Trail Blazers vs Nuggets Game Breakdown

Get ready to light the fuse on what promises to be an explosive matchup in the NBA playoffs as the underdog Portland Trail Blazers blaze their trail into the high-altitude showdown at Denver’s Ball Arena. Tonight at 10:00 PM EST, it’s a clash of David and Goliath, with the Blazers looking to spark an upset and ignite their playoff dreams against the towering Denver Nuggets. With the Nuggets fresh off a dominating performance and the Blazers hungry for redemption, the stakes are sky-high. As the scoreboard prepares to light up faster than a Denver gold rush, let’s see if Portland can mine some success or if Denver continues to nugget their way to victory!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: February 12, 2025 10:00PM EST

Location: Ball Arena, Denver

Vegas Odds

	POR ML	DEN ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+450	-650	233.5	12.0/-12.0
Recent	+500	-750	232.5	12.0/-12.0
Difference	+50	-100	-1.0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

7W-3L

AWAY

17W-44L

16.7% Win Probability

LAST 10

8W-2L

HOME

48W-16L

83.3% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	O/U
02/10/25	Portland Trail Blazers POR	27	28	37	25	117	Over
02/10/25	Denver Nuggets DEN	38	32	42	34	146	Over
12/19/24	Denver Nuggets DEN	35	31	21	37	124	Over
12/19/24	Portland Trail Blazers POR	30	36	38	22	126	Over
03/23/24	Denver Nuggets DEN	26	31	28	29	114	Under
03/23/24	Portland Trail Blazers POR	22	25	36	28	111	Under
02/23/24	Denver Nuggets DEN	25	38	32	32	127	Over
02/23/24	Portland Trail Blazers POR	20	28	29	35	112	Over
02/04/24	Portland Trail Blazers POR	37	26	21	19	103	Under
02/04/24	Denver Nuggets DEN	25	35	26	26	112	Under
02/02/24	Portland Trail Blazers POR	20	35	29	24	108	Under
02/02/24	Denver Nuggets DEN	33	26	33	28	120	Under
01/17/23	Portland Trail Blazers POR	31	36	22	24	113	Over
01/17/23	Denver Nuggets DEN	34	39	28	21	122	Over
12/23/22	Portland Trail Blazers POR	27	37	16	27	107	Under
12/23/22	Denver Nuggets DEN	32	26	35	27	120	Under
12/08/22	Denver Nuggets DEN	30	33	26	32	121	Over
12/08/22	Portland Trail Blazers POR	36	28	35	21	120	Over
10/24/22	Denver Nuggets DEN	31	30	25	24	110	Over
10/24/22	Portland Trail Blazers POR	23	32	44	36	135	Over
02/27/22	Denver Nuggets DEN	32	33	21	38	124	Under
02/27/22	Portland Trail Blazers POR	27	21	22	22	92	Under
01/13/22	Portland Trail Blazers POR	28	27	25	28	108	Over
01/13/22	Denver Nuggets DEN	41	31	29	39	140	Over
11/23/21	Denver Nuggets DEN	27	25	27	21	100	Under
11/23/21	Portland Trail Blazers POR	33	33	24	29	119	Under
11/14/21	Portland Trail Blazers POR	18	35	26	16	95	Under
11/14/21	Denver Nuggets DEN	33	34	24	33	124	Under

Trail Blazers Vs Over/Under

Nuggets Vs Over/Under

Trail Blazers Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
02/10	vs DEN	117-146L	33	25	16	88
02/08	vs MIN	98-114L	45	18	17	92
02/06	@ SAC	108-102W	47	25	13	90
02/04	@ IND	112-89W	51	23	18	92
02/03	@ PHX	121-119W	48	30	12	89
02/01	@ PHX	127-108W	43	24	9	89
01/30	@ ORL	119-90W	38	23	12	78
01/28	@ MIL	125-112W	52	26	13	88
01/26	@ OKL	108-118L	44	21	15	81
01/24	vs CHA	102-97W	47	17	16	79

Nuggets Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
02/10	@ POR	146-117W	38	44	8	91
02/08	vs PHX	122-105W	56	28	9	92
02/06	@ ORL	112-90W	52	33	18	83
02/05	@ NOP	144-119W	51	40	7	100
02/03	@ NOP	125-113W	46	28	5	92
02/01	vs CHA	107-104W	43	29	11	88
01/31	vs PHI	137-134W	35	39	19	82
01/29	vs NYK	112-122L	47	21	14	84
01/27	vs CHI	121-129L	42	36	14	100
01/23	@ SAC	132-123W	56	30	10	101

Starting Lineups

Portland Trail Blazers	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Deni Avdija SF	35.0	25.1	31.7	70%	33.5
Toumani Camara SG	28.0	26.2	25.2	100%	25.5
Donovan Clingan C	29.0	15.6	18.7	33%	27.6
Jerami Grant PF	26.0	27.1	25.0	100%	25.3
Anfernee Simons PG	36.0	35.1	33.7	100%	34.1

Denver Nuggets	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Christian Braun SG	31.0	37.4	27.7	93%	28.4
Aaron Gordon PF	23.0	25.7	24.8	73%	27.5
Nikola Jokic C	62.0	63.3	66.2	100%	66.6
Jamal Murray PG	37.0	35.2	39.0	100%	39.4
Michael Porter Jr. SF	31.0	46.2	32.8	100%	33.2

Trail Blazers Notable Injuries

Deandre Ayton (C): Avg: 15.8pts, 10.7reb, 1.6ast, 31.5 minutes. Last game: 02/10/25. Impact: 5.5
Scoot Henderson (PG): Avg: 13.5pts, 3.1reb, 5.4ast, 27.8 minutes. Last game: 02/10/25. Impact: 4.5
Jabari Walker (PF/C): Avg: 6.8pts, 5.6reb, 0.8ast, 19.2 minutes. Last game: 02/10/25. Impact: 1.5
Bryce McGowens (SG): Avg: 4.4pts, 1.5reb, 0.8ast, 13.0 minutes. Last game: 02/01/25. Impact: 0.6
Sidy Cissoko (SG): Avg: 2.4pts, 1.0reb, 0.4ast, 5.9 minutes. Last game: 01/31/25. Impact: 0.5

Nuggets Notable Injuries

Russell Westbrook (PG): Avg: 11.6pts, 5.0reb, 5.0ast, 24.1 minutes. Last game: 01/31/25. Impact: 5.1
Peyton Watson (SF): Avg: 6.8pts, 3.2reb, 1.2ast, 19.8 minutes. Last game: 01/31/25. Impact: 2.8

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Jerami Grant	POR	Pts	14.5	15.5	+1.0	40%	40%	33%	33%	DEN	-0.0	#15
Toumani Camara	POR	Pts	10.5	11.2	+0.7	40%	50%	53%	53%	DEN	-0.0	#15
Donovan Clingan	POR	Reb	8.5	10.2	+1.7	0%	20%	27%	27%	DEN	-1.2	#7
Jamal Murray	DEN	Reb	3.5	3.7	+0.2	20%	60%	53%	53%	POR	-0.4	#7
Michael Porter Jr.	DEN	Ast	1.5	1.6	+0.1	60%	40%	40%	40%	POR	-0.1	#13

View All Player Prop Projections

Trail Blazers Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#11	#20	#20	#16	1.1%
PF	#10	#17	#23	#19	0.3%
PG	#5	#7	#7	#3	-7.8%
SF	#18	#10	#13	#12	-2.3%
SG	#23	#3	#2	#16	0.1%

Nuggets Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#18	#7	#22	#15	1.1%
PF	#15	#7	#20	#18	0.3%
PG	#2	#9	#29	#14	-0.6%
SF	#10	#2	#24	#11	-2.9%
SG	#29	#2	#19	#25	3.5%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

111.0

123.9

Rebounds per Game

44.2

46.6

Assists per Game

24.2

31.7

Steals per Game

7.4

7.9

Blocks per Game

5.3

5.0

Shots per Game

88.0

90.1

3-Pointers Made per Game

12.8

11.9

2-Pt Percentage per Game

53.7

60.0

3-Pt Percentage per Game

35.3

37.8

Turnovers per Game

14.5

12.6

Fouls per Game

19.2

17.2

Recent Trends

DeAndre Jordan (C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 36.7% to 13.9, 10.2 min average previous 3 games.
Jalen Pickett (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 95.1% to 25.8, 13.2 min average previous 3 games.
Julian Strawther (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 45.8% to 34.8, 23.9 min average previous 3 games.
Matisse Thybulle (PF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 62.1% to 10.9, 28.8 min average previous 3 games.