Raptors vs Wizards Game Breakdown & Projections – Sat, Mar 23rd 2024
Raptors
23W-47L
March 23, 2024
08:00PM EST
Odds: 231.0 o/u
Wizards
12W-58L
Well, well, well, folks, we’ve got a real David and Goliath situation brewing tonight at the Capital One Arena, where the scrappy Toronto Raptors, with their 23 wins and 47 losses, are set to take on the Washington Wizards, who’ve been having a bit of a rough season with a record of 12 wins and 58 losses. Now, don’t let the numbers fool ya, because when that ball goes up at 08:00 PM EST, it’s anybody’s game. With the Raptors trailing by 33 games and the Wizards lagging by 30 in the Eastern conference, both teams are hungry for a win. The betting gods have spoken and the over/under is set at a whopping 231.0, with the Raptors at 6.0 and the Wizards at -6.0. The Wizards are still riding high after their 109-102 win against SAC, while the Raptors are looking to shake off their 103-123 loss to OKL. So, buckle up folks, because tonight, it’s not just about wizards and raptors, it’s about magic and survival.
Game Breakdown
Game Time: March 23, 2024 08:00PM EST
Location: Capital One Arena, Washington
Vegas Odds
| TOR ML | WAS ML | Over/Under | Line | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open | +195 | -235 | 232.5 | 6.0/-6.0 |
| Recent | +190 | -230 | 231.0 | 6.0/-6.0 |
| Difference | -5 | +5 | -1.5 | – |
Team Performance
34.5% Win Probability
65.5% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
| Date | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final | O/U | ATS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/27/23 | Toronto Raptors TOR | 31 | 28 | 38 | 35 | 132 | Over | ![]() |
|
| Washington Wizards WAS | 25 | 25 | 31 | 21 | 102 | ||||
| 11/13/23 | Washington Wizards WAS | 32 | 32 | 27 | 16 | 107 | Under | ![]() |
|
| Toronto Raptors TOR | 25 | 20 | 36 | 30 | 111 | ||||
| 03/26/23 | Washington Wizards WAS | 21 | 25 | 38 | 20 | 104 | Under | ![]() |
|
| Toronto Raptors TOR | 37 | 26 | 24 | 27 | 114 | ||||
| 03/04/23 | Toronto Raptors TOR | 26 | 27 | 33 | 19 | 11 | 116 | Under | ![]() |
| Washington Wizards WAS | 30 | 23 | 26 | 26 | 4 | 109 | |||
| 03/02/23 | Toronto Raptors TOR | 20 | 30 | 28 | 30 | 108 | Under | ![]() |
|
| Washington Wizards WAS | 24 | 35 | 30 | 30 | 119 | ||||
| 01/21/22 | Toronto Raptors TOR | 20 | 35 | 36 | 18 | 109 | Under | ![]() |
|
| Washington Wizards WAS | 30 | 24 | 23 | 28 | 105 | ||||
| 12/05/21 | Washington Wizards WAS | 12 | 30 | 26 | 22 | 90 | Under | ![]() |
|
| Toronto Raptors TOR | 23 | 40 | 21 | 18 | 102 | ||||
| 11/03/21 | Toronto Raptors TOR | 29 | 30 | 27 | 23 | 109 | Under | ![]() |
|
| Washington Wizards WAS | 29 | 19 | 29 | 23 | 100 | ||||
| 10/20/21 | Washington Wizards WAS | 26 | 31 | 24 | 17 | 98 | Under | ![]() |
|
| Toronto Raptors TOR | 18 | 19 | 22 | 24 | 83 |
Raptors Vs Over/Under
Wizards Vs Over/Under
Raptors Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/22 | @ OKL | 103-123L | 36 | 34 | 27 | 77 |
| 03/20 | @ SAC | 89-123L | 31 | 21 | 21 | 80 |
| 03/17 | vs ORL | 96-111L | 37 | 23 | 18 | 84 |
| 03/15 | @ ORL | 103-113L | 40 | 24 | 15 | 81 |
| 03/13 | vs DET | 104-113L | 37 | 32 | 11 | 94 |
| 03/11 | vs DEN | 119-125L | 42 | 30 | 11 | 93 |
| 03/09 | vs POR | 118-128L | 43 | 29 | 20 | 92 |
| 03/07 | vs PHX | 113-120L | 36 | 30 | 9 | 95 |
| 03/05 | @ NOP | 98-141L | 45 | 21 | 11 | 93 |
| 03/03 | @ CHA | 111-106W | 45 | 27 | 14 | 92 |
Wizards Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/21 | @ SAC | 109-102W | 45 | 20 | 19 | 82 |
| 03/19 | @ HOU | 114-137L | 44 | 24 | 10 | 98 |
| 03/17 | @ BOS | 104-130L | 40 | 24 | 16 | 89 |
| 03/16 | vs CHI | 98-127L | 32 | 27 | 15 | 84 |
| 03/14 | vs HOU | 119-135L | 32 | 29 | 13 | 93 |
| 03/12 | vs MEM | 97-94W | 28 | 26 | 13 | 78 |
| 03/10 | vs MIA | 110-108W | 40 | 35 | 15 | 81 |
| 03/08 | @ CHA | 112-100W | 54 | 25 | 11 | 89 |
| 03/06 | @ ORL | 109-119L | 35 | 26 | 9 | 88 |
| 03/04 | vs UTA | 115-127L | 43 | 26 | 15 | 94 |
Starting Lineups
| Toronto Raptors | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Ochai Agbaji
PF
|
24.8 | 19.9 | 11.8 | 33% | 17.6 |
|
Bruce Brown
SG
|
34.2 | 24.8 | 21.5 | 43% | 28.3 |
|
Gradey Dick
SF
|
26.4 | 16.6 | 16.7 | 23% | 19.8 |
| 17.0 | 9.9 | 8.3 | 10% | 18.5 | |
| 36.7 | 28.8 | 23.7 | 30% | 31.1 |
| Washington Wizards | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Deni Avdija
SF
|
39.3 | 31.8 | 32.7 | 100% | 32.4 |
| 29.0 | 29.1 | 23.2 | 60% | 28.2 | |
| 27.2 | 21.1 | 21.5 | 30% | 21.2 | |
|
Kyle Kuzma
PF
|
41.3 | 31.0 | 38.7 | 100% | 37.5 |
|
Jordan Poole
PG
|
36.7 | 29.7 | 28.8 | 57% | 26.0 |
Raptors Notable Injuries
- RJ Barrett (SF): Avg: 19.7pts, 5.2reb, 3.3ast, 31.7 minutes. Last game: 03/11/24. Impact: 6.0
- Immanuel Quickley (PG): Avg: 16.6pts, 3.7reb, 4.7ast, 29.0 minutes. Last game: 03/17/24. Impact: 6.9
- Chris Boucher (C): Avg: 6.4pts, 4.2reb, 0.5ast, 14.2 minutes. Last game: 03/09/24. Impact: 2.6
- Mouhamadou Gueye (C): Avg: 1.2pts, 1.8reb, 0.0ast, 6.6 minutes. Last game: 03/22/24. Impact: 0.9
- Garrett Temple (SF): Avg: 1.8pts, 0.8reb, 0.5ast, 5.1 minutes. Last game: 03/22/24. Impact: 0.8
Wizards Notable Injuries
- Tyus Jones (PG): Avg: 11.8pts, 2.7reb, 7.1ast, 28.7 minutes. Last game: 03/14/24. Impact: 4.1
- Bilal Coulibaly (SG): Avg: 8.3pts, 4.1reb, 1.7ast, 26.9 minutes. Last game: 03/16/24. Impact: 3.2
- Landry Shamet (PG/SG): Avg: 7.1pts, 1.3reb, 1.2ast, 15.7 minutes. Last game: 03/10/24. Impact: 1.6
- Eugene Omoruyi (PF/C): Avg: 4.2pts, 2.0reb, 0.8ast, 7.9 minutes. Last game: 03/17/24. Impact: 1.2
- Jules Bernard (SG): Avg: 3.8pts, 1.0reb, 0.9ast, 7.1 minutes. Last game: 03/19/24. Impact: 1.6
Top Player Props
This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.
| Stat | Over % | Opposing Defense/Game | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | Team | Prop | Line | Proj | Diff | L5 | L10 | L15 | L30 | Opp | Stat | Rank |
| Bruce Brown | TOR | Pts | 13.5 | 15.8 | +2.3 | 20% | 10% | 7% | 7% | WAS | +1.7 | #25 |
| Corey Kispert | WAS | Pts | 15.5 | 16.5 | +1.0 | 40% | 30% | 40% | 40% | TOR | +5.2 | #29 |
| Gradey Dick | TOR | Reb | 3.5 | 4.0 | +0.5 | 20% | 40% | 40% | 40% | WAS | +1.0 | #23 |
| Deni Avdija | WAS | Ast | 4.5 | 4.7 | +0.2 | 40% | 40% | 33% | 33% | TOR | +0.7 | #24 |
Raptors Defense vs
| Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | #26 | #30 | #29 | #30 | 17.2% |
| PF | #29 | #27 | #20 | #28 | 10.6% |
| PG | #12 | #13 | #8 | #11 | -5.6% |
| SF | #29 | #25 | #24 | #28 | 13.2% |
| SG | #18 | #22 | #15 | #20 | 3.2% |
Wizards Defense vs
| Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | #27 | #20 | #12 | #20 | 2.1% |
| PF | #28 | #25 | #22 | #30 | 11.9% |
| PG | #24 | #22 | #19 | #26 | 10.3% |
| SF | #27 | #23 | #23 | #25 | 9.3% |
| SG | #25 | #28 | #25 | #28 | 10.3% |
Team Comparison
Recent Trends
- Deni Avdija (SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 36.5% to 34.6, 25.3 min average previous 3 games.
- Patrick Baldwin Jr. (PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 58.3% to 20.7, 13.1 min average previous 3 games.
- Jared Butler (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 57.6% to 24.0, 15.2 min average previous 3 games.
- Justin Champagnie (SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 119.7% to 25.3, 11.5 min average previous 3 games.
- Bilal Coulibaly (SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 59.2% to 32.2, 20.2 min average previous 3 games.
- Isaiah Livers (PF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 45.2% to 16.2, 29.7 min average previous 3 games.
- Jontay Porter (C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 34.2% to 15.3, 23.2 min average previous 3 games.
- Jahmi’us Ramsey (SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 40.1% to 20.0, 14.3 min average previous 3 games.
- Landry Shamet (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 38.1% to 13.6, 22.0 min average previous 3 games. Overall, they are on a 9-game losing streak.
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