Suns vs Thunder Game Breakdown

Get ready to light up the night as the Phoenix Suns blaze their way into the Paycom Center, hoping to eclipse the Oklahoma City Thunder in a fiery first-round NBA Playoff clash tonight at 10:30 PM EST. With the Suns just a few games shy of evening out in the Western conference and the Thunder striking down opponents left and right, we’re all set for a showdown that promises more sparks than a 4th of July fireworks display. The betting lines are buzzing, the fans are pumped, and after a series of blowouts, we’re due for a nail-biter. The Thunder rolled over Milwaukee in their last game, while the Suns just barely missed out against Portland. As we gear up for tipoff, let’s see if the Suns can rise from the ashes or if the Thunder will keep rumbling on.

Game Breakdown

Game Time: February 05, 2025 10:30PM EST

Location: Paycom Center, Oklahoma City

Vegas Odds

	PHX ML	OKL ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+500	-750	226.0	12.0/-12.0
Recent	+525	-800	226.5	11.5/-11.5
Difference	+25	-50	+0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

5W-5L

AWAY

33W-31L

16.0% Win Probability

LAST 10

7W-3L

HOME

50W-10L

84.0% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	O/U
11/15/24	Phoenix Suns PHX	14	22	24	23	83	Under
11/15/24	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	29	19	35	16	99	Under
03/29/24	Phoenix Suns PHX	32	27	21	23	103	Over
03/29/24	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	34	36	31	27	128	Over
03/03/24	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	28	38	23	29	118	Over
03/03/24	Phoenix Suns PHX	24	28	33	25	110	Over
11/12/23	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	29	25	26	31	111	Under
11/12/23	Phoenix Suns PHX	29	30	27	13	99	Under
04/02/23	Phoenix Suns PHX	27	42	29	30	128	Over
04/02/23	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	27	28	34	29	118	Over
03/19/23	Phoenix Suns PHX	31	38	27	24	120	Over
03/19/23	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	25	32	33	34	124	Over
03/08/23	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	21	31	28	21	101	Over
03/08/23	Phoenix Suns PHX	34	26	44	28	132	Over
02/24/23	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	30	30	27	28	115	Over
02/24/23	Phoenix Suns PHX	29	36	29	30	124	Over
04/03/22	Phoenix Suns PHX	27	26	22	21	96	Under
04/03/22	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	20	32	32	33	117	Under
02/24/22	Phoenix Suns PHX	31	17	37	39	124	Over
02/24/22	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	14	31	32	27	104	Over
12/29/21	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	23	29	29	16	97	Under
12/29/21	Phoenix Suns PHX	33	27	25	30	115	Under
12/23/21	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	17	31	21	32	101	Under
12/23/21	Phoenix Suns PHX	29	16	37	31	113	Under

Suns Vs Over/Under

Thunder Vs Over/Under

Suns Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
02/03	vs POR	119-121L	43	28	14	85
02/01	vs POR	108-127L	37	21	18	84
01/31	vs GSW	130-105W	48	41	14	89
01/29	@ MIN	113-121L	36	30	15	85
01/27	@ LAC	111-109W	39	23	17	85
01/22	vs BRO	108-84W	48	28	11	88
01/20	vs CLE	92-118L	34	22	17	77
01/18	vs DET	125-121W	50	25	9	86
01/16	vs WAS	130-123W	47	33	16	85
01/14	vs ATL	117-122L	37	28	13	84

Thunder Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
02/03	@ MIL	125-96W	55	28	17	99
02/01	@ SAC	144-110W	70	37	11	107
01/29	vs GSW	109-116L	50	21	11	99
01/26	vs POR	118-108W	43	24	7	89
01/23	@ DAL	115-121L	33	26	12	88
01/22	@ UTA	123-114W	39	20	10	95
01/19	@ BRO	127-101W	43	37	11	87
01/17	vs DAL	98-106L	46	24	15	91
01/16	@ CLE	134-114W	39	25	6	105
01/14	vs PHI	118-102W	38	32	17	81

Starting Lineups

Phoenix Suns	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Devin Booker SG	48.0	48.4	44.9	100%	45.2
Ryan Dunn SF	24.0	10.4	15.9	70%	17.2
Tyus Jones PG	22.0	16.5	23.7	100%	24.1
Royce O’Neale PF	27.0	20.2	21.3	33%	26.6
Nick Richards C	28.0	19.9	22.1	57%	24.9

Oklahoma City Thunder	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Luguentz Dort SF	18.0	20.6	21.5	100%	21.8
S. Gilgeous-Alexander PG	51.0	50.5	53.8	100%	54.2
Isaiah Hartenstein C	37.0	37.4	33.9	100%	32.8
Aaron Wiggins SG	20.0	22.9	18.8	30%	22.9
Jalen Williams PF	36.0	43.6	40.6	100%	41.0

Suns Notable Injuries

Kevin Durant (PF): Avg: 27.1pts, 6.4reb, 4.8ast, 37.1 minutes. Last game: 02/03/25. Impact: 7.2
Bol Bol (PF/C): Avg: 4.7pts, 2.8reb, 0.4ast, 9.8 minutes. Last game: 02/01/25. Impact: 1.0
Collin Gillespie (PG): Avg: 3.2pts, 0.9reb, 1.0ast, 8.3 minutes. Last game: 02/01/25. Impact: 1.2

Thunder Notable Injuries

Alex Caruso GTD (PG/SF): Avg: 8.8pts, 3.5reb, 3.2ast, 26.0 minutes. Last game: 01/29/25. Impact: 2.7
Cason Wallace (PG/SG): Avg: 6.7pts, 2.6reb, 1.7ast, 22.6 minutes. Last game: 02/01/25. Impact: 3.3
Jaylin Williams GTD (C): Avg: 4.6pts, 3.8reb, 1.8ast, 14.0 minutes. Last game: 02/03/25. Impact: 4.0
Dillon Jones (PF): Avg: 2.2pts, 2.2reb, 1.0ast, 9.5 minutes. Last game: 02/03/25. Impact: 1.3

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Ryan Dunn	PHX	Pts	7.5	11.2	+3.7	0%	40%	47%	47%	OKL	-3.4	#1
Nick Richards	PHX	Pts	8.5	11.0	+2.5	20%	30%	33%	33%	OKL	-1.7	#9
Bradley Beal	PHX	Reb	3.5	4.1	+0.6	20%	30%	27%	27%	OKL	+0.2	#17

View All Player Prop Projections

Suns Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#22	#22	#2	#15	-1.6%
PF	#23	#10	#19	#18	1.8%
PG	#15	#8	#16	#14	-0.4%
SF	#22	#11	#17	#14	-1.3%
SG	#7	#26	#18	#17	0.5%

Thunder Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#9	#24	#5	#4	-9.5%
PF	#10	#1	#5	#2	-11.8%
PG	#24	#14	#4	#10	-3.0%
SF	#1	#9	#11	#2	-13.2%
SG	#3	#17	#15	#3	-7.5%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

113.6

118.9

Rebounds per Game

41.3

44.5

Assists per Game

28.1

26.8

Steals per Game

7.8

10.0

Blocks per Game

5.0

4.5

Shots per Game

85.2

91.5

3-Pointers Made per Game

13.3

13.8

2-Pt Percentage per Game

55.8

57.0

3-Pt Percentage per Game

38.2

36.9

Turnovers per Game

13.6

12.0

Fouls per Game

19.3

20.5

Recent Trends

Devin Booker (PG/SG) is on a notable streak, exceeding 30 points in 3 consecutive games.
Ousmane Dieng (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 52.3% to 20.7, 13.6 min average previous 3 games.
Jusuf Nurkic (C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 46.3% to 15.6, 29.0 min average previous 3 games.