Raptors vs Timberwolves Game Breakdown & Projections – Wed, Apr 3rd 2024
Raptors
23W-52L
April 03, 2024
08:00PM EST
Odds: 215.0 o/u
Timberwolves
52W-23L
Alright, hoop heads, we’ve got a David versus Goliath matchup on tap tonight! The scrappy Toronto Raptors, with their less-than-stellar 23W-52L record, are headed into the Timberwolves’ den, also known as the Target Center. They’re packing a whole lot of heart, and a whopping 36-game deficit in the Eastern conference. Meanwhile, the Minnesota Timberwolves are howling with a 52W-23L record, only half a game back in the Western conference. The Vegas wise guys have set the over/under at a cool 215.0, with the Raptors at a 15.0 line and the Timberwolves at -15.0. The Wolves are still riding high off a 113-106 victory against HOU, while the Raptors are licking their wounds from a 111-128 defeat against LAL. So, tonight, will the Raptors claw their way to victory, or will the Timberwolves chew up the competition? Either way, it’s going to be a game of tooth and claw!
Game Breakdown
Game Time: April 03, 2024 08:00PM EST
Location: Target Center, Minnesota
Vegas Odds
TOR ML | MIN ML | Over/Under | Line | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Open | +725 | -1300 | 216.0 | 15.0/-15.0 |
Recent | +800 | -1600 | 215.0 | 16.0/-16.0 |
Difference | +75 | -300 | -1.0 | – |
Team Performance
11.1% Win Probability
88.9% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
Date | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final | O/U | ATS | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10/25/23 | Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 25 | 26 | 23 | 20 | 94 | Under | ||
Toronto Raptors TOR | 25 | 28 | 20 | 24 | 97 | ||||
03/18/23 | Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 26 | 32 | 27 | 22 | 107 | Over | ||
Toronto Raptors TOR | 32 | 34 | 28 | 28 | 122 | ||||
01/19/23 | Toronto Raptors TOR | 37 | 39 | 33 | 17 | 126 | Over | ||
Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 31 | 35 | 35 | 27 | 128 | ||||
03/30/22 | Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 30 | 30 | 22 | 20 | 102 | Over | ||
Toronto Raptors TOR | 20 | 42 | 35 | 28 | 125 | ||||
02/16/22 | Toronto Raptors TOR | 30 | 19 | 23 | 31 | 103 | Under | ||
Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 23 | 28 | 23 | 17 | 91 |
Raptors Vs Over/Under
Timberwolves Vs Over/Under
Raptors Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
04/02 | @ LAL | 111-128L | 40 | 25 | 17 | 89 |
03/31 | @ PHI | 120-135L | 30 | 31 | 12 | 90 |
03/27 | @ NYK | 101-145L | 28 | 31 | 18 | 84 |
03/25 | @ BRO | 88-96L | 30 | 23 | 10 | 85 |
03/23 | vs WAS | 109-112L | 42 | 27 | 12 | 94 |
03/22 | @ OKL | 103-123L | 36 | 34 | 27 | 77 |
03/20 | @ SAC | 89-123L | 31 | 21 | 21 | 80 |
03/17 | vs ORL | 96-111L | 37 | 23 | 18 | 84 |
03/15 | @ ORL | 103-113L | 40 | 24 | 15 | 81 |
03/13 | vs DET | 104-113L | 37 | 32 | 11 | 94 |
Timberwolves Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
04/02 | @ HOU | 113-106W | 39 | 29 | 17 | 77 |
03/31 | @ CHI | 101-109L | 37 | 28 | 13 | 81 |
03/29 | vs DEN | 111-98W | 39 | 28 | 7 | 75 |
03/27 | @ DET | 106-91W | 40 | 28 | 12 | 82 |
03/24 | @ GSW | 114-110W | 44 | 30 | 15 | 84 |
03/22 | @ CLE | 104-89W | 45 | 27 | 11 | 84 |
03/19 | @ DEN | 112-115L | 37 | 25 | 7 | 88 |
03/18 | vs UTA | 114-104W | 35 | 27 | 9 | 91 |
03/16 | vs UTA | 119-100W | 44 | 31 | 8 | 93 |
03/12 | vs LAC | 118-100W | 48 | 26 | 9 | 94 |
Starting Lineups
Toronto Raptors | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
RJ Barrett
PF
|
28.2 | 39.8 | 35.6 | 100% | 36.0 |
Gradey Dick
SF
|
21.1 | 20.7 | 18.2 | 40% | 20.2 |
32.3 | 36.6 | 27.3 | 47% | 33.1 | |
31.4 | 37.1 | 35.5 | 100% | 34.7 | |
29.7 | 33.1 | 25.0 | 100% | 24.7 |
Minnesota Timberwolves | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mike Conley
PG
|
31.5 | 34.2 | 26.8 | 100% | 27.2 |
49.9 | 37.0 | 45.2 | 93% | 45.7 | |
42.9 | 37.5 | 37.6 | 100% | 36.9 | |
24.8 | 21.3 | 20.0 | 100% | 19.6 | |
Naz Reid
PF
|
37.4 | 34.6 | 27.9 | 30% | 36.2 |
Raptors Notable Injuries
- Bruce Brown (PG/SF): Avg: 10.8pts, 4.4reb, 2.9ast, 28.1 minutes. Last game: 04/02/24. Impact: 3.5
- Jontay Porter (C): Avg: 4.6pts, 3.3reb, 2.4ast, 14.4 minutes. Last game: 03/22/24. Impact: 2.8
- Jahmi’us Ramsey (SG): Avg: 6.7pts, 3.1reb, 1.1ast, 17.3 minutes. Last game: 03/23/24. Impact: 2.1
- Ochai Agbaji (SF/PF): Avg: 5.7pts, 2.7reb, 1.0ast, 20.3 minutes. Last game: 03/27/24. Impact: 3.1
- Mouhamadou Gueye (C): Avg: 2.2pts, 1.4reb, 0.4ast, 8.7 minutes. Last game: 04/02/24. Impact: 1.3
Timberwolves Notable Injuries
- Leonard Miller (PF/C): Avg: 1.5pts, 0.9reb, 0.5ast, 3.1 minutes. Last game: 03/29/24. Impact: 0.5
Top Player Props
This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.
Stat | Over % | Opposing Defense/Game | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Player | Team | Prop | Line | Proj | Diff | L5 | L10 | L15 | L30 | Opp | Stat | Rank |
Anthony Edwards | MIN | Pts | 25.5 | 28.5 | +3.0 | 0% | 40% | 40% | 40% | TOR | +0.4 | #18 |
Mike Conley | MIN | Pts | 11.5 | 13.0 | +1.5 | 80% | 80% | 60% | 60% | TOR | +0.4 | #18 |
Rudy Gobert | MIN | Reb | 14.5 | 14.8 | +0.3 | 0% | 20% | 40% | 40% | TOR | +4.6 | #30 |
Raptors Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #29 | #30 | #20 | #30 | 16.3% |
PF | #30 | #30 | #30 | #30 | 14.9% |
PG | #11 | #9 | #15 | #8 | -7.8% |
SF | #29 | #20 | #29 | #29 | 20.4% |
SG | #18 | #6 | #19 | #21 | 2.4% |
Timberwolves Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #26 | #23 | #6 | #22 | 3.8% |
PF | #4 | #8 | #5 | #3 | -13.1% |
PG | #3 | #30 | #22 | #9 | -4.7% |
SF | #12 | #3 | #1 | #1 | -45.5% |
SG | #8 | #12 | #11 | #4 | -9.2% |
Team Comparison
Recent Trends
- Jordan Nwora (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 30.1% to 24.9, 19.1 min average previous 3 games.
- Jontay Porter (C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 34.2% to 15.3, 23.2 min average previous 3 games.
- Garrett Temple (SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 43.3% to 21.5, 15.0 min average previous 3 games. Overall, they are on a 14-game losing streak.
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