Raptors vs Bucks Game Breakdown & Projections – Fri, Apr 5th 2024
Raptors
23W-53L
April 05, 2024
08:00PM EST
Odds: 228.5 o/u
Bucks
47W-29L
Get ready for a clash of the titans, folks! The Toronto Raptors, with their less-than-stellar 23W-53L record, are gearing up to take a bite out of the Milwaukee Bucks’ impressive 47W-29L standing. This epic face-off is going down at the Fiserv Forum, with the ball set to soar at 08:00PM EST. The Raptors might be trailing a whopping 37.0 games back in the Eastern conference, but don’t count them out just yet. On the other side of the court, the Bucks are holding down the fort at 0.0 games back. The over/under is poised at a tantalizing 228.5, with the Raptors prowling at 16.5, and the Bucks charging at -16.5. Both teams are licking their wounds from recent defeats, the Bucks having stumbled 101-111 against MEM, and the Raptors getting mauled 85-133 by MIN. As the Raptors and Bucks lock horns tonight, let’s hope it doesn’t turn into a ‘deer in the headlights’ situation for Toronto!
Game Breakdown
Game Time: April 05, 2024 08:00PM EST
Location: Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee
Vegas Odds
TOR ML | MIL ML | Over/Under | Line | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Open | +1000 | -2200 | 225.0 | 16.5/-16.5 |
Recent | +260 | -370 | 228.5 | 15.0/-15.0 |
Difference | -740 | +1830 | +3.5 | – |
Team Performance
27.8% Win Probability
72.2% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
Date | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final | O/U | ATS | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11/15/23 | Milwaukee Bucks MIL | 36 | 34 | 30 | 28 | 128 | Over | ||
Toronto Raptors TOR | 21 | 26 | 32 | 33 | 112 | ||||
11/01/23 | Milwaukee Bucks MIL | 18 | 26 | 35 | 32 | 111 | Over | ||
Toronto Raptors TOR | 31 | 35 | 29 | 35 | 130 | ||||
04/09/23 | Milwaukee Bucks MIL | 26 | 29 | 24 | 26 | 105 | Under | ||
Toronto Raptors TOR | 35 | 32 | 28 | 26 | 121 | ||||
03/19/23 | Toronto Raptors TOR | 29 | 27 | 39 | 16 | 111 | Over | ||
Milwaukee Bucks MIL | 33 | 25 | 31 | 29 | 118 | ||||
01/17/23 | Toronto Raptors TOR | 34 | 40 | 23 | 25 | 122 | Over | ||
Milwaukee Bucks MIL | 44 | 23 | 38 | 25 | 130 | ||||
01/04/23 | Milwaukee Bucks MIL | 13 | 26 | 24 | 34 | 7 | 104 | Under | |
Toronto Raptors TOR | 12 | 26 | 21 | 38 | 4 | 101 | |||
01/15/22 | Toronto Raptors TOR | 20 | 26 | 27 | 30 | 103 | Under | ||
Milwaukee Bucks MIL | 29 | 20 | 20 | 27 | 96 | ||||
01/05/22 | Toronto Raptors TOR | 35 | 33 | 24 | 25 | 117 | Under | ||
Milwaukee Bucks MIL | 42 | 35 | 11 | 23 | 111 | ||||
12/02/21 | Milwaukee Bucks MIL | 23 | 17 | 28 | 25 | 93 | Under | ||
Toronto Raptors TOR | 26 | 22 | 25 | 24 | 97 |
Raptors Vs Over/Under
Bucks Vs Over/Under
Raptors Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
04/03 | vs MIN | 85-133L | 48 | 19 | 20 | 90 |
04/02 | @ LAL | 111-128L | 40 | 25 | 17 | 89 |
03/31 | @ PHI | 120-135L | 30 | 31 | 12 | 90 |
03/27 | @ NYK | 101-145L | 28 | 31 | 18 | 84 |
03/25 | @ BRO | 88-96L | 30 | 23 | 10 | 85 |
03/23 | vs WAS | 109-112L | 42 | 27 | 12 | 94 |
03/22 | @ OKL | 103-123L | 36 | 34 | 27 | 77 |
03/20 | @ SAC | 89-123L | 31 | 21 | 21 | 80 |
03/17 | vs ORL | 96-111L | 37 | 23 | 18 | 84 |
03/15 | @ ORL | 103-113L | 40 | 24 | 15 | 81 |
Bucks Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
04/03 | @ MEM | 101-111L | 44 | 26 | 11 | 95 |
04/02 | vs WAS | 113-117L | 57 | 31 | 12 | 103 |
03/30 | vs ATL | 122-113W | 40 | 27 | 10 | 78 |
03/28 | vs NOP | 100-107L | 46 | 21 | 14 | 82 |
03/26 | @ LAL | 124-128L | 61 | 37 | 14 | 119 |
03/24 | @ OKL | 118-93W | 57 | 33 | 16 | 92 |
03/21 | @ BRO | 115-108W | 40 | 27 | 10 | 91 |
03/20 | vs BOS | 119-122L | 41 | 20 | 14 | 84 |
03/17 | @ PHX | 140-129W | 35 | 35 | 10 | 94 |
03/14 | @ PHI | 114-105W | 37 | 29 | 14 | 72 |
Starting Lineups
Toronto Raptors | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
RJ Barrett
PF
|
31.5 | 39.8 | 35.6 | 100% | 36.0 |
Gradey Dick
SF
|
21.1 | 20.8 | 18.1 | 43% | 20.7 |
34.2 | 36.6 | 27.3 | 47% | 33.1 | |
33.8 | 33.1 | 35.2 | 100% | 34.4 | |
30.9 | 33.1 | 25.0 | 100% | 24.7 |
Milwaukee Bucks | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
61.5 | 66.0 | 57.2 | 100% | 55.9 | |
Jae Crowder
SG
|
11.1 | 9.7 | 14.0 | 70% | 14.5 |
46.1 | 43.8 | 42.8 | 100% | 42.1 | |
25.7 | 23.5 | 25.0 | 100% | 24.5 | |
35.7 | 37.1 | 33.5 | 100% | 32.6 |
Raptors Notable Injuries
- Kobi Simmons (SG): Avg: 5.0pts, 1.8reb, 3.0ast, 16.9 minutes. Last game: 04/02/24. Impact: 2.0
- Jontay Porter (C): Avg: 4.6pts, 3.3reb, 2.4ast, 14.4 minutes. Last game: 03/22/24. Impact: 2.8
- Jahmi’us Ramsey (SG): Avg: 6.7pts, 3.1reb, 1.1ast, 17.3 minutes. Last game: 03/23/24. Impact: 2.1
Bucks Notable Injuries
- Marjon Beauchamp (SG/SF): Avg: 4.4pts, 2.1reb, 0.7ast, 13.0 minutes. Last game: 03/24/24. Impact: 0.7
- Andre Jackson Jr. (PG/SF): Avg: 2.2pts, 2.0reb, 0.9ast, 10.3 minutes. Last game: 04/03/24. Impact: 0.8
- Chris Livingston (SF): Avg: 1.2pts, 0.9reb, 0.3ast, 4.5 minutes. Last game: 03/24/24. Impact: 0.4
- Thanasis Antetokounmpo (PF/C): Avg: 0.8pts, 0.4reb, 0.5ast, 4.3 minutes. Last game: 03/24/24. Impact: 0.4
- TyTy Washington Jr. (PG): Avg: 1.0pts, 0.5reb, 0.2ast, 4.9 minutes. Last game: 04/03/24. Impact: 0.9
Top Player Props
This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.
Stat | Over % | Opposing Defense/Game | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Player | Team | Prop | Line | Proj | Diff | L5 | L10 | L15 | L30 | Opp | Stat | Rank |
Gary Trent Jr. | TOR | Pts | 15.5 | 18.2 | +2.7 | 100% | 90% | 67% | 67% | MIL | +2.9 | #28 |
Giannis Antetokounmpo | MIL | Pts | 30.5 | 31.7 | +1.2 | 60% | 50% | 47% | 47% | TOR | +8.4 | #29 |
Kelly Olynyk | TOR | Reb | 6.5 | 6.8 | +0.3 | 40% | 30% | 20% | 20% | MIL | -1.8 | #4 |
Raptors Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #29 | #29 | #21 | #30 | 15.7% |
PF | #30 | #30 | #28 | #30 | 14.3% |
PG | #7 | #10 | #19 | #7 | -25.9% |
SF | #29 | #17 | #28 | #29 | 22.7% |
SG | #20 | #5 | #21 | #21 | 3.2% |
Bucks Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #11 | #4 | #11 | #5 | -8.5% |
PF | #10 | #21 | #9 | #12 | -1.9% |
PG | #23 | #9 | #3 | #23 | 11.1% |
SF | #11 | #22 | #6 | #12 | -8.0% |
SG | #28 | #30 | #24 | #29 | 11.7% |
Team Comparison
Recent Trends
- Jalen McDaniels (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 62.2% to 20.7, 12.8 min average previous 3 games.
- Jordan Nwora (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 57.3% to 28.6, 18.2 min average previous 3 games.
- Jontay Porter (C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 34.2% to 15.3, 23.2 min average previous 3 games.
- Garrett Temple (SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 32.0% to 23.7, 17.9 min average previous 3 games. Overall, they are on a 15-game losing streak.
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