Jazz vs Warriors Game Breakdown
Jazz
10W-34L
January 28, 2025
11:00PM EST
Odds: 228.5 o/u
Warriors
22W-23L
Get ready for a clash of wills and skills as the underdog Utah Jazz roll into the vibrant Chase Center, hoping to jazz up the playoffs by taking on the Golden State Warriors tonight! With the clock ticking down to an 11:00 PM EST showdown, the Warriors are looking to capitalize on their recent dominant win and climb higher in the Western conference standings. Meanwhile, the Jazz, trailing far behind in the conference, are set to prove that their recent losses won’t define their playoff run. With the betting lines drawn and the over/under hovering around 228.5, tonight’s game promises to be more than just a numbers game. So, as the Jazz aim to compose a winning tune, the Warriors will look to strike a chord of victory in their own house—let’s see whose performance truly orchestrates the crowd!
Game Breakdown
Game Time: January 28, 2025 11:00PM EST
Location: Chase Center, Golden State
Vegas Odds
| UTA ML | GSW ML | Over/Under | Line | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open | +390 | -550 | 229.0 | 11.0/-11.0 |
| Recent | +205 | -280 | 228.5 | 12.0/-12.0 |
| Difference | -185 | +270 | -0.5 | – |
Team Performance
32.8% Win Probability
67.2% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
| Date | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final | O/U | ATS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/25/24 | Golden State Warriors GSW | 32 | 24 | 38 | 33 | 00 | 127 | Under | ![]() |
| Utah Jazz UTA | 24 | 18 | 28 | 16 | 00 | 86 | |||
| 04/14/24 | Utah Jazz UTA | 27 | 29 | 33 | 27 | 00 | 116 | Over | ![]() |
| Golden State Warriors GSW | 33 | 30 | 32 | 28 | 00 | 123 | |||
| 04/07/24 | Utah Jazz UTA | 28 | 26 | 23 | 33 | 00 | 110 | Under | ![]() |
| Golden State Warriors GSW | 41 | 27 | 29 | 21 | 00 | 118 | |||
| 02/12/24 | Golden State Warriors GSW | 34 | 29 | 30 | 36 | 00 | 129 | Over | ![]() |
| Utah Jazz UTA | 26 | 29 | 25 | 27 | 00 | 107 | |||
| 02/15/24 | Golden State Warriors GSW | 36 | 48 | 36 | 20 | 00 | 140 | Over | ![]() |
| Utah Jazz UTA | 39 | 32 | 31 | 35 | 00 | 137 | |||
| 12/28/22 | Utah Jazz UTA | 37 | 22 | 35 | 13 | 00 | 107 | Under | ![]() |
| Golden State Warriors GSW | 27 | 27 | 34 | 24 | 00 | 112 | |||
| 12/07/22 | Golden State Warriors GSW | 35 | 34 | 22 | 32 | 00 | 123 | Over | ![]() |
| Utah Jazz UTA | 30 | 36 | 34 | 24 | 00 | 124 | |||
| 11/25/22 | Utah Jazz UTA | 23 | 28 | 35 | 32 | 00 | 118 | Over | ![]() |
| Golden State Warriors GSW | 37 | 22 | 38 | 32 | 00 | 129 | |||
| 04/02/22 | Utah Jazz UTA | 30 | 28 | 29 | 20 | 00 | 107 | Under | ![]() |
| Golden State Warriors GSW | 23 | 22 | 36 | 30 | 00 | 111 | |||
| 02/09/22 | Golden State Warriors GSW | 31 | 18 | 16 | 20 | 00 | 85 | Under | ![]() |
| Utah Jazz UTA | 30 | 25 | 24 | 32 | 00 | 111 | |||
| 01/23/22 | Utah Jazz UTA | 29 | 25 | 21 | 17 | 00 | 92 | Under | ![]() |
| Golden State Warriors GSW | 33 | 22 | 28 | 11 | 00 | 94 | |||
| 01/01/22 | Golden State Warriors GSW | 29 | 35 | 22 | 37 | 00 | 123 | Over | ![]() |
| Utah Jazz UTA | 24 | 26 | 41 | 25 | 00 | 116 |
Jazz Vs Over/Under
Warriors Vs Over/Under
Jazz Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/27 | @ MIL | 110-125L | 46 | 28 | 10 | 100 |
| 01/22 | vs OKL | 114-123L | 52 | 25 | 27 | 90 |
| 01/20 | vs NOP | 119-123L | 63 | 25 | 12 | 106 |
| 01/17 | vs NOP | 123-136L | 40 | 30 | 15 | 86 |
| 01/15 | @ CHA | 112-117L | 36 | 30 | 10 | 93 |
| 01/12 | @ BRO | 112-111W | 41 | 25 | 9 | 90 |
| 01/11 | vs PHX | 106-114L | 50 | 26 | 13 | 96 |
| 01/09 | @ MIA | 92-97L | 49 | 20 | 16 | 83 |
| 01/07 | @ ATL | 121-124L | 47 | 25 | 15 | 96 |
| 01/04 | vs MIA | 136-100W | 57 | 31 | 14 | 100 |
Warriors Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/23 | @ CHI | 131-106W | 52 | 37 | 10 | 102 |
| 01/22 | vs SAC | 117-123L | 44 | 31 | 19 | 92 |
| 01/20 | @ BOS | 85-125L | 38 | 28 | 12 | 92 |
| 01/18 | @ WAS | 122-114W | 55 | 24 | 9 | 96 |
| 01/15 | vs MIN | 116-115W | 45 | 26 | 12 | 82 |
| 01/13 | vs TOR | 101-104L | 46 | 23 | 14 | 88 |
| 01/10 | vs IND | 96-108L | 42 | 25 | 13 | 91 |
| 01/09 | vs DET | 107-104W | 49 | 32 | 15 | 89 |
| 01/07 | @ MIA | 98-114L | 52 | 28 | 10 | 98 |
| 01/04 | @ MEM | 121-113W | 29 | 32 | 18 | 84 |
Starting Lineups
| Utah Jazz | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23.0 | 29.5 | 17.8 | 30% | 29.2 | |
|
John Collins
PF
|
31.0 | 38.4 | 35.3 | 77% | 37.9 |
| 34.0 | 34.7 | 30.7 | 100% | 31.1 | |
| 3.0 | 23.8 | 11.2 | 20% | 25.4 | |
| 29.0 | 34.2 | 30.3 | 100% | 30.7 |
| Golden State Warriors | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44.0 | 40.1 | 42.4 | 100% | 42.8 | |
|
Buddy Hield
SG
|
20.0 | 19.4 | 18.5 | 37% | 24.7 |
| 21.0 | 22.3 | 23.7 | 77% | 26.4 | |
| 13.0 | 13.2 | 12.1 | 20% | 15.5 | |
| 33.0 | 34.7 | 29.9 | 100% | 30.3 |
Jazz Notable Injuries
- Cody Williams (SF): Avg: 3.6pts, 2.1reb, 1.3ast, 20.6 minutes. Last game: 01/20/25. Impact: 1.9
- Patty Mills (PG): Avg: 4.5pts, 1.1reb, 1.0ast, 14.0 minutes. Last game: 01/20/25. Impact: 1.9
- Oscar Tshiebwe (C): Avg: 3.7pts, 2.7reb, 0.2ast, 7.2 minutes. Last game: 01/17/25. Impact: 1.7
Warriors Notable Injuries
- Draymond Green (PF/C): Avg: 8.4pts, 6.6reb, 5.9ast, 27.2 minutes. Last game: 01/18/25. Impact: 4.2
- Pat Spencer (PG): Avg: 1.8pts, 0.9reb, 1.1ast, 5.3 minutes. Last game: 01/23/25. Impact: 1.2
Top Player Props
This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.
| Stat | Over % | Opposing Defense/Game | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | Team | Prop | Line | Proj | Diff | L5 | L10 | L15 | L30 | Opp | Stat | Rank |
| Trayce Jackson-Davis | GSW | Pts | 7.5 | 8.3 | +0.8 | 20% | 50% | 60% | 60% | UTA | -2.5 | #2 |
| Walker Kessler | UTA | Pts | 10.5 | 11.2 | +0.7 | 80% | 80% | 60% | 60% | GSW | -3.7 | #2 |
| John Collins | UTA | Reb | 7.5 | 8.0 | +0.5 | 80% | 60% | 73% | 73% | GSW | -0.2 | #12 |
| Gary Payton II | GSW | Reb | 2.5 | 2.8 | +0.3 | 60% | 60% | 67% | 67% | UTA | -0.1 | #16 |
| Buddy Hield | GSW | Ast | 1.5 | 2.1 | +0.6 | 60% | 80% | 53% | 53% | UTA | -0.1 | #17 |
| Lauri Markkanen | UTA | Ast | 1.5 | 1.7 | +0.2 | 20% | 40% | 47% | 47% | GSW | +0.2 | #18 |
| Brandin Podziemski | GSW | 3Pt | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | 80% | 90% | 80% | 80% | UTA | +0.1 | #20 |
| Stephen Curry | GSW | 3Pt | 4.5 | 4.7 | +0.2 | 40% | 40% | 47% | 47% | UTA | +0.2 | #22 |
Jazz Defense vs
| Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | #17 | #9 | #5 | #18 | 3.3% |
| PF | #2 | #13 | #11 | #8 | -4.6% |
| PG | #30 | #16 | #30 | #30 | 13.0% |
| SF | #29 | #15 | #27 | #29 | 10.7% |
| SG | #18 | #17 | #17 | #19 | 1.8% |
Warriors Defense vs
| Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | #2 | #7 | #14 | #8 | -7.0% |
| PF | #22 | #12 | #18 | #17 | 0.5% |
| PG | #3 | #11 | #15 | #3 | -5.1% |
| SF | #16 | #7 | #20 | #13 | -0.8% |
| SG | #26 | #13 | #26 | #28 | 7.9% |
Team Comparison
Recent Trends
- Jordan Clarkson (SG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 36.5% to 18.8, 29.6 min average previous 3 games.
- Kyle Filipowski (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 42.0% to 25.5, 18.0 min average previous 3 games.
- EJ Harkless (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 32.6% to 13.0, 19.4 min average previous 3 games.
- Trayce Jackson-Davis (C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 35.6% to 17.3, 26.9 min average previous 3 games.
- Kevon Looney (C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 30.9% to 14.5, 21.0 min average previous 3 games.
- Svi Mykhailiuk (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 39.6% to 23.8, 17.0 min average previous 3 games.
- Micah Potter (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 41.4% to 21.4, 15.1 min average previous 3 games.
- Gui Santos (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 84.8% to 25.6, 13.8 min average previous 3 games.
- Lindy Waters III (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 43.7% to 12.8, 22.7 min average previous 3 games. The Jazz have a 3-game losing streak on the road. Overall, they are on a 5-game losing streak.
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