Jazz vs Thunder Game Breakdown

Get ready to rumble at the Paycom Center tonight as the underdog Utah Jazz dance into the lion’s den to face the roaring Oklahoma City Thunder in a sizzling first-round NBA Playoff clash! With the Jazz looking to shake off their shaky season and the Thunder riding high on a storm of victories, this matchup is set to ignite some playoff fireworks. As we tip off at 9 PM EST, all eyes will be on whether the Jazz can hit the right notes or if the Thunder will continue to strike with their electrifying performance. So, tune in as we find out if the Jazz can compose an upset or if the Thunder rolls on in harmonious victory!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: January 22, 2025 09:00PM EST

Location: Paycom Center, Oklahoma City

Vegas Odds

	UTA ML	OKL ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+900	-1900	226.0	17.5/-17.5
Recent	+330	-500	227.0	17.0/-17.0
Difference	-570	+1400	+1.0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

2W-8L

AWAY

14W-42L

23.3% Win Probability

LAST 10

8W-2L

HOME

47W-9L

76.7% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final	O/U
12/03/24	Utah Jazz UTA	25	25	25	31	00	106	Over
12/03/24	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	32	30	40	31	00	133	Over
03/20/24	Utah Jazz UTA	25	29	26	27	00	107	Under
03/20/24	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	31	22	29	37	00	119	Under
02/06/24	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	33	35	24	25	00	117	Over
02/06/24	Utah Jazz UTA	28	33	35	28	00	124	Over
01/18/24	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	39	37	22	36	00	134	Over
01/18/24	Utah Jazz UTA	27	40	28	34	00	129	Over
12/11/23	Utah Jazz UTA	20	32	23	45	00	120	Over
12/11/23	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	34	32	45	23	00	134	Over
04/06/23	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	32	23	29	30	00	114	Under
04/06/23	Utah Jazz UTA	25	27	24	22	00	98	Under
03/05/23	Utah Jazz UTA	20	31	33	35	00	119	Over
03/05/23	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	35	35	31	28	00	129	Over
03/03/23	Utah Jazz UTA	29	23	32	19	00	103	Over
03/03/23	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	34	33	30	33	00	130	Over
02/23/23	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	26	29	31	20	130	119	Over
02/23/23	Utah Jazz UTA	28	18	32	28	140	120	Over
04/06/22	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	31	27	27	16	00	101	Over
04/06/22	Utah Jazz UTA	41	30	35	31	00	137	Over
03/06/22	Utah Jazz UTA	33	28	30	25	00	116	Under
03/06/22	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	24	21	31	27	00	103	Under
11/24/21	Utah Jazz UTA	21	28	32	29	00	110	Under
11/24/21	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	25	27	28	24	00	104	Under
10/20/21	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	18	24	21	23	00	86	Under
10/20/21	Utah Jazz UTA	27	27	29	24	00	107	Under

Jazz Vs Over/Under

Thunder Vs Over/Under

Jazz Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
01/20	vs NOP	119-123L	63	25	12	106
01/17	vs NOP	123-136L	40	30	15	86
01/15	@ CHA	112-117L	36	30	10	93
01/12	@ BRO	112-111W	41	25	9	90
01/11	vs PHX	106-114L	50	26	13	96
01/09	@ MIA	92-97L	49	20	16	83
01/07	@ ATL	121-124L	47	25	15	96
01/04	vs MIA	136-100W	57	31	14	100
01/01	vs NYK	103-119L	45	23	16	96
12/30	@ DEN	121-132L	37	28	16	86

Thunder Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
01/19	@ BRO	127-101W	43	37	11	87
01/17	vs DAL	98-106L	46	24	15	91
01/16	@ CLE	134-114W	39	25	6	105
01/14	vs PHI	118-102W	38	32	17	81
01/12	vs WAS	136-95W	56	26	13	95
01/10	vs NYK	126-101W	46	20	15	89
01/08	vs CLE	122-129L	38	35	13	90
01/03	@ NYK	117-107W	41	27	13	84
01/02	@ LAC	116-98W	35	29	9	86
12/31	@ MIN	113-105W	37	25	9	89

Starting Lineups

Utah Jazz	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
John Collins PF	33.0	37.9	34.6	77%	37.0
Keyonte George PG	33.0	36.8	29.5	100%	29.9
Walker Kessler C	35.0	34.9	29.8	100%	29.8
Lauri Markkanen SF	37.0	37.5	33.4	100%	33.8
Collin Sexton SG	33.0	34.4	29.2	93%	30.5

Oklahoma City Thunder	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Luguentz Dort PF	24.0	21.1	22.1	100%	22.4
S. Gilgeous-Alexander PG	53.0	52.9	53.1	100%	53.5
Cason Wallace SG	24.0	27.1	20.2	80%	21.6
Jalen Williams SF	41.0	37.0	40.2	100%	40.6
Jaylin Williams C GTD	26.0	25.2	15.7	13%	28.4

Jazz Notable Injuries

Johnny Juzang (SG/SF): Avg: 7.1pts, 2.4reb, 1.0ast, 17.8 minutes. Last game: 01/09/25. Impact: 2.8
Cody Williams (SF): Avg: 3.6pts, 2.1reb, 1.3ast, 20.6 minutes. Last game: 01/20/25. Impact: 1.9
Oscar Tshiebwe (C): Avg: 3.7pts, 2.7reb, 0.2ast, 7.2 minutes. Last game: 01/17/25. Impact: 1.7
Micah Potter (PF/C): Avg: 2.6pts, 2.6reb, 0.5ast, 12.9 minutes. Last game: 01/15/25. Impact: 1.2

Thunder Notable Injuries

Isaiah Hartenstein (C): Avg: 8.6pts, 9.0reb, 3.0ast, 26.6 minutes. Last game: 01/14/25. Impact: 5.9
Alex Caruso GTD (PG/SF): Avg: 9.0pts, 3.6reb, 3.2ast, 26.5 minutes. Last game: 01/19/25. Impact: 3.0
Jaylin Williams GTD (C): Avg: 4.4pts, 3.6reb, 1.7ast, 13.6 minutes. Last game: 01/19/25. Impact: 3.4

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
John Collins	UTA	Pts	12.5	16.1	+3.6	100%	100%	100%	100%	OKL	-1.1	#10
Lauri Markkanen	UTA	Pts	18.5	21.3	+2.8	60%	70%	67%	67%	OKL	-1.1	#10
Collin Sexton	UTA	Reb	2.5	2.9	+0.4	80%	70%	60%	60%	OKL	-0.0	#16
Keyonte George	UTA	Reb	3.5	3.7	+0.2	80%	80%	80%	80%	OKL	+0.1	#16

View All Player Prop Projections

Jazz Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#25	#18	#9	#27	7.0%
PF	#4	#12	#6	#7	-4.3%
PG	#20	#9	#30	#29	9.8%
SF	#29	#8	#24	#29	8.2%
SG	#19	#20	#19	#23	3.9%

Thunder Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#13	#24	#11	#9	-3.9%
PF	#10	#6	#2	#3	-11.4%
PG	#15	#16	#3	#7	-6.1%
SF	#1	#10	#13	#3	-13.1%
SG	#2	#16	#7	#1	-11.5%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

114.1

118.7

Rebounds per Game

46.6

43.7

Assists per Game

26.0

27.1

Steals per Game

6.5

10.5

Blocks per Game

5.4

4.7

Shots per Game

88.4

91.1

3-Pointers Made per Game

14.9

14.1

2-Pt Percentage per Game

54.6

57.2

3-Pt Percentage per Game

37.2

37.3

Turnovers per Game

16.4

11.5

Fouls per Game

19.0

20.2

Recent Trends

Micah Potter (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 81.0% to 20.0, 11.1 min average previous 3 games.
Jaylin Williams (C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 36.0% to 24.0, 17.6 min average previous 3 games.