Kings vs Nuggets Game Breakdown
Kings
23W-20L
January 23, 2025
10:00PM EST
Odds: 241.5 o/u
Nuggets
27W-16L
Get ready to rumble at Ball Arena as the Sacramento Kings and Denver Nuggets gear up to break the first-round playoff snoozefest with a showdown that promises to keep us all on the edge of our seats! Tonight, under the bright lights of a 10:00PM EST tip-off, these two Western conference contenders will battle it out, with the Nuggets looking to cement their lead and the Kings eager to close the gap. With a hefty over/under and both teams coming off exhilarating wins, the stakes are sky-high. So, as the Kings try to conquer the court and the Nuggets aim to strike gold, tonight’s game is set to be nothing less than royal rumble meets gold rush!
Game Breakdown
Game Time: January 23, 2025 10:00PM EST
Location: Ball Arena, Denver
Vegas Odds
SAC ML | DEN ML | Over/Under | Line | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Open | +270 | -340 | 239.5 | 7.5/-7.5 |
Recent | +145 | -190 | 241.5 | 8.5/-8.5 |
Difference | -125 | +150 | +2.0 | – |
Team Performance
40.8% Win Probability
59.2% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
Date | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final | O/U | ATS | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12/16/24 | Denver Nuggets DEN | 41 | 34 | 21 | 34 | 00 | 130 | Over | |
Sacramento Kings SAC | 21 | 47 | 35 | 26 | 00 | 129 | |||
02/28/24 | Sacramento Kings SAC | 35 | 20 | 17 | 24 | 00 | 96 | Under | |
Denver Nuggets DEN | 28 | 37 | 35 | 17 | 00 | 117 | |||
02/14/24 | Sacramento Kings SAC | 16 | 25 | 30 | 31 | 00 | 102 | Under | |
Denver Nuggets DEN | 27 | 26 | 21 | 24 | 00 | 98 | |||
02/09/24 | Denver Nuggets DEN | 35 | 22 | 29 | 20 | 00 | 106 | Under | |
Sacramento Kings SAC | 32 | 35 | 39 | 29 | 00 | 135 | |||
12/02/23 | Denver Nuggets DEN | 30 | 20 | 28 | 39 | 00 | 117 | Under | |
Sacramento Kings SAC | 25 | 39 | 24 | 35 | 00 | 123 | |||
04/09/23 | Sacramento Kings SAC | 43 | 24 | 14 | 14 | 00 | 95 | Under | |
Denver Nuggets DEN | 26 | 33 | 24 | 26 | 00 | 109 | |||
12/28/22 | Denver Nuggets DEN | 40 | 35 | 30 | 21 | 00 | 126 | Over | |
Sacramento Kings SAC | 24 | 38 | 32 | 33 | 00 | 127 | |||
12/27/22 | Denver Nuggets DEN | 20 | 27 | 32 | 34 | 00 | 113 | Under | |
Sacramento Kings SAC | 32 | 24 | 27 | 23 | 00 | 106 | |||
03/09/22 | Denver Nuggets DEN | 32 | 31 | 17 | 26 | 00 | 106 | Under | |
Sacramento Kings SAC | 29 | 22 | 26 | 23 | 00 | 100 | |||
02/26/22 | Sacramento Kings SAC | 30 | 29 | 26 | 25 | 00 | 110 | Under | |
Denver Nuggets DEN | 38 | 21 | 26 | 30 | 00 | 115 | |||
02/24/22 | Denver Nuggets DEN | 35 | 28 | 29 | 36 | 00 | 128 | Under | |
Sacramento Kings SAC | 25 | 33 | 29 | 23 | 00 | 110 | |||
01/07/22 | Sacramento Kings SAC | 23 | 31 | 31 | 26 | 00 | 111 | Under | |
Denver Nuggets DEN | 35 | 31 | 30 | 25 | 00 | 121 |
Kings Vs Over/Under
Nuggets Vs Over/Under
Kings Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
01/22 | @ GSW | 123-117W | 38 | 24 | 8 | 81 |
01/19 | @ WAS | 123-100W | 51 | 28 | 11 | 95 |
01/16 | @ HOU | 132-127W | 44 | 32 | 12 | 98 |
01/14 | vs MIL | 115-130L | 45 | 25 | 9 | 95 |
01/12 | vs CHI | 124-119W | 53 | 33 | 8 | 95 |
01/10 | vs BOS | 114-97W | 56 | 26 | 9 | 102 |
01/06 | @ MIA | 123-118W | 60 | 30 | 15 | 108 |
01/03 | @ MEM | 138-133W | 37 | 32 | 9 | 99 |
01/01 | @ PHI | 113-107W | 45 | 24 | 17 | 84 |
12/30 | @ DAL | 110-100W | 58 | 25 | 15 | 100 |
Nuggets Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
01/21 | @ PHI | 144-109W | 51 | 39 | 13 | 85 |
01/19 | vs ORL | 113-100W | 57 | 24 | 20 | 77 |
01/17 | vs MIA | 133-113W | 41 | 35 | 5 | 92 |
01/15 | @ HOU | 108-128L | 36 | 22 | 18 | 75 |
01/14 | vs DAL | 118-99W | 51 | 28 | 18 | 83 |
01/12 | vs DAL | 112-101W | 55 | 23 | 13 | 94 |
01/10 | @ BRO | 124-105W | 49 | 34 | 14 | 87 |
01/08 | @ LAC | 126-103W | 45 | 29 | 11 | 89 |
01/07 | @ BOS | 106-118L | 39 | 22 | 16 | 87 |
01/04 | vs SAS | 122-111W | 58 | 32 | 7 | 108 |
Starting Lineups
Sacramento Kings | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
37.0 | 40.9 | 34.9 | 100% | 35.4 | |
De’Aaron Fox
PG
|
43.0 | 41.1 | 45.3 | 100% | 45.8 |
Malik Monk
SG
|
39.0 | 43.0 | 32.0 | 67% | 35.7 |
24.0 | 25.8 | 25.1 | 100% | 25.6 | |
47.0 | 51.0 | 49.1 | 100% | 49.5 |
Denver Nuggets | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21.0 | 24.9 | 24.3 | 100% | 24.6 | |
61.0 | 58.1 | 66.9 | 100% | 67.3 | |
Jamal Murray
SG
|
36.0 | 41.9 | 38.2 | 100% | 38.6 |
25.0 | 25.2 | 31.5 | 100% | 31.8 | |
31.0 | 26.6 | 33.5 | 57% | 36.3 |
Kings Notable Injuries
- Jae Crowder (PF/C): Avg: 5.6pts, 3.0reb, 1.2ast, 21.3 minutes. Last game: 01/14/25. Impact: 1.3
- Jordan McLaughlin (PG): Avg: 3.0pts, 1.2reb, 1.6ast, 9.8 minutes. Last game: 01/19/25. Impact: 0.7
- Doug McDermott (SF/PF): Avg: 4.4pts, 0.8reb, 0.8ast, 11.8 minutes. Last game: 01/19/25. Impact: 0.6
- Isaac Jones (PF/C): Avg: 3.3pts, 1.2reb, 0.2ast, 7.4 minutes. Last game: 01/14/25. Impact: 0.9
- Colby Jones (SG/SF): Avg: 1.6pts, 1.1reb, 0.5ast, 5.8 minutes. Last game: 01/14/25. Impact: 0.5
- Isaiah Crawford (PF): Avg: 0.7pts, 1.0reb, 0.0ast, 3.1 minutes. Last game: 01/19/25. Impact: 0.4
Nuggets Notable Injuries
- Dario Saric (C): Avg: 7.1pts, 4.2reb, 2.2ast, 16.7 minutes. Last game: 01/15/25. Impact: 2.2
- Zeke Nnaji (C): Avg: 2.6pts, 1.6reb, 0.4ast, 8.0 minutes. Last game: 01/21/25. Impact: 0.3
- Jalen Pickett (PG/SG): Avg: 1.9pts, 0.6reb, 0.9ast, 5.2 minutes. Last game: 01/21/25. Impact: 0.9
- PJ Hall (C): Avg: 1.3pts, 0.9reb, 0.3ast, 2.6 minutes. Last game: 01/21/25. Impact: 0.6
- Trey Alexander (PG/SG): Avg: 0.9pts, 0.4reb, 0.5ast, 4.8 minutes. Last game: 01/15/25. Impact: 0.5
Top Player Props
This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.
Stat | Over % | Opposing Defense/Game | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Player | Team | Prop | Line | Proj | Diff | L5 | L10 | L15 | L30 | Opp | Stat | Rank |
Malik Monk | SAC | Pts | 18.5 | 19.9 | +1.4 | 80% | 80% | 53% | 53% | DEN | +4.7 | #30 |
Keon Ellis | SAC | Pts | 5.5 | 6.2 | +0.7 | 100% | 100% | 73% | 73% | DEN | +4.7 | #30 |
Christian Braun | DEN | Reb | 3.5 | 4.3 | +0.8 | 60% | 60% | 53% | 53% | SAC | +0.3 | #23 |
DeMar DeRozan | SAC | Reb | 3.5 | 3.9 | +0.4 | 80% | 70% | 67% | 67% | DEN | -0.6 | #3 |
Kings Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #23 | #4 | #15 | #17 | 1.7% |
PF | #18 | #11 | #12 | #10 | -2.0% |
PG | #4 | #20 | #9 | #1 | -9.4% |
SF | #9 | #16 | #22 | #16 | 0.1% |
SG | #27 | #23 | #10 | #23 | 4.6% |
Nuggets Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #22 | #22 | #30 | #28 | 9.0% |
PF | #6 | #1 | #14 | #4 | -8.4% |
PG | #5 | #6 | #29 | #19 | 1.2% |
SF | #8 | #3 | #24 | #10 | -2.7% |
SG | #30 | #3 | #21 | #28 | 9.1% |
Team Comparison
Recent Trends
- Nikola Jokic (C) is coming off a triple-double where he put up 27.0 pts, 13.0 reb, 10.0 ast against PHI
- Keon Ellis (SG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 31.5% to 16.7, 24.4 min average previous 3 games.
- Peyton Watson (PF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 42.2% to 15.9, 27.6 min average previous 3 games.
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