Kings vs Pelicans Game Breakdown

Get ready for a royal rumble in the Big Easy as the Sacramento Kings bring their playoff hopes to the Smoothie King Center, ready to clash with the New Orleans Pelicans in a first-round NBA Playoff game that promises more fireworks than a Mardi Gras parade! With the majority of the opening games turning out to be snoozefests, tonight’s matchup, tipping off at 9 PM EST, is set to dial up the intensity. The Kings, fresh off a nail-biting victory, are looking to solidify their standing, while the Pelicans, despite a tough season, aim to shake feathers and cause an upset. Will the Kings continue their conquest, or will the Pelicans soar to new heights? Either way, tonight’s game is set to be a battle of regal proportions, where only the true kings of the court will reign supreme!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: February 12, 2025 09:00PM EST

Location: Smoothie King Center, New Orleans

Vegas Odds

	SAC ML	NOP ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-200	+170	237.5	-5.0/5.0
Recent	-200	+170	238.5	-5.0/5.0
Difference	0	0	+1.0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

5W-5L

AWAY

32W-29L

66.7% Win Probability

LAST 10

2W-8L

HOME

28W-33L

33.3% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	O/U
12/12/24	Sacramento Kings SAC	28	25	38	20	111	Under
12/12/24	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	26	29	28	26	109	Under
02/08/25	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	31	34	22	31	118	Over
02/08/25	Sacramento Kings SAC	24	30	45	24	123	Over
12/04/23	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	35	34	31	27	127	Over
12/04/23	Sacramento Kings SAC	36	25	30	26	117	Over
04/11/24	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	34	30	34	37	135	Over
04/11/24	Sacramento Kings SAC	23	35	31	34	123	Over
01/07/24	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	33	39	31	30	133	Under
01/07/24	Sacramento Kings SAC	21	26	14	39	100	Under
11/22/23	Sacramento Kings SAC	30	20	29	33	112	Under
11/22/23	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	32	32	29	24	117	Under
11/20/23	Sacramento Kings SAC	31	22	16	24	93	Under
11/20/23	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	29	37	34	29	129	Under
04/04/23	Sacramento Kings SAC	25	40	31	25	121	Under
04/04/23	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	22	32	26	23	103	Under
03/06/23	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	32	27	20	29	108	Under
03/06/23	Sacramento Kings SAC	29	30	38	26	123	Under
02/05/23	Sacramento Kings SAC	26	26	24	28	104	Over
02/05/23	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	34	36	34	32	136	Over
04/05/22	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	27	33	35	28	123	Under
04/05/22	Sacramento Kings SAC	25	32	27	25	109	Under
03/02/22	Sacramento Kings SAC	33	28	21	13	95	Under
03/02/22	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	31	34	31	29	125	Under
11/03/21	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	26	26	35	12	99	Under
11/03/21	Sacramento Kings SAC	27	29	36	20	112	Under
10/29/21	Sacramento Kings SAC	33	26	18	36	113	Under
10/29/21	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	26	22	24	37	109	Under

Kings Vs Over/Under

Pelicans Vs Over/Under

Kings Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
02/10	vs DAL	129-128W	50	28	20	96
02/08	@ NOP	123-118W	51	24	18	91
02/06	vs POR	102-108L	47	21	10	88
02/05	@ ORL	111-130L	37	23	17	80
02/03	vs MIN	116-114W	47	23	10	92
02/01	vs OKL	110-144L	37	25	7	100
01/29	vs PHI	104-117L	46	34	12	90
01/27	vs BRO	110-96W	44	31	17	82
01/23	vs DEN	123-132L	53	31	13	107
01/22	@ GSW	123-117W	38	24	8	81

Pelicans Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
02/10	vs OKL	101-137L	42	19	22	82
02/08	vs SAC	118-123L	39	27	16	90
02/05	vs DEN	119-144L	38	26	11	93
02/03	vs DEN	113-125L	41	27	10	88
01/31	@ BOS	116-118L	48	16	18	90
01/29	@ DAL	136-137L	36	31	8	96
01/27	vs TOR	104-113L	46	21	12	89
01/24	vs MEM	126-139L	35	30	12	83
01/20	@ UTA	123-119W	45	28	12	92
01/17	@ UTA	136-123W	56	34	13	100

Starting Lineups

Sacramento Kings	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
DeMar DeRozan SF	35.0	40.4	34.5	100%	34.9
Zach LaVine SG	35.0	30.8	38.8	100%	39.2
Malik Monk PG	37.0	34.2	35.8	100%	34.4
Keegan Murray PF	25.0	27.4	25.3	100%	25.7
Domantas Sabonis C	45.0	41.0	48.9	100%	49.3

New Orleans Pelicans	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Jose Alvarado PG	24.0	21.8	19.9	27%	28.1
CJ McCollum SG	37.0	37.9	36.4	100%	36.8
Yves Missi C	25.0	23.2	25.0	100%	25.4
Trey Murphy III SF	42.0	49.1	40.1	93%	41.2
Zion Williamson PF	45.0	41.3	42.5	100%	42.9

Kings Notable Injuries

Doug McDermott (SF): Avg: 4.4pts, 0.8reb, 0.8ast, 11.7 minutes. Last game: 02/03/25. Impact: 0.6
Isaac Jones (PF/C): Avg: 3.5pts, 1.4reb, 0.3ast, 8.3 minutes. Last game: 02/05/25. Impact: 1.1
Mason Jones (SG): Avg: 2.1pts, 1.3reb, 1.4ast, 5.0 minutes. Last game: 02/05/25. Impact: 1.2

Pelicans Notable Injuries

Dejounte Murray (PG): Avg: 21.0pts, 5.7reb, 6.7ast, 34.9 minutes. Last game: 01/31/25. Impact: 6.6
Kelly Olynyk (C): Avg: 9.2pts, 4.9reb, 4.0ast, 21.0 minutes. Last game: 02/05/25. Impact: 3.0
Brandon Boston Jr. (SG/SF): Avg: 7.8pts, 2.3reb, 1.3ast, 17.0 minutes. Last game: 02/08/25. Impact: 2.5
Jamal Cain (SG/SF): Avg: 3.8pts, 1.8reb, 0.5ast, 11.2 minutes. Last game: 02/10/25. Impact: 1.1
Keion Brooks Jr. (PF): Avg: 2.0pts, 1.5reb, 0.5ast, 4.9 minutes. Last game: 02/10/25. Impact: 1.0

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Jose Alvarado	NOP	Pts	9.5	10.0	+0.5	40%	30%	40%	40%	SAC	-0.1	#12
Trey Murphy III	NOP	Pts	22.5	22.7	+0.2	80%	60%	67%	67%	SAC	+1.4	#22
CJ McCollum	NOP	Reb	3.5	4.1	+0.6	40%	50%	47%	47%	SAC	+0.3	#22
DeMar DeRozan	SAC	Ast	3.5	4.2	+0.7	60%	30%	40%	40%	NOP	+0.4	#26

View All Player Prop Projections

Kings Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#17	#17	#21	#24	5.0%
PF	#21	#14	#21	#21	2.2%
PG	#12	#26	#18	#18	-0.2%
SF	#12	#5	#27	#16	0.6%
SG	#22	#22	#5	#20	1.7%

Pelicans Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#23	#26	#27	#28	7.7%
PF	#29	#19	#24	#28	9.6%
PG	#9	#27	#20	#22	2.6%
SF	#27	#11	#25	#27	7.0%
SG	#28	#15	#26	#28	6.1%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

115.5

115.8

Rebounds per Game

46.6

42.4

Assists per Game

27.1

26.6

Steals per Game

7.1

9.4

Blocks per Game

4.5

5.6

Shots per Game

93.0

91.6

3-Pointers Made per Game

12.1

13.6

2-Pt Percentage per Game

54.5

51.7

3-Pt Percentage per Game

33.7

37.0

Turnovers per Game

12.4

13.2

Fouls per Game

18.7

18.9

Recent Trends

Brandon Boston Jr. (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 108.8% to 21.9, 10.5 min average previous 3 games.
Javonte Green (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 41.0% to 15.3, 25.9 min average previous 3 games.
Trey Lyles (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 32.7% to 11.4, 17.0 min average previous 3 games.
Karlo Matkovic (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 63.1% to 26.1, 16.0 min average previous 3 games.
Jonas Valanciunas (C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 36.3% to 16.2, 25.5 min average previous 3 games.