Kings vs Warriors Game Breakdown
Kings
16W-19L
January 05, 2025
09:30PM EST
Odds: 224.0 o/u
Warriors
18W-16L
Get ready to rumble at the Chase Center tonight as the Sacramento Kings, looking to climb the Western conference ladder, storm into Golden State’s stronghold to face the Warriors at 09:30 PM EST. Both teams are fresh off thrilling victories against Memphis, setting the stage for a showdown that promises to keep us on the edge of our seats. With the Kings trying to close a 4.5-game gap and the Warriors aiming to solidify their standing just 2 games back, the stakes couldn’t be higher. The betting lines are buzzing, the over/under is set at a whopping 224 points, and fans are gearing up for what looks to be a nail-biter of a playoff game. As the Kings and Warriors prepare to battle it out, one thing’s for certain: tonight, we’ll find out if it’s royalty or warrior spirit that reigns supreme on the court!
Game Breakdown
Game Time: January 05, 2025 09:30PM EST
Location: Chase Center, Golden State
Vegas Odds
| SAC ML | GSW ML | Over/Under | Line | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open | +130 | -150 | 224.0 | 3.5/-3.5 |
| Recent | +110 | -145 | 224.0 | 3.5/-3.5 |
| Difference | -20 | +5 | 0 | – |
Team Performance
47.6% Win Probability
52.4% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
| Date | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final | O/U | ATS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/25/24 | Sacramento Kings SAC | 40 | 35 | 29 | 30 | 00 | 134 | Over | |
| Golden State Warriors GSW | 32 | 40 | 29 | 32 | 00 | 133 | |||
| 11/28/23 | Golden State Warriors GSW | 37 | 35 | 32 | 19 | 00 | 123 | Over | |
| Sacramento Kings SAC | 29 | 26 | 40 | 29 | 00 | 124 | |||
| 11/01/23 | Sacramento Kings SAC | 31 | 24 | 24 | 22 | 00 | 101 | Under | |
| Golden State Warriors GSW | 28 | 28 | 18 | 28 | 00 | 102 | |||
| 10/27/23 | Golden State Warriors GSW | 24 | 36 | 39 | 23 | 00 | 122 | Over | |
| Sacramento Kings SAC | 29 | 28 | 27 | 30 | 00 | 114 | |||
| 04/07/23 | Golden State Warriors GSW | 32 | 21 | 33 | 33 | 00 | 119 | Under | |
| Sacramento Kings SAC | 16 | 32 | 25 | 24 | 00 | 97 | |||
| 11/13/22 | Golden State Warriors GSW | 39 | 23 | 29 | 24 | 00 | 115 | Over | |
| Sacramento Kings SAC | 26 | 38 | 34 | 24 | 00 | 122 | |||
| 11/07/22 | Sacramento Kings SAC | 31 | 36 | 21 | 25 | 00 | 113 | Over | |
| Golden State Warriors GSW | 29 | 26 | 24 | 37 | 00 | 116 | |||
| 10/23/22 | Sacramento Kings SAC | 36 | 35 | 23 | 31 | 00 | 125 | Over | |
| Golden State Warriors GSW | 39 | 50 | 24 | 17 | 00 | 130 | |||
| 04/03/22 | Golden State Warriors GSW | 28 | 34 | 19 | 28 | 00 | 109 | Under | |
| Sacramento Kings SAC | 14 | 28 | 25 | 23 | 00 | 90 | |||
| 02/03/22 | Sacramento Kings SAC | 23 | 31 | 29 | 31 | 00 | 114 | Over | |
| Golden State Warriors GSW | 34 | 39 | 21 | 32 | 00 | 126 | |||
| 12/20/21 | Sacramento Kings SAC | 16 | 30 | 33 | 19 | 00 | 98 | Under | |
| Golden State Warriors GSW | 26 | 32 | 26 | 29 | 00 | 113 | |||
| 10/24/21 | Golden State Warriors GSW | 29 | 31 | 30 | 29 | 00 | 119 | Over | |
| Sacramento Kings SAC | 31 | 31 | 26 | 19 | 00 | 107 |
Kings Vs Over/Under
Warriors Vs Over/Under
Kings Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/03 | @ MEM | 138-133W | 37 | 32 | 9 | 99 |
| 01/01 | @ PHI | 113-107W | 45 | 24 | 17 | 84 |
| 12/30 | @ DAL | 110-100W | 58 | 25 | 15 | 100 |
| 12/28 | vs LAL | 122-132L | 39 | 38 | 9 | 98 |
| 12/26 | @ DET | 113-114L | 44 | 20 | 14 | 82 |
| 12/22 | @ IND | 95-122L | 47 | 21 | 10 | 96 |
| 12/21 | @ LAL | 99-103L | 46 | 25 | 13 | 90 |
| 12/19 | @ LAL | 100-113L | 43 | 27 | 15 | 82 |
| 12/12 | vs NOP | 111-109W | 50 | 24 | 11 | 92 |
| 12/08 | @ UTA | 141-97W | 43 | 39 | 8 | 100 |
Warriors Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/04 | @ MEM | 121-113W | 29 | 32 | 18 | 84 |
| 01/02 | @ PHI | 139-105W | 43 | 41 | 11 | 87 |
| 12/30 | @ CLE | 95-113L | 55 | 20 | 14 | 99 |
| 12/28 | @ PHX | 109-105W | 49 | 26 | 11 | 98 |
| 12/27 | vs LAC | 92-102L | 47 | 24 | 14 | 95 |
| 12/25 | @ LAL | 113-115L | 44 | 26 | 12 | 89 |
| 12/21 | vs MIN | 113-103W | 45 | 30 | 10 | 87 |
| 12/19 | vs MEM | 93-144L | 36 | 20 | 17 | 90 |
| 12/15 | @ DAL | 133-143L | 37 | 39 | 10 | 103 |
| 12/11 | vs HOU | 90-91L | 39 | 22 | 15 | 84 |
Starting Lineups
| Sacramento Kings | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39.0 | 33.6 | 35.2 | 100% | 35.6 | |
|
Keon Ellis
SG
|
23.0 | 20.2 | 14.8 | 17% | 23.1 |
|
Malik Monk
PG
|
37.0 | 33.6 | 27.2 | 47% | 32.6 |
| 27.0 | 18.9 | 26.3 | 100% | 26.7 | |
| 53.0 | 46.6 | 47.2 | 100% | 47.6 |
| Golden State Warriors | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45.0 | 45.1 | 43.2 | 100% | 43.6 | |
| 33.0 | 32.0 | 27.6 | 93% | 27.3 | |
| 32.0 | 33.2 | 21.9 | 80% | 24.0 | |
| 28.0 | 24.9 | 31.2 | 100% | 31.6 | |
| 35.0 | 26.2 | 29.4 | 100% | 29.8 |
Kings Notable Injuries
- De’Aaron Fox (PG): Avg: 26.6pts, 4.7reb, 5.9ast, 36.3 minutes. Last game: 01/03/25. Impact: 7.7
- Orlando Robinson (C): Avg: 2.3pts, 2.0reb, 1.0ast, 7.4 minutes. Last game: 12/22/24. Impact: 0.8
- Isaac Jones (PF/C): Avg: 3.5pts, 1.3reb, 0.2ast, 7.7 minutes. Last game: 12/30/24. Impact: 1.1
- Colby Jones (SG/SF): Avg: 1.6pts, 1.1reb, 0.5ast, 5.8 minutes. Last game: 12/30/24. Impact: 0.5
- Isaiah Crawford (PF): Avg: 0.0pts, 0.5reb, 0.0ast, 3.3 minutes. Last game: 12/30/24. Impact: 0.1
Warriors Notable Injuries
- Jonathan Kuminga (PF): Avg: 16.4pts, 4.9reb, 2.1ast, 26.2 minutes. Last game: 01/04/25. Impact: 5.6
- Brandin Podziemski (PG/SG): Avg: 8.8pts, 5.3reb, 3.5ast, 25.9 minutes. Last game: 12/28/24. Impact: 3.3
- Gary Payton II (SF): Avg: 5.2pts, 2.7reb, 1.2ast, 14.7 minutes. Last game: 12/25/24. Impact: 2.3
- Gui Santos (SG): Avg: 2.4pts, 1.7reb, 0.5ast, 6.8 minutes. Last game: 01/02/25. Impact: 0.5
- Quinten Post (C): Avg: 1.0pts, 0.5reb, 0.5ast, 2.7 minutes. Last game: 12/30/24. Impact: 0.4
Top Player Props
This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.
| Stat | Over % | Opposing Defense/Game | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | Team | Prop | Line | Proj | Diff | L5 | L10 | L15 | L30 | Opp | Stat | Rank |
| Trayce Jackson-Davis | GSW | Pts | 10.5 | 12.8 | +2.3 | 80% | 60% | 40% | 40% | SAC | +1.1 | #22 |
| Stephen Curry | GSW | Pts | 24.5 | 25.9 | +1.4 | 60% | 50% | 40% | 40% | SAC | -2.5 | #2 |
| Draymond Green | GSW | Reb | 6.5 | 7.3 | +0.8 | 60% | 50% | 53% | 53% | SAC | -1.2 | #3 |
| DeMar DeRozan | SAC | Reb | 3.5 | 4.2 | +0.7 | 60% | 50% | 47% | 47% | GSW | +0.6 | #26 |
| Domantas Sabonis | SAC | Ast | 6.5 | 7.9 | +1.4 | 60% | 40% | 33% | 33% | GSW | +0.1 | #19 |
| Dennis Schroder | GSW | Ast | 4.5 | 5.7 | +1.2 | 60% | 70% | 73% | 73% | SAC | -0.1 | #15 |
| Keegan Murray | SAC | 3Pt | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | 20% | 40% | 40% | 40% | GSW | -0.0 | #16 |
Kings Defense vs
| Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | #8 | #23 | #17 | #13 | -1.6% |
| PF | #22 | #3 | #20 | #16 | -0.8% |
| PG | #2 | #8 | #17 | #4 | -8.5% |
| SF | #4 | #13 | #3 | #5 | -8.1% |
| SG | #29 | #12 | #15 | #23 | 5.1% |
Warriors Defense vs
| Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | #10 | #14 | #13 | #16 | -0.2% |
| PF | #7 | #10 | #19 | #9 | -4.4% |
| PG | #3 | #11 | #2 | #1 | -11.9% |
| SF | #21 | #27 | #19 | #24 | 5.9% |
| SG | #27 | #26 | #28 | #29 | 10.4% |
Team Comparison
Recent Trends
- Keon Ellis (SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 187.2% to 30.5, 10.6 min average previous 3 games.
- Gary Payton II (SF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 44.0% to 10.6, 18.9 min average previous 3 games. The Warriors have a 2-game winning streak at home.
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