Kings vs Nuggets Game Breakdown

Get ready to rumble at Ball Arena as the Sacramento Kings and Denver Nuggets gear up to break the first-round playoff snoozefest with a showdown that promises to keep us all on the edge of our seats! Tonight, under the bright lights of a 10:00PM EST tip-off, these two Western conference contenders will battle it out, with the Nuggets looking to cement their lead and the Kings eager to close the gap. With a hefty over/under and both teams coming off exhilarating wins, the stakes are sky-high. So, as the Kings try to conquer the court and the Nuggets aim to strike gold, tonight’s game is set to be nothing less than royal rumble meets gold rush!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: January 23, 2025 10:00PM EST

Location: Ball Arena, Denver

Vegas Odds

	SAC ML	DEN ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+270	-340	239.5	7.5/-7.5
Recent	+145	-190	241.5	8.5/-8.5
Difference	-125	+150	+2.0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

9W-1L

AWAY

29W-25L

40.8% Win Probability

LAST 10

8W-2L

HOME

43W-16L

59.2% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	O/U
12/16/24	Denver Nuggets DEN	41	34	21	34	130	Over
12/16/24	Sacramento Kings SAC	21	47	35	26	129	Over
02/28/24	Sacramento Kings SAC	35	20	17	24	96	Under
02/28/24	Denver Nuggets DEN	28	37	35	17	117	Under
02/14/24	Sacramento Kings SAC	16	25	30	31	102	Under
02/14/24	Denver Nuggets DEN	27	26	21	24	98	Under
02/09/24	Denver Nuggets DEN	35	22	29	20	106	Under
02/09/24	Sacramento Kings SAC	32	35	39	29	135	Under
12/02/23	Denver Nuggets DEN	30	20	28	39	117	Under
12/02/23	Sacramento Kings SAC	25	39	24	35	123	Under
04/09/23	Sacramento Kings SAC	43	24	14	14	95	Under
04/09/23	Denver Nuggets DEN	26	33	24	26	109	Under
12/28/22	Denver Nuggets DEN	40	35	30	21	126	Over
12/28/22	Sacramento Kings SAC	24	38	32	33	127	Over
12/27/22	Denver Nuggets DEN	20	27	32	34	113	Under
12/27/22	Sacramento Kings SAC	32	24	27	23	106	Under
03/09/22	Denver Nuggets DEN	32	31	17	26	106	Under
03/09/22	Sacramento Kings SAC	29	22	26	23	100	Under
02/26/22	Sacramento Kings SAC	30	29	26	25	110	Under
02/26/22	Denver Nuggets DEN	38	21	26	30	115	Under
02/24/22	Denver Nuggets DEN	35	28	29	36	128	Under
02/24/22	Sacramento Kings SAC	25	33	29	23	110	Under
01/07/22	Sacramento Kings SAC	23	31	31	26	111	Under
01/07/22	Denver Nuggets DEN	35	31	30	25	121	Under

Kings Vs Over/Under

Nuggets Vs Over/Under

Kings Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
01/22	@ GSW	123-117W	38	24	8	81
01/19	@ WAS	123-100W	51	28	11	95
01/16	@ HOU	132-127W	44	32	12	98
01/14	vs MIL	115-130L	45	25	9	95
01/12	vs CHI	124-119W	53	33	8	95
01/10	vs BOS	114-97W	56	26	9	102
01/06	@ MIA	123-118W	60	30	15	108
01/03	@ MEM	138-133W	37	32	9	99
01/01	@ PHI	113-107W	45	24	17	84
12/30	@ DAL	110-100W	58	25	15	100

Nuggets Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
01/21	@ PHI	144-109W	51	39	13	85
01/19	vs ORL	113-100W	57	24	20	77
01/17	vs MIA	133-113W	41	35	5	92
01/15	@ HOU	108-128L	36	22	18	75
01/14	vs DAL	118-99W	51	28	18	83
01/12	vs DAL	112-101W	55	23	13	94
01/10	@ BRO	124-105W	49	34	14	87
01/08	@ LAC	126-103W	45	29	11	89
01/07	@ BOS	106-118L	39	22	16	87
01/04	vs SAS	122-111W	58	32	7	108

Starting Lineups

Sacramento Kings	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
DeMar DeRozan SF	37.0	40.9	34.9	100%	35.4
De’Aaron Fox PG	43.0	41.1	45.3	100%	45.8
Malik Monk SG	39.0	43.0	32.0	67%	35.7
Keegan Murray PF	24.0	25.8	25.1	100%	25.6
Domantas Sabonis C	47.0	51.0	49.1	100%	49.5

Denver Nuggets	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Christian Braun SF	21.0	24.9	24.3	100%	24.6
Nikola Jokic C	61.0	58.1	66.9	100%	67.3
Jamal Murray SG	36.0	41.9	38.2	100%	38.6
Michael Porter Jr. PF	25.0	25.2	31.5	100%	31.8
Russell Westbrook PG	31.0	26.6	33.5	57%	36.3

Kings Notable Injuries

Jae Crowder (PF/C): Avg: 5.6pts, 3.0reb, 1.2ast, 21.3 minutes. Last game: 01/14/25. Impact: 1.3
Jordan McLaughlin (PG): Avg: 3.0pts, 1.2reb, 1.6ast, 9.8 minutes. Last game: 01/19/25. Impact: 0.7
Doug McDermott (SF/PF): Avg: 4.4pts, 0.8reb, 0.8ast, 11.8 minutes. Last game: 01/19/25. Impact: 0.6
Isaac Jones (PF/C): Avg: 3.3pts, 1.2reb, 0.2ast, 7.4 minutes. Last game: 01/14/25. Impact: 0.9
Colby Jones (SG/SF): Avg: 1.6pts, 1.1reb, 0.5ast, 5.8 minutes. Last game: 01/14/25. Impact: 0.5
Isaiah Crawford (PF): Avg: 0.7pts, 1.0reb, 0.0ast, 3.1 minutes. Last game: 01/19/25. Impact: 0.4

Nuggets Notable Injuries

Dario Saric (C): Avg: 7.1pts, 4.2reb, 2.2ast, 16.7 minutes. Last game: 01/15/25. Impact: 2.2
Zeke Nnaji (C): Avg: 2.6pts, 1.6reb, 0.4ast, 8.0 minutes. Last game: 01/21/25. Impact: 0.3
Jalen Pickett (PG/SG): Avg: 1.9pts, 0.6reb, 0.9ast, 5.2 minutes. Last game: 01/21/25. Impact: 0.9
PJ Hall (C): Avg: 1.3pts, 0.9reb, 0.3ast, 2.6 minutes. Last game: 01/21/25. Impact: 0.6
Trey Alexander (PG/SG): Avg: 0.9pts, 0.4reb, 0.5ast, 4.8 minutes. Last game: 01/15/25. Impact: 0.5

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Malik Monk	SAC	Pts	18.5	19.9	+1.4	80%	80%	53%	53%	DEN	+4.7	#30
Keon Ellis	SAC	Pts	5.5	6.2	+0.7	100%	100%	73%	73%	DEN	+4.7	#30
Christian Braun	DEN	Reb	3.5	4.3	+0.8	60%	60%	53%	53%	SAC	+0.3	#23
DeMar DeRozan	SAC	Reb	3.5	3.9	+0.4	80%	70%	67%	67%	DEN	-0.6	#3

View All Player Prop Projections

Kings Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#23	#4	#15	#17	1.7%
PF	#18	#11	#12	#10	-2.0%
PG	#4	#20	#9	#1	-9.4%
SF	#9	#16	#22	#16	0.1%
SG	#27	#23	#10	#23	4.6%

Nuggets Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#22	#22	#30	#28	9.0%
PF	#6	#1	#14	#4	-8.4%
PG	#5	#6	#29	#19	1.2%
SF	#8	#3	#24	#10	-2.7%
SG	#30	#3	#21	#28	9.1%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

117.0

122.4

Rebounds per Game

45.4

Assists per Game

27.7

31.1

Steals per Game

7.9

8.2

Blocks per Game

4.7

4.8

Shots per Game

92.5

89.0

3-Pointers Made per Game

12.9

11.4

2-Pt Percentage per Game

53.9

58.6

3-Pt Percentage per Game

35.7

38.3

Turnovers per Game

11.9

13.8

Fouls per Game

19.6

17.2

Recent Trends

Nikola Jokic (C) is coming off a triple-double where he put up 27.0 pts, 13.0 reb, 10.0 ast against PHI
Keon Ellis (SG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 31.5% to 16.7, 24.4 min average previous 3 games.
Peyton Watson (PF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 42.2% to 15.9, 27.6 min average previous 3 games.