Raptors vs Heat Game Breakdown & Projections – Sun, Apr 14th 2024

thefield
Toronto Raptors

Raptors

25W-56L

Toronto Raptors

April 14, 2024

01:00PM EST

Odds: 219.5 o/u

Heat

45W-36L

Miami Heat
Miami Heat

Get ready to turn up the heat and feel the raptor’s roar as the Toronto Raptors swoop into the Kaseya Center to clash with the Miami Heat in a sizzling midday showdown! With the clock set for a 1:00 PM EST tipoff, the stakes are as high as the temperatures in Miami. Our hosts are just a breath away from the top in the Eastern conference, while the Raptors, well, they’re a bit further down the pecking order. Fresh off their last encounter where Miami turned up the thermostat to leave Toronto in a bit of a cold snap, today’s rematch sets the stage for revenge or repeat. Will the Heat keep their fiery streak alive, or will the Raptors claw their way to an unexpected victory? Either way, expect sparks to fly as these two teams turn the court into their own personal battleground. Let’s see if the Raptors can hatch a plan or if the Heat will continue to blaze the trail!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: April 14, 2024 01:00PM EST
Location: Kaseya Center, Miami

Vegas Odds

TOR ML MIA ML Over/Under Line
Open +850 -1800 223.0 15.5/-15.5
Recent +800 -1600 219.5 15.5/-15.5
Difference -50 +200 -3.5

Team Performance

tor Team Logo
LAST 10
2W-8L
AWAY
10W-29L

11.1% Win Probability

mia Team Logo
LAST 10
6W-4L
HOME
21W-19L

88.9% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT Final O/U ATS
12/06/23 Miami Heat MIA 37 27 23 25 112 Under
Toronto Raptors TOR 32 34 18 19 103
04/12/24 Toronto Raptors TOR 22 28 25 28 103 Over
Miami Heat MIA 33 33 26 33 125
01/17/24 Miami Heat MIA 18 25 30 24 97 Under
Toronto Raptors TOR 41 37 16 27 121
03/28/23 Miami Heat MIA 23 24 20 25 92 Under
Toronto Raptors TOR 24 29 31 22 106
11/16/22 Miami Heat MIA 31 29 19 25 104 Under
Toronto Raptors TOR 27 27 30 28 112
10/24/22 Toronto Raptors TOR 27 21 23 27 98 Under
Miami Heat MIA 23 20 33 14 90
10/22/22 Toronto Raptors TOR 33 17 33 26 109 Over
Miami Heat MIA 38 33 21 20 112
04/03/22 Miami Heat MIA 28 17 34 35 114 Over
Toronto Raptors TOR 34 21 23 31 109
02/01/22 Miami Heat MIA 32 30 21 23 106 Under
Toronto Raptors TOR 22 28 30 30 110
01/29/22 Toronto Raptors TOR 28 31 26 15 59 124 Over
Miami Heat MIA 27 26 22 25 59 120
01/17/22 Toronto Raptors TOR 30 21 24 24 99 Under
Miami Heat MIA 27 31 22 24 104

Raptors Vs Over/Under

Heat Vs Over/Under

Raptors Recent Games

Date vsOpp Result Reb Ast Tov Shots
04/12 vs MIA 103-125L 41 23 17 77
04/10 vs BRO 102-106L 45 19 9 94
04/09 @ IND 123-140L 40 21 15 94
04/07 @ WAS 130-122W 49 33 13 96
04/05 vs MIL 117-94W 47 24 16 77
04/03 vs MIN 85-133L 48 19 20 90
04/02 @ LAL 111-128L 40 25 17 89
03/31 @ PHI 120-135L 30 31 12 90
03/27 @ NYK 101-145L 28 31 18 84
03/25 @ BRO 88-96L 30 23 10 85

Heat Recent Games

Date vsOpp Result Reb Ast Tov Shots
04/12 @ TOR 125-103W 37 37 4 86
04/10 @ DAL 92-111L 46 22 15 81
04/09 vs ATL 117-111W 46 29 18 88
04/07 vs IND 115-117L 39 21 7 84
04/05 vs HOU 119-96W 48 27 9 81
04/04 @ PHI 105-109L 51 24 15 94
04/02 @ NYK 109-99W 39 24 17 74
03/31 vs WAS 119-107W 42 22 13 81
03/29 @ POR 142-82W 44 41 8 93
03/26 @ GSW 92-113L 39 24 8 92

Starting Lineups

Raptors Notable Injuries

  • Immanuel Quickley (PG): Avg: 17.1pts, 3.9reb, 4.9ast, 29.3 minutes. Last game: 04/12/24. Impact: 7.2
  • Kobi Simmons (SG): Avg: 5.0pts, 1.8reb, 3.0ast, 16.9 minutes. Last game: 04/02/24. Impact: 2.0

Heat Notable Injuries

  • Terry Rozier (PG/SG): Avg: 19.6pts, 3.9reb, 5.5ast, 33.0 minutes. Last game: 04/07/24. Impact: 5.2
  • Duncan Robinson (SG/SF): Avg: 12.7pts, 2.5reb, 2.8ast, 27.6 minutes. Last game: 04/07/24. Impact: 2.8
  • Thomas Bryant (C): Avg: 5.2pts, 3.4reb, 0.6ast, 11.0 minutes. Last game: 03/31/24. Impact: 3.0
  • Jamal Cain (SF): Avg: 3.9pts, 1.5reb, 0.4ast, 10.3 minutes. Last game: 04/12/24. Impact: 0.6
  • Orlando Robinson (C): Avg: 2.4pts, 2.1reb, 0.9ast, 7.8 minutes. Last game: 04/12/24. Impact: 0.6
  • Cole Swider (PF): Avg: 2.5pts, 0.4reb, 0.3ast, 5.0 minutes. Last game: 04/12/24. Impact: 0.5
  • Alondes Williams (PG): Avg: 0.5pts, 0.2reb, 0.0ast, 2.3 minutes. Last game: 04/12/24. Impact: 0.1

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

Raptors Defense vs

Position Pts Reb Ast Overall vs NBA
C #25 #26 #16 #27 9.1%
PF #30 #29 #30 #30 17.0%
PG #10 #23 #7 #9 -15.1%
SF #23 #21 #30 #28 20.6%
SG #24 #3 #22 #22 3.9%

Heat Defense vs

Position Pts Reb Ast Overall vs NBA
C #5 #14 #6 #4 -13.4%
PF #1 #12 #1 #1 -15.2%
PG #20 #15 #24 #19 3.1%
SF #30 #16 #1 #26 19.6%
SG #7 #17 #24 #11 -4.1%
Team Logo

Team Comparison

Team Logo
Points per Game
105.3
109.6
Rebounds per Game
38.9
42.9
Assists per Game
25.2
25.7
Steals per Game
8.5
7.8
Blocks per Game
3.9
3.2
Shots per Game
86.1
86.1
3-Pointers Made per Game
10.1
13.4
2-Pt Percentage per Game
53.4
53.7
3-Pt Percentage per Game
32.3
36.2
Turnovers per Game
16.0
10.4
Fouls per Game
19.1
15.3

Recent Trends

  • Ochai Agbaji (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 30.3% to 29.5, 22.7 min average previous 3 games.
  • Javon Freeman-Liberty (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 51.1% to 24.1, 16.0 min average previous 3 games.
  • Mouhamadou Gueye (C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 85.9% to 18.7, 10.1 min average previous 3 games.
  • Jaime Jaquez Jr. (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 39.0% to 24.2, 17.4 min average previous 3 games.
  • Nikola Jovic (PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 51.6% to 30.0, 19.8 min average previous 3 games.
  • Jalen McDaniels (PF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 41.5% to 11.2, 19.1 min average previous 3 games.
  • Jordan Nwora (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 38.8% to 13.7, 22.4 min average previous 3 games.
  • Duncan Robinson (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 35.4% to 17.5, 27.1 min average previous 3 games.
  • Malik Williams (C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 51.1% to 19.1, 12.7 min average previous 3 games.
  • The Raptors have a 2-game losing streak on the road.
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