Raptors vs Celtics Game Breakdown

Get ready to rumble at TD Garden tonight as the underdog Toronto Raptors, hungry for redemption, clash with the high-flying Boston Celtics in a first-round NBA Playoff game that promises more fireworks than the early blowouts we’ve seen. The Celtics, soaring at the top of the Eastern conference, are fresh off a dominating win and looking to cement their supremacy, while the Raptors, despite their struggles, are itching to claw back into contention. With the stakes sky-high and the scoreboard expected to light up past the 229 mark, fans are in for a thrilling showdown starting at the stroke of 9 PM EST. Will the Raptors find their roar, or will the Celtics continue to march on? Tonight, it’s all about whether Toronto can scale the heights or if Boston crafts another victory in their storied saga.

Game Breakdown

Game Time: November 16, 2024 09:00PM EST

Location: TD Garden, Boston

Vegas Odds

	TOR ML	BOS ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+850	-1800	228.5	16.5/-16.5
Recent	+285	-420	229.0	16.5/-16.5
Difference	-565	+1380	+0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

1W-9L

AWAY

10W-35L

26.0% Win Probability

LAST 10

7W-3L

HOME

38W-6L

74.0% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final	O/U
01/15/24	Boston Celtics BOS	29	32	23	21	00	105	Under
01/15/24	Toronto Raptors TOR	25	30	20	21	00	96	Under
12/29/23	Toronto Raptors TOR	20	33	33	32	00	118	Over
12/29/23	Boston Celtics BOS	35	33	31	21	00	120	Over
11/17/23	Boston Celtics BOS	26	39	19	24	00	108	Under
11/17/23	Toronto Raptors TOR	32	17	32	24	00	105	Under
11/11/23	Toronto Raptors TOR	26	20	25	23	00	94	Under
11/11/23	Boston Celtics BOS	30	25	33	29	00	117	Under
04/07/23	Toronto Raptors TOR	16	24	33	29	00	102	Under
04/07/23	Boston Celtics BOS	34	34	27	26	00	121	Under
04/05/23	Toronto Raptors TOR	28	16	28	21	00	93	Under
04/05/23	Boston Celtics BOS	31	25	23	18	00	97	Under
01/21/23	Boston Celtics BOS	26	24	31	25	00	106	Under
01/21/23	Toronto Raptors TOR	27	30	28	19	00	104	Under
12/05/22	Boston Celtics BOS	27	29	35	25	00	116	Under
12/05/22	Toronto Raptors TOR	25	37	18	30	00	110	Under
03/28/22	Boston Celtics BOS	38	20	22	26	60	112	Under
03/28/22	Toronto Raptors TOR	30	29	21	26	90	115	Under
11/28/21	Boston Celtics BOS	27	27	26	29	00	109	Under
11/28/21	Toronto Raptors TOR	26	25	25	21	00	97	Under
11/10/21	Toronto Raptors TOR	25	21	22	20	00	88	Under
11/10/21	Boston Celtics BOS	33	29	18	24	00	104	Under
10/22/21	Toronto Raptors TOR	23	28	33	31	00	115	Under
10/22/21	Boston Celtics BOS	23	24	17	19	00	83	Under

Raptors Vs Over/Under

Celtics Vs Over/Under

Raptors Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
11/15	@ DET	95-99L	54	21	14	98
11/12	vs MIL	85-99L	54	20	21	86
11/10	vs LAL	103-123L	40	26	16	82
11/09	vs LAC	103-105L	44	26	10	95
11/06	vs SAC	107-122L	34	25	11	88
11/01	@ LAL	125-131L	44	35	11	107
10/30	vs CHA	133-138L	41	37	14	91
10/28	@ DEN	125-127L	54	30	15	109
10/26	vs MIN	101-112L	46	29	20	90
10/25	@ PHI	115-107W	54	25	26	76

Celtics Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
11/13	vs BRO	139-114W	45	35	7	93
11/12	@ ATL	116-117L	34	28	20	75
11/10	vs MIL	113-107W	42	27	12	86
11/08	@ BRO	108-104W	39	23	13	90
11/06	@ GSW	112-118L	47	22	12	90
11/01	vs CHA	124-109W	41	21	10	86
10/30	vs IND	132-135L	51	23	14	109
10/28	@ MIL	119-108W	38	24	12	87
10/26	vs DET	124-118W	37	19	10	90
10/24	vs WAS	122-102W	49	21	14	90

Starting Lineups

Toronto Raptors	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Ochai Agbaji PF	26.0	26.1	18.9	87%	19.6
RJ Barrett SF	43.0	31.6	37.2	100%	37.7
Gradey Dick SG	32.0	24.6	22.1	87%	23.6
Davion Mitchell PG	28.0	22.4	16.7	27%	24.5

Boston Celtics	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Jaylen Brown SF	38.0	42.3	39.3	100%	39.6
Jrue Holiday SG	23.0	28.1	27.2	100%	27.6
Al Horford C	23.0	23.3	23.8	77%	25.0
Jayson Tatum PF	49.0	53.5	50.0	100%	50.3
Derrick White PG	34.0	36.4	33.5	100%	33.8

Raptors Notable Injuries

Immanuel Quickley (PG): Avg: 17.1pts, 3.8reb, 4.9ast, 29.0 minutes. Last game: 11/10/24. Impact: 6.1
Ja’Kobe Walter (SG): Avg: 3.5pts, 3.5reb, 0.5ast, 14.8 minutes. Last game: 11/06/24. Impact: 1.2
D.J. Carton (PG): Avg: 1.8pts, 1.0reb, 0.8ast, 8.6 minutes. Last game: 11/01/24. Impact: 0.6

Celtics Notable Injuries

Jaden Springer (SG/SF): Avg: 3.0pts, 1.5reb, 0.8ast, 9.4 minutes. Last game: 11/01/24. Impact: 0.8
JD Davison (PG): Avg: 1.9pts, 0.9reb, 1.1ast, 4.3 minutes. Last game: 11/01/24. Impact: 1.0
Drew Peterson (SF/PF): Avg: 2.0pts, 0.2reb, 0.2ast, 4.9 minutes. Last game: 11/13/24. Impact: 0.5

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
RJ Barrett	TOR	Pts	21.5	24.9	+3.4	40%	60%	73%	73%	BOS	-1.3	#6
Davion Mitchell	TOR	Pts	9.5	12.8	+3.3	20%	40%	40%	40%	BOS	-1.3	#6
Gradey Dick	TOR	Reb	3.5	4.3	+0.8	60%	40%	47%	47%	BOS	-0.3	#11

View All Player Prop Projections

Raptors Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#29	#30	#21	#30	14.4%
PF	#29	#28	#30	#30	13.3%
PG	#10	#17	#8	#6	-5.6%
SF	#22	#23	#28	#25	7.9%
SG	#22	#10	#20	#24	3.7%

Celtics Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#15	#4	#13	#8	-7.8%
PF	#2	#11	#4	#2	-15.3%
PG	#30	#7	#16	#23	4.2%
SF	#11	#25	#18	#16	0.9%
SG	#6	#11	#5	#2	-8.4%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

109.3

120.5

Rebounds per Game

42.2

43.6

Assists per Game

27.2

27.4

Steals per Game

7.9

7.5

Blocks per Game

4.8

5.9

Shots per Game

90.2

90.1

3-Pointers Made per Game

10.8

17.6

2-Pt Percentage per Game

53.0

57.2

3-Pt Percentage per Game

32.8

39.5

Turnovers per Game

14.8

10.4

Fouls per Game

19.9

15.2

Recent Trends

Scottie Barnes (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 34.8% to 36.1, 26.8 min average previous 3 games.
Luke Kornet (C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 31.5% to 12.2, 17.9 min average previous 3 games.
Immanuel Quickley (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 32.7% to 22.5, 33.5 min average previous 3 games.