Raptors vs Nuggets Game Analysis & Predictions – Mon, Mar 11th 2024

thefield
Toronto Raptors

Raptors

23W-41L

Toronto Raptors

March 11, 2024

09:00PM EST

Odds: 230.0 o/u

Nuggets

44W-20L

Denver Nuggets
Denver Nuggets

Alright, hoop junkies, it’s time to get those fantasy rosters in check! The scrappy 23W-41L Toronto Raptors are packing their bags and heading over to the Mile High City to face off against the 44W-20L Denver Nuggets at the Ball Arena. With a late night tipoff set for 09:00PM EST, you’ve got plenty of time to mull over your picks. Now, the Raptors may be a staggering 26.5 games back in the Eastern conference, but don’t count these underdogs out just yet. Meanwhile, the Nuggets are sitting pretty just 1.0 game back in the Wild West conference. The betting gods have set the over/under at a whopping 230.0, with the Raps at a 13.5 line and the Nuggets favored at -13.5. Fresh off a 142-123 victory over Utah, the Nuggets are looking to keep that winning streak alive. On the flip side, the Raptors, licking their wounds from a 118-128 loss against Portland, are hungry for redemption. So, who’s it gonna be, folks? Make your picks, place your bets, and let’s get ready for some basketball!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: March 11, 2024 09:00PM EST
Location: Ball Arena, Denver

Vegas Odds

TOR ML DEN ML Over/Under Line
Open +700 -1200 226.0 13.5/-13.5
Recent +260 -370 230.0 16.0/-16.0
Difference -440 +830 +4.0

Team Performance

tor Team Logo
LAST 10
4W-6L
AWAY
9W-22L

27.8% Win Probability

den Team Logo
LAST 10
8W-2L
HOME
26W-6L

72.2% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT Final O/U ATS
12/20/23 Denver Nuggets DEN 29 32 29 23 113 Under
Toronto Raptors TOR 20 24 31 29 104
03/14/23 Denver Nuggets DEN 30 26 36 18 110 Over
Toronto Raptors TOR 49 23 26 27 125
03/06/23 Toronto Raptors TOR 34 27 27 25 113 Over
Denver Nuggets DEN 29 29 25 35 118
03/12/22 Toronto Raptors TOR 28 37 28 34 127 Over
Denver Nuggets DEN 25 38 36 16 115
02/12/22 Denver Nuggets DEN 31 25 27 27 110 Under
Toronto Raptors TOR 25 32 29 23 109

Raptors Vs Over/Under

Nuggets Vs Over/Under

Starting Lineups

Raptors Notable Injuries

  • Scottie Barnes (PG): Avg: 19.7pts, 8.1reb, 6.1ast, 34.8 minutes. Last game: 03/01/24. Impact: 7.3
  • Jakob Poeltl (C): Avg: 11.4pts, 8.8reb, 2.5ast, 26.4 minutes. Last game: 03/03/24. Impact: 5.5
  • Jontay Porter (C): Avg: 4.2pts, 3.1reb, 1.8ast, 12.9 minutes. Last game: 03/05/24. Impact: 1.8
  • Mouhamadou Gueye (C): Avg: 1.0pts, 2.5reb, 0.0ast, 4.8 minutes. Last game: 03/05/24. Impact: 1.0
  • Jahmi’us Ramsey (PG): Avg: 2.0pts, 2.0reb, 1.0ast, 5.2 minutes. Last game: 03/05/24. Impact: 1.1
  • D.J. Carton (PG): Avg: 2.8pts, 1.0reb, 0.8ast, 8.9 minutes. Last game: 03/05/24. Impact: 0.9

Nuggets Notable Injuries

  • Julian Strawther (SG/SF): Avg: 5.0pts, 1.3reb, 1.0ast, 12.2 minutes. Last game: 03/09/24. Impact: 0.8
  • Jalen Pickett (PG): Avg: 1.7pts, 0.5reb, 0.8ast, 5.0 minutes. Last game: 03/09/24. Impact: 0.3
  • Braxton Key (PF): Avg: 1.0pts, 0.8reb, 0.5ast, 3.2 minutes. Last game: 02/25/24. Impact: 0.5
  • Jay Huff (C): Avg: 1.6pts, 0.8reb, 0.1ast, 2.9 minutes. Last game: 03/09/24. Impact: 0.8
  • Hunter Tyson (PF): Avg: 0.7pts, 0.8reb, 0.1ast, 2.9 minutes. Last game: 03/09/24. Impact: 0.4

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

Raptors Defense vs

Position Pts Reb Ast Overall vs NBA
C #24 #30 #10 #29 15.1%
PF #25 #21 #22 #26 7.9%
PG #8 #16 #22 #11 -2.3%
SF #29 #29 #12 #29 12.6%
SG #28 #24 #26 #27 9.7%

Nuggets Defense vs

Position Pts Reb Ast Overall vs NBA
C #5 #14 #13 #11 -5.3%
PF #18 #22 #15 #16 0.3%
PG #12 #10 #23 #8 -7.9%
SF #21 #18 #24 #23 6.5%
SG #5 #5 #13 #6 -8.3%
Team Logo

Team Comparison

Team Logo
Points per Game
113.6
116.1
Rebounds per Game
45.0
45.6
Assists per Game
28.8
31.1
Steals per Game
7.4
8.3
Blocks per Game
5.0
6.4
Shots per Game
94.7
90.8
3-Pointers Made per Game
12.2
11.5
2-Pt Percentage per Game
53.1
57.4
3-Pt Percentage per Game
33.8
36.2
Turnovers per Game
13.0
12.5
Fouls per Game
17.4
17.2

Recent Trends

  • Gradey Dick (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 38.9% to 32.3, 23.2 min average previous 3 games.
  • Reggie Jackson (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 38.7% to 12.1, 19.7 min average previous 3 games.
  • Jamal Murray (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 36.5% to 38.7, 28.4 min average previous 3 games.
  • Peyton Watson (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 30.1% to 22.1, 17.0 min average previous 3 games.
  • The Raptors have a 2-game losing streak on the road. Overall, they are on a 3-game losing streak. The Nuggets have a 2-game winning streak at home. Overall, they are on a 2-game winning streak.

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