Kings vs Celtics Game Breakdown

Get ready for a royal rumble at TD Garden tonight as the Sacramento Kings march into Boston, aiming to dethrone the Celtics in a first-round NBA playoff clash that promises more fireworks than the Fourth of July! With the Kings trying to claw their way up the Western standings and the Celtics holding court at the top of the East, tonight’s 08:30 PM showdown is set against a backdrop of high stakes and even higher expectations. Both squads are hot off convincing wins, setting the stage for a battle that could redefine the momentum of this postseason. So, as the over/under hovers at a lofty 229, fans are buckled up for a game that’s expected to be anything but medieval!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: January 10, 2025 08:30PM EST

Location: TD Garden, Boston

Vegas Odds

	SAC ML	BOS ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+360	-500	230.0	10.0/-10.0
Recent	+360	-500	229.0	10.5/-10.5
Difference	0	0	-1.0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

5W-5L

AWAY

27W-24L

21.7% Win Probability

LAST 10

7W-3L

HOME

48W-10L

78.3% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	O/U
04/05/24	Sacramento Kings SAC	15	35	22	28	100	Under
04/05/24	Boston Celtics BOS	27	27	30	17	101	Under
12/20/23	Boston Celtics BOS	38	36	39	31	144	Over
12/20/23	Sacramento Kings SAC	41	25	24	29	119	Over
03/21/23	Boston Celtics BOS	30	30	40	32	132	Over
03/21/23	Sacramento Kings SAC	32	22	31	24	109	Over
11/25/22	Sacramento Kings SAC	22	40	22	20	104	Under
11/25/22	Boston Celtics BOS	36	28	30	28	122	Under
03/18/22	Boston Celtics BOS	32	35	25	34	126	Under
03/18/22	Sacramento Kings SAC	26	22	31	18	97	Under
01/25/22	Sacramento Kings SAC	13	17	25	20	75	Under
01/25/22	Boston Celtics BOS	38	25	34	31	128	Under

Kings Vs Over/Under

Celtics Vs Over/Under

Kings Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
01/06	@ MIA	123-118W	60	30	15	108
01/03	@ MEM	138-133W	37	32	9	99
01/01	@ PHI	113-107W	45	24	17	84
12/30	@ DAL	110-100W	58	25	15	100
12/28	vs LAL	122-132L	39	38	9	98
12/26	@ DET	113-114L	44	20	14	82
12/22	@ IND	95-122L	47	21	10	96
12/21	@ LAL	99-103L	46	25	13	90
12/19	@ LAL	100-113L	43	27	15	82
12/12	vs NOP	111-109W	50	24	11	92

Celtics Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
01/07	vs DEN	118-106W	41	30	11	88
01/03	vs HOU	109-86W	41	20	14	77
01/02	vs MIN	118-115W	31	30	3	92
12/31	@ TOR	125-71W	49	29	13	87
12/29	@ IND	114-123L	41	26	8	93
12/27	@ IND	142-105W	52	31	10	92
12/25	@ PHI	114-118L	51	24	13	95
12/21	vs CHI	123-98W	59	27	12	100
12/19	@ CHI	108-117L	45	21	4	97
12/15	vs WAS	112-98W	56	26	18	93

Starting Lineups

Sacramento Kings	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
DeMar DeRozan SF	31.0	36.0	35.3	100%	35.7
De’Aaron Fox PG	41.0	48.9	45.3	100%	45.8
Malik Monk SG	37.0	38.3	27.8	50%	33.2
Keegan Murray PF	23.0	22.6	26.1	100%	26.5
Domantas Sabonis C	51.0	49.6	48.1	100%	48.5

Boston Celtics	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Jaylen Brown SF	39.0	43.0	40.8	100%	41.1
Jrue Holiday SG	25.0	30.1	26.9	100%	27.3
Kristaps Porzingis C	36.0	34.1	36.1	100%	36.5
Jayson Tatum PF	48.0	48.0	51.8	100%	52.2
Derrick White PG	32.0	32.6	34.1	100%	34.4

Kings Notable Injuries

Jordan McLaughlin (PG): Avg: 3.0pts, 1.2reb, 1.6ast, 10.0 minutes. Last game: 12/30/24. Impact: 0.8
Doug McDermott (SF/PF): Avg: 4.5pts, 0.8reb, 0.8ast, 11.9 minutes. Last game: 01/06/25. Impact: 0.7
Isaac Jones (PF/C): Avg: 3.5pts, 1.3reb, 0.2ast, 7.7 minutes. Last game: 12/30/24. Impact: 1.1
Colby Jones (SG/SF): Avg: 1.6pts, 1.1reb, 0.5ast, 5.8 minutes. Last game: 12/30/24. Impact: 0.5
Isaiah Crawford (PF): Avg: 0.0pts, 0.5reb, 0.0ast, 3.3 minutes. Last game: 12/30/24. Impact: 0.1

Celtics Notable Injuries

Xavier Tillman (PF/C): Avg: 3.8pts, 3.2reb, 1.1ast, 14.9 minutes. Last game: 01/03/25. Impact: 0.6
Drew Peterson (PF): Avg: 3.6pts, 1.9reb, 0.7ast, 10.1 minutes. Last game: 01/03/25. Impact: 1.4
Jaden Springer (SG/SF): Avg: 2.8pts, 1.4reb, 0.8ast, 8.6 minutes. Last game: 01/07/25. Impact: 0.5
Jordan Walsh (SG/SF): Avg: 1.7pts, 1.4reb, 0.4ast, 7.9 minutes. Last game: 01/03/25. Impact: 1.0

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Kristaps Porzingis	BOS	Pts	17.5	18.6	+1.1	60%	70%	60%	60%	SAC	+0.5	#23
Trey Lyles	SAC	Pts	7.5	8.6	+1.1	60%	50%	53%	53%	BOS	-0.0	#19
Jrue Holiday	BOS	Reb	3.5	4.2	+0.7	40%	50%	60%	60%	SAC	-0.2	#13
Domantas Sabonis	SAC	Reb	13.5	13.6	+0.1	60%	60%	53%	53%	BOS	-1.4	#3

View All Player Prop Projections

Kings Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#12	#21	#10	#15	-0.1%
PF	#23	#2	#14	#13	-2.7%
PG	#3	#13	#18	#5	-7.2%
SF	#10	#12	#10	#12	-3.7%
SG	#29	#13	#14	#22	4.2%

Celtics Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#20	#15	#2	#6	-8.9%
PF	#19	#3	#16	#5	-6.0%
PG	#4	#22	#16	#6	-7.0%
SF	#8	#26	#2	#8	-6.0%
SG	#7	#18	#9	#6	-6.3%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

114.3

119.5

Rebounds per Game

44.3

45.7

Assists per Game

26.7

27.2

Steals per Game

7.8

7.5

Blocks per Game

4.8

6.0

Shots per Game

90.4

91.0

3-Pointers Made per Game

12.8

18.9

2-Pt Percentage per Game

54.3

58.3

3-Pt Percentage per Game

35.7

37.8

Turnovers per Game

13.1

11.0

Fouls per Game

20.2

16.0

Recent Trends

Domantas Sabonis (C) is coming off a triple-double where he put up 21.0 pts, 18.0 reb, 11.0 ast against MIA
Keon Ellis (SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 155.5% to 40.1, 15.7 min average previous 3 games.
Neemias Queta (C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 48.0% to 16.3, 11.0 min average previous 3 games.
Domantas Sabonis (C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 38.2% to 41.8, 30.2 min average previous 3 games.