Kings vs Mavericks Game Breakdown

Get ready to rumble at the American Airlines Center tonight as the Sacramento Kings clash with the Dallas Mavericks in a first-round playoff game that promises more fireworks than the Fourth of July! With both teams sitting neck-and-neck in the Western Conference, the Kings looking to extend their royal reign after toppling the Pelicans, and the Mavericks riding high on their recent victory over Houston, this matchup is set to be a high-octane showdown. The stakes are sky-high, the crowd is pumped, and with a razor-thin betting line and a scoreboard that’s expected to light up faster than a Texan BBQ, everyone’s wondering if tonight’s game will tip the scales. So, buckle up, because with the Kings and Mavericks locking horns, we’re in for a regal rodeo that’s sure to keep everyone on the edge of their thrones!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: February 10, 2025 09:30PM EST

Location: American Airlines Center, Dallas

Vegas Odds

	SAC ML	DAL ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-110	-110	237.0	1.0/-1.0
Recent	-105	-115	236.5	1.0/-1.0
Difference	+5	-5	-0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

5W-5L

AWAY

31W-29L

51.2% Win Probability

LAST 10

5W-5L

HOME

37W-25L

48.8% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final	O/U
12/30/24	Dallas Mavericks DAL	37	23	17	23	00	100	Under
12/30/24	Sacramento Kings SAC	23	33	27	27	00	110	Under
03/29/24	Dallas Mavericks DAL	26	25	22	34	00	107	Under
03/29/24	Sacramento Kings SAC	34	26	22	21	00	103	Under
03/26/24	Dallas Mavericks DAL	31	27	38	36	00	132	Under
03/26/24	Sacramento Kings SAC	28	25	23	20	00	96	Under
01/27/24	Sacramento Kings SAC	29	34	31	26	00	120	Under
01/27/24	Dallas Mavericks DAL	25	24	26	40	00	115	Under
11/19/23	Sacramento Kings SAC	35	35	37	22	00	129	Over
11/19/23	Dallas Mavericks DAL	36	29	31	17	00	113	Over
04/05/23	Sacramento Kings SAC	27	44	21	27	00	119	Over
04/05/23	Dallas Mavericks DAL	28	32	32	31	00	123	Over
02/11/23	Dallas Mavericks DAL	32	32	24	26	140	128	Over
02/11/23	Sacramento Kings SAC	34	28	24	28	190	133	Over
02/10/23	Dallas Mavericks DAL	45	29	27	21	00	122	Under
02/10/23	Sacramento Kings SAC	25	31	31	27	00	114	Under
03/05/22	Sacramento Kings SAC	36	29	27	21	00	113	Under
03/05/22	Dallas Mavericks DAL	26	25	34	29	00	114	Under
12/31/21	Dallas Mavericks DAL	34	28	32	18	00	112	Under
12/31/21	Sacramento Kings SAC	39	17	20	20	00	96	Under
12/29/21	Dallas Mavericks DAL	30	13	26	25	00	94	Under
12/29/21	Sacramento Kings SAC	20	35	17	23	00	95	Under
10/31/21	Sacramento Kings SAC	22	25	25	27	00	99	Under
10/31/21	Dallas Mavericks DAL	31	22	29	23	00	105	Under

Kings Vs Over/Under

Mavericks Vs Over/Under

Kings Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
02/08	@ NOP	123-118W	51	24	18	91
02/06	vs POR	102-108L	47	21	10	88
02/05	@ ORL	111-130L	37	23	17	80
02/03	vs MIN	116-114W	47	23	10	92
02/01	vs OKL	110-144L	37	25	7	100
01/29	vs PHI	104-117L	46	34	12	90
01/27	vs BRO	110-96W	44	31	17	82
01/23	vs DEN	123-132L	53	31	13	107
01/22	@ GSW	123-117W	38	24	8	81
01/19	@ WAS	123-100W	51	28	11	95

Mavericks Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
02/08	@ HOU	116-105W	43	22	5	83
02/06	vs BOS	127-120W	35	32	8	88
02/04	vs PHI	116-118L	44	24	12	85
02/02	vs CLE	101-144L	45	22	9	103
01/31	vs DET	102-117L	46	20	16	87
01/29	vs NOP	137-136W	51	30	18	96
01/27	@ WAS	130-108W	51	39	11	92
01/23	vs OKL	121-115W	43	25	20	74
01/22	@ MIN	114-115L	38	24	13	90
01/20	vs CHA	105-110L	51	19	14	88

Starting Lineups

Sacramento Kings	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
DeMar DeRozan SF	36.0	33.2	34.0	100%	34.5
Zach LaVine SG	39.0	32.2	39.3	100%	39.7
Malik Monk PG	37.0	35.5	35.5	93%	35.7
Keegan Murray PF	24.0	26.9	25.6	100%	26.0
Domantas Sabonis C	45.0	38.9	48.9	100%	49.3

Dallas Mavericks	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Dante Exum SG	17.0	17.8	9.6	17%	20.1
Daniel Gafford C	39.0	36.4	27.1	50%	36.5
Kyrie Irving PG	45.0	42.6	40.8	100%	41.1
Klay Thompson SF	23.0	23.9	24.8	100%	25.1
PJ Washington PF	40.0	44.0	33.3	100%	33.8

Kings Notable Injuries

Doug McDermott (SF): Avg: 4.4pts, 0.8reb, 0.8ast, 11.7 minutes. Last game: 02/03/25. Impact: 0.6
Isaac Jones (PF/C): Avg: 3.5pts, 1.4reb, 0.3ast, 8.3 minutes. Last game: 02/05/25. Impact: 1.1
Mason Jones (SG): Avg: 2.1pts, 1.3reb, 1.4ast, 5.0 minutes. Last game: 02/05/25. Impact: 1.2
Isaiah Crawford (PF): Avg: 0.8pts, 1.0reb, 0.0ast, 3.5 minutes. Last game: 02/05/25. Impact: 0.4

Mavericks Notable Injuries

Anthony Davis (PF/C): Avg: 25.1pts, 12.6reb, 3.4ast, 35.2 minutes. Last game: 02/08/25. Impact: 8.3
Kylor Kelley (C): Avg: 4.5pts, 4.5reb, 0.2ast, 13.6 minutes. Last game: 02/04/25. Impact: 2.0
Brandon Williams (PG): Avg: 2.5pts, 0.7reb, 1.0ast, 6.3 minutes. Last game: 02/02/25. Impact: 1.2

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Daniel Gafford	DAL	Pts	14.5	15.8	+1.3	40%	40%	33%	33%	SAC	+1.2	#23
Max Christie	DAL	Pts	12.5	13.6	+1.1	100%	50%	40%	40%	SAC	+1.9	#25
Naji Marshall	DAL	Reb	3.5	4.6	+1.1	60%	50%	53%	53%	SAC	-0.6	#4
DeMar DeRozan	SAC	Ast	3.5	4.4	+0.9	60%	30%	47%	47%	DAL	-0.4	#6
PJ Washington	DAL	Ast	2.5	2.7	+0.2	60%	50%	40%	40%	SAC	+0.5	#27

View All Player Prop Projections

Kings Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#16	#17	#18	#23	3.7%
PF	#23	#15	#24	#22	4.0%
PG	#10	#26	#18	#12	-1.8%
SF	#11	#4	#27	#15	-0.6%
SG	#25	#23	#2	#21	2.0%

Mavericks Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#21	#25	#19	#24	4.8%
PF	#19	#4	#25	#17	-0.1%
PG	#29	#17	#17	#29	7.6%
SF	#8	#3	#24	#10	-4.6%
SG	#15	#21	#6	#12	-1.2%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

114.8

112.3

Rebounds per Game

46.6

43.5

Assists per Game

26.9

25.0

Steals per Game

7.5

Blocks per Game

4.5

6.7

Shots per Game

92.8

87.2

3-Pointers Made per Game

12.2

12.9

2-Pt Percentage per Game

53.6

53.7

3-Pt Percentage per Game

33.6

36.7

Turnovers per Game

12.0

13.4

Fouls per Game

18.6

17.7

Recent Trends

Dante Exum (SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 53.7% to 20.2, 13.1 min average previous 3 games.
Naji Marshall (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 34.0% to 26.4, 19.7 min average previous 3 games.