Suns vs Heat Game Breakdown

Get ready to turn up the heat and let the sun shine in as the NBA playoffs continue to sizzle! Tonight, the Phoenix Suns, with a solid 12-9 record, are flying east to clash with the Miami Heat, who are sitting at an even 10-10, at the electrifying Kaseya Center. With a 9:00 PM EST tip-off, this game promises to be a scorcher. After a series of first-round blowouts, we’re all itching for a nail-biter, and with the betting lines drawing a fiery circle around this matchup, it looks like we might just get one. The Heat are fresh off a scorching victory over the Lakers, while the Suns are looking to rise from the ashes of a narrow defeat. So, as the Suns try to eclipse the Heat, let’s see whose fire burns brightest in tonight’s showdown!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: December 07, 2024 09:00PM EST

Location: Kaseya Center, Miami

Vegas Odds

	PHX ML	MIA ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+195	-235	220.0	6.0/-6.0
Recent	+170	-200	219.5	6.0/-6.0
Difference	-25	+35	-0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

4W-6L

AWAY

27W-22L

37.0% Win Probability

LAST 10

5W-5L

HOME

26W-22L

63.0% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	O/U
11/06/24	Miami Heat MIA	25	33	29	25	112	Over
11/06/24	Phoenix Suns PHX	26	29	29	31	115	Over
01/29/24	Phoenix Suns PHX	33	29	38	18	118	Over
01/29/24	Miami Heat MIA	25	24	25	31	105	Over
01/05/24	Miami Heat MIA	29	26	20	22	97	Under
01/05/24	Phoenix Suns PHX	33	29	32	19	113	Under
01/06/23	Miami Heat MIA	30	21	27	26	104	Under
01/06/23	Phoenix Suns PHX	23	23	27	23	96	Under
11/14/22	Phoenix Suns PHX	31	26	34	21	112	Over
11/14/22	Miami Heat MIA	35	23	26	29	113	Over
03/09/22	Phoenix Suns PHX	29	28	34	20	111	Under
03/09/22	Miami Heat MIA	27	28	19	16	90	Under
01/08/22	Miami Heat MIA	33	38	27	25	123	Over
01/08/22	Phoenix Suns PHX	29	21	29	21	100	Over

Suns Vs Over/Under

Heat Vs Over/Under

Suns Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
12/05	vs NOP	124-126L	46	32	17	85
12/03	@ SAS	104-93W	44	26	12	78
11/30	@ GSW	113-105W	45	31	12	79
11/26	@ LAL	127-100W	46	31	9	99
11/20	@ NYK	122-138L	34	30	14	92
11/18	@ ORL	99-109L	45	25	13	83
11/17	vs MIN	117-120L	41	29	19	85
11/15	vs OKL	83-99L	50	17	14	75
11/13	vs SAC	104-127L	40	23	10	97
11/12	vs UTA	120-112W	42	21	8	86

Heat Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
12/04	@ LAL	134-93W	52	42	15	90
12/02	vs BOS	89-108L	44	24	10	87
12/01	vs TOR	116-119L	45	25	14	88
11/29	@ TOR	121-111W	33	32	8	94
11/26	@ MIL	103-106L	38	26	8	77
11/24	@ DAL	123-118W	57	27	9	107
11/18	@ PHI	106-89W	53	26	13	87
11/17	vs IND	110-119L	38	21	10	90
11/15	vs IND	124-111W	36	27	10	87
11/12	vs DET	121-123L	43	25	10	101

Starting Lineups

Phoenix Suns	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Bradley Beal SF	36.0	36.4	32.9	100%	33.3
Devin Booker SG	49.0	46.5	42.6	100%	42.9
Tyus Jones PG	31.0	32.0	27.1	100%	27.5
Royce O’Neale PF	29.0	25.5	21.6	23%	26.1
Mason Plumlee C	26.0	13.4	13.8	20%	27.0

Miami Heat	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Bam Adebayo C	45.0	40.4	37.2	100%	37.6
Jimmy Butler SF	38.0	41.4	34.4	100%	34.8
Tyler Herro PG	39.0	39.4	37.1	93%	38.0
Haywood Highsmith PF	22.0	18.2	18.6	37%	17.6
Duncan Robinson SG	24.0	18.1	15.3	50%	17.6

Suns Notable Injuries

Kevin Durant (PF/C): Avg: 26.9pts, 6.6reb, 4.8ast, 37.3 minutes. Last game: 12/03/24. Impact: 6.9
Jusuf Nurkic (C): Avg: 10.6pts, 10.8reb, 3.5ast, 27.0 minutes. Last game: 11/26/24. Impact: 4.4

Heat Notable Injuries

Nikola Jovic (PF): Avg: 7.9pts, 4.2reb, 1.8ast, 19.5 minutes. Last game: 11/24/24. Impact: 2.7
Alec Burks (PG/SG): Avg: 10.2pts, 2.3reb, 1.3ast, 18.1 minutes. Last game: 12/02/24. Impact: 2.2
Kel’el Ware (C): Avg: 2.2pts, 1.2reb, 0.1ast, 6.8 minutes. Last game: 11/26/24. Impact: 0.8
Keshad Johnson (SF): Avg: 1.0pts, 1.0reb, 0.0ast, 6.2 minutes. Last game: 12/04/24. Impact: 0.4

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Duncan Robinson	MIA	Pts	9.5	13.0	+3.5	40%	50%	40%	40%	PHX	-0.4	#16
Haywood Highsmith	MIA	Pts	6.5	9.2	+2.7	60%	60%	67%	67%	PHX	-3.9	#2
Devin Booker	PHX	Reb	3.5	4.5	+1.0	40%	40%	47%	47%	MIA	+0.1	#19
Mason Plumlee	PHX	Reb	8.5	9.0	+0.5	20%	40%	33%	33%	MIA	-0.3	#13
Bradley Beal	PHX	Ast	3.5	5.0	+1.5	60%	50%	60%	60%	MIA	-0.1	#11

View All Player Prop Projections

Suns Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#15	#1	#19	#8	-5.8%
PF	#25	#19	#22	#26	4.7%
PG	#12	#27	#4	#10	-2.7%
SF	#2	#18	#18	#5	-10.8%
SG	#16	#18	#22	#20	0.9%

Heat Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#8	#13	#14	#9	-5.6%
PF	#15	#25	#7	#10	-2.3%
PG	#17	#16	#29	#23	4.0%
SF	#27	#14	#15	#22	3.4%
SG	#1	#19	#11	#3	-8.7%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

113.0

110.1

Rebounds per Game

43.9

42.7

Assists per Game

28.1

26.2

Steals per Game

7.6

8.6

Blocks per Game

5.3

3.3

Shots per Game

86.1

87.3

3-Pointers Made per Game

14.6

14.0

2-Pt Percentage per Game

55.2

52.2

3-Pt Percentage per Game

38.5

36.8

Turnovers per Game

13.5

10.8

Fouls per Game

17.7

16.1

Recent Trends

Josh Christopher (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 38.7% to 22.7, 16.4 min average previous 3 games.
Haywood Highsmith (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 53.4% to 30.5, 19.9 min average previous 3 games.
Oso Ighodaro (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 30.9% to 26.2, 20.1 min average previous 3 games.
Jaime Jaquez Jr. (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 42.5% to 24.2, 16.9 min average previous 3 games.
Pelle Larsson (SF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 35.3% to 16.5, 25.4 min average previous 3 games.
Josh Okogie (SF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 48.7% to 12.1, 23.7 min average previous 3 games.
Mason Plumlee (C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 84.5% to 20.5, 11.1 min average previous 3 games.
Josh Richardson (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 30.4% to 21.2, 16.2 min average previous 3 games.