1	80%	23.1
Dennis Schroder SG	29.0	20.2	31.3	100%	31.7
Andrew Wiggins SF	34.0	29.4	29.7	100%	30.1

Suns Notable Injuries

Devin Booker (PG/SG): Avg: 26.7pts, 4.2reb, 6.7ast, 36.4 minutes. Last game: 12/19/24. Impact: 7.1
Grayson Allen (SG): Avg: 12.5pts, 3.8reb, 2.8ast, 31.2 minutes. Last game: 12/21/24. Impact: 3.7
Jalen Bridges (SF): Avg: 0.3pts, 0.3reb, 0.0ast, 3.9 minutes. Last game: 12/27/24. Impact: 0.0

Warriors Notable Injuries

Gary Payton II (SF): Avg: 5.2pts, 2.7reb, 1.2ast, 14.7 minutes. Last game: 12/25/24. Impact: 2.3
Gui Santos (SG): Avg: 2.5pts, 1.8reb, 0.5ast, 6.8 minutes. Last game: 12/27/24. Impact: 0.4
Pat Spencer (PG): Avg: 0.8pts, 0.2reb, 0.9ast, 3.3 minutes. Last game: 12/15/24. Impact: 0.7
Quinten Post (C): Avg: 0.0pts, 0.0reb, 1.0ast, 0.8 minutes. Last game: 12/27/24. Impact: 0.2

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Andrew Wiggins	GSW	Pts	15.5	18.7	+3.2	60%	60%	67%	67%	PHX	+0.5	#22
Dennis Schroder	GSW	Pts	11.5	13.8	+2.3	20%	50%	53%	53%	PHX	+0.5	#22
Bradley Beal	PHX	Reb	3.5	4.4	+0.9	40%	50%	47%	47%	GSW	+0.8	#28
Kevin Durant	PHX	Reb	6.5	6.7	+0.2	40%	30%	40%	40%	GSW	+1.1	#29

View All Player Prop Projections

Suns Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#26	#13	#8	#13	-0.4%
PF	#29	#23	#28	#30	11.0%
PG	#6	#19	#4	#4	-7.9%
SF	#2	#7	#12	#1	-15.8%
SG	#22	#14	#21	#20	3.3%

Warriors Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#12	#17	#20	#15	0.9%
PF	#11	#14	#24	#11	-3.0%
PG	#3	#10	#2	#1	-15.2%
SF	#23	#29	#16	#24	7.2%
SG	#24	#28	#28	#27	9.4%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

113.2

110.2

Rebounds per Game

42.2

45.3

Assists per Game

27.4

28.7

Steals per Game

8.4

9.0

Blocks per Game

4.2

5.2

Shots per Game

85.9

91.6

3-Pointers Made per Game

15.0

2-Pt Percentage per Game

54.3

51.0

3-Pt Percentage per Game

38.6

36.6

Turnovers per Game

12.8

13.4

Fouls per Game

18.4

19.6

Recent Trends

Stephen Curry (PG) is on a notable streak, exceeding 30 points in 2 consecutive games.
Ryan Dunn (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 42.1% to 18.8, 13.2 min average previous 3 games.
Trayce Jackson-Davis (C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 67.9% to 27.6, 16.4 min average previous 3 games.
Josh Okogie (SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 35.4% to 13.9, 10.3 min average previous 3 games.
Gary Payton II (SF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 44.0% to 10.6, 18.9 min average previous 3 games.