Raptors vs Celtics Game Breakdown

Get ready for an electrifying clash at TD Garden as the underdog Toronto Raptors, hungry for redemption, face off against the high-flying Boston Celtics in a pivotal first-round NBA Playoff game. With the majority of the opening games turning into blowouts, today’s matchup promises a higher stakes battle, especially with the Celtics looking to bounce back from a recent stumble and the Raptors desperate to upset the odds. As the clock ticks down to a 4:00 PM EST tipoff, all eyes are on these two Eastern conference teams to see if Toronto can claw closer or if Boston will fortify their top spot. Will the Raptors find new life, or will the Celtics dance their way to another victory? It’s time to find out if Toronto can raptor up a surprise or if Boston will continue to Celt-ibrate their dominance!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: December 31, 2024 04:00PM EST

Location: TD Garden, Boston

Vegas Odds

	TOR ML	BOS ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+850	-1800	233.0	17.0/-17.0
Recent	+340	-525	234.0	17.0/-17.0
Difference	-510	+1275	+1.0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

2W-8L

AWAY

10W-41L

22.7% Win Probability

LAST 10

6W-4L

HOME

47W-10L

77.3% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final	O/U
11/16/24	Toronto Raptors TOR	26	28	31	29	90	123	Over
11/16/24	Boston Celtics BOS	28	28	30	28	120	126	Over
01/15/24	Boston Celtics BOS	29	32	23	21	00	105	Under
01/15/24	Toronto Raptors TOR	25	30	20	21	00	96	Under
12/29/23	Toronto Raptors TOR	20	33	33	32	00	118	Over
12/29/23	Boston Celtics BOS	35	33	31	21	00	120	Over
11/17/23	Boston Celtics BOS	26	39	19	24	00	108	Under
11/17/23	Toronto Raptors TOR	32	17	32	24	00	105	Under
11/11/23	Toronto Raptors TOR	26	20	25	23	00	94	Under
11/11/23	Boston Celtics BOS	30	25	33	29	00	117	Under
04/07/23	Toronto Raptors TOR	16	24	33	29	00	102	Under
04/07/23	Boston Celtics BOS	34	34	27	26	00	121	Under
04/05/23	Toronto Raptors TOR	28	16	28	21	00	93	Under
04/05/23	Boston Celtics BOS	31	25	23	18	00	97	Under
01/21/23	Boston Celtics BOS	26	24	31	25	00	106	Under
01/21/23	Toronto Raptors TOR	27	30	28	19	00	104	Under
12/05/22	Boston Celtics BOS	27	29	35	25	00	116	Under
12/05/22	Toronto Raptors TOR	25	37	18	30	00	110	Under
03/28/22	Boston Celtics BOS	38	20	22	26	60	112	Under
03/28/22	Toronto Raptors TOR	30	29	21	26	90	115	Under
11/28/21	Boston Celtics BOS	27	27	26	29	00	109	Under
11/28/21	Toronto Raptors TOR	26	25	25	21	00	97	Under
11/10/21	Toronto Raptors TOR	25	21	22	20	00	88	Under
11/10/21	Boston Celtics BOS	33	29	18	24	00	104	Under
10/22/21	Toronto Raptors TOR	23	28	33	31	00	115	Under
10/22/21	Boston Celtics BOS	23	24	17	19	00	83	Under

Raptors Vs Over/Under

Celtics Vs Over/Under

Raptors Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
12/29	@ ATL	107-136L	52	26	31	85
12/26	vs MEM	126-155L	40	39	15	108
12/22	@ HOU	110-114L	42	33	21	92
12/19	@ BRO	94-101L	34	26	12	86
12/12	vs MIA	104-114L	42	29	11	92
12/09	@ NYK	108-113L	51	23	12	96
12/07	@ DAL	118-125L	39	37	13	93
12/05	@ OKL	92-129L	51	24	19	91
12/03	@ IND	122-111W	42	28	21	81
12/01	@ MIA	119-116W	47	30	14	88

Celtics Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
12/29	@ IND	114-123L	41	26	8	93
12/27	@ IND	142-105W	52	31	10	92
12/25	@ PHI	114-118L	51	24	13	95
12/21	vs CHI	123-98W	59	27	12	100
12/19	@ CHI	108-117L	45	21	4	97
12/15	vs WAS	112-98W	56	26	18	93
12/12	@ DET	123-99W	51	34	14	90
12/07	@ MEM	121-127L	51	26	13	105
12/06	@ MIL	111-105W	41	27	6	87
12/04	@ DET	130-120W	43	30	16	94

Starting Lineups

Toronto Raptors	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Ochai Agbaji PF	17.0	20.2	19.8	90%	20.0
Scottie Barnes PG	46.0	34.7	43.5	100%	42.1
Gradey Dick SF	29.0	27.1	24.5	93%	25.2
Jakob Poeltl C	35.0	35.1	37.0	100%	36.5
Ja’Kobe Walter SG	20.0	20.2	15.4	42%	17.9

Boston Celtics	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Jaylen Brown SF	39.0	44.2	42.1	100%	42.4
Jrue Holiday SG	23.0	24.1	27.7	100%	28.2
Kristaps Porzingis C	34.0	30.4	36.3	100%	36.6
Jayson Tatum PF	45.0	59.5	53.0	100%	53.4
Derrick White PG	31.0	28.1	34.5	100%	34.8

Raptors Notable Injuries

RJ Barrett (PG/SF): Avg: 21.1pts, 5.8reb, 4.0ast, 32.3 minutes. Last game: 12/29/24. Impact: 7.0
AJ Lawson (PG): Avg: 2.5pts, 0.9reb, 0.3ast, 5.8 minutes. Last game: 12/26/24. Impact: 0.6
Ulrich Chomche (C): Avg: 1.0pts, 1.5reb, 0.5ast, 4.7 minutes. Last game: 12/26/24. Impact: 0.6

Celtics Notable Injuries

Drew Peterson (PF): Avg: 3.3pts, 1.8reb, 0.5ast, 10.4 minutes. Last game: 12/29/24. Impact: 1.2
Jaden Springer (SG/SF): Avg: 2.9pts, 1.4reb, 0.8ast, 8.8 minutes. Last game: 12/29/24. Impact: 0.6

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Gradey Dick	TOR	Pts	14.5	17.1	+2.6	40%	50%	53%	53%	BOS	-1.3	#8
Kristaps Porzingis	BOS	Pts	16.5	17.6	+1.1	60%	70%	60%	60%	TOR	+0.5	#19
Ochai Agbaji	TOR	Reb	2.5	3.3	+0.8	80%	70%	67%	67%	BOS	0.0	#16
Scottie Barnes	TOR	Reb	7.5	8.2	+0.7	40%	60%	60%	60%	BOS	+1.1	#29

View All Player Prop Projections

Raptors Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#17	#20	#11	#24	5.1%
PF	#19	#29	#27	#25	7.4%
PG	#15	#1	#2	#9	-4.3%
SF	#22	#16	#25	#25	6.2%
SG	#24	#18	#13	#25	5.6%

Celtics Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#22	#12	#4	#7	-7.4%
PF	#5	#11	#12	#5	-7.8%
PG	#14	#25	#18	#19	1.3%
SF	#16	#29	#9	#15	0.4%
SG	#8	#16	#10	#6	-6.3%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

109.1

118.9

Rebounds per Game

45.3

46.0

Assists per Game

27.9

26.5

Steals per Game

7.0

Blocks per Game

4.2

5.8

Shots per Game

90.7

91.4

3-Pointers Made per Game

11.2

18.5

2-Pt Percentage per Game

52.3

58.0

3-Pt Percentage per Game

33.6

36.2

Turnovers per Game

15.5

11.3

Fouls per Game

22.3

16.6

Recent Trends

Jaylen Brown (SG/SF) is on a notable streak, exceeding 30 points in 2 consecutive games.
Jonathan Mogbo (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 52.6% to 13.2, 27.9 min average previous 3 games.
Kelly Olynyk (C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 36.3% to 19.9, 14.6 min average previous 3 games.
Drew Peterson (PF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 44.8% to 10.0, 18.1 min average previous 3 games.
Immanuel Quickley (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 32.7% to 22.5, 33.5 min average previous 3 games.
Jamal Shead (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 137.6% to 27.9, 11.7 min average previous 3 games.