Kings vs Warriors Game Breakdown

Get ready to rumble at the Chase Center tonight as the Sacramento Kings, looking to climb the Western conference ladder, storm into Golden State’s stronghold to face the Warriors at 09:30 PM EST. Both teams are fresh off thrilling victories against Memphis, setting the stage for a showdown that promises to keep us on the edge of our seats. With the Kings trying to close a 4.5-game gap and the Warriors aiming to solidify their standing just 2 games back, the stakes couldn’t be higher. The betting lines are buzzing, the over/under is set at a whopping 224 points, and fans are gearing up for what looks to be a nail-biter of a playoff game. As the Kings and Warriors prepare to battle it out, one thing’s for certain: tonight, we’ll find out if it’s royalty or warrior spirit that reigns supreme on the court!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: January 05, 2025 09:30PM EST

Location: Chase Center, Golden State

Vegas Odds

	SAC ML	GSW ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+130	-150	224.0	3.5/-3.5
Recent	+110	-145	224.0	3.5/-3.5
Difference	-20	+5	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

5W-5L

AWAY

27W-24L

47.6% Win Probability

LAST 10

4W-6L

HOME

29W-26L

52.4% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	O/U
01/25/24	Sacramento Kings SAC	40	35	29	30	134	Over
01/25/24	Golden State Warriors GSW	32	40	29	32	133	Over
11/28/23	Golden State Warriors GSW	37	35	32	19	123	Over
11/28/23	Sacramento Kings SAC	29	26	40	29	124	Over
11/01/23	Sacramento Kings SAC	31	24	24	22	101	Under
11/01/23	Golden State Warriors GSW	28	28	18	28	102	Under
10/27/23	Golden State Warriors GSW	24	36	39	23	122	Over
10/27/23	Sacramento Kings SAC	29	28	27	30	114	Over
04/07/23	Golden State Warriors GSW	32	21	33	33	119	Under
04/07/23	Sacramento Kings SAC	16	32	25	24	97	Under
11/13/22	Golden State Warriors GSW	39	23	29	24	115	Over
11/13/22	Sacramento Kings SAC	26	38	34	24	122	Over
11/07/22	Sacramento Kings SAC	31	36	21	25	113	Over
11/07/22	Golden State Warriors GSW	29	26	24	37	116	Over
10/23/22	Sacramento Kings SAC	36	35	23	31	125	Over
10/23/22	Golden State Warriors GSW	39	50	24	17	130	Over
04/03/22	Golden State Warriors GSW	28	34	19	28	109	Under
04/03/22	Sacramento Kings SAC	14	28	25	23	90	Under
02/03/22	Sacramento Kings SAC	23	31	29	31	114	Over
02/03/22	Golden State Warriors GSW	34	39	21	32	126	Over
12/20/21	Sacramento Kings SAC	16	30	33	19	98	Under
12/20/21	Golden State Warriors GSW	26	32	26	29	113	Under
10/24/21	Golden State Warriors GSW	29	31	30	29	119	Over
10/24/21	Sacramento Kings SAC	31	31	26	19	107	Over

Kings Vs Over/Under

Warriors Vs Over/Under

Kings Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
01/03	@ MEM	138-133W	37	32	9	99
01/01	@ PHI	113-107W	45	24	17	84
12/30	@ DAL	110-100W	58	25	15	100
12/28	vs LAL	122-132L	39	38	9	98
12/26	@ DET	113-114L	44	20	14	82
12/22	@ IND	95-122L	47	21	10	96
12/21	@ LAL	99-103L	46	25	13	90
12/19	@ LAL	100-113L	43	27	15	82
12/12	vs NOP	111-109W	50	24	11	92
12/08	@ UTA	141-97W	43	39	8	100

Warriors Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
01/04	@ MEM	121-113W	29	32	18	84
01/02	@ PHI	139-105W	43	41	11	87
12/30	@ CLE	95-113L	55	20	14	99
12/28	@ PHX	109-105W	49	26	11	98
12/27	vs LAC	92-102L	47	24	14	95
12/25	@ LAL	113-115L	44	26	12	89
12/21	vs MIN	113-103W	45	30	10	87
12/19	vs MEM	93-144L	36	20	17	90
12/15	@ DAL	133-143L	37	39	10	103
12/11	vs HOU	90-91L	39	22	15	84

Starting Lineups

Sacramento Kings	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
DeMar DeRozan SF	39.0	33.6	35.2	100%	35.6
Keon Ellis SG	23.0	20.2	14.8	17%	23.1
Malik Monk PG	37.0	33.6	27.2	47%	32.6
Keegan Murray PF	27.0	18.9	26.3	100%	26.7
Domantas Sabonis C	53.0	46.6	47.2	100%	47.6

Golden State Warriors	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Stephen Curry PG	45.0	45.1	43.2	100%	43.6
Draymond Green PF	33.0	32.0	27.6	93%	27.3
Trayce Jackson-Davis C	32.0	33.2	21.9	80%	24.0
Dennis Schroder SG	28.0	24.9	31.2	100%	31.6
Andrew Wiggins SF	35.0	26.2	29.4	100%	29.8

Kings Notable Injuries

De’Aaron Fox (PG): Avg: 26.6pts, 4.7reb, 5.9ast, 36.3 minutes. Last game: 01/03/25. Impact: 7.7
Orlando Robinson (C): Avg: 2.3pts, 2.0reb, 1.0ast, 7.4 minutes. Last game: 12/22/24. Impact: 0.8
Isaac Jones (PF/C): Avg: 3.5pts, 1.3reb, 0.2ast, 7.7 minutes. Last game: 12/30/24. Impact: 1.1
Colby Jones (SG/SF): Avg: 1.6pts, 1.1reb, 0.5ast, 5.8 minutes. Last game: 12/30/24. Impact: 0.5
Isaiah Crawford (PF): Avg: 0.0pts, 0.5reb, 0.0ast, 3.3 minutes. Last game: 12/30/24. Impact: 0.1

Warriors Notable Injuries

Jonathan Kuminga (PF): Avg: 16.4pts, 4.9reb, 2.1ast, 26.2 minutes. Last game: 01/04/25. Impact: 5.6
Brandin Podziemski (PG/SG): Avg: 8.8pts, 5.3reb, 3.5ast, 25.9 minutes. Last game: 12/28/24. Impact: 3.3
Gary Payton II (SF): Avg: 5.2pts, 2.7reb, 1.2ast, 14.7 minutes. Last game: 12/25/24. Impact: 2.3
Gui Santos (SG): Avg: 2.4pts, 1.7reb, 0.5ast, 6.8 minutes. Last game: 01/02/25. Impact: 0.5
Quinten Post (C): Avg: 1.0pts, 0.5reb, 0.5ast, 2.7 minutes. Last game: 12/30/24. Impact: 0.4

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Trayce Jackson-Davis	GSW	Pts	10.5	12.8	+2.3	80%	60%	40%	40%	SAC	+1.1	#22
Stephen Curry	GSW	Pts	24.5	25.9	+1.4	60%	50%	40%	40%	SAC	-2.5	#2
Draymond Green	GSW	Reb	6.5	7.3	+0.8	60%	50%	53%	53%	SAC	-1.2	#3
DeMar DeRozan	SAC	Reb	3.5	4.2	+0.7	60%	50%	47%	47%	GSW	+0.6	#26
Domantas Sabonis	SAC	Ast	6.5	7.9	+1.4	60%	40%	33%	33%	GSW	+0.1	#19
Dennis Schroder	GSW	Ast	4.5	5.7	+1.2	60%	70%	73%	73%	SAC	-0.1	#15
Keegan Murray	SAC	3Pt	1.5	2.0	+0.5	20%	40%	40%	40%	GSW	-0.0	#16

View All Player Prop Projections

Kings Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#8	#23	#17	#13	-1.6%
PF	#22	#3	#20	#16	-0.8%
PG	#2	#8	#17	#4	-8.5%
SF	#4	#13	#3	#5	-8.1%
SG	#29	#12	#15	#23	5.1%

Warriors Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#10	#14	#13	#16	-0.2%
PF	#7	#10	#19	#9	-4.4%
PG	#3	#11	#2	#1	-11.9%
SF	#21	#27	#19	#24	5.9%
SG	#27	#26	#28	#29	10.4%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

114.2

110.8

Rebounds per Game

44.0

45.7

Assists per Game

26.1

28.6

Steals per Game

7.7

8.8

Blocks per Game

4.6

5.2

Shots per Game

89.7

91.6

3-Pointers Made per Game

12.3

15.0

2-Pt Percentage per Game

55.5

50.9

3-Pt Percentage per Game

34.6

36.8

Turnovers per Game

12.9

13.7

Fouls per Game

19.9

19.2

Recent Trends

Keon Ellis (SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 187.2% to 30.5, 10.6 min average previous 3 games.
Gary Payton II (SF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 44.0% to 10.6, 18.9 min average previous 3 games.