Kings vs Spurs Game Breakdown

Get ready to rumble at the AT&T Center tonight as the Sacramento Kings, sporting a solid 6-4 record, roll into San Antonio to clash with the 4-6 Spurs in what promises to be a nail-biter in this first round of the 2024 NBA Playoffs. After a slew of lopsided games, we’re all itching for some edge-of-your-seat action, and with the stakes cranked high in the Western conference rankings, every dribble and dunk counts. The Kings, fresh off a fiery win against Phoenix, are looking to keep their throne, while the Spurs, still stinging from a heartbreaker against Utah, are hungry to prove they’re more than just underdogs. With the betting lines drawn and the scoreboard set to light up, tonight’s matchup is poised to redefine the boundaries of the court. So, as the Kings try to hold court and the Spurs aim to sharpen their edge, let’s see whose strategy will reign supreme!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: November 11, 2024 09:00PM EST

Location: AT&T Center, San Antonio

Vegas Odds

	SAC ML	SAS ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-120	+100	223.5	-1.5/1.5
Recent	-110	-110	221.0	-1.0/1.0
Difference	+10	-210	-2.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

5W-5L

AWAY

25W-19L

52.4% Win Probability

LAST 10

4W-6L

HOME

13W-30L

47.6% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final	O/U
03/07/24	San Antonio Spurs SAS	31	28	36	34	00	129	Over
03/07/24	Sacramento Kings SAC	30	41	29	31	00	131	Over
02/22/24	San Antonio Spurs SAS	32	25	30	35	00	122	Over
02/22/24	Sacramento Kings SAC	30	35	28	34	00	127	Over
11/17/23	Sacramento Kings SAC	29	33	33	34	00	129	Over
11/17/23	San Antonio Spurs SAS	31	31	32	26	00	120	Over
04/02/23	San Antonio Spurs SAS	32	31	33	27	190	142	Over
04/02/23	Sacramento Kings SAC	30	28	34	31	110	134	Over
02/01/23	Sacramento Kings SAC	30	31	28	30	00	119	Over
02/01/23	San Antonio Spurs SAS	31	23	30	25	00	109	Over
01/15/23	Sacramento Kings SAC	33	30	39	30	00	132	Over
01/15/23	San Antonio Spurs SAS	32	32	26	29	00	119	Over
11/17/22	San Antonio Spurs SAS	28	28	26	30	00	112	Over
11/17/22	Sacramento Kings SAC	37	26	26	41	00	130	Over
03/03/22	Sacramento Kings SAC	30	34	24	27	00	115	Over
03/03/22	San Antonio Spurs SAS	27	24	31	30	00	112	Over
12/19/21	San Antonio Spurs SAS	27	29	29	29	00	114	Over
12/19/21	Sacramento Kings SAC	37	26	28	30	00	121	Over
11/10/21	Sacramento Kings SAC	20	34	33	30	00	117	Over
11/10/21	San Antonio Spurs SAS	34	37	33	32	00	136	Over

Kings Vs Over/Under

Spurs Vs Over/Under

Kings Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
11/10	vs PHX	127-118W	57	23	14	102
11/08	@ LAC	98-107L	35	19	13	78
11/06	@ TOR	122-107W	47	26	9	90
11/01	vs ATL	123-115W	51	28	14	89
10/29	vs UTA	113-96W	49	26	11	92
10/28	@ POR	111-98W	40	25	14	81
10/26	vs LAL	127-131L	32	32	14	88
10/24	@ MIN	115-117L	38	21	9	82
04/12	@ PHX	107-108L	35	26	7	91
04/11	@ NOP	123-135L	32	26	14	84

Spurs Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
11/09	@ UTA	110-111L	37	29	20	85
11/07	@ POR	118-105W	45	35	15	82
11/06	vs HOU	100-127L	41	20	19	83
10/31	vs UTA	106-88W	42	25	11	92
10/30	vs OKL	93-105L	52	22	22	85
10/28	@ HOU	101-106L	49	22	17	87
10/26	@ HOU	109-106W	49	23	17	79
10/24	vs DAL	109-120L	52	30	19	86
04/12	@ DEN	121-120W	49	31	18	85
04/10	vs OKL	89-127L	47	24	15	96

Starting Lineups

Sacramento Kings	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
DeMar DeRozan SF	41.0	38.8	42.1	100%	42.4
De’Aaron Fox PG	42.0	39.0	44.9	100%	45.4
Kevin Huerter SG	28.0	23.2	19.8	100%	19.1
Keegan Murray PF	34.0	32.0	30.5	100%	30.8
Domantas Sabonis C	51.0	45.3	48.7	100%	49.1

San Antonio Spurs	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Harrison Barnes PF	19.0	16.1	18.5	100%	18.8
Stephon Castle SG	17.0	19.8	18.4	38%	25.2
Julian Champagnie SF	22.0	19.1	18.8	100%	19.2
Chris Paul PG	29.0	29.2	26.1	47%	28.8
Victor Wembanyama C	60.0	43.0	52.4	100%	52.7

Kings Notable Injuries

Malik Monk (PG/SF): Avg: 15.1pts, 2.9reb, 4.9ast, 25.7 minutes. Last game: 11/10/24. Impact: 3.6
Colby Jones (SG/SF): Avg: 1.8pts, 1.2reb, 0.6ast, 6.0 minutes. Last game: 11/06/24. Impact: 0.6
Isaac Jones (C): Avg: 0.0pts, 0.0reb, 0.0ast, 2.0 minutes. Last game: 11/06/24. Impact: 0.0

Spurs Notable Injuries

Jeremy Sochan (C): Avg: 11.7pts, 6.5reb, 3.3ast, 29.7 minutes. Last game: 10/31/24. Impact: 5.3
Charles Bassey (C): Avg: 3.1pts, 3.8reb, 1.0ast, 9.9 minutes. Last game: 11/07/24. Impact: 1.7
David Duke Jr. (PG): Avg: 3.5pts, 1.8reb, 1.8ast, 9.5 minutes. Last game: 11/06/24. Impact: 1.6
Sidy Cissoko (SG/SF): Avg: 2.9pts, 1.4reb, 0.6ast, 7.6 minutes. Last game: 11/07/24. Impact: 1.2
Riley Minix (PF): Avg: 0.0pts, 2.0reb, 0.0ast, 6.8 minutes. Last game: 11/06/24. Impact: 0.4
Harrison Ingram (PF): Avg: 0.0pts, 1.0reb, 0.0ast, 6.8 minutes. Last game: 11/06/24. Impact: 0.2

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Keegan Murray	SAC	Pts	14.5	17.4	+2.9	20%	40%	53%	53%	SAS	-1.5	#6
Victor Wembanyama	SAS	Pts	22.5	25.1	+2.6	40%	40%	53%	53%	SAC	-4.2	#1
Domantas Sabonis	SAC	Reb	12.5	13.4	+0.9	20%	20%	40%	40%	SAS	-0.1	#16
Keon Ellis	SAC	Ast	1.5	1.9	+0.4	40%	30%	40%	40%	SAS	+0.1	#18
DeMar DeRozan	SAC	Ast	4.5	5.2	+0.7	40%	40%	53%	53%	SAS	+0.1	#18

View All Player Prop Projections

Kings Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#1	#13	#18	#3	-9.9%
PF	#26	#15	#23	#17	0.9%
PG	#23	#5	#17	#9	-2.5%
SF	#7	#7	#1	#4	-13.5%
SG	#16	#1	#9	#9	-4.4%

Spurs Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#28	#17	#29	#27	8.0%
PF	#6	#16	#6	#6	-5.3%
PG	#18	#20	#4	#23	3.8%
SF	#1	#17	#14	#3	-14.2%
SG	#29	#22	#18	#26	6.3%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

113.7

110.7

Rebounds per Game

44.8

46.0

Assists per Game

27.1

29.7

Steals per Game

8.3

7.0

Blocks per Game

4.5

6.9

Shots per Game

90.7

88.9

3-Pointers Made per Game

12.9

13.0

2-Pt Percentage per Game

55.0

53.4

3-Pt Percentage per Game

34.7

35.8

Turnovers per Game

12.0

15.8

Fouls per Game

19.7

16.3

Recent Trends

Stephon Castle (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 44.8% to 28.4, 19.7 min average previous 3 games.
David Duke Jr. (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 31.7% to 11.5, 16.9 min average previous 3 games.
Keon Ellis (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 37.9% to 23.5, 17.1 min average previous 3 games.
Trey Lyles (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 36.8% to 11.5, 18.2 min average previous 3 games.
Blake Wesley (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 83.2% to 18.7, 10.2 min average previous 3 games.