Suns vs Spurs Game Breakdown & Projections – Mon, Mar 25th 2024

Suns
42W-29L

March 25, 2024
08:00PM EST
Odds: 234.0 o/u
Spurs
15W-56L


Well, hoop heads, it’s time to turn our attention to the Wild West where the scorching Phoenix Suns are saddling up to ride into the AT&T Corral for a showdown with our not-so-lucky San Antonio Spurs. The Suns, just a three-pointer away from the top of the conference, are looking to turn the Spurs into tumbleweeds in tonight’s 8PM EST duel. Our Spurs, on the other hand, are so far back in the conference they might as well be shooting from the Alamo. The bookies are betting on a high-scoring rodeo, with the over/under set at a whopping 234.0. The Suns are favored to win by a ten-and-a-half point spread, while the Spurs are just hoping not to get burned worse than their last encounter. Remember the Alamo, Spurs fans, because the Suns are coming off a hot win and are looking to set the Spurs on fire again. So, buckle up, because tonight, it’s gonna be a real ‘Spur of the moment’ or ‘Sunset showdown’.
Game Breakdown
Game Time: March 25, 2024 08:00PM EST
Location: AT&T Center, San Antonio
Vegas Odds
PHX ML | SAS ML | Over/Under | Line | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Open | -600 | +425 | 232.5 | -10.5/10.5 |
Recent | -700 | +475 | 234.0 | -12.0/12.0 |
Difference | -100 | +50 | +1.5 | – |
Team Performance

87.5% Win Probability

12.5% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
Date | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final | O/U | ATS | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03/23/24 | Phoenix Suns PHX | 26 | 39 | 38 | 28 | 131 | Over | ![]() |
|
San Antonio Spurs SAS | 17 | 30 | 24 | 35 | 106 | ||||
11/02/23 | San Antonio Spurs SAS | 39 | 36 | 28 | 29 | 132 | Over | ![]() |
|
Phoenix Suns PHX | 20 | 35 | 34 | 32 | 121 | ||||
10/31/23 | San Antonio Spurs SAS | 18 | 27 | 37 | 33 | 115 | Under | ![]() |
|
Phoenix Suns PHX | 27 | 36 | 32 | 19 | 114 | ||||
04/04/23 | San Antonio Spurs SAS | 25 | 26 | 25 | 18 | 94 | Under | ![]() |
|
Phoenix Suns PHX | 42 | 27 | 28 | 18 | 115 | ||||
01/28/23 | Phoenix Suns PHX | 33 | 22 | 32 | 23 | 18 | 128 | Over | ![]() |
San Antonio Spurs SAS | 26 | 22 | 28 | 34 | 8 | 118 | |||
12/04/22 | Phoenix Suns PHX | 35 | 36 | 35 | 27 | 133 | Under | ![]() |
|
San Antonio Spurs SAS | 30 | 11 | 30 | 24 | 95 | ||||
01/30/22 | San Antonio Spurs SAS | 31 | 24 | 36 | 19 | 110 | Under | ![]() |
|
Phoenix Suns PHX | 23 | 27 | 29 | 36 | 115 | ||||
01/17/22 | Phoenix Suns PHX | 32 | 27 | 28 | 34 | 121 | Under | ![]() |
|
San Antonio Spurs SAS | 29 | 27 | 35 | 16 | 107 | ||||
12/06/21 | San Antonio Spurs SAS | 33 | 15 | 22 | 34 | 104 | Under | ![]() |
|
Phoenix Suns PHX | 26 | 25 | 28 | 29 | 108 | ||||
11/22/21 | Phoenix Suns PHX | 24 | 33 | 33 | 25 | 115 | Under | ![]() |
|
San Antonio Spurs SAS | 20 | 24 | 31 | 36 | 111 |
Suns Vs Over/Under
Spurs Vs Over/Under
Suns Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03/23 | vs SAS | 131-106W | 39 | 38 | 8 | 94 |
03/21 | @ ATL | 128-115W | 38 | 28 | 17 | 75 |
03/20 | @ PHI | 115-102W | 55 | 34 | 23 | 90 |
03/17 | vs MIL | 129-140L | 39 | 36 | 12 | 87 |
03/15 | vs CHA | 107-96W | 57 | 31 | 10 | 88 |
03/14 | vs BOS | 112-127L | 51 | 27 | 13 | 99 |
03/11 | vs CLE | 117-111W | 42 | 23 | 14 | 84 |
03/09 | @ BOS | 107-117L | 41 | 21 | 14 | 87 |
03/07 | @ TOR | 120-113W | 49 | 29 | 14 | 87 |
03/05 | vs DEN | 117-107W | 52 | 32 | 9 | 96 |
Spurs Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03/23 | @ PHX | 106-131L | 34 | 27 | 15 | 85 |
03/22 | @ MEM | 97-99L | 56 | 24 | 16 | 97 |
03/19 | @ DAL | 107-113L | 48 | 31 | 15 | 89 |
03/17 | @ BRO | 122-115W | 50 | 30 | 17 | 99 |
03/15 | @ DEN | 106-117L | 44 | 23 | 16 | 82 |
03/12 | @ HOU | 101-103L | 42 | 30 | 13 | 84 |
03/11 | @ GSW | 102-112L | 50 | 27 | 15 | 93 |
03/09 | vs GSW | 126-115W | 49 | 34 | 12 | 86 |
03/07 | vs SAC | 129-131L | 37 | 39 | 12 | 91 |
03/05 | vs HOU | 101-114L | 50 | 24 | 18 | 87 |
Starting Lineups
Phoenix Suns | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28.0 | 32.9 | 25.8 | 100% | 25.6 | |
Bradley Beal
SG
|
36.9 | 33.5 | 34.3 | 93% | 34.9 |
Devin Booker
PG
|
51.4 | 47.8 | 45.1 | 93% | 43.9 |
Kevin Durant
PF
|
48.0 | 37.4 | 45.9 | 100% | 44.9 |
37.7 | 30.9 | 33.0 | 100% | 32.9 |
San Antonio Spurs | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13.4 | 11.1 | 14.4 | 100% | 14.6 | |
Tre Jones
PG
|
31.9 | 31.6 | 28.2 | 100% | 27.5 |
33.3 | 28.7 | 26.8 | 100% | 26.5 | |
37.1 | 30.4 | 36.0 | 100% | 35.0 | |
55.8 | 49.6 | 49.8 | 100% | 48.4 |
Suns Notable Injuries
- Ish Wainright (C): Avg: 2.2pts, 1.4reb, 0.1ast, 6.4 minutes. Last game: 03/20/24. Impact: 1.1
- Isaiah Thomas (PG): Avg: 0.0pts, 0.0reb, 1.0ast, 1.8 minutes. Last game: 03/20/24. Impact: 1.8
Spurs Notable Injuries
- Dominick Barlow (PF/C): Avg: 4.8pts, 3.5reb, 1.2ast, 13.0 minutes. Last game: 03/23/24. Impact: 2.1
- Devonte’ Graham (PG/SG): Avg: 3.5pts, 1.1reb, 1.5ast, 8.2 minutes. Last game: 03/23/24. Impact: 1.3
- Sandro Mamukelashvili (PF/C): Avg: 2.2pts, 1.5reb, 0.7ast, 5.9 minutes. Last game: 03/23/24. Impact: 0.8
Top Player Props
This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.
Stat | Over % | Opposing Defense/Game | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Player | Team | Prop | Line | Proj | Diff | L5 | L10 | L15 | L30 | Opp | Stat | Rank |
Devin Booker | PHX | Pts | 25.5 | 29.7 | +4.2 | 40% | 40% | 40% | 40% | SAS | +1.2 | #22 |
Bradley Beal | PHX | Pts | 16.5 | 19.5 | +3.0 | 20% | 50% | 47% | 47% | SAS | +1.2 | #22 |
Victor Wembanyama | SAS | Reb | 10.5 | 11.7 | +1.2 | 60% | 70% | 60% | 60% | PHX | -1.4 | #4 |
Jeremy Sochan | SAS | Reb | 6.5 | 7.7 | +1.2 | 60% | 60% | 60% | 60% | PHX | +0.9 | #21 |
Tre Jones | SAS | Ast | 6.5 | 7.6 | +1.1 | 60% | 60% | 53% | 53% | PHX | +0.6 | #23 |
Suns Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #10 | #4 | #9 | #7 | -6.3% |
PF | #22 | #8 | #7 | #18 | 1.7% |
PG | #28 | #27 | #19 | #28 | 13.2% |
SF | #11 | #21 | #15 | #15 | -2.4% |
SG | #13 | #3 | #23 | #17 | 1.4% |
Spurs Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #29 | #15 | #28 | #29 | 12.9% |
PF | #8 | #7 | #1 | #3 | -11.1% |
PG | #26 | #12 | #18 | #29 | 15.0% |
SF | #1 | #12 | #19 | #3 | -25.7% |
SG | #22 | #20 | #25 | #24 | 5.9% |

Team Comparison

Recent Trends
- Malaki Branham (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 61.7% to 19.8, 12.2 min average previous 3 games.
- David Duke Jr. (SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 44.1% to 16.2, 11.2 min average previous 3 games.
- Royce O’Neale (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 39.3% to 13.8, 22.7 min average previous 3 games.
- Cedi Osman (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 31.1% to 15.6, 11.9 min average previous 3 games. The Spurs have a 3-game losing streak at home.
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