Raptors vs Bucks Game Breakdown

Get ready for a sizzling showdown at Fiserv Forum tonight as the underdog Toronto Raptors, with a surprising recent win under their belts, swoop into Milwaukee to challenge the high-flying Bucks at 09:00 PM EST. With both teams fresh off impressive victories, tonight’s playoff game promises to up the ante from the recent first-round blowouts. The Bucks, looking to buck the trend and stampede further ahead in the Eastern Conference standings, will have to contain a Raptors squad that’s hungry for an upset. As the over/under hovers at a lofty 229.5, we’re all set for a game that could tip the scales. So, will the Bucks lock horns successfully, or will the Raptors claw their way to another unexpected victory? Let’s find out if the Raptors can ruffle some feathers or if the Bucks will charge ahead in this playoff clash!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: January 17, 2025 09:00PM EST

Location: Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee

Vegas Odds

	TOR ML	MIL ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+475	-700	230.0	12.0/-12.0
Recent	+425	-600	229.5	11.0/-11.0
Difference	-50	+100	-0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

3W-7L

AWAY

10W-45L

19.0% Win Probability

LAST 10

6W-4L

HOME

45W-17L

81.0% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final	O/U
01/06/25	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	28	38	33	29	00	128	Over
01/06/25	Toronto Raptors TOR	19	28	28	29	00	104	Over
11/12/24	Toronto Raptors TOR	21	22	24	18	00	85	Under
11/12/24	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	26	28	27	18	00	99	Under
04/05/24	Toronto Raptors TOR	21	37	32	27	00	117	Under
04/05/24	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	27	27	31	26	00	111	Under
11/15/23	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	36	34	30	28	00	128	Over
11/15/23	Toronto Raptors TOR	21	26	32	33	00	112	Over
11/01/23	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	18	26	35	32	00	111	Over
11/01/23	Toronto Raptors TOR	31	35	29	35	00	130	Over
04/09/23	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	26	29	24	26	00	105	Under
04/09/23	Toronto Raptors TOR	35	32	28	26	00	121	Under
03/19/23	Toronto Raptors TOR	29	27	39	16	00	111	Under
03/19/23	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	33	25	31	29	00	118	Under
01/17/23	Toronto Raptors TOR	34	40	23	25	00	122	Over
01/17/23	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	44	23	38	25	00	130	Over
01/04/23	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	13	26	24	34	70	104	Under
01/04/23	Toronto Raptors TOR	12	26	21	38	40	101	Under
01/15/22	Toronto Raptors TOR	20	26	27	30	00	103	Under
01/15/22	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	29	20	20	27	00	96	Under
01/05/22	Toronto Raptors TOR	35	33	24	25	00	117	Under
01/05/22	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	42	35	11	23	00	111	Under
12/02/21	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	23	17	28	25	00	93	Under
12/02/21	Toronto Raptors TOR	26	22	25	24	00	97	Under

Raptors Vs Over/Under

Bucks Vs Over/Under

Raptors Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
01/15	@ BOS	110-97W	56	35	10	89
01/13	@ GSW	104-101W	44	28	14	86
01/11	vs DET	114-123L	45	27	12	92
01/09	vs CLE	126-132L	37	34	12	89
01/08	vs NYK	98-112L	33	25	16	77
01/06	@ MIL	104-128L	35	27	15	91
01/03	@ ORL	97-106L	37	28	11	80
01/01	@ BRO	130-113W	39	36	10	88
12/31	vs BOS	71-125L	44	18	21	86
12/29	@ ATL	107-136L	52	26	31	85

Bucks Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
01/15	@ ORL	122-93W	49	24	21	72
01/14	@ SAC	130-115W	52	32	7	99
01/12	vs NYK	106-140L	39	22	14	94
01/10	vs ORL	109-106W	43	18	11	83
01/08	@ SAS	121-105W	57	26	10	92
01/06	vs TOR	128-104W	46	37	21	82
01/04	@ POR	102-105L	43	25	11	95
01/02	@ BRO	110-113L	46	21	14	90
12/31	vs IND	120-112W	51	27	12	97
12/28	vs CHI	111-116L	43	27	7	102

Starting Lineups

Toronto Raptors	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Scottie Barnes PF	48.0	45.3	43.7	100%	44.0
RJ Barrett SF	42.0	33.1	40.0	100%	40.4
Gradey Dick SG	21.0	17.0	24.3	100%	24.6
Davion Mitchell PG	18.0	11.4	16.6	47%	21.3
Jakob Poeltl C	37.0	34.1	37.0	100%	36.4

Milwaukee Bucks	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
G. Antetokounmpo PF	61.0	57.4	57.4	100%	57.8
Damian Lillard PG	42.0	44.6	43.2	100%	43.5
Brook Lopez C	27.0	27.4	26.5	100%	26.9
Taurean Prince SF	16.0	12.2	15.9	80%	16.6

Raptors Notable Injuries

Immanuel Quickley (PG): Avg: 17.0pts, 3.7reb, 5.1ast, 29.2 minutes. Last game: 01/11/25. Impact: 5.5
Jonathan Mogbo (PF/C): Avg: 5.1pts, 4.2reb, 1.6ast, 15.7 minutes. Last game: 01/06/25. Impact: 2.1
Ja’Kobe Walter (SG): Avg: 7.3pts, 2.1reb, 1.3ast, 18.9 minutes. Last game: 01/11/25. Impact: 1.9
Garrett Temple (SG): Avg: 2.4pts, 1.4reb, 0.8ast, 8.5 minutes. Last game: 01/08/25. Impact: 0.9

Bucks Notable Injuries

Andre Jackson Jr. (SG/SF): Avg: 2.6pts, 2.4reb, 1.1ast, 12.8 minutes. Last game: 01/15/25. Impact: 1.7
Stanley Umude (SG): Avg: 3.7pts, 1.8reb, 0.4ast, 9.7 minutes. Last game: 01/15/25. Impact: 0.6
Liam Robbins (C): Avg: 0.8pts, 0.9reb, 0.2ast, 4.8 minutes. Last game: 01/15/25. Impact: 0.5

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Giannis Antetokounmpo	MIL	Pts	28.5	31.5	+3.0	40%	50%	67%	67%	TOR	+2.3	#28
Bobby Portis	MIL	Pts	11.5	13.5	+2.0	20%	50%	53%	53%	TOR	-1.1	#7
Scottie Barnes	TOR	Reb	7.5	8.5	+1.0	60%	70%	60%	60%	MIL	-0.9	#3
Davion Mitchell	TOR	Reb	1.5	2.2	+0.7	60%	60%	60%	60%	MIL	+1.5	#30
Bruce Brown	TOR	Ast	1.5	2.1	+0.6	40%	40%	33%	33%	MIL	-0.1	#13
Jakob Poeltl	TOR	Ast	2.5	2.8	+0.3	60%	40%	53%	53%	MIL	-0.4	#9
Brook Lopez	MIL	3Pt	1.5	1.8	+0.3	40%	40%	53%	53%	TOR	+0.2	#23

View All Player Prop Projections

Raptors Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#24	#29	#28	#30	12.2%
PF	#7	#17	#21	#16	-0.6%
PG	#25	#2	#11	#21	2.0%
SF	#28	#12	#16	#26	7.2%
SG	#24	#14	#15	#23	5.0%

Bucks Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#3	#5	#9	#4	-10.9%
PF	#23	#2	#13	#11	-2.6%
PG	#18	#26	#5	#13	-1.1%
SF	#6	#3	#7	#4	-10.8%
SG	#20	#30	#13	#21	3.2%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

108.9

114.5

Rebounds per Game

43.8

44.0

Assists per Game

28.5

25.8

Steals per Game

7.6

7.9

Blocks per Game

4.3

5.2

Shots per Game

88.3

86.4

3-Pointers Made per Game

12.0

14.6

2-Pt Percentage per Game

54.1

55.1

3-Pt Percentage per Game

35.3

40.2

Turnovers per Game

15.5

13.8

Fouls per Game

21.0

18.8

Recent Trends

Ochai Agbaji (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 51.3% to 15.3, 31.5 min average previous 3 games.
Chris Boucher (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 65.7% to 19.5, 11.7 min average previous 3 games.