Kings vs Heat Game Breakdown

Get ready for an electrifying clash as the Sacramento Kings storm the court at Kaseya Center to face the sizzling Miami Heat in what promises to be a nail-biter of a playoff game! The stakes are sky-high with both teams sitting pretty after six games, looking to fan the flames of their postseason dreams. With the Heat just a breath away from the top in the East and the Kings not far behind in the West, tonight’s showdown, tipping off at 9:15 PM EST, is set to light up the scoreboard. The Heat are hungry to bounce back from a recent stumble against the Knicks, while the Kings are riding high on a victory against the Hawks. As the over/under teeters at an exhilarating 226, it’s anyone’s game. So, will the Kings reign supreme, or will the Heat turn up the temperature? Let’s find out if Sacramento can ‘King’ the court or if Miami will ‘Heat’ things up!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: November 04, 2024 09:15PM EST

Location: Kaseya Center, Miami

Vegas Odds

	SAC ML	MIA ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+105	-125	225.0	2.0/-2.0
Recent	+100	-120	226.0	1.5/-1.5
Difference	-5	+5	+1.0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

4W-6L

AWAY

24W-19L

50.0% Win Probability

LAST 10

5W-5L

HOME

22W-21L

50.0% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	O/U
02/26/24	Miami Heat MIA	32	33	36	20	121	Over
02/26/24	Sacramento Kings SAC	33	29	19	29	110	Over
01/31/24	Sacramento Kings SAC	22	33	29	22	106	Under
01/31/24	Miami Heat MIA	28	31	31	25	115	Under
11/02/22	Sacramento Kings SAC	32	19	25	31	107	Under
11/02/22	Miami Heat MIA	33	20	24	33	110	Under
10/29/22	Miami Heat MIA	23	26	33	31	113	Over
10/29/22	Sacramento Kings SAC	32	39	19	29	119	Over
03/28/22	Sacramento Kings SAC	19	22	27	32	100	Under
03/28/22	Miami Heat MIA	31	26	36	30	123	Under
01/02/22	Miami Heat MIA	18	39	33	23	113	Over
01/02/22	Sacramento Kings SAC	26	35	29	25	115	Over

Kings Vs Over/Under

Heat Vs Over/Under

Kings Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
11/01	vs ATL	123-115W	51	28	14	89
10/29	vs UTA	113-96W	49	26	11	92
10/28	@ POR	111-98W	40	25	14	81
10/26	vs LAL	127-131L	32	32	14	88
10/24	@ MIN	115-117L	38	21	9	82
04/12	@ PHX	107-108L	35	26	7	91
04/11	@ NOP	123-135L	32	26	14	84
04/09	vs OKL	105-112L	56	23	17	97
04/07	vs BRO	107-77W	54	31	9	94
04/05	vs BOS	100-101L	54	21	7	99

Heat Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
10/30	@ NYK	107-116L	39	27	10	81
10/28	@ DET	106-98W	44	24	9	88
10/26	vs CHA	114-106W	43	33	13	86
10/23	@ ORL	97-116L	41	24	11	82
04/12	@ TOR	125-103W	37	37	4	86
04/10	@ DAL	92-111L	46	22	15	81
04/09	vs ATL	117-111W	46	29	18	88
04/07	vs IND	115-117L	39	21	7	84
04/05	vs HOU	119-96W	48	27	9	81
04/04	@ PHI	105-109L	51	24	15	94

Starting Lineups

Sacramento Kings	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
DeMar DeRozan SF	37.0	40.0	42.3	100%	42.6
De’Aaron Fox PG	42.0	42.6	46.6	100%	47.1
Kevin Huerter SG	21.0	22.4	20.5	100%	19.8
Keegan Murray PF	29.0	29.4	30.5	100%	30.8
Domantas Sabonis C	50.0	46.4	48.7	100%	49.1

Miami Heat	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Bam Adebayo C	38.0	31.2	36.0	100%	36.4
Jimmy Butler SF	40.0	35.4	37.2	100%	37.5
Tyler Herro PG	38.0	36.1	33.2	90%	34.2
Nikola Jovic PF	22.0	22.1	20.7	100%	21.1
Terry Rozier SG	32.0	30.5	31.8	100%	32.1

Kings Notable Injuries

Alex Len (C): Avg: 2.4pts, 2.6reb, 1.1ast, 9.0 minutes. Last game: 10/29/24. Impact: 1.2
Colby Jones (SG/SF): Avg: 1.8pts, 1.2reb, 0.6ast, 6.2 minutes. Last game: 11/01/24. Impact: 0.7
Isaac Jones (C): Avg: 0.0pts, 0.0reb, 0.0ast, 2.4 minutes. Last game: 10/29/24. Impact: 0.0

Heat Notable Injuries

Duncan Robinson (SG/SF): Avg: 11.7pts, 2.3reb, 2.6ast, 26.0 minutes. Last game: 10/30/24. Impact: 1.3
Dru Smith (PG): Avg: 3.7pts, 1.8reb, 1.5ast, 14.1 minutes. Last game: 10/30/24. Impact: 1.6
Kel’el Ware (C): Avg: 0.0pts, 1.0reb, 0.0ast, 6.2 minutes. Last game: 10/23/24. Impact: 0.1

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Jimmy Butler	MIA	Pts	18.5	21.4	+2.9	40%	60%	40%	40%	SAC	-0.7	#10
Domantas Sabonis	SAC	Pts	16.5	18.9	+2.4	60%	60%	60%	60%	MIA	-0.3	#13
Kevin Huerter	SAC	Reb	2.5	3.3	+0.8	40%	40%	47%	47%	MIA	0.0	#17

View All Player Prop Projections

Kings Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#2	#9	#17	#7	-8.7%
PF	#26	#11	#23	#14	0.4%
PG	#28	#4	#23	#20	2.9%
SF	#15	#7	#4	#8	-5.7%
SG	#10	#6	#7	#8	-5.2%

Heat Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#4	#6	#6	#1	-14.3%
PF	#13	#24	#6	#12	-1.4%
PG	#10	#11	#11	#5	-8.2%
SF	#27	#6	#7	#17	1.9%
SG	#1	#17	#17	#6	-6.3%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

114.1

108.9

Rebounds per Game

44.7

42.5

Assists per Game

27.6

25.8

Steals per Game

8.4

7.8

Blocks per Game

4.6

3.8

Shots per Game

90.9

85.8

3-Pointers Made per Game

13.2

13.0

2-Pt Percentage per Game

54.9

52.8

3-Pt Percentage per Game

35.6

37.0

Turnovers per Game

12.4

10.8

Fouls per Game

20.1

15.8

Recent Trends

Josh Christopher (PG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 38.7% to 22.7, 16.4 min average previous 3 games.
Kevin Huerter (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 76.0% to 28.1, 15.9 min average previous 3 games.
Malik Monk (PG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 31.9% to 24.5, 18.6 min average previous 3 games.