Kings vs Wizards Game Breakdown & Projections – Thu, Mar 21st 2024
Kings
40W-28L
March 21, 2024
07:00PM EST
Odds: 237.0 o/u
Wizards
11W-58L
Alright hoop-heads, buckle up for a royal rumble in the nation’s capital tonight! Our 40-win Sacramento Kings are taking a cross-country jaunt to square off against the Washington Wizards, who’ve been practicing their disappearing act with only 11 wins this season. The Kings, just a few three-pointers shy of the Western conference lead, are ready to shake the foundations of the Capital One Arena at 7PM sharp, Eastern Time. Meanwhile, the Wizards, languishing about as far back in the East as you can get without needing a passport, are hoping to pull a rabbit out of their hat. The bookies have set the over/under at a whopping 237, so expect a flurry of buckets. The Kings are favored by 11, but don’t count the Wizards out – they may have stumbled against Houston, but remember, even a broken wand can still cast a spell. On the other hand, the Kings are fresh off a royal thrashing of Toronto, so they’re coming in hotter than a Sacramento summer. As the Kings aim to conquer the Wizards’ court, let’s hope they don’t end up playing checkers on a chessboard!
Game Breakdown
Game Time: March 21, 2024 07:00PM EST
Location: Capital One Arena, Washington
Vegas Odds
SAC ML | WAS ML | Over/Under | Line | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Open | -575 | +400 | 237.5 | -11.0/11.0 |
Recent | -350 | +275 | 237.0 | -11.5/11.5 |
Difference | +225 | -125 | -0.5 | – |
Team Performance
77.8% Win Probability
22.2% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
Date | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final | O/U | ATS | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12/18/23 | Washington Wizards WAS | 31 | 25 | 35 | 40 | 131 | Over | ||
Sacramento Kings SAC | 27 | 39 | 46 | 31 | 143 | ||||
03/18/23 | Sacramento Kings SAC | 37 | 34 | 33 | 28 | 132 | Over | ||
Washington Wizards WAS | 33 | 27 | 32 | 26 | 118 | ||||
12/23/22 | Washington Wizards WAS | 28 | 40 | 34 | 23 | 125 | Under | ||
Sacramento Kings SAC | 27 | 23 | 33 | 28 | 111 | ||||
02/12/22 | Sacramento Kings SAC | 24 | 35 | 33 | 31 | 123 | Under | ||
Washington Wizards WAS | 29 | 36 | 23 | 22 | 110 | ||||
12/15/21 | Washington Wizards WAS | 32 | 25 | 32 | 16 | 105 | Under | ||
Sacramento Kings SAC | 27 | 29 | 28 | 35 | 119 |
Kings Vs Over/Under
Wizards Vs Over/Under
Kings Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03/20 | vs TOR | 123-89W | 53 | 32 | 15 | 93 |
03/18 | @ MEM | 121-111W | 59 | 30 | 17 | 94 |
03/16 | @ NYK | 91-98L | 42 | 22 | 12 | 86 |
03/13 | @ LAL | 120-107W | 44 | 30 | 12 | 88 |
03/12 | @ MIL | 129-94W | 51 | 34 | 8 | 93 |
03/10 | @ HOU | 104-112L | 44 | 24 | 12 | 89 |
03/07 | @ SAS | 131-129W | 46 | 31 | 13 | 103 |
03/06 | vs LAL | 130-122W | 46 | 32 | 13 | 97 |
03/04 | @ CHI | 109-113L | 51 | 29 | 17 | 94 |
03/01 | vs MIN | 124-120W | 45 | 29 | 7 | 100 |
Wizards Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03/19 | @ HOU | 114-137L | 44 | 24 | 10 | 98 |
03/17 | @ BOS | 104-130L | 40 | 24 | 16 | 89 |
03/16 | vs CHI | 98-127L | 32 | 27 | 15 | 84 |
03/14 | vs HOU | 119-135L | 32 | 29 | 13 | 93 |
03/12 | vs MEM | 97-94W | 28 | 26 | 13 | 78 |
03/10 | vs MIA | 110-108W | 40 | 35 | 15 | 81 |
03/08 | @ CHA | 112-100W | 54 | 25 | 11 | 89 |
03/06 | @ ORL | 109-119L | 35 | 26 | 9 | 88 |
03/04 | vs UTA | 115-127L | 43 | 26 | 15 | 94 |
03/01 | vs LAC | 115-140L | 39 | 29 | 9 | 98 |
Starting Lineups
Sacramento Kings | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24.0 | 26.1 | 21.7 | 93% | 22.1 | |
Keon Ellis
SG
|
22.8 | 22.6 | 11.7 | 17% | 21.4 |
De’Aaron Fox
PG
|
52.3 | 45.4 | 43.5 | 93% | 44.1 |
32.7 | 30.9 | 26.1 | 93% | 27.5 | |
63.3 | 52.1 | 54.2 | 93% | 54.1 |
Washington Wizards | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Deni Avdija
SF
|
38.9 | 31.1 | 32.5 | 100% | 32.2 |
Johnny Davis
SG
|
7.9 | 8.2 | 5.0 | 3% | 5.2 |
21.3 | 23.4 | 11.3 | 20% | 22.5 | |
Kyle Kuzma
PF
|
41.3 | 32.5 | 38.7 | 100% | 37.4 |
Jordan Poole
PG
|
36.2 | 29.1 | 28.6 | 57% | 25.7 |
Kings Notable Injuries
- Kevin Huerter (SG): Avg: 10.4pts, 3.5reb, 2.6ast, 24.5 minutes. Last game: 03/18/24. Impact: 2.6
- Trey Lyles (PF/C): Avg: 7.0pts, 4.3reb, 1.1ast, 19.4 minutes. Last game: 03/12/24. Impact: 2.1
- JaVale McGee (C): Avg: 4.2pts, 2.8reb, 0.4ast, 8.9 minutes. Last game: 03/20/24. Impact: 1.2
- Colby Jones (SG/SF): Avg: 2.1pts, 1.4reb, 0.6ast, 6.9 minutes. Last game: 03/20/24. Impact: 0.7
- Jalen Slawson (PF): Avg: 0.9pts, 1.0reb, 0.3ast, 4.1 minutes. Last game: 03/20/24. Impact: 0.5
Wizards Notable Injuries
- Tyus Jones (PG): Avg: 11.8pts, 2.7reb, 7.1ast, 28.7 minutes. Last game: 03/14/24. Impact: 4.1
- Bilal Coulibaly (SG): Avg: 8.3pts, 4.1reb, 1.7ast, 26.9 minutes. Last game: 03/16/24. Impact: 3.2
- Landry Shamet (PG/SG): Avg: 7.1pts, 1.3reb, 1.2ast, 15.7 minutes. Last game: 03/10/24. Impact: 1.6
- Eugene Omoruyi (PF/C): Avg: 4.2pts, 2.0reb, 0.8ast, 7.9 minutes. Last game: 03/17/24. Impact: 1.2
Top Player Props
This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.
Stat | Over % | Opposing Defense/Game | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Player | Team | Prop | Line | Proj | Diff | L5 | L10 | L15 | L30 | Opp | Stat | Rank |
Keegan Murray | SAC | Pts | 13.5 | 16.8 | +3.3 | 40% | 40% | 40% | 40% | WAS | +3.8 | #27 |
De’Aaron Fox | SAC | Pts | 26.5 | 29.7 | +3.2 | 20% | 40% | 53% | 53% | WAS | +2.1 | #25 |
Domantas Sabonis | SAC | Reb | 15.5 | 16.5 | +1.0 | 60% | 60% | 40% | 40% | WAS | -0.0 | #16 |
Harrison Barnes | SAC | Reb | 2.5 | 3.4 | +0.9 | 60% | 30% | 40% | 40% | WAS | +1.0 | #23 |
Deni Avdija | WAS | Ast | 3.5 | 4.6 | +1.1 | 20% | 30% | 33% | 33% | SAC | -1.2 | #3 |
Kings Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #10 | #3 | #21 | #11 | -5.4% |
PF | #18 | #15 | #24 | #17 | 1.3% |
PG | #23 | #4 | #19 | #12 | -2.6% |
SF | #20 | #6 | #3 | #7 | -9.0% |
SG | #10 | #1 | #12 | #9 | -6.7% |
Wizards Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #28 | #16 | #10 | #21 | 3.8% |
PF | #28 | #27 | #25 | #30 | 13.0% |
PG | #22 | #22 | #18 | #26 | 10.3% |
SF | #27 | #23 | #22 | #24 | 9.0% |
SG | #25 | #30 | #30 | #28 | 11.3% |
Team Comparison
Recent Trends
- Domantas Sabonis (C) is coming off a triple-double where he put up 13.0 pts, 17.0 reb, 10.0 ast against TOR
- Patrick Baldwin Jr. (PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 99.6% to 22.9, 11.5 min average previous 3 games.
- Jared Butler (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 91.6% to 24.9, 13.0 min average previous 3 games.
- Bilal Coulibaly (SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 59.2% to 32.2, 20.2 min average previous 3 games.
- Isaiah Livers (PF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 45.2% to 16.2, 29.7 min average previous 3 games.
- Trey Lyles (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 34.8% to 15.3, 23.5 min average previous 3 games.
- Landry Shamet (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 38.1% to 13.6, 22.0 min average previous 3 games. The Wizards have a 2-game losing streak at home. Overall, they are on a 5-game losing streak.
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