Suns vs Bucks Game Breakdown & Projections – Sun, Mar 17th 2024

Suns
39W-28L

March 17, 2024
01:00PM EST
Odds: 227.5 o/u
Bucks
43W-24L


Well, hoop heads, if you’re not already fired up for this NBA clash, you need to check your pulse! The Phoenix Suns, flashing a record of 39 wins and 28 losses, are gearing up to bring the heat to the Fiserv Forum, home turf of the Milwaukee Bucks. With a superior record of 43W-24L, the Bucks are looking to defend their territory and keep their spot at the top of the Eastern conference. The Suns, trailing by 3.5 games back in the West, are eager to rise and shine. The betting gurus have cranked up the pressure, pegging the over/under at a sizzling 227.5, with the Suns line at 2.5, while the Bucks are favored at -2.5. Fresh off a 114-105 triumph over the 76ers, the Bucks are ready to buck the odds. Meanwhile, the Suns, basking in their recent 107-96 victory against the Hornets, are all set to eclipse their competition. So, as we gear up for this 1 PM EST showdown, remember, when the Suns meet the Bucks, it’s not just about making it rain threes, it’s about making it reign supreme!
Game Breakdown
Game Time: March 17, 2024 01:00PM EST
Location: Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee
Vegas Odds
PHX ML | MIL ML | Over/Under | Line | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Open | +120 | -140 | 229.0 | 2.5/-2.5 |
Recent | +125 | -145 | 227.5 | 3.0/-3.0 |
Difference | +5 | -5 | -1.5 | – |
Team Performance

44.4% Win Probability

55.6% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
Date | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final | O/U | ATS | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
02/06/24 | Milwaukee Bucks MIL | 23 | 26 | 24 | 33 | 106 | Under | ![]() |
|
Phoenix Suns PHX | 22 | 26 | 31 | 35 | 114 | ||||
03/14/23 | Milwaukee Bucks MIL | 29 | 28 | 28 | 31 | 116 | Under | ![]() |
|
Phoenix Suns PHX | 24 | 24 | 36 | 20 | 104 | ||||
02/26/23 | Phoenix Suns PHX | 26 | 20 | 28 | 27 | 101 | Under | ||
Milwaukee Bucks MIL | 33 | 20 | 22 | 29 | 104 | ||||
03/06/22 | Phoenix Suns PHX | 33 | 30 | 27 | 32 | 122 | Over | ![]() |
|
Milwaukee Bucks MIL | 30 | 30 | 31 | 41 | 132 | ||||
02/10/22 | Milwaukee Bucks MIL | 34 | 22 | 21 | 30 | 107 | Over | ![]() |
|
Phoenix Suns PHX | 31 | 33 | 33 | 34 | 131 |
Suns Vs Over/Under
Bucks Vs Over/Under
Suns Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03/15 | vs CHA | 107-96W | 57 | 31 | 10 | 88 |
03/14 | vs BOS | 112-127L | 51 | 27 | 13 | 99 |
03/11 | vs CLE | 117-111W | 42 | 23 | 14 | 84 |
03/09 | @ BOS | 107-117L | 41 | 21 | 14 | 87 |
03/07 | @ TOR | 120-113W | 49 | 29 | 14 | 87 |
03/05 | vs DEN | 117-107W | 52 | 32 | 9 | 96 |
03/03 | @ OKL | 110-0W | 50 | 26 | 21 | 39 |
03/02 | @ HOU | 109-120L | 47 | 23 | 19 | 87 |
02/29 | @ HOU | 110-105W | 51 | 20 | 14 | 90 |
02/25 | @ LAL | 123-113W | 51 | 32 | 12 | 93 |
Bucks Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03/14 | @ PHI | 114-105W | 37 | 29 | 14 | 72 |
03/12 | vs SAC | 94-129L | 44 | 23 | 13 | 84 |
03/10 | vs LAC | 124-117W | 41 | 28 | 7 | 88 |
03/08 | vs LAL | 122-123L | 43 | 28 | 6 | 94 |
03/06 | vs GSW | 90-125L | 36 | 19 | 15 | 89 |
03/04 | @ LAC | 113-106W | 46 | 20 | 11 | 78 |
03/01 | vs CHI | 113-97W | 49 | 22 | 7 | 86 |
02/29 | vs CHA | 111-99W | 44 | 21 | 7 | 86 |
02/27 | @ CHA | 123-85W | 51 | 29 | 9 | 90 |
02/25 | vs PHI | 119-98W | 47 | 32 | 18 | 81 |
Starting Lineups
Phoenix Suns | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24.6 | 27.3 | 25.1 | 93% | 25.6 | |
Bradley Beal
SG
|
37.1 | 38.5 | 34.6 | 93% | 35.2 |
Devin Booker
PG
|
44.8 | 44.1 | 44.2 | 93% | 43.0 |
Kevin Durant
PF
|
45.1 | 45.1 | 46.1 | 93% | 47.0 |
37.4 | 34.7 | 33.8 | 93% | 34.7 |
Milwaukee Bucks | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
59.3 | 56.3 | 56.8 | 93% | 57.3 | |
Jae Crowder
SF
|
12.8 | 11.7 | 13.4 | 63% | 14.4 |
44.7 | 44.0 | 41.6 | 93% | 42.1 | |
27.1 | 22.5 | 27.4 | 93% | 27.2 |
Suns Notable Injuries
- David Roddy (SF/PF): Avg: 7.3pts, 3.5reb, 1.3ast, 19.9 minutes. Last game: 03/15/24. Impact: 0.8
- Thaddeus Young (C): Avg: 4.7pts, 3.3reb, 2.0ast, 14.7 minutes. Last game: 03/14/24. Impact: 2.5
- Josh Okogie (SF): Avg: 4.8pts, 2.7reb, 1.2ast, 17.0 minutes. Last game: 03/02/24. Impact: 1.7
- Saben Lee (PG): Avg: 3.2pts, 1.5reb, 1.4ast, 8.5 minutes. Last game: 03/09/24. Impact: 1.4
- Nassir Little (SF/PF): Avg: 3.5pts, 1.9reb, 0.5ast, 11.5 minutes. Last game: 03/15/24. Impact: 0.5
Bucks Notable Injuries
- Malik Beasley (SG): Avg: 11.4pts, 3.8reb, 1.4ast, 29.8 minutes. Last game: 03/12/24. Impact: 3.5
- Marjon Beauchamp (SG/SF): Avg: 4.4pts, 2.1reb, 0.7ast, 13.2 minutes. Last game: 03/06/24. Impact: 0.7
- Thanasis Antetokounmpo (PF/C): Avg: 0.8pts, 0.4reb, 0.5ast, 4.3 minutes. Last game: 03/12/24. Impact: 0.4
Top Player Props
This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.
Stat | Over % | Opposing Defense/Game | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Player | Team | Prop | Line | Proj | Diff | L5 | L10 | L15 | L30 | Opp | Stat | Rank |
Damian Lillard | MIL | Pts | 22.5 | 24.7 | +2.2 | 40% | 50% | 47% | 47% | PHX | +1.0 | #21 |
Jusuf Nurkic | PHX | Pts | 10.5 | 12.2 | +1.7 | 40% | 50% | 40% | 40% | MIL | -3.0 | #5 |
Kevin Durant | PHX | Ast | 4.5 | 4.9 | +0.4 | 60% | 60% | 60% | 60% | MIL | -0.8 | #6 |
Brook Lopez | MIL | 3Pt | 1.5 | 1.8 | +0.3 | 40% | 40% | 47% | 47% | PHX | +0.3 | #23 |
Suns Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #9 | #5 | #12 | #5 | -11.5% |
PF | #18 | #17 | #5 | #12 | -2.2% |
PG | #30 | #28 | #5 | #27 | 9.9% |
SF | #5 | #14 | #11 | #6 | -11.2% |
SG | #21 | #13 | #25 | #26 | 8.2% |
Bucks Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #5 | #18 | #20 | #7 | -9.6% |
PF | #3 | #7 | #13 | #6 | -7.0% |
PG | #8 | #7 | #4 | #3 | -15.2% |
SF | #12 | #9 | #6 | #9 | -7.4% |
SG | #29 | #27 | #30 | #29 | 11.7% |

Team Comparison

Recent Trends
- Drew Eubanks (C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 32.3% to 12.3, 18.2 min average previous 3 games.
- AJ Green (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 60.1% to 19.4, 12.1 min average previous 3 games.
- Royce O’Neale (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 34.2% to 23.7, 36.0 min average previous 3 games.
- Josh Okogie (SF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 31.9% to 11.0, 16.1 min average previous 3 games.
- Thaddeus Young (C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 34.3% to 10.5, 16.0 min average previous 3 games.
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