Raptors vs Hawks Game Breakdown

Raptors
11W-32L

January 23, 2025
08:30PM EST
Odds: 233.5 o/u
Hawks
22W-21L


Get ready to rumble in the jungle of NBA playoffs as the underdog Toronto Raptors swoop into the vibrant State Farm Arena, looking to claw their way through the Atlanta Hawks tonight at 08:30PM EST. It’s a clash of David vs. Goliath, with the Raptors trying to shake off a rocky season and the Hawks aiming to bounce back from their recent stumble. With the stakes sky-high and the scoreboard expecting a shower of points, tonight’s game promises to be anything but a standard flight. As the Raptors try to spread their wings and the Hawks prepare to defend their nest, let’s see who truly soars above the court and who gets their feathers ruffled!
Game Breakdown
Game Time: January 23, 2025 08:30PM EST
Location: State Farm Arena, Atlanta
Vegas Odds
TOR ML | ATL ML | Over/Under | Line | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Open | +205 | -245 | 234.0 | 6.0/-6.0 |
Recent | +115 | -150 | 233.5 | 4.5/-4.5 |
Difference | -90 | +95 | -0.5 | – |
Team Performance

46.5% Win Probability

53.5% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
Date | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final | O/U | ATS | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12/29/24 | Atlanta Hawks ATL | 35 | 29 | 40 | 32 | 00 | 136 | Over | ![]() |
Toronto Raptors TOR | 25 | 33 | 24 | 25 | 00 | 107 | |||
02/23/24 | Toronto Raptors TOR | 33 | 32 | 31 | 27 | 00 | 123 | Over | ![]() |
Atlanta Hawks ATL | 22 | 42 | 26 | 31 | 00 | 121 | |||
01/28/24 | Toronto Raptors TOR | 26 | 35 | 34 | 30 | 00 | 125 | Over | ![]() |
Atlanta Hawks ATL | 34 | 23 | 40 | 29 | 00 | 126 | |||
12/15/23 | Atlanta Hawks ATL | 30 | 29 | 28 | 38 | 00 | 125 | Under | ![]() |
Toronto Raptors TOR | 24 | 25 | 29 | 26 | 00 | 104 | |||
12/13/23 | Atlanta Hawks ATL | 39 | 27 | 29 | 33 | 00 | 128 | Over | ![]() |
Toronto Raptors TOR | 31 | 33 | 39 | 32 | 00 | 135 | |||
01/14/23 | Atlanta Hawks ATL | 34 | 35 | 27 | 18 | 00 | 114 | Under | ![]() |
Toronto Raptors TOR | 25 | 32 | 22 | 24 | 00 | 103 | |||
11/19/22 | Toronto Raptors TOR | 31 | 31 | 27 | 22 | 110 | 122 | Over | ![]() |
Atlanta Hawks ATL | 29 | 26 | 27 | 29 | 130 | 124 | |||
10/31/22 | Atlanta Hawks ATL | 28 | 25 | 27 | 29 | 00 | 109 | Over | ![]() |
Toronto Raptors TOR | 34 | 30 | 31 | 44 | 00 | 139 | |||
04/05/22 | Atlanta Hawks ATL | 31 | 21 | 31 | 25 | 00 | 108 | Under | ![]() |
Toronto Raptors TOR | 27 | 29 | 33 | 29 | 00 | 118 | |||
02/26/22 | Toronto Raptors TOR | 37 | 21 | 16 | 26 | 00 | 100 | Under | ![]() |
Atlanta Hawks ATL | 32 | 34 | 38 | 23 | 00 | 127 | |||
02/04/22 | Atlanta Hawks ATL | 28 | 31 | 27 | 28 | 00 | 114 | Over | ![]() |
Toronto Raptors TOR | 39 | 21 | 36 | 29 | 00 | 125 | |||
01/31/22 | Toronto Raptors TOR | 25 | 23 | 32 | 26 | 00 | 106 | Under | ![]() |
Atlanta Hawks ATL | 24 | 33 | 15 | 28 | 00 | 100 |
Raptors Vs Over/Under
Hawks Vs Over/Under
Raptors Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
01/21 | @ ORL | 109-93W | 42 | 29 | 12 | 73 |
01/17 | vs MIL | 112-130L | 43 | 31 | 12 | 91 |
01/15 | @ BOS | 110-97W | 56 | 35 | 10 | 89 |
01/13 | @ GSW | 104-101W | 44 | 28 | 14 | 86 |
01/11 | vs DET | 114-123L | 45 | 27 | 12 | 92 |
01/09 | vs CLE | 126-132L | 37 | 34 | 12 | 89 |
01/08 | vs NYK | 98-112L | 33 | 25 | 16 | 77 |
01/06 | @ MIL | 104-128L | 35 | 27 | 15 | 91 |
01/03 | @ ORL | 97-106L | 37 | 28 | 11 | 80 |
01/01 | @ BRO | 130-113W | 39 | 36 | 10 | 88 |
Hawks Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
01/22 | @ DET | 104-114L | 47 | 25 | 13 | 103 |
01/20 | vs NYK | 110-119L | 41 | 23 | 23 | 85 |
01/18 | vs BOS | 119-115W | 55 | 27 | 17 | 93 |
01/15 | vs CHI | 110-94W | 51 | 28 | 9 | 100 |
01/14 | @ PHX | 122-117W | 54 | 22 | 12 | 98 |
01/09 | vs PHX | 115-123L | 32 | 32 | 11 | 86 |
01/07 | vs UTA | 124-121W | 44 | 35 | 10 | 98 |
01/04 | vs LAC | 105-131L | 43 | 30 | 22 | 88 |
01/03 | vs LAL | 102-119L | 39 | 22 | 8 | 100 |
01/01 | vs DEN | 120-139L | 44 | 34 | 13 | 100 |
Starting Lineups
Toronto Raptors | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
48.0 | 44.7 | 43.2 | 100% | 43.5 | |
RJ Barrett
SF
|
43.0 | 35.7 | 39.8 | 100% | 40.2 |
Gradey Dick
SG
|
23.0 | 20.4 | 24.2 | 100% | 24.6 |
17.0 | 16.0 | 16.7 | 47% | 21.4 | |
36.0 | 29.4 | 36.0 | 100% | 35.5 |
Atlanta Hawks | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
31.0 | 32.7 | 32.8 | 100% | 33.1 | |
41.0 | 36.9 | 44.5 | 100% | 44.9 | |
Vit Krejci
SF
|
18.0 | 24.1 | 14.7 | 40% | 22.6 |
33.0 | 40.5 | 26.4 | 7% | 30.4 | |
Trae Young
PG
|
43.0 | 45.8 | 46.6 | 100% | 46.9 |
Raptors Notable Injuries
- Immanuel Quickley (PG): Avg: 17.0pts, 3.7reb, 5.1ast, 29.2 minutes. Last game: 01/11/25. Impact: 5.5
- Chris Boucher (PF): Avg: 7.9pts, 4.3reb, 0.6ast, 15.4 minutes. Last game: 01/21/25. Impact: 3.0
- Jonathan Mogbo (PF/C): Avg: 5.1pts, 4.1reb, 1.5ast, 15.7 minutes. Last game: 01/17/25. Impact: 1.9
- Jamison Battle (SF): Avg: 4.8pts, 1.9reb, 0.8ast, 12.1 minutes. Last game: 01/21/25. Impact: 1.2
- Orlando Robinson (C): Avg: 2.2pts, 2.0reb, 1.0ast, 7.3 minutes. Last game: 01/21/25. Impact: 0.7
- Garrett Temple (SG): Avg: 2.3pts, 1.4reb, 0.8ast, 8.2 minutes. Last game: 01/21/25. Impact: 0.7
- AJ Lawson (PG): Avg: 2.5pts, 0.9reb, 0.3ast, 5.7 minutes. Last game: 01/21/25. Impact: 0.5
- Ulrich Chomche (C): Avg: 1.0pts, 1.0reb, 0.4ast, 3.2 minutes. Last game: 01/21/25. Impact: 0.5
Hawks Notable Injuries
- Daeqwon Plowden (SG/SF): Avg: 19.0pts, 4.0reb, 0.0ast, 25.2 minutes. Last game: 01/15/25. Impact: 4.3
- Zaccharie Risacher (SF/PF): Avg: 10.4pts, 3.6reb, 1.2ast, 23.9 minutes. Last game: 01/14/25. Impact: 2.8
- Keaton Wallace (PG): Avg: 6.4pts, 1.6reb, 2.3ast, 17.6 minutes. Last game: 01/15/25. Impact: 2.9
- David Roddy (PF): Avg: 6.1pts, 3.0reb, 1.2ast, 16.7 minutes. Last game: 01/15/25. Impact: 1.7
Top Player Props
This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.
Stat | Over % | Opposing Defense/Game | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Player | Team | Prop | Line | Proj | Diff | L5 | L10 | L15 | L30 | Opp | Stat | Rank |
RJ Barrett | TOR | Pts | 21.5 | 24.2 | +2.7 | 20% | 30% | 33% | 33% | ATL | -0.8 | #11 |
Jakob Poeltl | TOR | Pts | 12.5 | 14.0 | +1.5 | 40% | 40% | 47% | 47% | ATL | +1.9 | #24 |
Scottie Barnes | TOR | Reb | 7.5 | 8.6 | +1.1 | 80% | 70% | 67% | 67% | ATL | +0.7 | #28 |
Dyson Daniels | ATL | Reb | 4.5 | 5.5 | +1.0 | 40% | 40% | 53% | 53% | TOR | -0.5 | #5 |
Bruce Brown | TOR | Ast | 1.5 | 2.4 | +0.9 | 60% | 30% | 40% | 40% | ATL | +0.6 | #25 |
Gradey Dick | TOR | Ast | 1.5 | 1.8 | +0.3 | 60% | 60% | 67% | 67% | ATL | +0.6 | #25 |
Davion Mitchell | TOR | 3Pt | 0.5 | 1.1 | +0.6 | 60% | 60% | 60% | 60% | ATL | -0.1 | #15 |
Raptors Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #20 | #25 | #28 | #29 | 10.1% |
PF | #11 | #27 | #19 | #21 | 1.8% |
PG | #28 | #5 | #11 | #23 | 2.2% |
SF | #28 | #19 | #15 | #26 | 7.0% |
SG | #22 | #15 | #16 | #21 | 3.5% |
Hawks Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #24 | #16 | #27 | #23 | 5.4% |
PF | #12 | #17 | #24 | #19 | 1.2% |
PG | #16 | #14 | #17 | #15 | -0.2% |
SF | #30 | #28 | #25 | #30 | 13.6% |
SG | #11 | #18 | #25 | #18 | 0.8% |

Team Comparison

Recent Trends
- Ochai Agbaji (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 51.3% to 15.3, 31.5 min average previous 3 games.
- Chris Boucher (PF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 36.3% to 14.5, 22.8 min average previous 3 games.
- Garrison Mathews (SG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 38.6% to 12.1, 19.8 min average previous 3 games.
- Davion Mitchell (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 87.7% to 26.8, 14.3 min average previous 3 games.
- Kelly Olynyk (C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 89.6% to 19.7, 10.4 min average previous 3 games.
- David Roddy (PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 34.9% to 16.5, 12.2 min average previous 3 games.
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