Kings vs Celtics Game Breakdown & Projections – Fri, Apr 5th 2024

Alright, hoop heads, get ready to rumble! The Sacramento Kings, with a respectable 44-32 record, are saddling up and heading east to invade the TD Garden, home of the mighty Boston Celtics who are sitting pretty at an impressive 60-16. The action tips off at 07:30 PM EST, and you can bet your bottom dollar it’s gonna be a barn burner. The Kings are hot on the heels in the Western conference, trailing by 4 games, while the Celtics are ruling the roost with zero setbacks in the East. The stakes are high with the over/under set at a tantalizing 225.5, the Kings line at 9.5, and the Celtics at -9.5. The Celtics are still buzzing from their recent 135-100 demolition of OKL, while the Kings are licking their wounds after a 109-120 tumble against the NYK. So, will the Kings reign supreme or will the Celtics continue their courtly conquest? Either way, tonight it’s not just about the throne, it’s about the court too!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: April 05, 2024 07:30PM EST

Location: TD Garden, Boston

Vegas Odds

	SAC ML	BOS ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+300	-400	226.0	9.5/-9.5
Recent	+345	-470	225.5	9.5/-9.5
Difference	+45	-70	-0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

6W-4L

AWAY

21W-16L

22.5% Win Probability

LAST 10

8W-2L

HOME

32W-3L

77.5% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	O/U
12/20/23	Boston Celtics BOS	38	36	39	31	144	Over
12/20/23	Sacramento Kings SAC	41	25	24	29	119	Over
03/21/23	Boston Celtics BOS	30	30	40	32	132	Over
03/21/23	Sacramento Kings SAC	32	22	31	24	109	Over
11/25/22	Sacramento Kings SAC	22	40	22	20	104	Over
11/25/22	Boston Celtics BOS	36	28	30	28	122	Over
03/18/22	Boston Celtics BOS	32	35	25	34	126	Under
03/18/22	Sacramento Kings SAC	26	22	31	18	97	Under
01/25/22	Sacramento Kings SAC	13	17	25	20	75	Under
01/25/22	Boston Celtics BOS	38	25	34	31	128	Under

Kings Vs Over/Under

Celtics Vs Over/Under

Kings Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
04/04	vs NYK	109-120L	35	26	16	86
04/02	@ LAC	109-95W	56	29	10	92
03/31	@ UTA	127-106W	44	34	15	84
03/29	@ DAL	103-107L	45	24	10	92
03/26	@ DAL	96-132L	42	27	13	90
03/25	@ PHI	108-96W	40	25	7	86
03/23	vs ORL	109-110L	42	26	7	88
03/21	vs WAS	102-109L	37	21	15	87
03/20	vs TOR	123-89W	53	32	15	93
03/18	@ MEM	121-111W	59	30	17	94

Celtics Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
04/03	@ OKL	135-100W	46	33	10	92
04/01	vs CHA	118-104W	51	28	10	89
03/30	vs NOP	104-92W	51	27	12	82
03/28	vs ATL	122-123L	43	28	12	94
03/25	vs ATL	118-120L	38	21	7	95
03/23	vs CHI	124-113W	41	28	12	86
03/22	vs DET	129-102W	35	31	7	89
03/20	@ MIL	122-119W	37	25	9	85
03/18	@ DET	119-94W	53	30	9	95
03/17	vs WAS	130-104W	43	30	14	87

Starting Lineups

Sacramento Kings	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Harrison Barnes SF	22.0	19.3	19.4	100%	19.7
Keon Ellis SG	25.1	22.5	13.2	40%	22.0
De’Aaron Fox PG	47.0	46.2	45.6	100%	44.8
Keegan Murray PF	29.9	29.2	26.9	100%	27.3
Domantas Sabonis C	56.8	46.0	52.0	100%	52.4

Boston Celtics	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Jaylen Brown SF	37.6	38.9	39.0	100%	39.5
Jrue Holiday PG	29.9	26.2	28.9	100%	29.4
Kristaps Porzingis C	38.3	43.5	37.3	100%	37.6
Jayson Tatum PF	49.3	49.2	49.2	100%	49.5
Derrick White SG	34.5	32.5	33.9	100%	34.3

Kings Notable Injuries

Malik Monk (PG): Avg: 15.5pts, 2.9reb, 5.1ast, 26.0 minutes. Last game: 03/29/24. Impact: 4.1
JaVale McGee (C): Avg: 3.9pts, 2.7reb, 0.3ast, 8.5 minutes. Last game: 04/04/24. Impact: 0.9
Colby Jones (SG/SF): Avg: 1.9pts, 1.2reb, 0.6ast, 6.0 minutes. Last game: 04/04/24. Impact: 0.6
Mason Jones (SG): Avg: 1.4pts, 1.0reb, 1.0ast, 4.4 minutes. Last game: 04/02/24. Impact: 1.2
Kessler Edwards (SG/SF): Avg: 1.7pts, 0.8reb, 0.3ast, 5.0 minutes. Last game: 04/04/24. Impact: 0.8
Jalen Slawson (SF/PF): Avg: 0.6pts, 0.7reb, 0.2ast, 3.3 minutes. Last game: 04/02/24. Impact: 0.3

Celtics Notable Injuries

Neemias Queta (C): Avg: 4.2pts, 3.8reb, 0.4ast, 10.9 minutes. Last game: 03/22/24. Impact: 1.9
Jaden Springer (SG/SF): Avg: 3.2pts, 1.5reb, 0.9ast, 10.0 minutes. Last game: 03/25/24. Impact: 0.7
Svi Mykhailiuk (SG/SF): Avg: 3.0pts, 1.0reb, 0.7ast, 8.5 minutes. Last game: 04/03/24. Impact: 1.2
Jordan Walsh (SF): Avg: 1.0pts, 2.2reb, 0.7ast, 6.7 minutes. Last game: 03/22/24. Impact: 0.9
JD Davison (PG): Avg: 1.6pts, 0.4reb, 0.2ast, 1.8 minutes. Last game: 03/22/24. Impact: 0.8

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Keon Ellis	SAC	Pts	6.5	9.3	+2.8	60%	40%	47%	47%	BOS	-1.2	#7
Domantas Sabonis	SAC	Pts	18.5	21.2	+2.7	20%	30%	47%	47%	BOS	+0.6	#17
De’Aaron Fox	SAC	Reb	4.5	4.6	+0.1	80%	80%	80%	80%	BOS	-0.3	#10