Trail Blazers vs Pelicans Game Breakdown & Projections – Sat, Mar 16th 2024
Trail Blazers
19W-47L
March 16, 2024
07:00PM EST
Odds: 215.0 o/u
Pelicans
40W-26L
Hold on to your fantasy rosters, folks, because tonight’s NBA showdown is hotter than a ghost pepper smoothie! The Portland Trail Blazers, who’ve been feeling the heat this season with a 19-47 record, are charging into the Smoothie King Center, looking to turn the tables on the 40-26 New Orleans Pelicans. Yes, you heard it right, the Blazers, who are trailing by a whopping 27.5 games in the Western Conference, are ready to take flight against the Pelicans, who are perched pretty at the top of the pecking order with no games back. As the clock strikes 07:00PM EST, the betting lines are chirping with the over/under set at a spicy 215.0, and the Blazers and Pelicans at 13.5 and -13.5 respectively. The Pelicans, still riding high from their 112-104 victory over LAC, are ready to ruffle some feathers. Meanwhile, the Blazers, still smarting from their 93-105 setback against NYK, are ready to reignite their spark. So, buckle up and get ready to blaze through this pelican crossing because tonight, it’s raining threes and feathers!
Game Breakdown
Game Time: March 16, 2024 07:00PM EST
Location: Smoothie King Center, New Orleans
Vegas Odds
| POR ML | NOP ML | Over/Under | Line | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open | +700 | -1200 | 212.5 | 13.5/-13.5 |
| Recent | +600 | -950 | 215.0 | 13.0/-13.0 |
| Difference | -100 | +250 | +2.5 | – |
Team Performance
14.3% Win Probability
85.7% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
| Date | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final | O/U | ATS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/10/24 | New Orleans Pelicans NOP | 29 | 18 | 17 | 29 | 93 | Under | ![]() |
|
| Portland Trail Blazers POR | 24 | 16 | 23 | 21 | 84 | ||||
| 03/27/23 | New Orleans Pelicans NOP | 34 | 24 | 31 | 35 | 124 | Under | ![]() |
|
| Portland Trail Blazers POR | 14 | 21 | 20 | 35 | 90 | ||||
| 03/12/23 | Portland Trail Blazers POR | 25 | 29 | 19 | 37 | 110 | Over | ![]() |
|
| New Orleans Pelicans NOP | 42 | 32 | 35 | 18 | 127 | ||||
| 03/01/23 | New Orleans Pelicans NOP | 29 | 24 | 37 | 31 | 121 | Over | ![]() |
|
| Portland Trail Blazers POR | 31 | 25 | 35 | 19 | 110 | ||||
| 11/10/22 | Portland Trail Blazers POR | 27 | 24 | 27 | 28 | 106 | Under | ![]() |
|
| New Orleans Pelicans NOP | 27 | 30 | 17 | 21 | 95 | ||||
| 04/07/22 | Portland Trail Blazers POR | 28 | 24 | 24 | 18 | 94 | Over | ![]() |
|
| New Orleans Pelicans NOP | 33 | 32 | 36 | 26 | 127 | ||||
| 03/30/22 | New Orleans Pelicans NOP | 32 | 19 | 34 | 32 | 117 | Over | ![]() |
|
| Portland Trail Blazers POR | 36 | 18 | 28 | 25 | 107 | ||||
| 12/21/21 | Portland Trail Blazers POR | 21 | 28 | 29 | 19 | 97 | Under | ![]() |
|
| New Orleans Pelicans NOP | 24 | 27 | 30 | 30 | 111 |
Trail Blazers Vs Over/Under
Pelicans Vs Over/Under
Trail Blazers Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/14 | @ NYK | 93-105L | 45 | 19 | 17 | 84 |
| 03/13 | @ ATL | 106-102W | 49 | 24 | 18 | 83 |
| 03/11 | @ BOS | 99-118L | 38 | 23 | 11 | 85 |
| 03/09 | @ TOR | 128-118W | 52 | 31 | 14 | 103 |
| 03/08 | @ HOU | 107-123L | 49 | 22 | 17 | 91 |
| 03/06 | @ OKL | 120-128L | 32 | 27 | 17 | 81 |
| 03/04 | vs MIN | 114-119L | 41 | 28 | 13 | 92 |
| 03/02 | vs MEM | 107-100W | 50 | 23 | 22 | 92 |
| 03/01 | vs MEM | 122-92W | 46 | 31 | 14 | 92 |
| 02/27 | @ MIA | 96-106L | 40 | 24 | 17 | 86 |
Pelicans Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/15 | @ LAC | 112-104W | 40 | 28 | 8 | 88 |
| 03/13 | @ CLE | 95-116L | 43 | 22 | 11 | 80 |
| 03/10 | vs ATL | 116-103W | 43 | 32 | 12 | 75 |
| 03/08 | vs PHI | 103-95W | 48 | 22 | 12 | 83 |
| 03/05 | vs TOR | 139-98W | 62 | 38 | 11 | 106 |
| 03/01 | @ IND | 129-102W | 47 | 25 | 17 | 87 |
| 02/28 | vs IND | 114-123L | 40 | 26 | 10 | 90 |
| 02/27 | vs NYK | 115-92W | 44 | 23 | 14 | 78 |
| 02/25 | @ CHI | 106-114L | 49 | 25 | 19 | 88 |
| 02/23 | @ MIA | 95-106L | 54 | 20 | 11 | 105 |
Starting Lineups
| Portland Trail Blazers | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45.4 | 48.9 | 35.6 | 100% | 36.0 | |
| 26.4 | 32.5 | 14.8 | 20% | 34.6 | |
| 21.7 | 21.5 | 17.8 | 57% | 21.6 | |
|
Kris Murray
SF
|
19.3 | 20.6 | 14.0 | 43% | 20.3 |
| 39.9 | 41.5 | 36.0 | 100% | 34.9 |
| New Orleans Pelicans | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 41.9 | 31.9 | 37.0 | 100% | 37.4 | |
| 22.8 | 22.1 | 23.1 | 100% | 23.6 | |
|
CJ McCollum
PG
|
32.5 | 22.2 | 31.3 | 100% | 31.6 |
| 25.8 | 19.8 | 26.9 | 100% | 27.3 | |
| 46.3 | 49.8 | 39.8 | 100% | 40.2 |
Trail Blazers Notable Injuries
- Jerami Grant (PF): Avg: 20.7pts, 3.6reb, 2.8ast, 33.8 minutes. Last game: 03/11/24. Impact: 4.9
- Jabari Walker (PF/C): Avg: 8.2pts, 6.4reb, 0.9ast, 21.9 minutes. Last game: 03/06/24. Impact: 3.4
- Moses Brown (C): Avg: 2.4pts, 3.9reb, 0.3ast, 8.3 minutes. Last game: 03/11/24. Impact: 1.3
- Ibou Badji (C): Avg: 1.6pts, 2.6reb, 0.7ast, 11.3 minutes. Last game: 03/01/24. Impact: 1.0
Pelicans Notable Injuries
- Cody Zeller (C): Avg: 2.0pts, 2.8reb, 1.0ast, 7.9 minutes. Last game: 03/05/24. Impact: 1.1
- Izaiah Brockington (SG): Avg: 4.0pts, 2.0reb, 0.0ast, 3.4 minutes. Last game: 03/05/24. Impact: 1.1
Top Player Props
This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.
| Stat | Over % | Opposing Defense/Game | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | Team | Prop | Line | Proj | Diff | L5 | L10 | L15 | L30 | Opp | Stat | Rank |
| Zion Williamson | NOP | Pts | 23.5 | 25.7 | +2.2 | 60% | 30% | 40% | 40% | POR | -1.4 | #11 |
| Brandon Ingram | NOP | Pts | 20.5 | 22.3 | +1.8 | 0% | 40% | 40% | 40% | POR | -1.4 | #11 |
| Deandre Ayton | POR | Reb | 12.5 | 14.3 | +1.8 | 80% | 70% | 47% | 47% | NOP | +1.7 | #25 |
| CJ McCollum | NOP | Reb | 3.5 | 4.0 | +0.5 | 80% | 70% | 73% | 73% | POR | -0.3 | #12 |
| Kris Murray | POR | Ast | 1.5 | 1.8 | +0.3 | 60% | 70% | 67% | 67% | NOP | +0.3 | #20 |
Trail Blazers Defense vs
| Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | #26 | #11 | #29 | #25 | 8.9% |
| PF | #12 | #2 | #7 | #10 | -5.9% |
| PG | #18 | #7 | #28 | #25 | 8.3% |
| SF | #11 | #18 | #2 | #7 | -10.6% |
| SG | #17 | #12 | #17 | #20 | 3.6% |
Pelicans Defense vs
| Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | #18 | #25 | #1 | #18 | 1.8% |
| PF | #15 | #13 | #13 | #14 | -2.7% |
| PG | #5 | #19 | #18 | #6 | -10.5% |
| SF | #4 | #27 | #20 | #16 | -0.5% |
| SG | #16 | #6 | #18 | #14 | -0.6% |
Team Comparison
Recent Trends
- Deandre Ayton (C) is on a notable streak, exceeding 30 points in 2 consecutive games.
- Zion Williamson (PF) is on a notable streak, exceeding 30 points in 2 consecutive games.
- Duop Reath (C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 58.1% to 10.6, 25.2 min average previous 3 games.
- Shaedon Sharpe (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 30.0% to 27.8, 21.4 min average previous 3 games.
- Jabari Walker (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 31.5% to 26.1, 19.8 min average previous 3 games.
- Zion Williamson (PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 30.0% to 35.6, 27.3 min average previous 3 games.
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