Spurs vs Nuggets Game Breakdown & Projections – Tue, Apr 2nd 2024

Get ready for a Texas-sized showdown in the Mile High City tonight, folks! Our beloved San Antonio Spurs, who’ve been playing the underdog card all season with an 18W-57L record, are gearing up to go mano a mano with the Denver Nuggets, a team that’s been smashing records left, right, and center with a whopping 52W-23L. The Spurs, trailing a staggering 27.5 games in the Western conference, are about to face the Nuggets, who are just a half-game away from the top spot in the same conference. The stakes are high and the odds are wild, with the over/under set at 223.5, and the Spurs and Nuggets lines at 16.5 and -16.5 respectively. Fresh off a crushing 130-101 victory over CLE, the Nuggets are looking to keep the momentum going, while the Spurs, still licking their wounds from a 113-117 loss to GSW, are hungry for a redemption game. So, buckle up and prepare for a showdown that promises to be more explosive than a gold rush in the Wild West. After all, it’s not every day you see a Nugget trying to outshine a Spur!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: April 02, 2024 09:00PM EST

Location: Ball Arena, Denver

Vegas Odds

	SAS ML	DEN ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+950	-2000	222.5	16.5/-16.5
Recent	+900	-1900	223.5	16.0/-16.0
Difference	-50	+100	+1.0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

4W-6L

AWAY

8W-28L

10.0% Win Probability

LAST 10

7W-3L

HOME

30W-8L

90.0% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	O/U
03/15/24	Denver Nuggets DEN	37	21	28	31	117	Under
03/15/24	San Antonio Spurs SAS	18	31	30	27	106	Under
11/26/23	San Antonio Spurs SAS	35	25	24	36	120	Over
11/26/23	Denver Nuggets DEN	39	33	35	25	132	Over
03/10/23	Denver Nuggets DEN	38	29	26	27	120	Over
03/10/23	San Antonio Spurs SAS	26	42	30	30	128	Over
11/07/22	Denver Nuggets DEN	28	37	29	21	115	Over
11/07/22	San Antonio Spurs SAS	28	34	27	20	109	Over
11/05/22	San Antonio Spurs SAS	27	24	25	25	101	Over
11/05/22	Denver Nuggets DEN	40	30	29	27	126	Over
04/05/22	San Antonio Spurs SAS	32	32	21	31	116	Under
04/05/22	Denver Nuggets DEN	30	14	35	18	97	Under
12/11/21	Denver Nuggets DEN	28	44	31	24	127	Over
12/11/21	San Antonio Spurs SAS	29	27	18	38	112	Over
12/09/21	Denver Nuggets DEN	29	36	25	21	111	Over
12/09/21	San Antonio Spurs SAS	37	37	26	23	123	Over
10/22/21	San Antonio Spurs SAS	22	28	20	26	96	Under
10/22/21	Denver Nuggets DEN	26	27	26	23	102	Under

Spurs Vs Over/Under

Nuggets Vs Over/Under

Spurs Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
03/31	@ GSW	113-117L	45	31	19	89
03/29	@ NYK	130-126W	46	34	15	83
03/27	vs UTA	118-111W	41	40	21	86
03/25	@ PHX	104-102W	40	23	7	91
03/23	@ PHX	106-131L	34	27	15	85
03/22	@ MEM	97-99L	56	24	16	97
03/19	@ DAL	107-113L	48	31	15	89
03/17	@ BRO	122-115W	50	30	17	99
03/15	@ DEN	106-117L	44	23	16	82
03/12	@ HOU	101-103L	42	30	13	84

Nuggets Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
03/31	@ CLE	130-101W	51	36	16	87
03/29	@ MIN	98-111L	46	29	12	88
03/27	@ PHX	97-104L	38	24	8	88
03/25	@ MEM	128-103W	50	38	15	90
03/23	vs POR	114-111W	49	25	13	92
03/21	@ NYK	113-100W	42	31	9	85
03/19	vs MIN	115-112W	49	26	17	81
03/17	vs DAL	105-107L	37	26	7	84
03/15	vs SAS	117-106W	40	37	12	90
03/13	vs MIA	100-88W	41	24	9	82

Starting Lineups

San Antonio Spurs	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Malaki Branham SG	22.9	13.9	14.6	10%	27.0
Julian Champagnie SF	23.2	19.1	14.7	100%	14.8
Tre Jones PG	29.2	21.1	26.7	100%	26.0
Cedi Osman PF	26.6	17.2	12.2	3%	25.0
Victor Wembanyama C	54.3	56.5	51.3	100%	50.0

Denver Nuggets	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
K. Caldwell-Pope SG	23.2	24.4	20.1	100%	20.4
Aaron Gordon PF	33.6	32.4	28.9	100%	29.3
Nikola Jokic C	63.2	62.1	59.5	100%	59.8
Jamal Murray PG	42.9	39.8	39.5	100%	40.0
Michael Porter Jr. SF	34.2	27.8	31.1	100%	31.4

Spurs Notable Injuries

Devin Vassell (PG/SG): Avg: 19.6pts, 3.9reb, 4.0ast, 33.0 minutes. Last game: 03/29/24. Impact: 6.0
Keldon Johnson (SF): Avg: 15.8pts, 5.5reb, 2.8ast, 29.6 minutes. Last game: 03/29/24. Impact: 4.5
Jeremy Sochan (SF/PF): Avg: 11.3pts, 6.4reb, 3.3ast, 29.5 minutes. Last game: 03/29/24. Impact: 5.0
Dominick Barlow (PF/C): Avg: 4.5pts, 3.5reb, 1.1ast, 12.8 minutes. Last game: 03/27/24. Impact: 1.7

Nuggets Notable Injuries

Julian Strawther (SG/SF): Avg: 4.8pts, 1.2reb, 1.0ast, 11.5 minutes. Last game: 03/31/24. Impact: 0.6
Jalen Pickett (PG): Avg: 1.7pts, 0.5reb, 0.8ast, 4.7 minutes. Last game: 03/31/24. Impact: 0.4
Braxton Key (PF): Avg: 1.1pts, 0.8reb, 0.5ast, 3.1 minutes. Last game: 03/29/24. Impact: 0.5
Jay Huff (C): Avg: 1.2pts, 0.6reb, 0.1ast, 2.7 minutes. Last game: 03/31/24. Impact: 0.4
Hunter Tyson (PF): Avg: 1.3pts, 0.6reb, 0.1ast, 2.9 minutes. Last game: 03/31/24. Impact: 0.5

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Tre Jones	SAS	Pts	9.5	11.0	+1.5	60%	70%	47%	47%	DEN	-0.6	#12
Nikola Jokic	DEN	Pts	26.5	27.7	+1.2	60%	60%	53%	53%	SAS	+2.5	#26
Michael Porter Jr.	DEN	Reb	6.5	7.7	+1.2	40%	60%	60%	60%	SAS	-0.5	#12
Victor Wembanyama	SAS	Reb	10.5	11.3	+0.8	40%	50%	60%	60%	DEN	-2.1	#2
Julian Champagnie	SAS	Ast	1.5	2.1	+0.6	60%	30%	33%	33%	DEN	+1.3	#27
Malaki Branham	SAS	Ast	2.5	3.0	+0.5	40%	20%	27%	27%	DEN	-0.2	#12

View All Player Prop Projections

Spurs Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#26	#14	#25	#26	7.5%
PF	#5	#19	#6	#5	-8.7%
PG	#14	#18	#20	#23	9.2%
SF	#2	#12	#7	#3	-26.3%
SG	#26	#18	#24	#27	7.8%

Nuggets Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#21	#2	#12	#15	-1.5%
PF	#7	#12	#9	#8	-5.7%
PG	#1	#27	#23	#5	-20.3%
SF	#27	#24	#27	#29	17.7%
SG	#12	#10	#12	#8	-4.4%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

111.9

114.7

Rebounds per Game

45.1

43.8

Assists per Game

30.0

30.3

Steals per Game

6.7

7.6

Blocks per Game

6.3

5.1

Shots per Game

88.5

88.2

3-Pointers Made per Game

12.5

11.6

2-Pt Percentage per Game

54.2

55.3

3-Pt Percentage per Game

35.7

39.6

Turnovers per Game

15.0

11.5

Fouls per Game

16.5

17.9

Recent Trends

Victor Wembanyama (C) is on a notable streak, exceeding 30 points in 2 consecutive games.
Nikola Jokic (C) is coming off a triple-double where he put up 26.0 pts, 18.0 reb, 16.0 ast against CLE
Malaki Branham (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 50.0% to 23.4, 15.6 min average previous 3 games.
Julian Champagnie (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 59.2% to 32.6, 20.5 min average previous 3 games.
David Duke Jr. (SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 44.1% to 16.2, 11.2 min average previous 3 games.
Reggie Jackson (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 34.8% to 29.6, 22.0 min average previous 3 games.
Cedi Osman (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 49.0% to 25.2, 16.9 min average previous 3 games.