Trail Blazers vs Heat Game Breakdown & Projections – Fri, Mar 29th 2024
Trail Blazers
19W-54L
March 29, 2024
08:00PM EST
Odds: 210.5 o/u
Heat
39W-33L
Alright, folks, get ready to turn up the heat and blaze a trail to your screens tonight! The Portland Trail Blazers, who’ve been on a bit of a rocky road this season with a 19-54 win-loss record, are packing their bags and heading to the sizzling Miami Heat’s turf at Kaseya Center. It’s an 8PM EST showdown, and the Blazers, sitting a whopping 32 games back in the Western conference, are hoping to add a little sizzle to their stats. Meanwhile, the Heat, who are a mere 3 games back in the East, are looking to bounce back from a recent 92-113 tumble against GSW. Portland’s also nursing a 106-120 loss against ATL, so both teams are stinging for a win. The betting lines are buzzing with the over/under set at a tantalizing 210.5 – Blazers at 14.5 and the Heat at a confident -14.5. So, folks, will the Heat turn up the temperature or will the Blazers ignite an upset? It’s gonna be a night of ‘Blazing Heat’ in the NBA fantasy league!
Game Breakdown
Game Time: March 29, 2024 08:00PM EST
Location: Kaseya Center, Miami
Vegas Odds
POR ML | MIA ML | Over/Under | Line | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Open | +750 | -1400 | 208.5 | 14.5/-14.5 |
Recent | +650 | -1100 | 210.5 | 14.0/-14.0 |
Difference | -100 | +300 | +2.0 | – |
Team Performance
13.3% Win Probability
86.7% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
Date | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final | O/U | ATS | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
02/27/24 | Miami Heat MIA | 15 | 31 | 34 | 26 | 106 | Under | ||
Portland Trail Blazers POR | 28 | 28 | 20 | 20 | 96 | ||||
11/07/22 | Portland Trail Blazers POR | 28 | 25 | 20 | 37 | 110 | Over | ||
Miami Heat MIA | 28 | 32 | 21 | 26 | 107 | ||||
10/26/22 | Miami Heat MIA | 28 | 33 | 33 | 25 | 119 | Over | ||
Portland Trail Blazers POR | 31 | 25 | 25 | 17 | 98 | ||||
01/19/22 | Portland Trail Blazers POR | 26 | 30 | 24 | 12 | 92 | Under | ||
Miami Heat MIA | 23 | 35 | 20 | 26 | 104 | ||||
01/05/22 | Miami Heat MIA | 30 | 28 | 25 | 32 | 115 | Over | ||
Portland Trail Blazers POR | 23 | 24 | 33 | 29 | 109 |
Trail Blazers Vs Over/Under
Heat Vs Over/Under
Trail Blazers Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03/27 | vs ATL | 106-120L | 33 | 35 | 18 | 85 |
03/25 | vs HOU | 92-110L | 44 | 14 | 16 | 87 |
03/23 | @ DEN | 111-114L | 45 | 27 | 15 | 94 |
03/22 | @ LAC | 117-125L | 41 | 29 | 10 | 96 |
03/20 | @ LAC | 103-116L | 38 | 21 | 17 | 81 |
03/18 | vs CHI | 107-110L | 43 | 21 | 13 | 88 |
03/16 | vs NOP | 107-126L | 36 | 23 | 19 | 88 |
03/14 | @ NYK | 93-105L | 45 | 19 | 17 | 84 |
03/13 | @ ATL | 106-102W | 49 | 24 | 18 | 83 |
03/11 | @ BOS | 99-118L | 38 | 23 | 11 | 85 |
Heat Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03/26 | @ GSW | 92-113L | 39 | 24 | 8 | 92 |
03/24 | @ CLE | 121-84W | 44 | 29 | 9 | 83 |
03/22 | @ NOP | 88-111L | 34 | 22 | 4 | 87 |
03/20 | vs CLE | 107-104W | 37 | 19 | 7 | 83 |
03/18 | vs PHI | 91-98L | 49 | 23 | 15 | 89 |
03/17 | vs DET | 104-101W | 47 | 24 | 9 | 89 |
03/15 | vs DET | 108-95W | 44 | 23 | 8 | 93 |
03/13 | @ DEN | 88-100L | 42 | 18 | 8 | 81 |
03/10 | @ WAS | 108-110L | 51 | 20 | 13 | 96 |
03/08 | vs OKL | 100-107L | 43 | 24 | 10 | 83 |
Starting Lineups
Portland Trail Blazers | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
41.9 | 42.6 | 35.2 | 100% | 35.6 | |
30.1 | 34.0 | 25.8 | 47% | 28.3 | |
Kris Murray
SF
|
18.7 | 24.8 | 16.1 | 67% | 21.0 |
Rayan Rupert
SG
|
20.0 | 16.2 | 8.0 | 11% | 17.1 |
22.2 | 20.4 | 20.1 | 47% | 20.6 |
Miami Heat | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
44.7 | 43.5 | 38.7 | 100% | 38.2 | |
Jimmy Butler
SF
|
43.2 | 32.9 | 37.3 | 100% | 35.9 |
Nikola Jovic
PF
|
17.3 | 18.8 | 15.4 | 87% | 17.8 |
Patty Mills
SG
|
15.7 | 12.6 | 8.0 | 17% | 14.3 |
Terry Rozier
PG
|
34.6 | 28.8 | 30.4 | 93% | 31.2 |
Trail Blazers Notable Injuries
- Anfernee Simons (PG/SG): Avg: 22.5pts, 3.7reb, 5.6ast, 34.4 minutes. Last game: 03/22/24. Impact: 6.2
- Toumani Camara (SF/PF): Avg: 7.5pts, 4.9reb, 1.2ast, 24.8 minutes. Last game: 03/27/24. Impact: 3.7
- Ibou Badji (C): Avg: 1.4pts, 2.4reb, 0.6ast, 10.3 minutes. Last game: 03/27/24. Impact: 0.7
Heat Notable Injuries
- Duncan Robinson (SG/SF): Avg: 13.4pts, 2.5reb, 3.0ast, 28.1 minutes. Last game: 03/18/24. Impact: 4.2
- Orlando Robinson (C): Avg: 2.7pts, 2.3reb, 1.0ast, 8.5 minutes. Last game: 03/26/24. Impact: 0.8
- Cole Swider (PF): Avg: 3.0pts, 0.5reb, 0.3ast, 5.9 minutes. Last game: 03/26/24. Impact: 0.7
- Alondes Williams (PG): Avg: 1.0pts, 0.3reb, 0.0ast, 3.6 minutes. Last game: 03/26/24. Impact: 0.2
Top Player Props
This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.
Stat | Over % | Opposing Defense/Game | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Player | Team | Prop | Line | Proj | Diff | L5 | L10 | L15 | L30 | Opp | Stat | Rank |
Bam Adebayo | MIA | Pts | 17.5 | 20.5 | +3.0 | 60% | 40% | 53% | 53% | POR | -0.2 | #14 |
Jimmy Butler | MIA | Pts | 21.5 | 23.6 | +2.1 | 20% | 30% | 40% | 40% | POR | -2.3 | #11 |
Deandre Ayton | POR | Reb | 11.5 | 13.1 | +1.6 | 60% | 60% | 53% | 53% | MIA | +1.2 | #25 |
Trail Blazers Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #14 | #19 | #11 | #21 | 2.1% |
PF | #24 | #12 | #9 | #23 | 5.4% |
PG | #11 | #11 | #29 | #16 | 0.9% |
SF | #11 | #15 | #9 | #8 | -14.2% |
SG | #20 | #4 | #13 | #23 | 4.4% |
Heat Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #2 | #25 | #20 | #2 | -13.3% |
PF | #3 | #21 | #4 | #6 | -7.9% |
PG | #8 | #4 | #8 | #3 | -20.8% |
SF | #30 | #7 | #15 | #30 | 22.8% |
SG | #12 | #17 | #20 | #14 | -1.6% |
Team Comparison
Recent Trends
- Jimmy Butler (SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 34.7% to 32.6, 24.2 min average previous 3 games.
- Toumani Camara (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 63.5% to 35.0, 21.4 min average previous 3 games.
- Haywood Highsmith (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 34.6% to 25.5, 19.0 min average previous 3 games.
- Duop Reath (C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 34.7% to 26.8, 19.9 min average previous 3 games.
- Duncan Robinson (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 44.2% to 30.9, 21.4 min average previous 3 games.
- Rayan Rupert (SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 67.2% to 25.9, 15.5 min average previous 3 games.
- Shaedon Sharpe (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 30.0% to 27.8, 21.4 min average previous 3 games.
- Delon Wright (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 32.5% to 22.9, 17.2 min average previous 3 games. The Trail Blazers have a 2-game losing streak on the road. Overall, they are on a 8-game losing streak.
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