Trail Blazers vs Bucks Game Breakdown

Get ready to light up the scoreboard as the Portland Trail Blazers blaze their trail to the Fiserv Forum, squaring off against the Milwaukee Bucks in what promises to be a pivotal first-round playoff clash tonight at 9 PM EST! After a series of playoff blowouts, we’re geared up for some real action, and tonight’s matchup looks like it could deliver that in spades. With the Blazers looking to ignite a spark after their recent stumble against the Lakers and the Bucks eager to buck the trend of their last-minute defeat to Brooklyn, the stakes are sky-high. Both teams are fighting to claw back into conference contention, and with a hefty over/under of 229, expect a barrage of buckets as these two go head-to-head. So, as the Blazers try to fan the flames of victory and the Bucks aim to leap over the hurdles of defeat, let’s see who truly sets the court on fire!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: January 04, 2025 09:00PM EST

Location: Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee

Vegas Odds

	POR ML	MIL ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+500	-750	228.0	12.0/-12.0
Recent	+500	-750	229.0	12.5/-12.5
Difference	0	0	+1.0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

3W-7L

AWAY

12W-40L

16.7% Win Probability

LAST 10

5W-5L

HOME

42W-16L

83.3% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	O/U
01/31/24	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	38	27	26	25	116	Over
01/31/24	Portland Trail Blazers POR	37	30	29	23	119	Over
11/26/23	Portland Trail Blazers POR	31	37	20	14	102	Under
11/26/23	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	26	26	23	33	108	Under
02/06/23	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	30	28	37	32	127	Over
02/06/23	Portland Trail Blazers POR	22	26	23	37	108	Over
11/21/22	Portland Trail Blazers POR	32	29	18	32	111	Over
11/21/22	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	30	33	30	26	119	Over
02/14/22	Portland Trail Blazers POR	31	40	23	28	122	Push
02/14/22	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	30	24	24	29	107	Push
02/05/22	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	34	36	37	30	137	Over
02/05/22	Portland Trail Blazers POR	26	28	21	33	108	Over

Trail Blazers Vs Over/Under

Bucks Vs Over/Under

Trail Blazers Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
01/02	vs LAL	106-114L	42	24	18	80
12/30	@ PHI	103-125L	33	23	24	77
12/28	@ DAL	126-122W	50	27	14	92
12/26	@ UTA	122-120W	43	26	11	89
12/21	vs SAS	94-114L	44	21	13	96
12/19	@ DEN	126-124W	45	29	10	97
12/15	vs PHX	109-116L	48	30	13	94
12/13	@ SAS	116-118L	36	25	13	82
12/08	vs LAL	98-107L	49	17	17	84
12/06	@ UTA	99-141L	34	23	10	95

Bucks Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
01/02	@ BRO	110-113L	46	21	14	90
12/31	vs IND	120-112W	51	27	12	97
12/28	vs CHI	111-116L	43	27	7	102
12/26	@ BRO	105-111L	39	23	22	83
12/21	@ WAS	112-101W	44	35	11	98
12/20	vs CLE	101-124L	45	23	20	85
12/14	@ ATL	110-102W	47	28	12	86
12/10	@ ORL	114-109W	37	27	16	77
12/08	vs BRO	118-113W	31	26	16	68
12/06	vs BOS	105-111L	51	16	9	94

Starting Lineups

Portland Trail Blazers	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Deni Avdija PF	38.0	34.6	28.6	43%	30.2
Deandre Ayton C	35.0	31.9	33.9	100%	34.3
Toumani Camara SF	25.0	24.9	22.4	100%	22.8
Shaedon Sharpe SG	34.0	31.1	25.7	73%	28.4
Anfernee Simons PG	34.0	35.4	29.6	100%	30.0

Milwaukee Bucks	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
G. Antetokounmpo PF	58.0	60.7	58.2	100%	58.6
Andre Jackson Jr. SG	9.0	9.8	9.9	73%	11.4
Damian Lillard PG	44.0	44.0	43.4	100%	43.7
Brook Lopez C	22.0	28.2	26.2	100%	26.6
Khris Middleton SF	30.0	32.7	33.4	83%	36.0

Trail Blazers Notable Injuries

Jerami Grant (PF): Avg: 18.9pts, 3.6reb, 2.6ast, 33.5 minutes. Last game: 12/28/24. Impact: 4.5
Jabari Walker (PF/C): Avg: 7.4pts, 6.1reb, 0.9ast, 20.6 minutes. Last game: 12/30/24. Impact: 1.4
Duop Reath (C): Avg: 7.9pts, 3.2reb, 0.9ast, 15.6 minutes. Last game: 12/30/24. Impact: 1.0
Bryce McGowens (SG): Avg: 4.7pts, 1.6reb, 0.8ast, 14.1 minutes. Last game: 12/30/24. Impact: 0.9
Rayan Rupert (SG/SF): Avg: 3.7pts, 2.0reb, 1.2ast, 13.9 minutes. Last game: 12/30/24. Impact: 0.8

Bucks Notable Injuries

Pat Connaughton (SF/PF): Avg: 5.5pts, 3.1reb, 2.1ast, 21.2 minutes. Last game: 01/02/25. Impact: 2.0
Delon Wright (PG/SG): Avg: 4.1pts, 1.9reb, 2.3ast, 16.5 minutes. Last game: 12/26/24. Impact: 1.6
AJ Green (PG/SG): Avg: 5.3pts, 1.5reb, 0.8ast, 14.3 minutes. Last game: 12/31/24. Impact: 2.5
Stanley Umude (SG): Avg: 4.2pts, 1.8reb, 0.4ast, 10.7 minutes. Last game: 12/20/24. Impact: 0.9
Liam Robbins (C): Avg: 0.8pts, 0.8reb, 0.2ast, 4.8 minutes. Last game: 12/20/24. Impact: 0.5

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Bobby Portis	MIL	Pts	12.5	15.5	+3.0	100%	70%	53%	53%	POR	+1.4	#24
Scoot Henderson	POR	Pts	11.5	14.3	+2.8	80%	50%	47%	47%	MIL	+1.4	#27
Deandre Ayton	POR	Reb	8.5	10.6	+2.1	40%	40%	40%	40%	MIL	-0.9	#9
Deni Avdija	POR	Reb	6.5	8.2	+1.7	60%	40%	47%	47%	MIL	-1.0	#2
Gary Trent Jr.	MIL	Ast	0.5	1.2	+0.7	60%	50%	60%	60%	POR	+0.8	#29

View All Player Prop Projections

Trail Blazers Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#21	#20	#22	#27	8.2%
PF	#24	#6	#8	#18	1.0%
PG	#12	#20	#22	#17	1.8%
SF	#15	#9	#20	#16	0.5%
SG	#29	#10	#29	#29	10.5%

Bucks Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#3	#9	#23	#3	-10.6%
PF	#5	#9	#13	#10	-4.3%
PG	#27	#24	#7	#14	-0.1%
SF	#10	#2	#9	#5	-8.4%
SG	#19	#30	#18	#20	3.8%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

107.7

112.9

Rebounds per Game

42.2

42.9

Assists per Game

23.1

25.1

Steals per Game

8.3

8.2

Blocks per Game

5.8

5.5

Shots per Game

88.7

86.3

3-Pointers Made per Game

12.0

14.6

2-Pt Percentage per Game

53.4

54.2

3-Pt Percentage per Game

32.5

39.2

Turnovers per Game

16.1

13.4

Fouls per Game

20.1

18.8

Recent Trends

Ryan Rollins (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 42.1% to 13.8, 23.9 min average previous 3 games.
Matisse Thybulle (PF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 62.1% to 10.9, 28.8 min average previous 3 games.
Delon Wright (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 45.6% to 17.5, 12.0 min average previous 3 games.