Spurs vs Bucks Game Breakdown

Get ready for a sizzling showdown as the San Antonio Spurs gallop into the Fiserv Forum to duel with the Milwaukee Bucks in what’s shaping up to be a nail-biter in tonight’s NBA Playoff opener! With both teams locked at near-identical records and coming off dramatically different last games, the stage is set for a clash that could redefine the momentum of this first round. As the clock ticks down to a 10:30 PM EST tipoff, the air is thick with anticipation. Will the Spurs lasso victory away from the Bucks, or will Milwaukee plant their hooves firm and charge to a lead in this series? Tonight, it’s all about whether the Spurs can spur a surprise, or if the Bucks stop here!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: January 08, 2025 10:30PM EST

Location: Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee

Vegas Odds

	SAS ML	MIL ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+175	-210	222.0	5.0/-5.0
Recent	+150	-175	223.5	5.5/-5.5
Difference	-25	+35	+1.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

5W-5L

AWAY

16W-38L

40.0% Win Probability

LAST 10

5W-5L

HOME

42W-17L

60.0% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	O/U
01/04/24	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	38	26	29	32	125	Over
01/04/24	San Antonio Spurs SAS	31	28	34	28	121	Over
12/19/23	San Antonio Spurs SAS	26	33	26	34	119	Over
12/19/23	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	44	28	35	25	132	Over
03/22/23	San Antonio Spurs SAS	28	23	21	22	94	Over
03/22/23	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	33	33	34	30	130	Over
11/11/22	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	27	19	30	17	93	Under
11/11/22	San Antonio Spurs SAS	31	23	29	28	111	Under
10/30/21	San Antonio Spurs SAS	27	18	24	33	102	Under
10/30/21	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	24	23	20	26	93	Under
10/23/21	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	32	24	29	36	121	Over
10/23/21	San Antonio Spurs SAS	32	20	29	30	111	Over

Spurs Vs Over/Under

Bucks Vs Over/Under

Spurs Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
01/06	vs CHI	110-114L	49	31	17	95
01/04	@ DEN	111-122L	58	28	12	104
01/03	vs DEN	113-110W	56	31	13	99
12/31	@ LAC	122-86W	58	37	9	98
12/29	vs MIN	110-112L	41	25	9	87
12/27	vs BRO	96-87W	43	26	13	77
12/25	vs NYK	114-117L	45	33	15	83
12/21	@ POR	114-94W	49	33	12	93
12/19	@ ATL	133-126W	42	32	17	101
12/15	@ MIN	92-106L	50	34	18	91

Bucks Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
01/06	vs TOR	128-104W	46	37	21	82
01/04	@ POR	102-105L	43	25	11	95
01/02	@ BRO	110-113L	46	21	14	90
12/31	vs IND	120-112W	51	27	12	97
12/28	vs CHI	111-116L	43	27	7	102
12/26	@ BRO	105-111L	39	23	22	83
12/21	@ WAS	112-101W	44	35	11	98
12/20	vs CLE	101-124L	45	23	20	85
12/14	@ ATL	110-102W	47	28	12	86
12/10	@ ORL	114-109W	37	27	16	77

Starting Lineups

San Antonio Spurs	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Harrison Barnes PF	22.0	24.0	19.1	100%	19.5
Julian Champagnie SF	22.0	15.6	21.8	70%	24.4
Chris Paul PG	29.0	32.0	30.5	100%	30.8
Devin Vassell SG	33.0	33.1	30.4	67%	33.1
Victor Wembanyama C	61.0	60.0	55.6	100%	55.9

Milwaukee Bucks	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
G. Antetokounmpo PF	60.0	54.1	56.7	100%	57.1
Andre Jackson Jr. SG	12.0	10.6	11.0	80%	12.1
Damian Lillard PG	41.0	39.5	43.5	100%	43.9
Brook Lopez C	22.0	26.4	25.7	100%	26.1
Khris Middleton SF	25.0	27.4	32.6	83%	35.1

Spurs Notable Injuries

Jeremy Sochan (PF/C): Avg: 11.8pts, 6.7reb, 3.1ast, 29.5 minutes. Last game: 01/06/25. Impact: 4.4
Malaki Branham (PG/SG): Avg: 8.6pts, 1.8reb, 1.9ast, 19.1 minutes. Last game: 12/31/24. Impact: 1.1
Blake Wesley (PG/SG): Avg: 4.1pts, 1.3reb, 2.5ast, 13.4 minutes. Last game: 12/31/24. Impact: 1.7
Sandro Mamukelashvili (PF/C): Avg: 3.8pts, 3.0reb, 0.8ast, 9.4 minutes. Last game: 12/31/24. Impact: 1.6
Sidy Cissoko (SG/SF): Avg: 2.4pts, 1.1reb, 0.5ast, 6.3 minutes. Last game: 12/31/24. Impact: 0.7

Bucks Notable Injuries

Pat Connaughton (SF/PF): Avg: 5.5pts, 3.1reb, 2.1ast, 21.0 minutes. Last game: 01/06/25. Impact: 1.8
Delon Wright (PG/SG): Avg: 4.1pts, 1.9reb, 2.3ast, 16.3 minutes. Last game: 01/06/25. Impact: 1.5
Stanley Umude (SG): Avg: 4.2pts, 1.8reb, 0.4ast, 10.5 minutes. Last game: 01/06/25. Impact: 0.9
Marjon Beauchamp (PG/SF): Avg: 3.6pts, 1.7reb, 0.5ast, 10.2 minutes. Last game: 01/06/25. Impact: 0.6
Liam Robbins (C): Avg: 0.9pts, 1.0reb, 0.3ast, 5.0 minutes. Last game: 01/06/25. Impact: 0.6

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Harrison Barnes	SAS	Pts	10.5	12.9	+2.4	60%	40%	33%	33%	MIL	-0.5	#14
Giannis Antetokounmpo	MIL	Pts	29.5	31.0	+1.5	60%	80%	80%	80%	SAS	-2.6	#3
Victor Wembanyama	SAS	Reb	11.5	12.4	+0.9	60%	50%	47%	47%	MIL	-1.1	#7
Damian Lillard	MIL	Reb	3.5	4.0	+0.5	60%	70%	73%	73%	SAS	+0.1	#18

View All Player Prop Projections

Spurs Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#28	#19	#27	#22	5.4%
PF	#13	#23	#9	#16	-0.4%
PG	#2	#18	#13	#4	-9.5%
SF	#3	#13	#5	#3	-11.3%
SG	#27	#27	#24	#30	10.6%

Bucks Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#3	#7	#16	#2	-14.0%
PF	#9	#5	#13	#8	-4.3%
PG	#26	#27	#6	#13	-0.1%
SF	#14	#5	#10	#8	-6.4%
SG	#18	#30	#18	#20	2.7%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

114.1

113.4

Rebounds per Game

46.0

43.2

Assists per Game

30.2

26.0

Steals per Game

7.4

8.5

Blocks per Game

7.1

5.6

Shots per Game

90.4

86.8

3-Pointers Made per Game

14.1

15.1

2-Pt Percentage per Game

54.7

54.4

3-Pt Percentage per Game

34.4

39.8

Turnovers per Game

13.4

13.8

Fouls per Game

17.1

18.5

Recent Trends

Giannis Antetokounmpo (PF/C) is coming off a triple-double where he put up 11.0 pts, 12.0 reb, 13.0 ast against TOR
Julian Champagnie (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 34.9% to 21.3, 15.8 min average previous 3 games.
David Duke Jr. (SG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 31.7% to 11.5, 16.9 min average previous 3 games.
Jeremy Sochan (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 35.4% to 22.6, 34.9 min average previous 3 games.