Kings vs Pelicans Game Breakdown

Get ready to rumble in the Big Easy as the Sacramento Kings, fresh off a royal thrashing of Utah, storm into the Smoothie King Center to face the New Orleans Pelicans, who are looking to bounce back from their recent tumble against San Antonio. With most of the first-round playoff games turning into one-sided affairs, tonight’s showdown promises a tighter contest with the Kings hoping to climb closer to the top of the Western conference and the Pelicans desperate to flap their way out of the bottom. The stakes are high, the crowd’s buzzing, and with a tipoff set for 9 PM EST and the over/under at a whopping 231.5, bettors and fans alike are in for a thrilling evening. So, as the Kings try to extend their courtly dominance, and the Pelicans aim to soar above expectations, tonight’s game might just turn into a royal flight of fancy!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: December 12, 2024 09:00PM EST

Location: Smoothie King Center, New Orleans

Vegas Odds

	SAC ML	NOP ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-225	+185	231.5	-5.5/5.5
Recent	-190	+145	231.5	-7.0/7.0
Difference	+35	-40	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

3W-7L

AWAY

26W-23L

65.5% Win Probability

LAST 10

1W-9L

HOME

24W-23L

34.5% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	O/U
12/04/23	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	35	34	31	27	127	Over
12/04/23	Sacramento Kings SAC	36	25	30	26	117	Over
04/11/24	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	34	30	34	37	135	Over
04/11/24	Sacramento Kings SAC	23	35	31	34	123	Over
01/07/24	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	33	39	31	30	133	Over
01/07/24	Sacramento Kings SAC	21	26	14	39	100	Over
11/22/23	Sacramento Kings SAC	30	20	29	33	112	Under
11/22/23	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	32	32	29	24	117	Under
11/20/23	Sacramento Kings SAC	31	22	16	24	93	Under
11/20/23	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	29	37	34	29	129	Under
04/04/23	Sacramento Kings SAC	25	40	31	25	121	Under
04/04/23	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	22	32	26	23	103	Under
03/06/23	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	32	27	20	29	108	Under
03/06/23	Sacramento Kings SAC	29	30	38	26	123	Under
02/05/23	Sacramento Kings SAC	26	26	24	28	104	Over
02/05/23	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	34	36	34	32	136	Over
04/05/22	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	27	33	35	28	123	Over
04/05/22	Sacramento Kings SAC	25	32	27	25	109	Over
03/02/22	Sacramento Kings SAC	33	28	21	13	95	Under
03/02/22	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	31	34	31	29	125	Under
11/03/21	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	26	26	35	12	99	Under
11/03/21	Sacramento Kings SAC	27	29	36	20	112	Under
10/29/21	Sacramento Kings SAC	33	26	18	36	113	Under
10/29/21	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	26	22	24	37	109	Under

Kings Vs Over/Under

Pelicans Vs Over/Under

Kings Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
12/08	@ UTA	141-97W	43	39	8	100
12/06	vs SAS	140-113W	44	33	11	90
12/05	vs MEM	110-115L	46	19	13	98
12/03	@ HOU	120-111W	34	33	10	91
12/01	@ SAS	125-127L	51	32	10	101
11/29	vs POR	106-115L	41	29	20	78
11/25	@ OKL	109-130L	31	24	12	87
11/24	@ BRO	103-108L	44	21	16	77
11/22	vs LAC	88-104L	48	19	15	83
11/18	@ ATL	108-109L	45	24	17	85

Pelicans Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
12/08	vs SAS	116-121L	43	26	8	99
12/07	@ OKL	109-119L	35	25	18	79
12/05	@ PHX	126-124W	44	23	13	95
12/02	vs ATL	112-124L	41	21	16	100
12/01	vs NYK	85-118L	42	20	14	94
11/29	vs MEM	109-120L	46	16	14	91
11/25	vs IND	110-114L	44	35	15	87
11/22	@ GSW	108-112L	43	28	9	92
11/20	vs CLE	100-128L	40	23	11	92
11/19	vs DAL	91-132L	37	19	21	78

Starting Lineups

Sacramento Kings	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
DeMar DeRozan SF	36.0	35.6	39.1	100%	39.5
De’Aaron Fox PG	46.0	44.3	45.9	100%	46.3
Malik Monk SG	36.0	37.0	29.5	17%	37.0
Keegan Murray PF	27.0	26.3	29.2	100%	29.5
Domantas Sabonis C	49.0	45.5	46.2	100%	46.5

New Orleans Pelicans	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Herbert Jones SF	28.0	25.6	23.4	100%	23.7
CJ McCollum SG	41.0	35.5	39.3	100%	39.7
Yves Missi C	32.0	30.4	24.7	73%	25.6
Trey Murphy III PF	38.0	31.4	32.2	87%	33.2
Dejounte Murray PG	43.0	40.5	46.4	100%	46.7

Kings Notable Injuries

Isaac Jones (PF/C): Avg: 4.3pts, 1.4reb, 0.1ast, 8.9 minutes. Last game: 12/06/24. Impact: 1.6
Isaiah Crawford (PF): Avg: 0.0pts, 1.0reb, 0.0ast, 5.2 minutes. Last game: 12/08/24. Impact: 0.2

Pelicans Notable Injuries

Brandon Ingram (PG): Avg: 20.8pts, 5.2reb, 5.5ast, 33.2 minutes. Last game: 12/07/24. Impact: 6.2
Daniel Theis (C): Avg: 5.4pts, 3.7reb, 1.0ast, 15.9 minutes. Last game: 12/02/24. Impact: 1.5
Jamal Cain (SF): Avg: 4.3pts, 1.8reb, 0.5ast, 11.7 minutes. Last game: 12/08/24. Impact: 2.1
Karlo Matkovic (PF/C): Avg: 0.8pts, 2.0reb, 0.0ast, 7.7 minutes. Last game: 12/01/24. Impact: 1.0

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
De’Aaron Fox	SAC	Pts	23.5	25.9	+2.4	0%	30%	47%	47%	NOP	+0.8	#21
Yves Missi	NOP	Pts	10.5	11.8	+1.3	60%	60%	47%	47%	SAC	-3.9	#1
Trey Murphy III	NOP	Reb	5.5	6.4	+0.9	20%	40%	40%	40%	SAC	-0.1	#15
Kevin Huerter	SAC	Ast	1.5	2.1	+0.6	80%	60%	67%	67%	NOP	-0.3	#9
Keon Ellis	SAC	Ast	0.5	0.9	+0.4	60%	70%	60%	60%	NOP	-0.3	#9
DeMar DeRozan	SAC	3Pt	0.5	0.8	+0.3	40%	30%	40%	40%	NOP	-0.0	#16

View All Player Prop Projections

Kings Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#1	#21	#17	#8	-7.9%
PF	#25	#4	#11	#10	-2.5%
PG	#1	#10	#15	#4	-10.0%
SF	#4	#8	#2	#4	-12.7%
SG	#23	#15	#7	#19	0.4%

Pelicans Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#25	#30	#10	#26	7.4%
PF	#13	#14	#29	#15	-0.5%
PG	#21	#24	#27	#28	9.2%
SF	#19	#16	#12	#19	2.8%
SG	#17	#19	#9	#14	-1.2%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

113.6

107.5

Rebounds per Game

44.0

42.6

Assists per Game

26.4

24.6

Steals per Game

8.1

9.3

Blocks per Game

5.1

4.7

Shots per Game

89.1

87.6

3-Pointers Made per Game

13.2

11.6

2-Pt Percentage per Game

55.1

51.4

3-Pt Percentage per Game

35.3

35.2

Turnovers per Game

12.5

13.2

Fouls per Game

19.9

17.9

Recent Trends

Keon Ellis (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 43.6% to 13.0, 23.0 min average previous 3 games.
Javonte Green (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 32.5% to 17.2, 25.5 min average previous 3 games.
Jordan Hawkins (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 47.4% to 18.7, 35.6 min average previous 3 games.
Kevin Huerter (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 66.3% to 23.6, 14.2 min average previous 3 games.
Herbert Jones (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 32.2% to 35.4, 26.8 min average previous 3 games.
Trey Lyles (C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 62.4% to 14.2, 37.9 min average previous 3 games.
Antonio Reeves (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 33.4% to 12.1, 18.2 min average previous 3 games.