Raptors vs Heat Game Breakdown & Projections – Fri, Apr 12th 2024

thefield
Toronto Raptors

Raptors

25W-55L

Toronto Raptors

April 12, 2024

08:00PM EST

Odds: 218.5 o/u

Heat

44W-36L

Miami Heat
Miami Heat

Get ready for a scorching showdown tonight as the underdog Toronto Raptors swoop into the sizzling Kaseya Center, ready to clash with the Miami Heat. With the tipoff set for 08:00 PM EST, the stakes are sky-high. The Raptors, though trailing far behind in the Eastern Conference, are hungry for a win to salvage some pride, while the Heat, just a breath away from the top, are looking to extinguish their recent setback. The odds-makers have the line drawn with the Heat as the heavy favorites, and an over/under that promises plenty of bucket-making action. Both teams are bouncing back from recent defeats and are desperate to return to their winning ways. Tonight, it’s all about whether the Heat can turn up the temperature or if the Raptors will claw their way to an unexpected victory. So, fans, brace yourselves—tonight, it’s a battle of fire and flight!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: April 12, 2024 08:00PM EST
Location: Kaseya Center, Miami

Vegas Odds

TOR ML MIA ML Over/Under Line
Open +850 -1800 218.5 14.5/-14.5
Recent +650 -1100 218.5 14.5/-14.5
Difference -200 +700 0

Team Performance

tor Team Logo
LAST 10
2W-8L
AWAY
10W-28L

13.3% Win Probability

mia Team Logo
LAST 10
6W-4L
HOME
20W-19L

86.7% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT Final O/U ATS
12/06/23 Miami Heat MIA 37 27 23 25 112 Under
Toronto Raptors TOR 32 34 18 19 103
01/17/24 Miami Heat MIA 18 25 30 24 97 Under
Toronto Raptors TOR 41 37 16 27 121
03/28/23 Miami Heat MIA 23 24 20 25 92 Under
Toronto Raptors TOR 24 29 31 22 106
11/16/22 Miami Heat MIA 31 29 19 25 104 Under
Toronto Raptors TOR 27 27 30 28 112
10/24/22 Toronto Raptors TOR 27 21 23 27 98 Under
Miami Heat MIA 23 20 33 14 90
10/22/22 Toronto Raptors TOR 33 17 33 26 109 Over
Miami Heat MIA 38 33 21 20 112
04/03/22 Miami Heat MIA 28 17 34 35 114 Over
Toronto Raptors TOR 34 21 23 31 109
02/01/22 Miami Heat MIA 32 30 21 23 106 Under
Toronto Raptors TOR 22 28 30 30 110
01/29/22 Toronto Raptors TOR 28 31 26 15 59 124 Over
Miami Heat MIA 27 26 22 25 59 120
01/17/22 Toronto Raptors TOR 30 21 24 24 99 Under
Miami Heat MIA 27 31 22 24 104

Raptors Vs Over/Under

Heat Vs Over/Under

Raptors Recent Games

Date vsOpp Result Reb Ast Tov Shots
04/10 vs BRO 102-106L 45 19 9 94
04/09 @ IND 123-140L 40 21 15 94
04/07 @ WAS 130-122W 49 33 13 96
04/05 vs MIL 117-94W 47 24 16 77
04/03 vs MIN 85-133L 48 19 20 90
04/02 @ LAL 111-128L 40 25 17 89
03/31 @ PHI 120-135L 30 31 12 90
03/27 @ NYK 101-145L 28 31 18 84
03/25 @ BRO 88-96L 30 23 10 85
03/23 vs WAS 109-112L 42 27 12 94

Heat Recent Games

Date vsOpp Result Reb Ast Tov Shots
04/10 @ DAL 92-111L 46 22 15 81
04/09 vs ATL 117-111W 46 29 18 88
04/07 vs IND 115-117L 39 21 7 84
04/05 vs HOU 119-96W 48 27 9 81
04/04 @ PHI 105-109L 51 24 15 94
04/02 @ NYK 109-99W 39 24 17 74
03/31 vs WAS 119-107W 42 22 13 81
03/29 @ POR 142-82W 44 41 8 93
03/26 @ GSW 92-113L 39 24 8 92
03/24 @ CLE 121-84W 44 29 9 83

Starting Lineups

Raptors Notable Injuries

  • Kobi Simmons (SG): Avg: 5.0pts, 1.8reb, 3.0ast, 16.9 minutes. Last game: 04/02/24. Impact: 2.0

Heat Notable Injuries

  • Duncan Robinson (SG/SF): Avg: 12.7pts, 2.5reb, 2.8ast, 27.6 minutes. Last game: 04/07/24. Impact: 2.8
  • Thomas Bryant (C): Avg: 5.2pts, 3.4reb, 0.6ast, 11.0 minutes. Last game: 03/31/24. Impact: 3.0
  • Jamal Cain (SF): Avg: 4.0pts, 1.5reb, 0.4ast, 10.7 minutes. Last game: 04/10/24. Impact: 0.8
  • Orlando Robinson (C): Avg: 2.5pts, 2.2reb, 1.0ast, 8.0 minutes. Last game: 04/10/24. Impact: 0.6
  • Cole Swider (PF): Avg: 2.6pts, 0.4reb, 0.3ast, 5.2 minutes. Last game: 04/10/24. Impact: 0.5
  • Alondes Williams (PG): Avg: 0.6pts, 0.2reb, 0.0ast, 2.5 minutes. Last game: 04/10/24. Impact: 0.1

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

Raptors Defense vs

Position Pts Reb Ast Overall vs NBA
C #28 #29 #19 #30 12.5%
PF #30 #29 #25 #30 15.8%
PG #12 #20 #10 #8 -17.9%
SF #24 #20 #30 #28 20.1%
SG #23 #6 #22 #22 4.4%

Heat Defense vs

Position Pts Reb Ast Overall vs NBA
C #6 #14 #6 #5 -11.1%
PF #1 #14 #1 #1 -14.8%
PG #21 #11 #26 #18 3.1%
SF #30 #16 #2 #27 19.1%
SG #6 #18 #24 #10 -4.2%
Team Logo

Team Comparison

Team Logo
Points per Game
105.4
107.3
Rebounds per Game
38.7
43.2
Assists per Game
25.8
24.5
Steals per Game
9.3
7.7
Blocks per Game
4.4
3.2
Shots per Game
87.3
85.8
3-Pointers Made per Game
10.0
12.6
2-Pt Percentage per Game
53.2
52.9
3-Pt Percentage per Game
31.7
35.4
Turnovers per Game
15.6
10.6
Fouls per Game
19.0
15.1

Recent Trends

  • Immanuel Quickley (PG) is on a notable streak, exceeding 30 points in 2 consecutive games.
  • Mouhamadou Gueye (C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 85.9% to 18.7, 10.1 min average previous 3 games.
  • Nikola Jovic (PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 43.9% to 29.1, 20.2 min average previous 3 games.
  • Kevin Love (C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 35.0% to 10.6, 16.3 min average previous 3 games.
  • Jalen McDaniels (PF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 41.5% to 11.2, 19.1 min average previous 3 games.
  • Jordan Nwora (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 42.9% to 16.3, 28.6 min average previous 3 games.
  • Jontay Porter (C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 34.2% to 15.3, 23.2 min average previous 3 games.
  • Duncan Robinson (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 35.4% to 17.5, 27.1 min average previous 3 games.
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