Kings vs Raptors Game Breakdown & Projections – Wed, Mar 20th 2024

Kings
39W-28L

March 20, 2024
07:30PM EST
Odds: 233.5 o/u
Raptors
23W-45L


Alright sports junkies, brace yourselves for a royal rumble tonight as the Sacramento Kings, hotter than a California wildfire with a 39-28 record, march into the icy Canadian tundra to take on the Toronto Raptors, who are currently nursing a 23-45 record and a bruised ego. The action is going down at the Scotiabank Arena, with the ball set to hit the hardwood at 07:30PM EST. The Kings are breathing down the necks of the Western conference leaders, just 3 games behind, while the Raptors, 31 games back, are trying to claw their way up the Eastern conference. The bookies are calling it 233.5 on the over/under, favoring the Kings at -9.5, and leaving the Raptors as the underdogs at 9.5. The Raptors, still licking their wounds from a 96-111 defeat against ORL, are hoping to turn the tides, while the Kings, fresh off a 121-111 victory over MEM, are looking to continue their reign. So, buckle up folks, because tonight, it’s a battle of the Kings’ court against the Raptors’ roar!
Game Breakdown
Game Time: March 20, 2024 07:30PM EST
Location: Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Vegas Odds
SAC ML | TOR ML | Over/Under | Line | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Open | -420 | +315 | 231.5 | -9.5/9.5 |
Recent | -625 | +430 | 233.5 | -11.5/11.5 |
Difference | -205 | +115 | +2.0 | – |
Team Performance

86.2% Win Probability

13.8% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
Date | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final | O/U | ATS | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
01/05/24 | Toronto Raptors TOR | 27 | 30 | 40 | 33 | 130 | Over | ![]() |
|
Sacramento Kings SAC | 36 | 41 | 30 | 28 | 135 | ||||
01/25/23 | Toronto Raptors TOR | 24 | 34 | 26 | 29 | 113 | Under | ![]() |
|
Sacramento Kings SAC | 23 | 27 | 17 | 28 | 95 | ||||
12/14/22 | Sacramento Kings SAC | 23 | 36 | 29 | 36 | 124 | Over | ![]() |
|
Toronto Raptors TOR | 31 | 31 | 32 | 29 | 123 | ||||
12/13/21 | Sacramento Kings SAC | 22 | 23 | 24 | 32 | 101 | Under | ![]() |
|
Toronto Raptors TOR | 30 | 40 | 23 | 31 | 124 | ||||
11/19/21 | Toronto Raptors TOR | 30 | 33 | 33 | 12 | 108 | Under | ![]() |
|
Sacramento Kings SAC | 27 | 18 | 21 | 23 | 89 |
Kings Vs Over/Under
Raptors Vs Over/Under
Kings Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03/18 | @ MEM | 121-111W | 59 | 30 | 17 | 94 |
03/16 | @ NYK | 91-98L | 42 | 22 | 12 | 86 |
03/13 | @ LAL | 120-107W | 44 | 30 | 12 | 88 |
03/12 | @ MIL | 129-94W | 51 | 34 | 8 | 93 |
03/10 | @ HOU | 104-112L | 44 | 24 | 12 | 89 |
03/07 | @ SAS | 131-129W | 46 | 31 | 13 | 103 |
03/06 | vs LAL | 130-122W | 46 | 32 | 13 | 97 |
03/04 | @ CHI | 109-113L | 51 | 29 | 17 | 94 |
03/01 | vs MIN | 124-120W | 45 | 29 | 7 | 100 |
02/28 | vs DEN | 96-119L | 43 | 28 | 14 | 96 |
Raptors Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03/17 | vs ORL | 96-111L | 37 | 23 | 18 | 84 |
03/15 | @ ORL | 103-113L | 40 | 24 | 15 | 81 |
03/13 | vs DET | 104-113L | 37 | 32 | 11 | 94 |
03/11 | vs DEN | 119-125L | 42 | 30 | 11 | 93 |
03/09 | vs POR | 118-128L | 43 | 29 | 20 | 92 |
03/07 | vs PHX | 113-120L | 36 | 30 | 9 | 95 |
03/05 | @ NOP | 98-141L | 45 | 21 | 11 | 93 |
03/03 | @ CHA | 111-106W | 45 | 27 | 14 | 92 |
03/01 | @ GSW | 105-120L | 47 | 31 | 14 | 97 |
02/28 | @ DAL | 125-136L | 44 | 34 | 11 | 99 |
Starting Lineups
Sacramento Kings | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24.7 | 23.1 | 21.3 | 93% | 21.6 | |
Keon Ellis
SG
|
23.0 | 19.4 | 11.3 | 13% | 21.4 |
De’Aaron Fox
PG
|
51.6 | 45.2 | 43.6 | 93% | 44.2 |
32.0 | 27.0 | 26.5 | 93% | 28.0 | |
61.0 | 54.2 | 53.6 | 93% | 53.5 |
Toronto Raptors | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ochai Agbaji
PF
|
19.9 | 13.7 | 10.4 | 27% | 14.5 |
Bruce Brown
PG
|
35.2 | 23.1 | 21.2 | 43% | 27.7 |
Gradey Dick
SF
|
28.2 | 19.1 | 15.5 | 17% | 19.1 |
36.2 | 33.5 | 24.0 | 23% | 32.6 | |
36.2 | 34.9 | 23.1 | 83% | 24.5 |
Kings Notable Injuries
- Kevin Huerter (SG): Avg: 10.4pts, 3.5reb, 2.6ast, 24.5 minutes. Last game: 03/18/24. Impact: 2.6
- Trey Lyles (PF/C): Avg: 7.0pts, 4.3reb, 1.1ast, 19.4 minutes. Last game: 03/12/24. Impact: 2.1
- JaVale McGee (C): Avg: 4.3pts, 2.8reb, 0.4ast, 9.0 minutes. Last game: 03/12/24. Impact: 1.2
- Colby Jones (SG/SF): Avg: 2.2pts, 1.4reb, 0.6ast, 6.9 minutes. Last game: 03/13/24. Impact: 0.8
- Jalen Slawson (PF): Avg: 0.7pts, 0.8reb, 0.3ast, 3.4 minutes. Last game: 03/12/24. Impact: 0.4
Raptors Notable Injuries
- RJ Barrett (SF): Avg: 19.7pts, 5.2reb, 3.3ast, 31.7 minutes. Last game: 03/11/24. Impact: 6.0
- Immanuel Quickley (PG): Avg: 16.6pts, 3.7reb, 4.7ast, 29.0 minutes. Last game: 03/17/24. Impact: 6.9
- Chris Boucher (C): Avg: 6.4pts, 4.2reb, 0.5ast, 14.2 minutes. Last game: 03/09/24. Impact: 2.6
- Mouhamadou Gueye (C): Avg: 1.0pts, 2.5reb, 0.0ast, 4.8 minutes. Last game: 03/05/24. Impact: 1.0
- D.J. Carton (PG): Avg: 2.8pts, 1.0reb, 0.8ast, 8.9 minutes. Last game: 03/05/24. Impact: 0.9
Top Player Props
This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.
Stat | Over % | Opposing Defense/Game | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Player | Team | Prop | Line | Proj | Diff | L5 | L10 | L15 | L30 | Opp | Stat | Rank |
Keegan Murray | SAC | Pts | 14.5 | 16.5 | +2.0 | 40% | 50% | 40% | 40% | TOR | +5.4 | #29 |
De’Aaron Fox | SAC | Pts | 27.5 | 29.4 | +1.9 | 20% | 40% | 47% | 47% | TOR | -0.2 | #17 |
Kelly Olynyk | TOR | Reb | 6.5 | 7.4 | +0.9 | 20% | 20% | 13% | 13% | SAC | -1.7 | #3 |
Gary Trent Jr. | TOR | Reb | 3.5 | 4.2 | +0.7 | 60% | 70% | 53% | 53% | SAC | -1.1 | #1 |
Domantas Sabonis | SAC | Ast | 8.5 | 9.5 | +1.0 | 20% | 30% | 47% | 47% | TOR | +0.5 | #21 |
Harrison Barnes | SAC | Ast | 0.5 | 1.4 | +0.9 | 60% | 60% | 47% | 47% | TOR | +0.8 | #25 |
Kings Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #10 | #3 | #20 | #12 | -3.5% |
PF | #19 | #23 | #25 | #20 | 4.1% |
PG | #24 | #2 | #23 | #13 | -1.4% |
SF | #20 | #6 | #3 | #9 | -7.8% |
SG | #14 | #1 | #13 | #8 | -6.6% |
Raptors Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #27 | #30 | #21 | #30 | 15.0% |
PF | #27 | #28 | #24 | #29 | 10.6% |
PG | #13 | #14 | #9 | #10 | -5.5% |
SF | #29 | #24 | #25 | #28 | 13.3% |
SG | #17 | #23 | #11 | #16 | 1.2% |

Team Comparison

Recent Trends
- Keon Ellis (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 46.6% to 30.4, 20.7 min average previous 3 games.
- Trey Lyles (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 34.8% to 15.3, 23.5 min average previous 3 games.
- Jordan Nwora (PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 91.2% to 20.8, 10.9 min average previous 3 games.
- Jontay Porter (C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 54.1% to 23.4, 15.2 min average previous 3 games.
- Jahmi’us Ramsey (SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 53.8% to 18.8, 12.2 min average previous 3 games. Overall, they are on a 7-game losing streak.
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