Suns vs Timberwolves Game Breakdown & Projections – Sun, Apr 14th 2024

Suns
48W-33L

April 14, 2024
03:30PM EST
Odds: 217.5 o/u
Timberwolves
56W-25L


Get ready for a scorching showdown at the Target Center this afternoon as the Phoenix Suns blaze into Minneapolis to battle the high-flying Minnesota Timberwolves. With the Suns just a few games shy of the conference lead and the Timberwolves sitting pretty at the top, this clash is more than just a regular season game—it’s a glimpse of the postseason possibilities. Both squads are hot off thrilling victories, setting the stage for a nail-biter. The stakes? A cool 217.5 points line and a spread that sees the home team favored to outshine by a slim margin. As the clock ticks down to a 03:30 PM EST tipoff, fans are buzzing, bets are being placed, and the anticipation is building. Will the Suns’ heat endure, or will the Timberwolves howl their way to another victory? Today, we find out whose fire burns brighter in this searing court confrontation.
Game Breakdown
Game Time: April 14, 2024 03:30PM EST
Location: Target Center, Minnesota
Vegas Odds
PHX ML | MIN ML | Over/Under | Line | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Open | +155 | -180 | 217.0 | 4.5/-4.5 |
Recent | +105 | -125 | 217.5 | 2.0/-2.0 |
Difference | -50 | +55 | +0.5 | – |
Team Performance

48.8% Win Probability

51.2% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
Date | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final | O/U | ATS | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
04/05/24 | Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 20 | 21 | 20 | 26 | 87 | Under | ![]() |
|
Phoenix Suns PHX | 32 | 25 | 20 | 20 | 97 | ||||
11/15/23 | Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 29 | 25 | 28 | 33 | 115 | Over | ![]() |
|
Phoenix Suns PHX | 35 | 41 | 34 | 23 | 133 | ||||
03/29/23 | Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 24 | 27 | 23 | 26 | 100 | Under | ![]() |
|
Phoenix Suns PHX | 25 | 23 | 33 | 26 | 107 | ||||
01/13/23 | Phoenix Suns PHX | 25 | 24 | 26 | 41 | 116 | Over | ![]() |
|
Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 35 | 29 | 28 | 29 | 121 | ||||
11/09/22 | Phoenix Suns PHX | 39 | 30 | 35 | 25 | 129 | Over | ![]() |
|
Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 25 | 26 | 31 | 35 | 117 | ||||
11/01/22 | Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 20 | 27 | 26 | 34 | 107 | Over | ![]() |
|
Phoenix Suns PHX | 24 | 30 | 30 | 32 | 116 | ||||
03/23/22 | Phoenix Suns PHX | 25 | 26 | 32 | 42 | 125 | Over | ![]() |
|
Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 30 | 34 | 24 | 28 | 116 | ||||
01/28/22 | Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 32 | 34 | 27 | 31 | 124 | Over | ![]() |
|
Phoenix Suns PHX | 40 | 34 | 26 | 34 | 134 | ||||
11/15/21 | Phoenix Suns PHX | 18 | 22 | 26 | 33 | 99 | Under | ![]() |
|
Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 21 | 18 | 23 | 34 | 96 |
Suns Vs Over/Under
Timberwolves Vs Over/Under
Suns Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
04/12 | vs SAC | 108-107W | 41 | 25 | 18 | 76 |
04/10 | vs LAC | 124-108W | 48 | 29 | 13 | 95 |
04/09 | @ LAC | 92-105L | 38 | 17 | 8 | 89 |
04/07 | @ NOP | 105-113L | 38 | 30 | 15 | 87 |
04/05 | @ MIN | 97-87W | 49 | 29 | 18 | 76 |
04/03 | @ CLE | 122-101W | 43 | 32 | 15 | 87 |
04/01 | vs NOP | 124-111W | 49 | 29 | 12 | 87 |
03/29 | vs OKL | 103-128L | 39 | 26 | 14 | 87 |
03/27 | vs DEN | 104-97W | 51 | 29 | 16 | 83 |
03/25 | vs SAS | 102-104L | 47 | 28 | 14 | 83 |
Timberwolves Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
04/12 | @ ATL | 109-106W | 44 | 29 | 14 | 79 |
04/10 | vs DEN | 107-116L | 35 | 23 | 9 | 82 |
04/09 | @ WAS | 130-121W | 44 | 30 | 8 | 90 |
04/07 | vs LAL | 127-117W | 46 | 29 | 14 | 97 |
04/05 | vs PHX | 87-97L | 44 | 23 | 18 | 85 |
04/03 | @ TOR | 133-85W | 50 | 37 | 9 | 96 |
04/02 | @ HOU | 113-106W | 39 | 29 | 17 | 77 |
03/31 | @ CHI | 101-109L | 37 | 28 | 13 | 81 |
03/29 | vs DEN | 111-98W | 39 | 28 | 7 | 75 |
03/27 | @ DET | 106-91W | 40 | 28 | 12 | 82 |
Starting Lineups
Phoenix Suns | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28.3 | 27.0 | 27.3 | 100% | 27.2 | |
Bradley Beal
SG
|
33.1 | 39.1 | 34.8 | 100% | 35.1 |
Devin Booker
PG
|
47.1 | 37.7 | 42.3 | 100% | 42.8 |
Kevin Durant
PF
|
43.4 | 38.7 | 44.0 | 100% | 44.4 |
37.0 | 35.6 | 34.2 | 100% | 34.7 |
Minnesota Timberwolves | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mike Conley
PG
|
29.9 | 25.4 | 27.0 | 100% | 27.4 |
45.7 | 42.2 | 45.0 | 100% | 44.4 | |
40.3 | 44.0 | 38.9 | 100% | 39.2 | |
19.1 | 18.4 | 20.0 | 100% | 20.4 | |
37.8 | 33.5 | 39.2 | 100% | 38.3 |
Suns Notable Injuries
- David Roddy (SF/PF): Avg: 6.7pts, 3.3reb, 1.2ast, 18.3 minutes. Last game: 04/10/24. Impact: 0.5
- Josh Okogie (SF): Avg: 4.5pts, 2.6reb, 1.1ast, 16.0 minutes. Last game: 04/10/24. Impact: 1.1
- Saben Lee (PG): Avg: 3.1pts, 1.3reb, 1.3ast, 7.8 minutes. Last game: 04/10/24. Impact: 1.1
- Nassir Little (SF/PF): Avg: 3.2pts, 1.6reb, 0.4ast, 9.9 minutes. Last game: 04/10/24. Impact: 0.4
- Udoka Azubuike (C): Avg: 2.2pts, 2.0reb, 0.2ast, 7.1 minutes. Last game: 04/05/24. Impact: 0.6
- Ish Wainright (PF/C): Avg: 2.0pts, 1.3reb, 0.1ast, 5.9 minutes. Last game: 04/09/24. Impact: 0.9
- Isaiah Thomas (PG): Avg: 1.0pts, 0.0reb, 0.4ast, 3.0 minutes. Last game: 04/09/24. Impact: 1.0
Timberwolves Notable Injuries
- T.J. Warren (SF/PF): Avg: 3.7pts, 2.0reb, 0.8ast, 11.3 minutes. Last game: 04/09/24. Impact: 1.3
- Luka Garza (C): Avg: 3.9pts, 1.2reb, 0.2ast, 5.0 minutes. Last game: 04/10/24. Impact: 1.2
- Leonard Miller (PF/C): Avg: 1.8pts, 0.9reb, 0.5ast, 3.1 minutes. Last game: 04/10/24. Impact: 0.7
- Daishen Nix (PG): Avg: 1.8pts, 0.2reb, 0.4ast, 3.3 minutes. Last game: 04/10/24. Impact: 0.6
- Josh Minott (SG): Avg: 1.6pts, 0.6reb, 0.2ast, 2.8 minutes. Last game: 04/10/24. Impact: 0.6
- Wendell Moore Jr. (SG): Avg: 0.6pts, 0.4reb, 0.2ast, 2.9 minutes. Last game: 04/10/24. Impact: 0.3
Top Player Props
This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.
Stat | Over % | Opposing Defense/Game | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Player | Team | Prop | Line | Proj | Diff | L5 | L10 | L15 | L30 | Opp | Stat | Rank |
Karl-Anthony Towns | MIN | Pts | 16.5 | 20.4 | +3.9 | 40% | 60% | 67% | 67% | PHX | +4.5 | #24 |
Jusuf Nurkic | PHX | Pts | 8.5 | 11.6 | +3.1 | 40% | 30% | 40% | 40% | MIN | +1.1 | #18 |
Rudy Gobert | MIN | Reb | 12.5 | 13.9 | +1.4 | 80% | 70% | 67% | 67% | PHX | -1.9 | #4 |
Mike Conley | MIN | Ast | 5.5 | 6.4 | +0.9 | 40% | 70% | 53% | 53% | PHX | -0.0 | #14 |
Suns Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #13 | #4 | #25 | #11 | -6.6% |
PF | #15 | #17 | #9 | #17 | 1.8% |
PG | #28 | #21 | #23 | #29 | 29.6% |
SF | #24 | #27 | #20 | #27 | 20.3% |
SG | #3 | #12 | #14 | #6 | -5.9% |
Timberwolves Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #18 | #20 | #9 | #13 | 0.3% |
PF | #2 | #15 | #4 | #2 | -13.1% |
PG | #7 | #30 | #15 | #13 | -3.9% |
SF | #10 | #24 | #2 | #13 | -7.0% |
SG | #10 | #9 | #15 | #3 | -7.9% |

Team Comparison

Recent Trends
- Monte Morris (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 47.3% to 10.8, 20.5 min average previous 3 games. The Suns have a 2-game winning streak on the road.
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