Suns vs Timberwolves Game Breakdown

Get ready for an electrifying showdown as the Phoenix Suns, blazing hot with a 9-4 record, swoop into the chilly den of the Minnesota Timberwolves at the Target Center today! With the first round of the 2024 NBA Playoffs delivering more blowouts than a bad hair day, today’s matchup, tipping off at 4:30 PM EST, promises to be a nail-biter. The Suns are just a whisper behind in the Western conference standings, looking to scorch their way closer to the top, while the Timberwolves, fresh off a howling victory, aim to claw their way up from their current standings. With the stakes sky-high and the betting lines buzzing, who will turn up the heat and who will get left out in the cold? As the over/under teeters at 219.5, let’s see if the Suns can rise from their recent ashes or if the Timberwolves will continue to howl their way to victory. It’s time to see if the Suns can outshine the Timberwolves or if Minnesota keeps their territory too frosty for Phoenix to handle!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: November 17, 2024 04:30PM EST

Location: Target Center, Minnesota

Vegas Odds

	PHX ML	MIN ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+230	-280	221.0	7.0/-7.0
Recent	+215	-260	219.5	7.0/-7.0
Difference	-15	+20	-1.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

6W-4L

AWAY

27W-20L

31.7% Win Probability

LAST 10

6W-4L

HOME

32W-12L

68.3% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	O/U
04/14/24	Phoenix Suns PHX	44	22	23	36	125	Over
04/14/24	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	22	31	25	28	106	Over
04/05/24	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	20	21	20	26	87	Under
04/05/24	Phoenix Suns PHX	32	25	20	20	97	Under
11/15/23	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	29	25	28	33	115	Over
11/15/23	Phoenix Suns PHX	35	41	34	23	133	Over
03/29/23	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	24	27	23	26	100	Under
03/29/23	Phoenix Suns PHX	25	23	33	26	107	Under
01/13/23	Phoenix Suns PHX	25	24	26	41	116	Over
01/13/23	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	35	29	28	29	121	Over
11/09/22	Phoenix Suns PHX	39	30	35	25	129	Over
11/09/22	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	25	26	31	35	117	Over
11/01/22	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	20	27	26	34	107	Over
11/01/22	Phoenix Suns PHX	24	30	30	32	116	Over
03/23/22	Phoenix Suns PHX	25	26	32	42	125	Over
03/23/22	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	30	34	24	28	116	Over
01/28/22	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	32	34	27	31	124	Over
01/28/22	Phoenix Suns PHX	40	34	26	34	134	Over
11/15/21	Phoenix Suns PHX	18	22	26	33	99	Under
11/15/21	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	21	18	23	34	96	Under

Suns Vs Over/Under

Timberwolves Vs Over/Under

Suns Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
11/15	vs OKL	83-99L	50	17	14	75
11/13	vs SAC	104-127L	40	23	10	97
11/12	vs UTA	120-112W	42	21	8	86
11/10	@ SAC	118-127L	48	30	11	105
11/08	vs DAL	114-113W	37	26	8	86
11/06	@ MIA	115-112W	46	29	16	84
10/31	vs LAC	125-119W	39	29	12	82
10/28	@ LAL	109-105W	46	21	10	87
10/26	@ DAL	114-102W	47	26	11	80
10/25	vs LAL	116-123L	34	35	16	82

Timberwolves Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
11/15	vs SAC	130-126W	41	26	11	101
11/13	vs POR	98-106L	41	16	13	94
11/12	vs POR	108-122L	32	22	21	73
11/10	@ MIA	94-95L	47	22	19	88
11/08	@ POR	127-102W	49	32	17	97
11/07	vs CHI	135-119W	40	29	12	94
11/01	@ DEN	119-116W	38	34	16	83
10/29	@ DAL	114-120L	42	33	20	77
10/26	@ TOR	112-101W	41	29	13	83
10/24	vs SAC	117-115W	42	24	16	86

Starting Lineups

Phoenix Suns	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Devin Booker SG	46.0	38.6	42.7	100%	43.1
Ryan Dunn PF	20.0	16.2	15.4	60%	18.5
Tyus Jones PG	27.0	25.4	27.5	100%	27.9
Jusuf Nurkic C	31.0	25.8	28.8	100%	29.2
Josh Okogie SF	18.0	20.4	10.2	3%	28.8

Minnesota Timberwolves	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Mike Conley PG	26.0	25.5	26.3	100%	26.7
Anthony Edwards SG	47.0	45.3	47.4	100%	47.8
Rudy Gobert C	37.0	29.8	32.8	100%	33.1
Jaden McDaniels SF	21.0	26.2	22.2	100%	22.5
Julius Randle PF	39.0	33.3	41.4	100%	40.6

Suns Notable Injuries

Kevin Durant (PF/C): Avg: 27.2pts, 6.6reb, 4.9ast, 37.6 minutes. Last game: 11/08/24. Impact: 7.5
Bradley Beal (SG/SF): Avg: 17.8pts, 4.1reb, 4.8ast, 33.8 minutes. Last game: 11/12/24. Impact: 5.5
Jalen Bridges (SF): Avg: 0.5pts, 0.5reb, 0.0ast, 5.5 minutes. Last game: 11/15/24. Impact: 0.0

Timberwolves Notable Injuries

Joe Ingles (PF): Avg: 3.7pts, 1.9reb, 2.7ast, 15.6 minutes. Last game: 11/15/24. Impact: 0.7
Terrence Shannon Jr. (SG/SF): Avg: 2.0pts, 0.0reb, 1.0ast, 3.0 minutes. Last game: 11/08/24. Impact: 1.1
Luka Garza (C): Avg: 3.8pts, 1.1reb, 0.2ast, 4.7 minutes. Last game: 11/08/24. Impact: 0.9
PJ Dozier (PF): Avg: 0.0pts, 1.0reb, 1.0ast, 3.0 minutes. Last game: 11/08/24. Impact: 0.9

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Rudy Gobert	MIN	Pts	10.5	13.6	+3.1	40%	50%	60%	60%	PHX	-0.3	#11
Donte DiVincenzo	MIN	Pts	9.5	12.4	+2.9	20%	30%	40%	40%	PHX	0.0	#17
Devin Booker	PHX	Reb	3.5	4.3	+0.8	40%	40%	40%	40%	MIN	-0.4	#8
Jusuf Nurkic	PHX	Reb	9.5	9.9	+0.4	60%	40%	40%	40%	MIN	-0.3	#10
Anthony Edwards	MIN	Ast	4.5	5.2	+0.7	40%	30%	47%	47%	PHX	+0.4	#26
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	MIN	3Pt	1.5	1.9	+0.4	60%	60%	53%	53%	PHX	+0.2	#23

View All Player Prop Projections

Suns Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#11	#1	#20	#8	-7.6%
PF	#20	#21	#8	#17	1.1%
PG	#27	#29	#3	#25	5.4%
SF	#3	#14	#6	#4	-12.5%
SG	#17	#22	#26	#23	3.5%

Timberwolves Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#26	#10	#23	#23	4.9%
PF	#1	#3	#2	#1	-15.7%
PG	#14	#30	#14	#24	4.5%
SF	#17	#16	#2	#13	-0.8%
SG	#4	#8	#7	#1	-8.6%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

112.8

111.9

Rebounds per Game

45.3

42.8

Assists per Game

27.0

26.7

Steals per Game

7.3

8.6

Blocks per Game

5.8

Shots per Game

85.6

86.9

3-Pointers Made per Game

13.9

13.8

2-Pt Percentage per Game

53.9

54.2

3-Pt Percentage per Game

37.9

37.8

Turnovers per Game

13.7

12.9

Fouls per Game

17.4

18.4

Recent Trends

Grayson Allen (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 34.0% to 23.6, 17.6 min average previous 3 games.
Donte DiVincenzo (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 30.9% to 19.7, 28.5 min average previous 3 games.
Damion Lee (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 35.2% to 11.3, 17.4 min average previous 3 games.
Josh Okogie (PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 97.4% to 23.3, 11.8 min average previous 3 games.
Mason Plumlee (C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 45.3% to 21.2, 14.6 min average previous 3 games.
Naz Reid (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 37.9% to 28.6, 20.8 min average previous 3 games.