Raptors vs Pistons Game Breakdown
Raptors
8W-30L
January 11, 2025
08:00PM EST
Odds: 230.5 o/u
Pistons
19W-19L
Get ready to rev up your engines and dive into the NBA Playoff frenzy as the underdog Toronto Raptors swoop into the Motor City to clash with the Detroit Pistons at the buzzing Little Caesars Arena tonight at 08:00PM EST. It’s a showdown that promises more sparks than a Pistons’ assembly line, especially after a slew of first-round blowouts. With the Raptors hungry to claw back from the bottom and the Pistons aiming to crank up their game after a recent stumble, the stakes are high and the betting lines are buzzing. Both teams are looking to shift gears and accelerate out of their recent skids, setting the stage for a matchup that’s more balanced than a well-oiled machine. So, fans, let’s see if the Raptors can soar above expectations or if the Pistons will keep firing on all cylinders!
Game Breakdown
Game Time: January 11, 2025 08:00PM EST
Location: Little Caesars Arena, Detroit
Vegas Odds
| TOR ML | DET ML | Over/Under | Line | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open | +170 | -200 | 230.5 | 5.0/-5.0 |
| Recent | +110 | -145 | 230.5 | 4.5/-4.5 |
| Difference | -60 | +55 | 0 | – |
Team Performance
47.6% Win Probability
52.4% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
| Date | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final | O/U | ATS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/25/24 | Toronto Raptors TOR | 22 | 26 | 32 | 20 | 00 | 100 | Under | ![]() |
| Detroit Pistons DET | 29 | 19 | 24 | 30 | 00 | 102 | |||
| 11/15/24 | Detroit Pistons DET | 32 | 23 | 18 | 26 | 00 | 99 | Under | ![]() |
| Toronto Raptors TOR | 27 | 25 | 26 | 17 | 00 | 95 | |||
| 03/13/24 | Toronto Raptors TOR | 27 | 30 | 22 | 25 | 00 | 104 | Under | ![]() |
| Detroit Pistons DET | 32 | 20 | 31 | 30 | 00 | 113 | |||
| 12/30/23 | Toronto Raptors TOR | 24 | 20 | 42 | 41 | 00 | 127 | Over | ![]() |
| Detroit Pistons DET | 25 | 27 | 38 | 39 | 00 | 129 | |||
| 11/19/23 | Detroit Pistons DET | 20 | 25 | 27 | 41 | 00 | 113 | Over | ![]() |
| Toronto Raptors TOR | 32 | 37 | 35 | 38 | 00 | 142 | |||
| 03/24/23 | Detroit Pistons DET | 26 | 26 | 21 | 24 | 00 | 97 | Under | ![]() |
| Toronto Raptors TOR | 38 | 34 | 20 | 26 | 00 | 118 | |||
| 02/25/23 | Toronto Raptors TOR | 22 | 22 | 27 | 24 | 00 | 95 | Under | ![]() |
| Detroit Pistons DET | 22 | 22 | 26 | 21 | 00 | 91 | |||
| 02/12/23 | Detroit Pistons DET | 29 | 23 | 25 | 41 | 00 | 118 | Over | ![]() |
| Toronto Raptors TOR | 31 | 22 | 31 | 35 | 00 | 119 | |||
| 11/14/22 | Toronto Raptors TOR | 27 | 31 | 30 | 27 | 00 | 115 | Under | ![]() |
| Detroit Pistons DET | 23 | 28 | 26 | 34 | 00 | 111 | |||
| 03/03/22 | Detroit Pistons DET | 31 | 29 | 31 | 17 | 00 | 108 | Under | ![]() |
| Toronto Raptors TOR | 22 | 35 | 20 | 29 | 00 | 106 | |||
| 01/14/22 | Toronto Raptors TOR | 27 | 16 | 23 | 21 | 00 | 87 | Under | ![]() |
| Detroit Pistons DET | 31 | 25 | 27 | 20 | 00 | 103 | |||
| 11/13/21 | Detroit Pistons DET | 31 | 34 | 28 | 34 | 00 | 127 | Over | ![]() |
| Toronto Raptors TOR | 34 | 30 | 31 | 26 | 00 | 121 |
Raptors Vs Over/Under
Pistons Vs Over/Under
Raptors Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09 | vs CLE | 126-132L | 37 | 34 | 12 | 89 |
| 01/08 | vs NYK | 98-112L | 33 | 25 | 16 | 77 |
| 01/06 | @ MIL | 104-128L | 35 | 27 | 15 | 91 |
| 01/03 | @ ORL | 97-106L | 37 | 28 | 11 | 80 |
| 01/01 | @ BRO | 130-113W | 39 | 36 | 10 | 88 |
| 12/31 | vs BOS | 71-125L | 44 | 18 | 21 | 86 |
| 12/29 | @ ATL | 107-136L | 52 | 26 | 31 | 85 |
| 12/26 | vs MEM | 126-155L | 40 | 39 | 15 | 108 |
| 12/22 | @ HOU | 110-114L | 42 | 33 | 21 | 92 |
| 12/19 | @ BRO | 94-101L | 34 | 26 | 12 | 86 |
Pistons Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09 | @ GSW | 104-107L | 40 | 25 | 14 | 86 |
| 01/08 | vs BRO | 113-98W | 42 | 30 | 13 | 86 |
| 01/06 | @ POR | 118-115W | 45 | 23 | 14 | 94 |
| 01/04 | @ MIN | 119-105W | 47 | 26 | 12 | 93 |
| 01/03 | @ CHA | 98-94W | 51 | 21 | 13 | 93 |
| 01/01 | @ ORL | 105-96W | 49 | 25 | 23 | 79 |
| 12/28 | vs DEN | 121-134L | 41 | 29 | 12 | 95 |
| 12/26 | vs SAC | 114-113W | 44 | 25 | 10 | 91 |
| 12/21 | vs PHX | 133-125W | 35 | 31 | 13 | 89 |
| 12/19 | @ UTA | 119-126L | 39 | 26 | 10 | 105 |
Starting Lineups
| Toronto Raptors | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 42.0 | 45.8 | 43.8 | 100% | 44.0 | |
|
RJ Barrett
SF
|
37.0 | 38.9 | 40.9 | 100% | 41.4 |
|
Gradey Dick
SG
|
26.0 | 20.0 | 24.5 | 100% | 24.8 |
| 37.0 | 32.8 | 36.0 | 100% | 35.5 | |
| 37.0 | 31.9 | 37.0 | 100% | 37.4 |
| Detroit Pistons | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 52.0 | 48.7 | 48.6 | 100% | 48.9 | |
| 32.0 | 31.5 | 26.9 | 100% | 27.2 | |
| 21.0 | 19.9 | 15.8 | 100% | 16.2 | |
| 28.0 | 32.5 | 28.6 | 100% | 29.0 | |
| 20.0 | 22.8 | 21.7 | 57% | 25.7 |
Raptors Notable Injuries
- Ochai Agbaji (SF/PF): Avg: 7.0pts, 3.0reb, 1.3ast, 23.5 minutes. Last game: 01/08/25. Impact: 2.8
- Jonathan Mogbo (PF/C): Avg: 5.1pts, 4.2reb, 1.6ast, 15.7 minutes. Last game: 01/06/25. Impact: 2.1
- Jamison Battle (SF): Avg: 5.3pts, 2.0reb, 0.8ast, 13.2 minutes. Last game: 01/01/25. Impact: 1.7
- Garrett Temple (SG): Avg: 2.4pts, 1.4reb, 0.8ast, 8.5 minutes. Last game: 01/08/25. Impact: 0.9
- AJ Lawson (PG): Avg: 2.5pts, 0.9reb, 0.3ast, 5.8 minutes. Last game: 12/31/24. Impact: 0.6
- Ulrich Chomche (C): Avg: 1.0pts, 0.8reb, 0.2ast, 3.6 minutes. Last game: 01/01/25. Impact: 0.3
Pistons Notable Injuries
- Jaden Ivey (PG): Avg: 15.8pts, 3.7reb, 3.9ast, 29.1 minutes. Last game: 01/01/25. Impact: 4.9
- Bobi Klintman (PF): Avg: 0.0pts, 2.0reb, 0.0ast, 4.3 minutes. Last game: 01/08/25. Impact: 0.4
- Daniss Jenkins (PG): Avg: 0.0pts, 0.0reb, 0.0ast, 2.7 minutes. Last game: 01/08/25. Impact: -0.0
Top Player Props
This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.
| Stat | Over % | Opposing Defense/Game | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | Team | Prop | Line | Proj | Diff | L5 | L10 | L15 | L30 | Opp | Stat | Rank |
| Immanuel Quickley | TOR | Pts | 15.5 | 19.5 | +4.0 | 40% | 40% | 53% | 53% | DET | +1.8 | #28 |
| Gradey Dick | TOR | Pts | 11.5 | 15.2 | +3.7 | 20% | 50% | 53% | 53% | DET | -2.1 | #4 |
| Malik Beasley | DET | Reb | 2.5 | 4.7 | +2.2 | 40% | 30% | 53% | 53% | TOR | -0.1 | #13 |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | DET | Reb | 1.5 | 2.9 | +1.4 | 80% | 70% | 73% | 73% | TOR | -0.1 | #13 |
| Jamal Shead | TOR | Ast | 2.5 | 3.3 | +0.8 | 100% | 90% | 73% | 73% | DET | -0.6 | #7 |
| Ja’Kobe Walter | TOR | Ast | 0.5 | 1.1 | +0.6 | 80% | 90% | 80% | 80% | DET | -0.6 | #7 |
Raptors Defense vs
| Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | #21 | #25 | #26 | #28 | 9.8% |
| PF | #7 | #24 | #22 | #20 | 0.6% |
| PG | #24 | #1 | #9 | #15 | 0.2% |
| SF | #29 | #8 | #23 | #27 | 8.5% |
| SG | #22 | #13 | #17 | #26 | 5.0% |
Pistons Defense vs
| Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | #12 | #5 | #23 | #13 | -1.3% |
| PF | #10 | #11 | #7 | #6 | -5.1% |
| PG | #28 | #7 | #7 | #17 | 1.0% |
| SF | #28 | #28 | #25 | #29 | 10.5% |
| SG | #4 | #1 | #8 | #3 | -9.6% |
Team Comparison
Recent Trends
- Simone Fontecchio (PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 71.0% to 24.1, 14.1 min average previous 3 games.
- Ronald Holland II (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 64.6% to 20.8, 12.6 min average previous 3 games.
- Marcus Sasser (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 33.4% to 17.5, 13.1 min average previous 3 games. The Raptors have a 2-game losing streak on the road. Overall, they are on a 4-game losing streak.
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