Trail Blazers vs Rockets Game Breakdown & Projections – Mon, Mar 25th 2024
Trail Blazers
19W-52L
March 25, 2024
08:00PM EST
Odds: 225.0 o/u
Rockets
35W-35L
Alright, hoop heads, get ready for some rip-roaring action tonight as the underdog Portland Trail Blazers, with a record that looks like a bad batting average (19-52), are gearing up to tango with the Houston Rockets, who are sitting pretty at a neat 35-35. The Blazers, who are so far back in the Western conference they need binoculars to see the leaders, are about to take the court at the illustrious Toyota Center against the Rockets, who are just a few three-pointers away from the conference’s top tier. The betting gurus are expecting a scoreboard explosion with an over/under of 225.0, and the Rockets are favored to blast off with an 11.5 point lead. Fresh off a sizzling 147-119 win against the Jazz, the Rockets are ready to keep the momentum going, while the Blazers, still smarting from a close 111-114 loss to the Nuggets, are hungry for redemption. So, buckle up and prepare for a night where the Rockets aim to blaze a trail through Portland’s defense, and the Blazers look to rocket past Houston’s offense. It’s gonna be a blast!
Game Breakdown
Game Time: March 25, 2024 08:00PM EST
Location: Toyota Center, Houston
Vegas Odds
POR ML | HOU ML | Over/Under | Line | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Open | +460 | -675 | 221.0 | 11.5/-11.5 |
Recent | +500 | -750 | 225.0 | 13.0/-13.0 |
Difference | +40 | -75 | +4.0 | – |
Team Performance
16.7% Win Probability
83.3% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
Date | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final | O/U | ATS | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03/08/24 | Houston Rockets HOU | 28 | 27 | 37 | 31 | 123 | Over | ||
Portland Trail Blazers POR | 31 | 32 | 24 | 20 | 107 | ||||
01/24/24 | Portland Trail Blazers POR | 30 | 27 | 41 | 26 | 13 | 137 | Over | |
Houston Rockets HOU | 31 | 32 | 33 | 28 | 7 | 131 | |||
02/26/23 | Houston Rockets HOU | 31 | 27 | 30 | 26 | 114 | Over | ||
Portland Trail Blazers POR | 32 | 41 | 29 | 29 | 131 | ||||
12/17/22 | Portland Trail Blazers POR | 33 | 24 | 28 | 22 | 107 | Under | ||
Houston Rockets HOU | 27 | 24 | 14 | 30 | 95 | ||||
10/28/22 | Houston Rockets HOU | 23 | 35 | 24 | 29 | 111 | Over | ||
Portland Trail Blazers POR | 32 | 37 | 27 | 29 | 125 | ||||
03/26/22 | Houston Rockets HOU | 24 | 36 | 25 | 30 | 115 | Under | ||
Portland Trail Blazers POR | 28 | 32 | 18 | 20 | 98 | ||||
03/25/22 | Houston Rockets HOU | 35 | 31 | 30 | 29 | 125 | Over | ||
Portland Trail Blazers POR | 22 | 31 | 29 | 24 | 106 | ||||
01/28/22 | Portland Trail Blazers POR | 32 | 34 | 25 | 34 | 125 | Over | ||
Houston Rockets HOU | 20 | 33 | 32 | 25 | 110 | ||||
11/12/21 | Portland Trail Blazers POR | 30 | 25 | 26 | 23 | 104 | Under | ||
Houston Rockets HOU | 27 | 18 | 22 | 25 | 92 |
Trail Blazers Vs Over/Under
Rockets Vs Over/Under
Trail Blazers Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03/23 | @ DEN | 111-114L | 45 | 27 | 15 | 94 |
03/22 | @ LAC | 117-125L | 41 | 29 | 10 | 96 |
03/20 | @ LAC | 103-116L | 38 | 21 | 17 | 81 |
03/18 | vs CHI | 107-110L | 43 | 21 | 13 | 88 |
03/16 | vs NOP | 107-126L | 36 | 23 | 19 | 88 |
03/14 | @ NYK | 93-105L | 45 | 19 | 17 | 84 |
03/13 | @ ATL | 106-102W | 49 | 24 | 18 | 83 |
03/11 | @ BOS | 99-118L | 38 | 23 | 11 | 85 |
03/09 | @ TOR | 128-118W | 52 | 31 | 14 | 103 |
03/08 | @ HOU | 107-123L | 49 | 22 | 17 | 91 |
Rockets Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03/23 | @ UTA | 147-119W | 44 | 31 | 9 | 97 |
03/21 | @ CHI | 127-117W | 49 | 27 | 14 | 93 |
03/19 | vs WAS | 137-114W | 47 | 25 | 7 | 91 |
03/16 | @ CLE | 117-103W | 48 | 28 | 9 | 98 |
03/14 | @ WAS | 135-119W | 47 | 24 | 17 | 87 |
03/12 | vs SAS | 103-103L | 36 | 21 | 12 | 80 |
03/10 | vs SAC | 112-104W | 42 | 23 | 12 | 85 |
03/08 | vs POR | 123-107W | 47 | 33 | 7 | 94 |
03/06 | @ LAC | 116-122L | 38 | 33 | 8 | 94 |
03/05 | @ SAS | 114-101W | 51 | 23 | 5 | 107 |
Starting Lineups
Portland Trail Blazers | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
42.9 | 42.6 | 35.2 | 100% | 35.6 | |
20.7 | 19.8 | 18.2 | 60% | 21.4 | |
31.4 | 33.4 | 25.9 | 47% | 28.6 | |
Kris Murray
SF
|
21.7 | 25.4 | 16.1 | 60% | 21.7 |
37.6 | 37.6 | 36.2 | 100% | 35.1 |
Houston Rockets | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22.8 | 22.0 | 21.3 | 93% | 22.1 | |
Jalen Green
SF
|
46.3 | 53.5 | 36.6 | 93% | 37.0 |
31.9 | 22.6 | 11.4 | 0% | 0 | |
37.6 | 34.8 | 27.7 | 40% | 34.0 | |
47.4 | 44.4 | 38.1 | 93% | 38.9 |
Trail Blazers Notable Injuries
- Jerami Grant (SF/PF): Avg: 20.7pts, 3.6reb, 2.8ast, 33.8 minutes. Last game: 03/11/24. Impact: 4.9
- Moses Brown (C): Avg: 2.7pts, 3.9reb, 0.4ast, 8.6 minutes. Last game: 03/23/24. Impact: 1.5
- Ibou Badji (C): Avg: 1.5pts, 2.5reb, 0.7ast, 10.8 minutes. Last game: 03/16/24. Impact: 0.9
- Justin Minaya (SG/SF): Avg: 1.2pts, 1.1reb, 0.4ast, 7.9 minutes. Last game: 03/20/24. Impact: 0.7
Rockets Notable Injuries
- Alperen Sengun (C): Avg: 21.0pts, 9.4reb, 5.0ast, 32.4 minutes. Last game: 03/10/24. Impact: 7.4
- Jabari Smith Jr. (PF/C): Avg: 12.9pts, 8.3reb, 1.4ast, 31.3 minutes. Last game: 03/23/24. Impact: 4.4
- Cam Whitmore (SG/SF): Avg: 12.1pts, 3.9reb, 0.5ast, 17.8 minutes. Last game: 03/10/24. Impact: 3.5
- Boban Marjanovic (C): Avg: 2.3pts, 1.9reb, 0.3ast, 4.6 minutes. Last game: 03/23/24. Impact: 0.9
Top Player Props
This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.
Stat | Over % | Opposing Defense/Game | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Player | Team | Prop | Line | Proj | Diff | L5 | L10 | L15 | L30 | Opp | Stat | Rank |
Jalen Green | HOU | Pts | 25.5 | 26.4 | +0.9 | 100% | 60% | 53% | 53% | POR | -0.3 | #17 |
Fred VanVleet | HOU | Pts | 19.5 | 20.2 | +0.7 | 40% | 40% | 53% | 53% | POR | -0.3 | #17 |
Deandre Ayton | POR | Reb | 12.5 | 13.4 | +0.9 | 60% | 60% | 53% | 53% | HOU | +0.9 | #23 |
Amen Thompson | HOU | Reb | 9.5 | 9.6 | +0.1 | 60% | 30% | 27% | 27% | POR | -0.8 | #10 |
Trail Blazers Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #13 | #17 | #14 | #20 | 2.0% |
PF | #20 | #12 | #8 | #24 | 5.9% |
PG | #13 | #5 | #27 | #21 | 5.1% |
SF | #9 | #10 | #5 | #6 | -16.8% |
SG | #17 | #4 | #18 | #19 | 2.7% |
Rockets Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #21 | #23 | #21 | #25 | 7.4% |
PF | #5 | #23 | #3 | #5 | -9.5% |
PG | #23 | #26 | #24 | #27 | 10.4% |
SF | #25 | #28 | #22 | #28 | 16.2% |
SG | #16 | #14 | #1 | #7 | -8.3% |
Team Comparison
Recent Trends
- Jeff Green (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 50.0% to 23.3, 15.6 min average previous 3 games.
- Duop Reath (C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 89.4% to 23.0, 12.2 min average previous 3 games.
- Shaedon Sharpe (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 30.0% to 27.8, 21.4 min average previous 3 games. The Trail Blazers have a 2-game losing streak on the road. Overall, they are on a 6-game losing streak. The Rockets have a 2-game winning streak at home. Overall, they are on a 8-game winning streak.
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