Trail Blazers vs Mavericks Game Breakdown

Get ready for a sizzling showdown tonight as the Portland Trail Blazers blaze their trail to the American Airlines Center, looking to fan their playoff flames against the Dallas Mavericks in what promises to be a pivotal first-round NBA playoff game. With the stakes higher than the over/under of 219.5, both teams are coming off convincing wins and are hungry for more. The Blazers are trying to cut down their sizable gap in the Western Conference standings, while the Mavericks aim to lasso their position closer to the top. Tipoff is at 09:30 PM EST, so make sure you’re parked on your couch by then! And as the Blazers bring the heat and the Mavericks ride the momentum, tonight’s game is set to be not just a match, but a clash of elemental forces!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: January 09, 2025 09:30PM EST

Location: American Airlines Center, Dallas

Vegas Odds

	POR ML	DAL ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+235	-285	220.0	7.5/-7.5
Recent	+255	-310	219.5	7.5/-7.5
Difference	+20	-25	-0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

5W-5L

AWAY

14W-41L

28.2% Win Probability

LAST 10

3W-7L

HOME

33W-22L

71.8% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	O/U
12/28/24	Dallas Mavericks DAL	25	34	23	40	122	Over
12/28/24	Portland Trail Blazers POR	36	33	28	29	126	Over
12/23/24	Portland Trail Blazers POR	31	22	23	32	108	Over
12/23/24	Dallas Mavericks DAL	28	34	40	30	132	Over
12/01/24	Dallas Mavericks DAL	25	36	39	37	137	Over
12/01/24	Portland Trail Blazers POR	29	29	39	34	131	Over
12/08/23	Dallas Mavericks DAL	37	34	26	28	125	Over
12/08/23	Portland Trail Blazers POR	22	38	30	22	112	Over
01/05/24	Portland Trail Blazers POR	26	27	16	34	103	Over
01/05/24	Dallas Mavericks DAL	38	24	40	37	139	Over
01/03/24	Portland Trail Blazers POR	25	22	27	23	97	Over
01/03/24	Dallas Mavericks DAL	35	43	24	24	126	Over
12/16/23	Dallas Mavericks DAL	36	38	36	21	131	Over
12/16/23	Portland Trail Blazers POR	39	24	36	21	120	Over
01/15/23	Dallas Mavericks DAL	31	23	41	28	123	Over
01/15/23	Portland Trail Blazers POR	33	28	37	42	140	Over
01/14/23	Dallas Mavericks DAL	30	26	34	29	119	Over
01/14/23	Portland Trail Blazers POR	31	40	35	30	136	Over
12/16/22	Portland Trail Blazers POR	32	31	22	25	110	Over
12/16/22	Dallas Mavericks DAL	31	41	38	20	130	Over
11/12/22	Portland Trail Blazers POR	25	32	31	24	112	Over
11/12/22	Dallas Mavericks DAL	35	24	26	32	117	Over
04/08/22	Portland Trail Blazers POR	13	31	25	9	78	Under
04/08/22	Dallas Mavericks DAL	36	32	39	21	128	Under
01/26/22	Dallas Mavericks DAL	40	28	30	34	132	Over
01/26/22	Portland Trail Blazers POR	25	34	22	31	112	Over
12/27/21	Dallas Mavericks DAL	34	38	34	26	132	Over
12/27/21	Portland Trail Blazers POR	29	24	31	33	117	Over

Trail Blazers Vs Over/Under

Mavericks Vs Over/Under

Trail Blazers Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
01/08	vs NOP	119-100W	44	24	13	88
01/06	vs DET	115-118L	38	32	16	90
01/04	vs MIL	105-102W	55	21	17	85
01/02	vs LAL	106-114L	42	24	18	80
12/30	@ PHI	103-125L	33	23	24	77
12/28	@ DAL	126-122W	50	27	14	92
12/26	@ UTA	122-120W	43	26	11	89
12/21	vs SAS	94-114L	44	21	13	96
12/19	@ DEN	126-124W	45	29	10	97
12/15	vs PHX	109-116L	48	30	13	94

Mavericks Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
01/07	@ LAL	118-97W	44	29	10	86
01/06	vs MEM	104-119L	50	25	15	98
01/03	@ CLE	122-134L	53	29	12	100
01/01	vs HOU	99-110L	38	19	20	75
12/30	vs SAC	100-110L	36	17	17	76
12/28	vs POR	122-126L	40	20	13	89
12/27	vs PHX	98-89W	41	24	15	80
12/25	@ MIN	99-105L	43	15	12	87
12/21	@ LAC	113-97W	43	25	11	88
12/19	@ LAC	95-118L	40	21	13	86

Starting Lineups

Portland Trail Blazers	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Deni Avdija PF	37.0	35.8	28.9	43%	30.8
Deandre Ayton C	39.0	28.4	34.0	100%	34.4
Toumani Camara SF	24.0	29.4	22.6	100%	22.9
Shaedon Sharpe SG	35.0	29.4	28.2	80%	30.3
Anfernee Simons PG	39.0	41.9	30.3	100%	30.7

Dallas Mavericks	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS

Trail Blazers Notable Injuries

Jerami Grant (PF): Avg: 18.9pts, 3.6reb, 2.6ast, 33.5 minutes. Last game: 12/28/24. Impact: 4.5
Duop Reath (C): Avg: 7.8pts, 3.1reb, 0.9ast, 15.5 minutes. Last game: 01/08/25. Impact: 1.0
Bryce McGowens (SG): Avg: 4.7pts, 1.6reb, 0.8ast, 14.1 minutes. Last game: 12/30/24. Impact: 0.9

Mavericks Notable Injuries

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Deandre Ayton	POR	Pts	13.5	17.6	+4.1	20%	60%	60%	60%	DAL	+1.2	#21
Anfernee Simons	POR	Pts	19.5	22.5	+3.0	80%	70%	60%	60%	DAL	0.0	#17
Deni Avdija	POR	Reb	6.5	8.0	+1.5	60%	50%	33%	33%	DAL	-0.4	#9
Kris Murray	POR	Reb	2.5	3.8	+1.3	60%	30%	33%	33%	DAL	+0.4	#19
Shaedon Sharpe	POR	Ast	2.5	3.2	+0.7	40%	60%	60%	60%	DAL	-0.3	#10
Scoot Henderson	POR	Ast	4.5	4.8	+0.3	60%	50%	60%	60%	DAL	-0.2	#13

View All Player Prop Projections

Trail Blazers Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#18	#16	#22	#22	5.0%
PF	#21	#9	#5	#17	-0.3%
PG	#19	#19	#20	#22	2.9%
SF	#18	#14	#20	#19	2.6%
SG	#26	#4	#20	#25	5.2%

Mavericks Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#21	#15	#28	#21	4.9%
PF	#20	#19	#26	#22	3.7%
PG	#8	#4	#13	#16	0.4%
SF	#13	#9	#28	#15	0.1%
SG	#17	#17	#10	#15	-1.0%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

108.7

116.4

Rebounds per Game

42.9

45.3

Assists per Game

23.8

24.9

Steals per Game

8.2

Blocks per Game

5.7

6.5

Shots per Game

88.6

87.7

3-Pointers Made per Game

12.6

13.5

2-Pt Percentage per Game

54.3

54.9

3-Pt Percentage per Game

33.7

38.1

Turnovers per Game

16.1

14.8

Fouls per Game

19.7

18.2

Recent Trends

Dalano Banton (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 31.1% to 11.3, 16.5 min average previous 3 games.
Daniel Gafford (C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 57.0% to 12.1, 28.2 min average previous 3 games.
Naji Marshall (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 36.0% to 26.8, 19.7 min average previous 3 games.
Kris Murray (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 71.8% to 22.8, 13.3 min average previous 3 games.
Matisse Thybulle (PF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 62.1% to 10.9, 28.8 min average previous 3 games.
PJ Washington (PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 37.8% to 34.0, 24.7 min average previous 3 games.