Raptors vs Magic Game Breakdown & Projections – Sun, Mar 17th 2024

Alright hoop-heads, it’s time to get your game face on because we’re diving deep into the NBA jungle tonight. The Toronto Raptors, who’ve been clawing their way through a rocky 23W-44L season, are about to take a flight south to the Sunshine State. Their mission? To face off with the Orlando Magic, who’ve been casting spells left and right this season with a 39W-28L record. The Raptors are a whopping 29.5 games back in the Eastern conference, while the Magic are sitting pretty at the top, not a single game back. The Magic Kingdom’s Amway Center will be the battleground, with the first whistle blowing at 06:00PM EST.

Now, the bookies are having a field day with this one. The over/under is set at 216.5, with the Raptors looking like the underdogs at a line of 12.0, and the Magic favored to win at -12.0. The Magic are still buzzing from their recent victory over the Raptors, pulling a rabbit out of the hat with a 113-103 win. Meanwhile, the Raptors are nursing their wounds, still smarting from that 103-113 loss. So, my friends, buckle up and get ready for a game where Raptors will try to conjure some magic, and the Magic will aim to show that they have more bite than the Raptors.

Game Breakdown

Game Time: March 17, 2024 06:00PM EST

Location: Amway Center, Orlando

Vegas Odds

	TOR ML	ORL ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+460	-675	216.0	12.0/-12.0
Recent	+500	-750	216.5	12.5/-12.5
Difference	+40	-75	+0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

2W-8L

AWAY

9W-24L

16.7% Win Probability

LAST 10

7W-3L

HOME

21W-9L

83.3% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	O/U
03/15/24	Orlando Magic ORL	24	26	34	29	113	Under
03/15/24	Toronto Raptors TOR	27	21	25	30	103	Under
11/21/23	Toronto Raptors TOR	23	33	26	25	107	Over
11/21/23	Orlando Magic ORL	30	37	33	26	126	Over
02/14/23	Orlando Magic ORL	27	43	19	24	113	Over
02/14/23	Toronto Raptors TOR	35	30	29	29	123	Over
12/11/22	Toronto Raptors TOR	19	20	36	24	99	Under
12/11/22	Orlando Magic ORL	18	29	35	29	111	Under
12/09/22	Toronto Raptors TOR	25	38	24	22	109	Over
12/09/22	Orlando Magic ORL	37	30	27	19	113	Over
12/03/22	Orlando Magic ORL	22	26	25	35	108	Over
12/03/22	Toronto Raptors TOR	36	28	30	27	121	Over
04/01/22	Toronto Raptors TOR	29	30	26	17	102	Under
04/01/22	Orlando Magic ORL	23	23	17	26	89	Under
03/04/22	Orlando Magic ORL	27	21	24	31	103	Under
03/04/22	Toronto Raptors TOR	23	16	21	37	97	Under
10/29/21	Orlando Magic ORL	20	31	27	31	109	Over
10/29/21	Toronto Raptors TOR	23	31	23	33	110	Over

Raptors Vs Over/Under

Magic Vs Over/Under

Raptors Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
03/15	@ ORL	103-113L	40	24	15	81
03/13	vs DET	104-113L	37	32	11	94
03/11	vs DEN	119-125L	42	30	11	93
03/09	vs POR	118-128L	43	29	20	92
03/07	vs PHX	113-120L	36	30	9	95
03/05	@ NOP	98-141L	45	21	11	93
03/03	@ CHA	111-106W	45	27	14	92
03/01	@ GSW	105-120L	47	31	14	97
02/28	@ DAL	125-136L	44	34	11	99
02/26	vs IND	130-122W	45	35	11	97

Magic Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
03/15	vs TOR	113-103W	39	25	14	80
03/13	@ BRO	114-106W	34	29	12	77
03/10	@ IND	97-111L	46	18	12	88
03/08	vs NYK	74-98L	37	12	13	80
03/06	vs WAS	119-109W	42	21	15	84
03/05	vs CHA	101-89W	41	23	17	74
03/03	@ DET	113-91W	48	24	20	72
02/29	@ UTA	115-107W	45	27	15	78
02/27	@ BRO	108-85W	38	20	17	74
02/25	vs ATL	92-109L	51	23	18	84

Starting Lineups

Toronto Raptors	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Ochai Agbaji PF	17.1	12.0	9.9	23%	13.9
Gradey Dick SF	22.0	20.1	15.3	13%	21.1
Kelly Olynyk C	32.1	33.1	24.1	20%	34.5
Immanuel Quickley PG	42.7	45.1	36.1	100%	35.3
Gary Trent Jr. SG	29.1	34.7	22.2	80%	24.1

Orlando Magic	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Paolo Banchero PF	46.8	41.9	41.3	100%	40.1
Wendell Carter Jr. C	29.5	30.2	26.1	77%	25.8
Gary Harris SG	15.9	12.6	13.2	43%	16.8
Jalen Suggs PG	27.1	25.5	23.0	100%	23.3
Franz Wagner SF	35.7	31.6	33.9	100%	33.2

Raptors Notable Injuries

RJ Barrett (SF/PF): Avg: 19.7pts, 5.2reb, 3.3ast, 31.7 minutes. Last game: 03/11/24. Impact: 6.0
Jakob Poeltl (C): Avg: 11.4pts, 8.8reb, 2.5ast, 26.4 minutes. Last game: 03/03/24. Impact: 5.5
Chris Boucher (C): Avg: 6.4pts, 4.2reb, 0.5ast, 14.2 minutes. Last game: 03/09/24. Impact: 2.6
Javon Freeman-Liberty (PG/SG): Avg: 3.7pts, 1.7reb, 1.0ast, 10.1 minutes. Last game: 03/11/24. Impact: 1.6
Mouhamadou Gueye (C): Avg: 1.0pts, 2.5reb, 0.0ast, 4.8 minutes. Last game: 03/05/24. Impact: 1.0
D.J. Carton (PG): Avg: 2.8pts, 1.0reb, 0.8ast, 8.9 minutes. Last game: 03/05/24. Impact: 0.9

Magic Notable Injuries

Chuma Okeke (SF): Avg: 2.6pts, 1.9reb, 0.5ast, 10.2 minutes. Last game: 03/13/24. Impact: 0.2
Admiral Schofield (PF): Avg: 0.9pts, 0.6reb, 0.4ast, 3.4 minutes. Last game: 03/13/24. Impact: 0.4

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Paolo Banchero	ORL	Pts	22.5	24.6	+2.1	40%	40%	47%	47%	TOR	+6.0	#29
Jalen Suggs	ORL	Pts	11.5	13.3	+1.8	60%	60%	60%	60%	TOR	+0.4	#18
Immanuel Quickley	TOR	Reb	4.5	5.0	+0.5	60%	80%	67%	67%	ORL	-0.7	#3
Gary Harris	ORL	Reb	1.5	1.8	+0.3	20%	50%	47%	47%	TOR	+0.6	#26
Kelly Olynyk	TOR	Ast	4.5	5.5	+1.0	40%	40%	33%	33%	ORL	-0.5	#11
Gradey Dick	TOR	Ast	1.5	2.1	+0.6	40%	40%	27%	27%	ORL	-0.8	#7
Wendell Carter Jr.	ORL	3Pt	0.5	1.4	+0.9	80%	70%	67%	67%	TOR	+0.1	#16

View All Player Prop Projections

Raptors Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#28	#30	#22	#30	18.5%
PF	#22	#27	#21	#25	7.9%
PG	#12	#13	#10	#11	-5.0%
SF	#29	#25	#24	#28	15.0%
SG	#18	#26	#16	#22	3.9%

Magic Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#1	#1	#11	#1	-23.6%
PF	#11	#2	#3	#5	-10.4%
PG	#18	#19	#27	#22	7.5%
SF	#8	#2	#7	#3	-23.4%
SG	#9	#3	#8	#5	-9.3%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

114.2

106.2

Rebounds per Game

43.0

41.7

Assists per Game

29.5

22.8

Steals per Game

7.9

7.8

Blocks per Game

5.2

5.3

Shots per Game

93.2

80.2

3-Pointers Made per Game

13.2

11.2

2-Pt Percentage per Game

54.0

54.9

3-Pt Percentage per Game

35.3

38.1

Turnovers per Game

12.3

14.7

Fouls per Game

17.9

18.3

Recent Trends

Ochai Agbaji (SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 45.1% to 29.5, 20.3 min average previous 3 games.
Anthony Black (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 31.9% to 12.0, 17.6 min average previous 3 games.
Bruce Brown (PG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 66.0% to 33.5, 20.2 min average previous 3 games.
Kevon Harris (SF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 48.3% to 10.9, 21.2 min average previous 3 games.
Jordan Nwora (PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 52.3% to 18.1, 11.9 min average previous 3 games.
Jontay Porter (C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 128.6% to 23.2, 10.2 min average previous 3 games.