Raptors vs Grizzlies Game Breakdown

Get ready to rumble in the FedEx Forum tonight as the underdog Toronto Raptors, desperately clawing to climb out of their Eastern Conference hole, face off against the high-flying Memphis Grizzlies in what promises to be a pivotal first-round NBA Playoff clash. With the clock ticking down to a 09:00 PM EST tipoff, the Raptors are looking to defy the odds and the betting lines, while the Grizzlies aim to capitalize on their recent victorious momentum. After a series of playoff blowouts, tonight’s matchup is poised to inject some much-needed suspense and thrill into the postseason. Will the Raptors find their roar, or will the Grizzlies keep growling their way towards victory? One thing’s for sure, tonight’s game is set to be a real bear-knuckle brawl!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: December 26, 2024 09:00PM EST

Location: FedEx Forum, Memphis

Vegas Odds

	TOR ML	MEM ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+500	-750	236.5	12.0/-12.0
Recent	+200	-275	238.5	11.0/-11.0
Difference	-300	+475	+2.0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

2W-8L

AWAY

10W-40L

33.3% Win Probability

LAST 10

8W-2L

HOME

21W-34L

66.7% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	O/U
01/22/24	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	30	23	32	23	108	Under
01/22/24	Toronto Raptors TOR	25	21	25	29	100	Under
01/03/24	Toronto Raptors TOR	30	32	31	23	116	Under
01/03/24	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	29	19	28	35	111	Under
02/05/23	Toronto Raptors TOR	28	31	19	28	106	Under
02/05/23	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	31	31	24	17	103	Under
12/29/22	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	30	27	36	26	119	Under
12/29/22	Toronto Raptors TOR	20	23	32	31	106	Under
11/30/21	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	27	23	20	28	98	Under
11/30/21	Toronto Raptors TOR	18	21	28	24	91	Under
11/24/21	Toronto Raptors TOR	25	34	32	35	126	Over
11/24/21	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	32	39	21	21	113	Over

Raptors Vs Over/Under

Grizzlies Vs Over/Under

Raptors Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
12/22	@ HOU	110-114L	42	33	21	92
12/19	@ BRO	94-101L	34	26	12	86
12/12	vs MIA	104-114L	42	29	11	92
12/09	@ NYK	108-113L	51	23	12	96
12/07	@ DAL	118-125L	39	37	13	93
12/05	@ OKL	92-129L	51	24	19	91
12/03	@ IND	122-111W	42	28	21	81
12/01	@ MIA	119-116W	47	30	14	88
11/29	vs MIA	111-121L	46	34	18	80
11/25	vs DET	100-102L	50	26	9	104

Grizzlies Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
12/21	vs ATL	128-112W	40	35	18	97
12/19	@ GSW	144-93W	60	38	16	98
12/15	vs LAL	110-116L	50	25	20	97
12/13	@ BRO	135-119W	49	33	13	99
12/08	vs WAS	140-112W	46	34	16	96
12/07	vs BOS	127-121W	52	25	13	94
12/05	@ SAC	115-110W	49	27	22	80
12/03	vs DAL	116-121L	39	27	19	97
12/01	@ IND	136-121W	40	36	10	93
11/29	@ NOP	120-109W	51	36	15	96

Starting Lineups

Toronto Raptors	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Ochai Agbaji PF	19.0	20.6	20.1	90%	20.3
Scottie Barnes PG	44.0	37.6	43.0	100%	41.6
RJ Barrett SF	44.0	41.6	40.6	100%	41.0
Gradey Dick SG	29.0	28.9	24.4	93%	25.2
Jonathan Mogbo C	21.0	20.6	16.1	16%	20.9

Memphis Grizzlies	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Desmond Bane SG	34.0	36.2	34.2	100%	33.5
Zach Edey C	27.0	26.1	22.1	60%	18.2
Jaren Jackson Jr. PF	34.0	35.2	38.1	100%	38.4
Ja Morant PG	40.0	41.0	41.2	100%	40.4
Jaylen Wells SF	18.0	17.7	19.2	81%	20.4

Raptors Notable Injuries

Jakob Poeltl (C): Avg: 12.9pts, 9.7reb, 2.6ast, 28.4 minutes. Last game: 12/12/24. Impact: 6.5
Bruno Fernando (C): Avg: 5.6pts, 4.1reb, 1.1ast, 13.7 minutes. Last game: 12/12/24. Impact: 1.9

Grizzlies Notable Injuries

Marcus Smart (PG/SG): Avg: 11.6pts, 2.5reb, 4.1ast, 26.1 minutes. Last game: 12/21/24. Impact: 3.2
Jay Huff (C): Avg: 5.5pts, 1.8reb, 0.5ast, 9.6 minutes. Last game: 12/15/24. Impact: 2.6
Cam Spencer (SG): Avg: 4.2pts, 1.4reb, 1.4ast, 11.2 minutes. Last game: 12/21/24. Impact: 1.4
Colin Castleton OUT (C): Avg: 1.5pts, 0.9reb, 0.1ast, 3.6 minutes. Last game: 12/13/24. Impact: 0.5
Yuki Kawamura (PG): Avg: 1.0pts, 0.2reb, 0.7ast, 3.0 minutes. Last game: 12/13/24. Impact: 0.5

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
RJ Barrett	TOR	Pts	22.5	25.1	+2.6	40%	50%	47%	47%	MEM	-0.4	#13
Gradey Dick	TOR	Pts	15.5	17.3	+1.8	60%	40%	40%	40%	MEM	-0.4	#13
Jonathan Mogbo	TOR	Reb	4.5	5.7	+1.2	80%	60%	60%	60%	MEM	+1.0	#27

View All Player Prop Projections

Raptors Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#23	#19	#19	#28	7.6%
PF	#18	#29	#28	#25	6.7%
PG	#13	#3	#1	#5	-7.2%
SF	#16	#5	#23	#17	1.1%
SG	#25	#19	#8	#18	2.7%

Grizzlies Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#29	#2	#4	#17	1.4%
PF	#22	#27	#18	#24	6.3%
PG	#2	#29	#16	#12	-0.1%
SF	#23	#14	#29	#23	5.5%
SG	#13	#7	#1	#5	-7.6%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

110.2

124.0

Rebounds per Game

45.4

49.0

Assists per Game

28.0

30.6

Steals per Game

7.0

9.3

Blocks per Game

4.5

6.7

Shots per Game

91.0

93.5

3-Pointers Made per Game

11.1

14.1

2-Pt Percentage per Game

53.1

56.7

3-Pt Percentage per Game

33.5

37.1

Turnovers per Game

14.8

16.3

Fouls per Game

22.4

21.8

Recent Trends

RJ Barrett (PG/SF) is coming off a triple-double where he put up 13.0 pts, 11.0 reb, 10.0 ast against MIA
Ochai Agbaji (PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 33.6% to 32.6, 24.4 min average previous 3 games.
Jamison Battle (SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 58.0% to 16.4, 10.4 min average previous 3 games.
Luke Kennard (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 64.6% to 20.1, 12.2 min average previous 3 games.
Immanuel Quickley (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 32.7% to 22.5, 33.5 min average previous 3 games.
Vince Williams Jr. (PF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 58.3% to 14.9, 35.8 min average previous 3 games.