Kings vs Trail Blazers Game Breakdown

Get ready for a sizzling showdown at Moda Center where the Sacramento Kings, straddling the middle of the Western conference, are set to clash with the underdog Portland Trail Blazers in a first-round NBA Playoff game that promises more fireworks than the Fourth of July! With most of the opening games turning out to be snoozefests, tonight’s late-night tip-off at 11:00 PM EST is expected to dial up the drama. The Kings, looking to rebound from a recent stumble, and the Blazers, fresh off a commanding victory, are both hungry to tip the scales in their favor. As the betting lines teeter on a razor’s edge and the scoreboard anticipates a high-octane scoring spree, fans are buckled up for a duel that’s sure to be more thrilling than a royal rumble in Rip City!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: February 06, 2025 11:00PM EST

Location: Moda Center, Portland

Vegas Odds

	SAC ML	POR ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+100	-120	229.0	1.5/-1.5
Recent	-110	-110	230.5	1.0/-1.0
Difference	-210	+10	+1.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

5W-5L

AWAY

31W-28L

52.4% Win Probability

LAST 10

9W-1L

HOME

24W-43L

47.6% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final	O/U
11/29/24	Sacramento Kings SAC	30	20	22	34	00	106	Under
11/29/24	Portland Trail Blazers POR	25	29	33	28	00	115	Under
10/28/24	Portland Trail Blazers POR	20	23	28	27	00	98	Under
10/28/24	Sacramento Kings SAC	25	26	38	22	00	111	Under
04/14/24	Portland Trail Blazers POR	18	19	21	24	00	82	Under
04/14/24	Sacramento Kings SAC	30	35	34	22	00	121	Under
12/26/23	Sacramento Kings SAC	33	27	35	18	00	113	Over
12/26/23	Portland Trail Blazers POR	32	35	37	26	00	130	Over
11/08/23	Portland Trail Blazers POR	29	31	24	27	70	118	Over
11/08/23	Sacramento Kings SAC	34	22	29	26	100	121	Over
03/31/23	Sacramento Kings SAC	36	35	33	34	00	138	Over
03/31/23	Portland Trail Blazers POR	27	32	30	25	00	114	Over
03/29/23	Sacramento Kings SAC	19	31	33	37	00	120	Under
03/29/23	Portland Trail Blazers POR	20	26	18	16	00	80	Under
02/23/23	Portland Trail Blazers POR	37	20	34	25	00	116	Over
02/23/23	Sacramento Kings SAC	29	37	34	33	00	133	Over
10/19/22	Portland Trail Blazers POR	32	19	33	31	00	115	Under
10/19/22	Sacramento Kings SAC	23	32	29	24	00	108	Under
01/09/22	Sacramento Kings SAC	21	19	27	21	00	88	Under
01/09/22	Portland Trail Blazers POR	27	26	29	21	00	103	Under
11/24/21	Portland Trail Blazers POR	36	35	21	29	00	121	Over
11/24/21	Sacramento Kings SAC	32	37	24	32	00	125	Over
10/20/21	Sacramento Kings SAC	24	38	38	24	00	124	Over
10/20/21	Portland Trail Blazers POR	23	26	36	36	00	121	Over

Kings Vs Over/Under

Trail Blazers Vs Over/Under

Kings Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
02/05	@ ORL	111-130L	37	23	17	80
02/03	vs MIN	116-114W	47	23	10	92
02/01	vs OKL	110-144L	37	25	7	100
01/29	vs PHI	104-117L	46	34	12	90
01/27	vs BRO	110-96W	44	31	17	82
01/23	vs DEN	123-132L	53	31	13	107
01/22	@ GSW	123-117W	38	24	8	81
01/19	@ WAS	123-100W	51	28	11	95
01/16	@ HOU	132-127W	44	32	12	98
01/14	vs MIL	115-130L	45	25	9	95

Trail Blazers Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
02/04	@ IND	112-89W	51	23	18	92
02/03	@ PHX	121-119W	48	30	12	89
02/01	@ PHX	127-108W	43	24	9	89
01/30	@ ORL	119-90W	38	23	12	78
01/28	@ MIL	125-112W	52	26	13	88
01/26	@ OKL	108-118L	44	21	15	81
01/24	vs CHA	102-97W	47	17	16	79
01/23	vs ORL	101-79W	42	23	13	82
01/21	vs MIA	116-107W	47	25	6	87
01/19	@ CHI	113-102W	50	21	17	89

Starting Lineups

Sacramento Kings	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
DeMar DeRozan SF	34.0	29.1	33.6	100%	34.1
Zach LaVine PG	36.0	35.8	39.5	100%	39.9
Malik Monk SG	40.0	36.8	34.4	87%	35.6
Keegan Murray PF	27.0	23.9	25.2	100%	25.7
Domantas Sabonis C	49.0	43.9	49.3	100%	49.6

Portland Trail Blazers	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Deni Avdija SF	35.0	30.1	33.4	63%	35.7
Deandre Ayton C	36.0	41.4	32.2	100%	32.5
Toumani Camara SG	29.0	28.7	25.6	100%	25.9
Jerami Grant PF	28.0	20.7	24.8	100%	25.1
Anfernee Simons PG	33.0	33.1	33.8	100%	34.1

Kings Notable Injuries

Doug McDermott (SF/PF): Avg: 4.4pts, 0.8reb, 0.8ast, 11.7 minutes. Last game: 02/03/25. Impact: 0.6
Colby Jones (SG/SF): Avg: 1.6pts, 1.1reb, 0.5ast, 5.8 minutes. Last game: 02/05/25. Impact: 0.7
Isaiah Crawford (PF): Avg: 0.8pts, 1.0reb, 0.0ast, 3.5 minutes. Last game: 02/05/25. Impact: 0.4

Trail Blazers Notable Injuries

Jabari Walker (PF/C): Avg: 6.8pts, 5.6reb, 0.8ast, 19.2 minutes. Last game: 02/04/25. Impact: 1.3
Duop Reath (C): Avg: 7.2pts, 2.9reb, 0.8ast, 14.4 minutes. Last game: 02/04/25. Impact: 0.6
Bryce McGowens (SG): Avg: 4.4pts, 1.5reb, 0.8ast, 13.0 minutes. Last game: 02/01/25. Impact: 0.6
Rayan Rupert (PG/SF): Avg: 3.2pts, 1.8reb, 1.1ast, 12.3 minutes. Last game: 02/04/25. Impact: 0.3
Justin Minaya (PF): Avg: 1.4pts, 1.4reb, 0.5ast, 9.3 minutes. Last game: 01/23/25. Impact: 0.9

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Jerami Grant	POR	Pts	14.5	16.7	+2.2	40%	50%	40%	40%	SAC	+0.9	#22
Keegan Murray	SAC	Pts	11.5	13.3	+1.8	60%	50%	53%	53%	POR	-1.2	#7
Deni Avdija	POR	Reb	6.5	7.5	+1.0	40%	50%	53%	53%	SAC	-0.7	#3
Scoot Henderson	POR	Reb	2.5	3.2	+0.7	80%	60%	60%	60%	SAC	+0.5	#26
Domantas Sabonis	SAC	Ast	6.5	7.1	+0.6	40%	50%	53%	53%	POR	+0.2	#20
Toumani Camara	POR	Ast	1.5	2.1	+0.6	60%	70%	73%	73%	SAC	+0.6	#27
Trey Lyles	SAC	3Pt	0.5	1.3	+0.8	40%	60%	67%	67%	POR	-0.8	#2

View All Player Prop Projections

Kings Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#18	#14	#18	#22	4.3%
PF	#22	#17	#27	#23	3.4%
PG	#13	#26	#13	#10	-3.3%
SF	#10	#3	#26	#15	-1.1%
SG	#24	#23	#2	#19	1.4%

Trail Blazers Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#12	#21	#16	#17	0.8%
PF	#7	#19	#20	#20	1.9%
PG	#5	#4	#5	#1	-9.0%
SF	#16	#7	#12	#13	-3.1%
SG	#23	#6	#8	#18	0.7%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

116.1

111.0

Rebounds per Game

46.2

44.4

Assists per Game

27.8

24.1

Steals per Game

7.4

Blocks per Game

4.4

5.1

Shots per Game

93.4

87.4

3-Pointers Made per Game

12.7

12.8

2-Pt Percentage per Game

53.9

54.5

3-Pt Percentage per Game

34.8

35.3

Turnovers per Game

11.7

14.4

Fouls per Game

18.3

19.1

Recent Trends

Jerami Grant (PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 35.1% to 35.4, 26.2 min average previous 3 games.
Matisse Thybulle (PF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 62.1% to 10.9, 28.8 min average previous 3 games.
Robert Williams (C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 32.5% to 22.8, 17.2 min average previous 3 games.