Suns vs Wizards Game Breakdown

Get ready to light up your screens and fantasy rosters as the Phoenix Suns blaze into Capital One Arena to face off against the Washington Wizards tonight at 8 PM EST! With both teams eager to shake off recent losses and ignite some playoff magic, this matchup promises more fireworks than a Fourth of July celebration. The Suns, hovering just shy of a .500 record, are looking to shine brighter and climb up the Western conference ladder, while the Wizards, despite their struggles, aim to conjure a spellbinding performance on their home court. As the over/under hovers at a lofty 232, expect a high-scoring affair where fantasy points could be as plentiful as stars in the night sky. So, will the Suns’ heat be too much for the Wizards, or will Washington’s magic have us all spellbound? Tune in as these teams battle it out in a duel that’s sure to be hotter than a Phoenix summer and more mystical than a night at Hogwarts!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: January 16, 2025 08:00PM EST

Location: Capital One Arena, Washington

Vegas Odds

	PHX ML	WAS ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-575	+400	233.0	-10.5/10.5
Recent	-550	+390	232.0	-10.5/10.5
Difference	+25	-10	-1.0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

4W-6L

AWAY

29W-28L

84.6% Win Probability

LAST 10

2W-8L

HOME

12W-47L

15.4% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	O/U
02/04/24	Phoenix Suns PHX	42	37	37	24	140	Over
02/04/24	Washington Wizards WAS	28	30	28	26	112	Over
12/17/23	Washington Wizards WAS	29	29	31	19	108	Under
12/17/23	Phoenix Suns PHX	21	25	35	31	112	Under
12/28/22	Phoenix Suns PHX	21	34	29	18	102	Under
12/28/22	Washington Wizards WAS	36	28	29	34	127	Under
12/20/22	Washington Wizards WAS	27	26	27	33	113	Under
12/20/22	Phoenix Suns PHX	30	18	30	32	110	Under
02/05/22	Phoenix Suns PHX	33	26	26	10	95	Under
02/05/22	Washington Wizards WAS	21	11	19	29	80	Under
12/16/21	Washington Wizards WAS	23	27	21	27	98	Under
12/16/21	Phoenix Suns PHX	31	31	27	29	118	Under

Suns Vs Over/Under

Wizards Vs Over/Under

Suns Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
01/14	vs ATL	117-122L	37	28	13	84
01/12	@ CHA	120-113W	39	31	12	87
01/11	@ UTA	114-106W	38	26	11	86
01/09	@ ATL	123-115W	42	33	16	85
01/07	vs CHA	104-115L	42	27	11	92
01/06	vs PHI	109-99W	44	32	12	81
01/04	vs IND	108-126L	36	30	11	78
12/31	@ MEM	112-117L	43	28	17	92
12/28	vs GSW	105-109L	46	21	13	92
12/27	@ DAL	89-98L	42	23	13	83

Wizards Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
01/13	@ MIN	106-120L	34	27	11	91
01/12	@ OKL	95-136L	39	20	16	83
01/10	vs CHI	105-138L	45	26	15	98
01/08	vs PHI	103-109L	51	26	17	94
01/07	@ HOU	112-135L	43	21	18	89
01/03	vs NOP	120-132L	48	28	21	84
01/01	@ CHI	125-107W	42	36	15	99
12/30	@ NYK	106-126L	46	25	13	92
12/28	@ NYK	132-136L	44	32	15	99
12/26	@ CHA	113-110W	43	25	11	91

Starting Lineups

Phoenix Suns	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Devin Booker SG	49.0	53.4	43.8	100%	44.2
Ryan Dunn SF	21.0	19.1	16.2	63%	18.1
Kevin Durant PF	53.0	45.0	44.5	100%	44.8
Tyus Jones PG	26.0	16.0	25.7	100%	26.2
Mason Plumlee C	20.0	18.9	17.4	53%	22.2

Washington Wizards	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Carlton Carrington SG	23.0	19.6	21.6	77%	23.6
Bilal Coulibaly SF	32.0	20.6	28.2	100%	28.6
Kyle Kuzma PF	35.0	23.9	29.5	93%	30.7
Jordan Poole PG	37.0	35.1	36.9	100%	37.2
Alexandre Sarr C	31.0	26.7	26.8	100%	27.2

Suns Notable Injuries

Bradley Beal (SG/SF): Avg: 17.6pts, 4.0reb, 4.5ast, 33.4 minutes. Last game: 01/14/25. Impact: 4.8
Jusuf Nurkic (C): Avg: 10.4pts, 10.6reb, 3.5ast, 26.8 minutes. Last game: 01/07/25. Impact: 4.2
Josh Okogie (SG/SF): Avg: 5.0pts, 2.6reb, 0.9ast, 15.2 minutes. Last game: 01/11/25. Impact: 1.8
Bol Bol (PF/C): Avg: 4.9pts, 3.0reb, 0.4ast, 10.3 minutes. Last game: 01/04/25. Impact: 1.0
Damion Lee (SG): Avg: 2.7pts, 0.9reb, 0.7ast, 5.8 minutes. Last game: 01/04/25. Impact: 1.0
TyTy Washington Jr. (PG): Avg: 1.1pts, 0.4reb, 0.5ast, 5.5 minutes. Last game: 01/04/25. Impact: 0.6

Wizards Notable Injuries

Malcolm Brogdon (PG/SG): Avg: 15.2pts, 3.8reb, 4.8ast, 27.6 minutes. Last game: 01/03/25. Impact: 4.8
Tristan Vukcevic (C): Avg: 7.2pts, 3.1reb, 1.1ast, 13.1 minutes. Last game: 01/01/25. Impact: 2.8
Richaun Holmes (C): Avg: 4.8pts, 4.3reb, 0.6ast, 13.3 minutes. Last game: 01/10/25. Impact: 2.7

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Kyle Kuzma	WAS	Pts	16.5	19.2	+2.7	20%	20%	33%	33%	PHX	+4.2	#29
Kevin Durant	PHX	Pts	27.5	30.0	+2.5	20%	40%	47%	47%	WAS	-1.4	#7
Bilal Coulibaly	WAS	Reb	4.5	6.1	+1.6	40%	50%	67%	67%	PHX	+0.3	#19

View All Player Prop Projections

Suns Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#17	#16	#4	#11	-3.9%
PF	#29	#19	#28	#30	12.0%
PG	#10	#10	#8	#10	-3.4%
SF	#15	#19	#27	#12	-1.2%
SG	#6	#19	#13	#11	-3.0%

Wizards Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#30	#17	#20	#28	9.1%
PF	#26	#30	#22	#27	8.1%
PG	#26	#27	#27	#30	10.7%
SF	#7	#13	#26	#16	0.9%
SG	#28	#28	#21	#30	10.9%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

113.5

108.2

Rebounds per Game

41.4

44.6

Assists per Game

28.5

24.9

Steals per Game

7.9

7.2

Blocks per Game

4.9

5.0

Shots per Game

85.5

90.2

3-Pointers Made per Game

13.7

12.6

2-Pt Percentage per Game

56.1

52.0

3-Pt Percentage per Game

38.1

34.1

Turnovers per Game

13.2

15.8

Fouls per Game

18.5

20.5

Recent Trends

Justin Champagnie (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 48.9% to 11.5, 22.4 min average previous 3 games.
Bilal Coulibaly (SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 34.3% to 31.0, 23.1 min average previous 3 games.
Oso Ighodaro (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 38.7% to 24.2, 17.4 min average previous 3 games.
Jusuf Nurkic (C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 46.3% to 15.6, 29.0 min average previous 3 games.
Royce O’Neale (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 47.2% to 16.6, 31.5 min average previous 3 games.