Spurs vs Grizzlies Game Breakdown

Get ready to rumble at the FedEx Forum tonight as the NBA playoffs heat up with the San Antonio Spurs charging into the lion’s den to face the Memphis Grizzlies in a clash that promises to elevate the excitement from this season’s first round blowouts. With the Spurs looking to sharpen their claws after a narrow defeat and the Grizzlies riding high on a recent victory, the stakes are sky-high. The scoreboard anticipates a shower of points with an over/under of 240.5, setting the stage for a showdown at 09:00 PM EST that could redefine the pecking order in the Western conference. As the Spurs try to lasso a win against the odds and the Grizzlies aim to bear down and protect their turf, tonight’s game could very well be a case of survival of the fittest—or should we say, survival of the Grizzliest!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: February 03, 2025 09:00PM EST

Location: FedEx Forum, Memphis

Vegas Odds

	SAS ML	MEM ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+195	-235	239.5	6.0/-6.0
Recent	+160	-185	240.5	5.0/-5.0
Difference	-35	+50	+1.0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

3W-7L

AWAY

18W-40L

38.5% Win Probability

LAST 10

8W-2L

HOME

27W-35L

61.5% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final	O/U
01/17/25	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	27	35	40	38	00	140	Over
01/17/25	San Antonio Spurs SAS	29	35	22	26	00	112	Over
01/15/25	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	28	23	43	35	00	129	Over
01/15/25	San Antonio Spurs SAS	30	33	25	27	00	115	Over
04/09/24	San Antonio Spurs SAS	16	32	29	25	00	102	Under
04/09/24	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	25	24	12	26	00	87	Under
03/22/24	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	18	25	28	28	00	99	Under
03/22/24	San Antonio Spurs SAS	30	14	24	29	00	97	Under
01/02/24	San Antonio Spurs SAS	23	17	28	30	00	98	Under
01/02/24	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	20	27	33	26	00	106	Under
11/18/23	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	26	25	36	33	00	120	Under
11/18/23	San Antonio Spurs SAS	35	33	26	14	00	108	Under
03/17/23	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	26	20	35	28	170	126	Over
03/17/23	San Antonio Spurs SAS	35	34	24	16	110	120	Over
01/11/23	San Antonio Spurs SAS	37	25	35	32	00	129	Over
01/11/23	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	32	44	36	23	00	135	Over
01/09/23	San Antonio Spurs SAS	25	36	31	21	00	113	Under
01/09/23	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	35	37	25	24	00	121	Under
11/09/22	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	38	28	23	23	120	124	Over
11/09/22	San Antonio Spurs SAS	32	27	35	18	100	122	Over
03/30/22	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	31	34	28	19	00	112	Under
03/30/22	San Antonio Spurs SAS	27	25	34	25	00	111	Under
02/28/22	San Antonio Spurs SAS	34	24	27	20	00	105	Under
02/28/22	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	42	26	28	22	00	118	Under
01/26/22	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	34	27	33	24	00	118	Under
01/26/22	San Antonio Spurs SAS	25	33	28	24	00	110	Under
12/31/21	San Antonio Spurs SAS	26	35	18	26	00	105	Under
12/31/21	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	32	31	27	28	00	118	Under

Spurs Vs Over/Under

Grizzlies Vs Over/Under

Spurs Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
02/01	@ MIA	103-105L	48	27	10	91
01/31	@ MIL	144-118W	53	37	4	102
01/29	@ LAC	116-128L	30	27	9	87
01/23	vs IND	140-110W	57	43	19	96
01/19	vs MIA	107-128L	44	28	14	91
01/17	@ MEM	112-140L	40	29	17	84
01/15	@ MEM	115-129L	44	22	11	89
01/13	vs LAL	126-102W	41	30	10	90
01/08	vs MIL	105-121L	46	24	9	95
01/06	vs CHI	110-114L	49	31	17	95

Grizzlies Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
02/02	vs MIL	132-119W	61	37	11	107
01/30	@ HOU	120-119W	37	23	11	93
01/27	vs NYK	106-143L	47	21	26	91
01/24	@ NOP	139-126W	43	38	12	101
01/22	@ CHA	132-120W	40	36	16	98
01/20	@ MIN	108-106W	47	19	13	86
01/17	vs SAS	140-112W	41	39	7	97
01/15	vs SAS	129-115W	52	28	8	103
01/13	vs HOU	118-120L	31	15	17	85
01/11	vs MIN	127-125W	46	25	13	108

Starting Lineups

San Antonio Spurs	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Harrison Barnes PF	24.0	28.6	22.3	100%	22.6
Stephon Castle SG	29.0	25.4	23.4	70%	27.2
Chris Paul PG	31.0	29.1	30.0	100%	30.3
Devin Vassell SF	33.0	30.9	30.2	67%	32.8
Victor Wembanyama C	56.0	54.8	55.8	100%	56.1

Memphis Grizzlies	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Desmond Bane SG	41.0	39.2	36.6	100%	37.0
Zach Edey C	19.0	25.1	21.6	77%	20.3
Jaren Jackson Jr. PF	42.0	39.2	40.7	100%	41.1
Jaylen Wells SF	21.0	19.1	20.2	100%	20.5

Spurs Notable Injuries

Tre Jones (PG): Avg: 8.7pts, 3.4reb, 5.7ast, 25.0 minutes. Last game: 02/01/25. Impact: 2.5
Zach Collins (C): Avg: 8.9pts, 4.5reb, 2.3ast, 18.7 minutes. Last game: 02/01/25. Impact: 1.1
Malaki Branham (PG/SG): Avg: 8.1pts, 1.8reb, 1.8ast, 18.2 minutes. Last game: 01/31/25. Impact: 0.5
Sidy Cissoko (SG/SF): Avg: 2.4pts, 1.0reb, 0.4ast, 5.9 minutes. Last game: 01/31/25. Impact: 0.5

Grizzlies Notable Injuries

Ja Morant (PG): Avg: 21.5pts, 4.5reb, 7.5ast, 29.9 minutes. Last game: 01/27/25. Impact: 6.1
John Konchar (SG/SF): Avg: 3.9pts, 4.4reb, 1.7ast, 19.3 minutes. Last game: 01/27/25. Impact: 2.1
Jay Huff (C): Avg: 5.7pts, 1.7reb, 0.5ast, 9.9 minutes. Last game: 01/27/25. Impact: 1.6

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Chris Paul	SAS	Pts	9.5	10.0	+0.5	60%	60%	40%	40%	MEM	-1.4	#6

View All Player Prop Projections

Spurs Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#30	#16	#15	#27	7.7%
PF	#15	#18	#22	#20	2.1%
PG	#1	#22	#29	#9	-3.3%
SF	#20	#29	#9	#25	4.9%
SG	#19	#29	#24	#28	5.3%

Grizzlies Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#19	#5	#13	#18	1.7%
PF	#27	#25	#27	#29	10.1%
PG	#6	#14	#6	#8	-3.5%
SF	#23	#17	#30	#28	9.0%
SG	#27	#4	#21	#20	3.7%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

115.6

125.6

Rebounds per Game

46.7

47.6

Assists per Game

30.0

29.0

Steals per Game

7.7

9.6

Blocks per Game

7.2

5.2

Shots per Game

92.0

94.7

3-Pointers Made per Game

13.9

14.9

2-Pt Percentage per Game

54.7

55.3

3-Pt Percentage per Game

35.3

39.3

Turnovers per Game

12.6

15.8

Fouls per Game

16.5

21.8

Recent Trends

Charles Bassey (C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 47.8% to 17.8, 12.0 min average previous 3 games.
David Duke Jr. (SG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 31.7% to 11.5, 16.9 min average previous 3 games.
Jake LaRavia (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 33.1% to 12.8, 19.1 min average previous 3 games.
Vince Williams Jr. (PF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 58.3% to 14.9, 35.8 min average previous 3 games.