Kings vs Thunder Game Breakdown

Get ready for an electrifying showdown as the Sacramento Kings storm into the Paycom Center tonight to face the high-flying Oklahoma City Thunder in what promises to be a pivotal first-round NBA playoff game! With the Kings looking to claw their way up from the middle of the pack and the Thunder aiming to cement their top spot in the Western Conference, this clash is set to be anything but your run-of-the-mill playoff matchup. Both teams are bouncing back from recent stumbles and are hungry to tip the scales in their favor. With the stakes sky-high and the scoreboard expected to light up past the 234 mark, tonight’s game is prepped to deliver high-octane basketball action. So, as the Kings try to conquer the rumble and the Thunder look to strike with full force, let’s see which team will truly reign supreme!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: February 01, 2025 09:00PM EST

Location: Paycom Center, Oklahoma City

Vegas Odds

	SAC ML	OKL ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+330	-440	234.0	9.0/-9.0
Recent	+305	-410	234.5	9.5/-9.5
Difference	-25	+30	+0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

7W-3L

AWAY

30W-27L

24.7% Win Probability

LAST 10

7W-3L

HOME

48W-10L

75.3% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	O/U
11/25/24	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	31	32	34	33	130	Over
11/25/24	Sacramento Kings SAC	30	32	22	25	109	Over
04/09/24	Sacramento Kings SAC	31	33	23	18	105	Under
04/09/24	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	28	17	39	28	112	Under
02/11/24	Sacramento Kings SAC	27	30	26	30	113	Over
02/11/24	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	29	38	33	27	127	Over
12/14/23	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	30	23	39	31	123	Over
12/14/23	Sacramento Kings SAC	29	30	41	28	128	Over
11/10/23	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	20	22	28	28	98	Under
11/10/23	Sacramento Kings SAC	34	19	22	30	105	Under
02/28/23	Sacramento Kings SAC	44	27	22	30	123	Over
02/28/23	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	38	28	21	30	117	Over
02/26/23	Sacramento Kings SAC	36	22	36	30	124	Over
02/26/23	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	26	24	40	25	115	Over
01/20/23	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	32	34	22	25	113	Under
01/20/23	Sacramento Kings SAC	33	26	32	27	118	Under
02/28/22	Sacramento Kings SAC	35	24	40	32	131	Over
02/28/22	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	32	27	31	20	110	Over
02/05/22	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	30	27	22	24	103	Under
02/05/22	Sacramento Kings SAC	36	28	25	24	113	Under
12/28/21	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	34	23	24	30	111	Under
12/28/21	Sacramento Kings SAC	32	29	26	30	117	Under
11/12/21	Sacramento Kings SAC	23	39	24	17	103	Under
11/12/21	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	16	32	29	28	105	Under

Kings Vs Over/Under

Thunder Vs Over/Under

Kings Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
01/29	vs PHI	104-117L	46	34	12	90
01/27	vs BRO	110-96W	44	31	17	82
01/23	vs DEN	123-132L	53	31	13	107
01/22	@ GSW	123-117W	38	24	8	81
01/19	@ WAS	123-100W	51	28	11	95
01/16	@ HOU	132-127W	44	32	12	98
01/14	vs MIL	115-130L	45	25	9	95
01/12	vs CHI	124-119W	53	33	8	95
01/10	vs BOS	114-97W	56	26	9	102
01/06	@ MIA	123-118W	60	30	15	108

Thunder Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
01/29	vs GSW	109-116L	50	21	11	99
01/26	vs POR	118-108W	43	24	7	89
01/23	@ DAL	115-121L	33	26	12	88
01/22	@ UTA	123-114W	39	20	10	95
01/19	@ BRO	127-101W	43	37	11	87
01/17	vs DAL	98-106L	46	24	15	91
01/16	@ CLE	134-114W	39	25	6	105
01/14	vs PHI	118-102W	38	32	17	81
01/12	vs WAS	136-95W	56	26	13	95
01/10	vs NYK	126-101W	46	20	15	89

Starting Lineups

Sacramento Kings	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
DeMar DeRozan SF	34.0	34.8	34.1	100%	34.5
De’Aaron Fox PG	39.0	37.8	45.2	100%	45.7
Malik Monk SG	36.0	38.2	33.2	77%	35.8
Keegan Murray PF	28.0	23.8	25.4	100%	25.9
Domantas Sabonis C	51.0	55.6	50.1	100%	50.4

Oklahoma City Thunder	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Luguentz Dort SF	22.0	17.6	21.5	100%	21.8
S. Gilgeous-Alexander PG	55.0	58.1	53.9	100%	54.3
Isaiah Hartenstein C	36.0	34.4	33.7	100%	32.6
Cason Wallace SG	23.0	20.2	20.3	83%	21.2
Jalen Williams PF	40.0	43.6	40.6	100%	41.0

Kings Notable Injuries

Jordan McLaughlin (PG): Avg: 3.0pts, 1.2reb, 1.6ast, 9.8 minutes. Last game: 01/19/25. Impact: 0.7
Doug McDermott (SF/PF): Avg: 4.5pts, 0.8reb, 0.8ast, 11.8 minutes. Last game: 01/27/25. Impact: 0.8
Isaiah Crawford (PF): Avg: 0.7pts, 1.0reb, 0.0ast, 3.1 minutes. Last game: 01/19/25. Impact: 0.4

Thunder Notable Injuries

Alex Caruso GTD (PG/SF): Avg: 8.8pts, 3.5reb, 3.2ast, 26.0 minutes. Last game: 01/29/25. Impact: 2.7
Jaylin Williams GTD (C): Avg: 4.5pts, 3.6reb, 1.7ast, 13.8 minutes. Last game: 01/29/25. Impact: 3.3
Branden Carlson (C): Avg: 3.1pts, 1.7reb, 0.4ast, 6.4 minutes. Last game: 01/23/25. Impact: 1.5
Adam Flagler (PG): Avg: 1.1pts, 0.5reb, 0.2ast, 4.1 minutes. Last game: 01/22/25. Impact: 0.3
Alex Ducas (SG): Avg: 1.3pts, 0.3reb, 0.1ast, 3.5 minutes. Last game: 01/19/25. Impact: 0.6

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Keegan Murray	SAC	Pts	12.5	13.8	+1.3	40%	60%	40%	40%	OKL	-0.4	#16
Trey Lyles	SAC	Pts	5.5	6.8	+1.3	40%	50%	67%	67%	OKL	-0.4	#16
Isaiah Joe	OKL	Reb	2.5	3.1	+0.6	40%	30%	33%	33%	SAC	+0.3	#21
Jaylin Williams	OKL	Reb	3.5	3.7	+0.2	80%	80%	60%	60%	SAC	-0.3	#12
DeMar DeRozan	SAC	Ast	2.5	4.1	+1.6	20%	60%	60%	60%	OKL	-0.0	#17

View All Player Prop Projections

Kings Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#23	#17	#18	#20	4.3%
PF	#13	#12	#8	#7	-4.3%
PG	#3	#28	#13	#2	-6.2%
SF	#10	#14	#19	#15	-1.1%
SG	#25	#21	#4	#22	3.2%

Thunder Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#10	#25	#3	#4	-9.1%
PF	#16	#3	#3	#2	-11.8%
PG	#24	#17	#4	#5	-4.7%
SF	#2	#11	#16	#3	-12.3%
SG	#3	#23	#17	#4	-8.4%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

117.5

118.6

Rebounds per Game

46.3

43.0

Assists per Game

28.4

26.5

Steals per Game

7.6

10.8

Blocks per Game

4.4

4.6

Shots per Game

93.7

91.4

3-Pointers Made per Game

13.0

13.8

2-Pt Percentage per Game

54.2

57.0

3-Pt Percentage per Game

35.4

36.5

Turnovers per Game

11.7

11.4

Fouls per Game

19.3

20.7

Recent Trends

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (PG) is on a notable streak, exceeding 30 points in 4 consecutive games.
Domantas Sabonis (C) is coming off a triple-double where he put up 13.0 pts, 14.0 reb, 11.0 ast against PHI
Keon Ellis (SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 37.7% to 23.1, 16.7 min average previous 3 games.