Raptors vs Nuggets Game Analysis & Predictions – Mon, Mar 11th 2024

Alright, hoop junkies, it’s time to get those fantasy rosters in check! The scrappy 23W-41L Toronto Raptors are packing their bags and heading over to the Mile High City to face off against the 44W-20L Denver Nuggets at the Ball Arena. With a late night tipoff set for 09:00PM EST, you’ve got plenty of time to mull over your picks. Now, the Raptors may be a staggering 26.5 games back in the Eastern conference, but don’t count these underdogs out just yet. Meanwhile, the Nuggets are sitting pretty just 1.0 game back in the Wild West conference. The betting gods have set the over/under at a whopping 230.0, with the Raps at a 13.5 line and the Nuggets favored at -13.5. Fresh off a 142-123 victory over Utah, the Nuggets are looking to keep that winning streak alive. On the flip side, the Raptors, licking their wounds from a 118-128 loss against Portland, are hungry for redemption. So, who’s it gonna be, folks? Make your picks, place your bets, and let’s get ready for some basketball!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: March 11, 2024 09:00PM EST

Location: Ball Arena, Denver

Vegas Odds

Team Performance

LAST 10

4W-6L

AWAY

9W-22L

27.8% Win Probability

LAST 10

8W-2L

HOME

26W-6L

72.2% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final	O/U	ATS
12/20/23	Denver Nuggets DEN	29	32	29	23		113	Under
	Toronto Raptors TOR	20	24	31	29		104
03/14/23	Denver Nuggets DEN	30	26	36	18		110	Over
	Toronto Raptors TOR	49	23	26	27		125
03/06/23	Toronto Raptors TOR	34	27	27	25		113	Over
	Denver Nuggets DEN	29	29	25	35		118
03/12/22	Toronto Raptors TOR	28	37	28	34		127	Over
	Denver Nuggets DEN	25	38	36	16		115
02/12/22	Denver Nuggets DEN	31	25	27	27		110	Under
	Toronto Raptors TOR	25	32	29	23		109

Starting Lineups

Raptors Notable Injuries

• Scottie Barnes (PG): Avg: 19.7pts, 8.1reb, 6.1ast, 34.8 minutes. Last game: 03/01/24. Impact: 7.3
• Jakob Poeltl (C): Avg: 11.4pts, 8.8reb, 2.5ast, 26.4 minutes. Last game: 03/03/24. Impact: 5.5
• Jontay Porter (C): Avg: 4.2pts, 3.1reb, 1.8ast, 12.9 minutes. Last game: 03/05/24. Impact: 1.8
• Mouhamadou Gueye (C): Avg: 1.0pts, 2.5reb, 0.0ast, 4.8 minutes. Last game: 03/05/24. Impact: 1.0
• Jahmi’us Ramsey (PG): Avg: 2.0pts, 2.0reb, 1.0ast, 5.2 minutes. Last game: 03/05/24. Impact: 1.1
• D.J. Carton (PG): Avg: 2.8pts, 1.0reb, 0.8ast, 8.9 minutes. Last game: 03/05/24. Impact: 0.9

Nuggets Notable Injuries

• Julian Strawther (SG/SF): Avg: 5.0pts, 1.3reb, 1.0ast, 12.2 minutes. Last game: 03/09/24. Impact: 0.8
• Jalen Pickett (PG): Avg: 1.7pts, 0.5reb, 0.8ast, 5.0 minutes. Last game: 03/09/24. Impact: 0.3
• Braxton Key (PF): Avg: 1.0pts, 0.8reb, 0.5ast, 3.2 minutes. Last game: 02/25/24. Impact: 0.5
• Jay Huff (C): Avg: 1.6pts, 0.8reb, 0.1ast, 2.9 minutes. Last game: 03/09/24. Impact: 0.8
• Hunter Tyson (PF): Avg: 0.7pts, 0.8reb, 0.1ast, 2.9 minutes. Last game: 03/09/24. Impact: 0.4

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

Recent Trends

• Gradey Dick (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 38.9% to 32.3, 23.2 min average previous 3 games.
• Reggie Jackson (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 38.7% to 12.1, 19.7 min average previous 3 games.
• Jamal Murray (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 36.5% to 38.7, 28.4 min average previous 3 games.
• Peyton Watson (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 30.1% to 22.1, 17.0 min average previous 3 games.
The Raptors have a 2-game losing streak on the road. Overall, they are on a 3-game losing streak. The Nuggets have a 2-game winning streak at home. Overall, they are on a 2-game winning streak.