Raptors vs Knicks Game Breakdown

Get ready to rumble at Madison Square Garden tonight as the underdog Toronto Raptors, with a season that’s been more about rebuilding than reaping victories, gear up to challenge the high-flying New York Knicks in what promises to be a pivotal first-round clash of the 2024 NBA Playoffs. With the clock set for an 08:30 PM EST showdown, the Knicks look to bounce back from a recent stumble against Orlando, while the Raptors are hungry to prove they’re more than just playoff filler. The stakes are sky-high, the crowd’s buzzing, and with a hefty 232.5 points hanging over/under, bettors and fans alike are eyeing those lines like hawks. As the Raptors aim to claw their way to an upset and the Knicks seek to cement their top-tier status, tonight’s matchup is all set to be a true ‘Raptor-round the Knickerbocker’ experience!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: January 08, 2025 08:30PM EST

Location: Madison Square Garden, New York

Vegas Odds

	TOR ML	NYK ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+425	-600	231.5	11.5/-11.5
Recent	+255	-310	232.5	11.5/-11.5
Difference	-170	+290	+1.0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

1W-9L

AWAY

10W-42L

28.2% Win Probability

LAST 10

7W-3L

HOME

36W-18L

71.8% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final	O/U
12/23/24	Toronto Raptors TOR	28	24	30	43	00	125	Over
12/23/24	New York Knicks NYK	30	40	41	28	00	139	Over
12/09/24	New York Knicks NYK	34	26	23	30	00	113	Under
12/09/24	Toronto Raptors TOR	27	34	25	22	00	108	Under
03/27/24	New York Knicks NYK	45	35	31	34	00	145	Over
03/27/24	Toronto Raptors TOR	33	26	21	21	00	101	Over
01/20/24	Toronto Raptors TOR	31	26	21	22	00	100	Under
01/20/24	New York Knicks NYK	31	28	33	34	00	126	Under
12/11/23	Toronto Raptors TOR	35	25	37	33	00	130	Over
12/11/23	New York Knicks NYK	35	31	32	38	00	136	Over
12/01/23	New York Knicks NYK	34	23	33	29	00	119	Under
12/01/23	Toronto Raptors TOR	26	31	20	29	00	106	Under
01/22/23	New York Knicks NYK	22	31	33	30	00	116	Over
01/22/23	Toronto Raptors TOR	37	25	24	39	00	125	Over
01/16/23	Toronto Raptors TOR	29	27	25	29	130	123	Over
01/16/23	New York Knicks NYK	25	34	28	23	110	121	Over
01/06/23	New York Knicks NYK	30	27	24	31	00	112	Under
01/06/23	Toronto Raptors TOR	26	21	31	30	00	108	Under
12/21/22	Toronto Raptors TOR	28	35	24	26	00	113	Under
12/21/22	New York Knicks NYK	27	26	27	26	00	106	Under
04/10/22	Toronto Raptors TOR	22	26	24	22	00	94	Under
04/10/22	New York Knicks NYK	31	20	22	32	00	105	Under
01/02/22	New York Knicks NYK	27	18	29	31	00	105	Under
01/02/22	Toronto Raptors TOR	30	26	40	24	00	120	Under
12/10/21	New York Knicks NYK	14	28	23	22	00	87	Under
12/10/21	Toronto Raptors TOR	31	19	19	21	00	90	Under
11/01/21	Toronto Raptors TOR	26	27	38	22	00	113	Under
11/01/21	New York Knicks NYK	34	23	22	25	00	104	Under

Raptors Vs Over/Under

Knicks Vs Over/Under

Raptors Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
01/06	@ MIL	104-128L	35	27	15	91
01/03	@ ORL	97-106L	37	28	11	80
01/01	@ BRO	130-113W	39	36	10	88
12/31	vs BOS	71-125L	44	18	21	86
12/29	@ ATL	107-136L	52	26	31	85
12/26	vs MEM	126-155L	40	39	15	108
12/22	@ HOU	110-114L	42	33	21	92
12/19	@ BRO	94-101L	34	26	12	86
12/12	vs MIA	104-114L	42	29	11	92
12/09	@ NYK	108-113L	51	23	12	96

Knicks Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
01/06	@ ORL	94-103L	38	16	12	81
01/04	vs CHI	126-139L	49	27	13	97
01/03	vs OKL	107-117L	42	22	12	90
01/01	@ UTA	119-103W	47	31	13	85
12/30	vs WAS	126-106W	54	34	7	98
12/28	vs WAS	136-132W	43	26	15	97
12/27	vs ORL	108-85W	44	18	18	75
12/25	@ SAS	117-114W	47	26	5	100
12/21	vs NOP	104-93W	42	24	16	87
12/19	vs MIN	133-107W	57	39	15	97

Starting Lineups

Toronto Raptors	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Scottie Barnes PF	44.0	42.5	44.0	100%	44.3
RJ Barrett SF	38.0	44.5	41.5	100%	42.0
Gradey Dick SG	27.0	23.9	25.0	93%	25.7
Jakob Poeltl C	37.0	31.9	36.4	100%	35.9
Immanuel Quickley PG	40.0	30.9	36.6	100%	37.0

New York Knicks	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
OG Anunoby PF	26.0	28.4	30.8	100%	31.2
Mikal Bridges SG	31.0	31.6	31.4	100%	31.7
Jalen Brunson PG	43.0	45.6	42.6	100%	43.0
Josh Hart SF	38.0	45.6	38.8	100%	39.1
Jericho Sims C	1.0	7.3	7.5	10%	11.9

Raptors Notable Injuries

Chris Boucher (PF): Avg: 7.6pts, 4.1reb, 0.6ast, 15.3 minutes. Last game: 01/01/25. Impact: 2.6
Jonathan Mogbo (PF/C): Avg: 5.1pts, 4.2reb, 1.6ast, 15.7 minutes. Last game: 01/06/25. Impact: 2.1
Bruno Fernando (C): Avg: 5.5pts, 4.1reb, 1.1ast, 13.5 minutes. Last game: 12/31/24. Impact: 1.7
Jamison Battle (SF): Avg: 5.3pts, 2.0reb, 0.8ast, 13.2 minutes. Last game: 01/01/25. Impact: 1.7
Garrett Temple (SG): Avg: 2.4pts, 1.5reb, 0.8ast, 8.7 minutes. Last game: 12/29/24. Impact: 0.9
AJ Lawson (PG): Avg: 2.5pts, 0.9reb, 0.3ast, 5.8 minutes. Last game: 12/31/24. Impact: 0.6
Ulrich Chomche (C): Avg: 1.0pts, 0.8reb, 0.2ast, 3.6 minutes. Last game: 01/01/25. Impact: 0.3

Knicks Notable Injuries

Tyler Kolek (PG): Avg: 2.4pts, 0.7reb, 0.8ast, 6.4 minutes. Last game: 01/04/25. Impact: 0.6

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Immanuel Quickley	TOR	Pts	15.5	21.0	+5.5	40%	50%	53%	53%	NYK	-1.0	#6
Gradey Dick	TOR	Pts	12.5	15.9	+3.4	40%	60%	60%	60%	NYK	+0.8	#21

View All Player Prop Projections

Raptors Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#15	#20	#23	#20	5.1%
PF	#15	#27	#23	#21	3.7%
PG	#18	#3	#8	#12	-0.1%
SF	#23	#11	#26	#25	6.8%
SG	#26	#13	#15	#25	6.4%

Knicks Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#11	#10	#17	#9	-3.8%
PF	#20	#14	#5	#9	-3.9%
PG	#6	#9	#21	#9	-2.9%
SF	#1	#2	#8	#1	-14.6%
SG	#21	#3	#13	#13	-1.9%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

107.1

117.5

Rebounds per Game

44.7

44.3

Assists per Game

27.6

28.1

Steals per Game

7.4

7.6

Blocks per Game

4.2

4.3

Shots per Game

89.4

87.9

3-Pointers Made per Game

11.3

13.1

2-Pt Percentage per Game

51.9

58.3

3-Pt Percentage per Game

33.9

37.2

Turnovers per Game

15.7

12.7

Fouls per Game

20.9

17.3

Recent Trends

Ochai Agbaji (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 39.9% to 31.5, 22.5 min average previous 3 games.
Chris Boucher (PF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 47.6% to 10.4, 19.9 min average previous 3 games.
Davion Mitchell (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 35.5% to 15.3, 23.7 min average previous 3 games.
Immanuel Quickley (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 41.3% to 31.8, 22.5 min average previous 3 games.
Jamal Shead (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 39.8% to 16.6, 27.5 min average previous 3 games.