Spurs vs Timberwolves Game Breakdown

Get ready for a sizzling showdown at the Target Center tonight as the San Antonio Spurs gallop into enemy territory to face off against the Minnesota Timberwolves in what’s shaping up to be a nail-biter of an NBA Playoff opener! Both squads are neck-and-neck this season, with the Spurs and Timberwolves almost mirroring each other’s records, and each team is hungry to prove they’re more than just middle-of-the-pack contenders. As the clock ticks down to the 9 PM tipoff, the air is buzzing—not just with the echoes of recent narrow victories but with the promise of a game that could finally break the first-round blowout curse. With the betting lines drawn and the stakes sky-high, tonight’s game is all set to be a howling good time as the Wolves look to defend their den against the charging Spurs!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: December 29, 2024 09:00PM EST

Location: Target Center, Minnesota

Vegas Odds

	SAS ML	MIN ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+220	-270	214.5	6.0/-6.0
Recent	+220	-270	214.5	6.0/-6.0
Difference	0	0	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

5W-5L

AWAY

15W-36L

31.2% Win Probability

LAST 10

7W-3L

HOME

36W-15L

68.8% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	O/U
12/15/24	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	28	24	24	30	106	Under
12/15/24	San Antonio Spurs SAS	19	18	33	22	92	Under
11/02/24	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	32	25	25	21	103	Over
11/02/24	San Antonio Spurs SAS	32	30	33	18	113	Over
12/06/23	San Antonio Spurs SAS	22	31	18	23	94	Under
12/06/23	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	25	21	25	31	102	Under
02/27/24	San Antonio Spurs SAS	21	22	24	38	105	Over
02/27/24	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	29	29	27	29	114	Over
01/27/24	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	36	28	26	22	112	Over
01/27/24	San Antonio Spurs SAS	23	29	28	33	113	Over
11/10/23	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	22	34	34	27	117	Over
11/10/23	San Antonio Spurs SAS	27	27	19	37	110	Over
04/08/23	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	35	45	39	32	151	Over
04/08/23	San Antonio Spurs SAS	35	33	23	40	131	Over
10/30/22	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	23	24	23	28	98	Under
10/30/22	San Antonio Spurs SAS	26	31	28	22	107	Under
10/26/22	San Antonio Spurs SAS	28	25	41	28	122	Over
10/26/22	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	39	29	34	32	134	Over
10/24/22	San Antonio Spurs SAS	39	28	36	12	115	Over
10/24/22	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	28	29	14	35	106	Over
04/07/22	San Antonio Spurs SAS	35	22	25	39	121	Over
04/07/22	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	30	34	33	30	127	Over
03/14/22	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	40	35	46	28	149	Over
03/14/22	San Antonio Spurs SAS	32	41	33	33	139	Over
11/18/21	San Antonio Spurs SAS	20	33	25	12	90	Under
11/18/21	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	34	32	27	22	115	Under

Spurs Vs Over/Under

Timberwolves Vs Over/Under

Spurs Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
12/27	vs BRO	96-87W	43	26	13	77
12/25	vs NYK	114-117L	45	33	15	83
12/21	@ POR	114-94W	49	33	12	93
12/19	@ ATL	133-126W	42	32	17	101
12/15	@ MIN	92-106L	50	34	18	91
12/13	vs POR	118-116W	41	32	14	85
12/08	@ NOP	121-116W	55	27	13	93
12/06	@ SAC	113-140L	42	28	14	91
12/05	@ CHI	124-139L	41	26	10	95
12/03	vs PHX	93-104L	53	26	14	100

Timberwolves Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
12/27	vs HOU	113-112W	39	25	14	83
12/25	vs DAL	105-99W	46	23	10	86
12/21	@ GSW	103-113L	45	27	15	86
12/19	@ NYK	107-133L	37	29	13	89
12/15	vs SAS	106-92W	51	26	12	100
12/13	@ LAL	97-87W	48	18	13	87
12/08	vs GSW	106-114L	39	22	14	79
12/06	vs GSW	107-90W	48	32	17	88
12/04	vs LAC	108-80W	50	31	14	85
12/02	@ LAL	109-80W	43	31	15	81

Starting Lineups

San Antonio Spurs	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Harrison Barnes SF	14.0	14.5	19.5	100%	19.9
Chris Paul PG	31.0	27.4	29.3	93%	29.6
Jeremy Sochan PF	33.0	37.4	31.7	90%	32.6
Devin Vassell SG	32.0	23.4	32.2	67%	35.9
Victor Wembanyama C	57.0	63.4	56.2	100%	56.5

Minnesota Timberwolves	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Mike Conley PG	24.0	17.8	23.4	100%	23.8
Anthony Edwards SG	47.0	40.4	43.7	100%	44.1
Rudy Gobert C	31.0	26.6	30.3	100%	30.6
Jaden McDaniels SF	25.0	24.2	22.9	100%	23.2
Julius Randle PF	40.0	38.2	37.6	100%	36.9

Spurs Notable Injuries

Malaki Branham (PG/SG): Avg: 8.6pts, 1.9reb, 1.9ast, 19.3 minutes. Last game: 12/21/24. Impact: 1.1
Blake Wesley (PG/SG): Avg: 4.1pts, 1.3reb, 2.5ast, 13.5 minutes. Last game: 12/21/24. Impact: 1.7
Sandro Mamukelashvili (PF/C): Avg: 3.8pts, 3.0reb, 0.8ast, 9.4 minutes. Last game: 12/21/24. Impact: 1.6
Sidy Cissoko (SG/SF): Avg: 2.4pts, 1.2reb, 0.4ast, 6.3 minutes. Last game: 12/21/24. Impact: 0.7

Timberwolves Notable Injuries

Luka Garza (C): Avg: 4.0pts, 1.1reb, 0.2ast, 4.8 minutes. Last game: 12/19/24. Impact: 1.1
Terrence Shannon Jr. (SG/SF): Avg: 1.9pts, 0.3reb, 0.7ast, 5.0 minutes. Last game: 12/19/24. Impact: 0.6
PJ Dozier (PF): Avg: 0.5pts, 0.7reb, 0.8ast, 4.1 minutes. Last game: 12/15/24. Impact: 0.8

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Donte DiVincenzo	MIN	Pts	9.5	12.7	+3.2	80%	50%	53%	53%	SAS	+2.2	#26
Jaden McDaniels	MIN	Pts	9.5	12.4	+2.9	40%	50%	60%	60%	SAS	-1.0	#11
Victor Wembanyama	SAS	Reb	10.5	11.5	+1.0	40%	40%	47%	47%	MIN	-1.1	#7
Chris Paul	SAS	Reb	3.5	4.3	+0.8	80%	80%	67%	67%	MIN	+1.2	#29
Jeremy Sochan	SAS	Ast	2.5	3.7	+1.2	80%	50%	60%	60%	MIN	-0.3	#13
Keldon Johnson	SAS	Ast	1.5	1.9	+0.4	40%	20%	40%	40%	MIN	-0.9	#2
Harrison Barnes	SAS	3Pt	0.5	1.2	+0.7	40%	50%	53%	53%	MIN	-0.5	#6

View All Player Prop Projections

Spurs Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#16	#10	#10	#9	-3.5%
PF	#11	#20	#4	#12	-2.9%
PG	#7	#15	#13	#9	-6.1%
SF	#5	#20	#10	#6	-6.8%
SG	#26	#26	#28	#27	10.6%

Timberwolves Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#18	#7	#28	#17	2.4%
PF	#1	#7	#13	#4	-11.1%
PG	#12	#29	#10	#18	1.3%
SF	#7	#4	#4	#5	-9.0%
SG	#8	#12	#2	#5	-8.7%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

112.6

109.4

Rebounds per Game

44.5

43.5

Assists per Game

29.4

25.1

Steals per Game

8.0

9.4

Blocks per Game

7.0

4.8

Shots per Game

88.3

87.0

3-Pointers Made per Game

14.4

14.9

2-Pt Percentage per Game

53.9

52.6

3-Pt Percentage per Game

35.7

37.5

Turnovers per Game

14.2

14.7

Fouls per Game

16.4

18.1

Recent Trends

Rob Dillingham (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 32.6% to 11.2, 16.6 min average previous 3 games.
Donte DiVincenzo (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 32.5% to 29.0, 21.8 min average previous 3 games.
David Duke Jr. (SG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 31.7% to 11.5, 16.9 min average previous 3 games.