Jazz vs Kings Game Breakdown & Projections – Sun, Mar 31st 2024

Jazz
29W-45L

March 31, 2024
09:00PM EST
Odds: 222.0 o/u
Kings
42W-31L


Hold onto your high notes, folks, because we’ve got a showdown at the Golden 1 Center that’s sure to be jazzier than a Miles Davis riff. Our underdogs, the Utah Jazz, are looking to shake off their recent stumble against the Rockets and swing back into rhythm against the Sacramento Kings, who are also smarting from a royal tumble against the Mavericks. It’s a 09:00PM EST tipoff, and the Kings are favored to hold court, but don’t count the Jazz out just yet. The over/under’s humming at a cool 222.0, with the Jazz dancing around a 12.5 line and the Kings sitting pretty at -12.5. So, whether you’re a sucker for a long shot or you’re banking on the Kings to keep their crown, this is one game that’s sure to be more thrilling than a sax solo in a smoky club. So tune in, because tonight, it’s about who can hit the high notes and who’ll be left playing the blues.
Game Breakdown
Game Time: March 31, 2024 09:00PM EST
Location: Golden 1 Center, Sacramento
Vegas Odds
UTA ML | SAC ML | Over/Under | Line | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Open | +550 | -850 | 224.0 | 12.5/-12.5 |
Recent | +305 | -410 | 222.0 | 12.0/-12.0 |
Difference | -245 | +440 | -2.0 | – |
Team Performance

24.7% Win Probability

75.3% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
Date | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final | O/U | ATS | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12/16/23 | Utah Jazz UTA | 23 | 27 | 26 | 28 | 104 | Over | ![]() |
|
Sacramento Kings SAC | 35 | 27 | 44 | 19 | 125 | ||||
10/25/23 | Sacramento Kings SAC | 32 | 40 | 33 | 25 | 130 | Over | ![]() |
|
Utah Jazz UTA | 24 | 34 | 29 | 27 | 114 | ||||
03/25/23 | Utah Jazz UTA | 26 | 35 | 17 | 35 | 113 | Over | ![]() |
|
Sacramento Kings SAC | 32 | 23 | 35 | 31 | 121 | ||||
03/20/23 | Sacramento Kings SAC | 19 | 33 | 43 | 25 | 120 | Over | ![]() |
|
Utah Jazz UTA | 40 | 28 | 27 | 33 | 128 | ||||
01/03/23 | Sacramento Kings SAC | 35 | 25 | 28 | 29 | 117 | Over | ![]() |
|
Utah Jazz UTA | 23 | 28 | 38 | 26 | 115 | ||||
12/30/22 | Utah Jazz UTA | 27 | 30 | 30 | 38 | 125 | Over | ![]() |
|
Sacramento Kings SAC | 30 | 30 | 31 | 35 | 126 | ||||
03/12/22 | Sacramento Kings SAC | 42 | 25 | 21 | 37 | 125 | Over | ![]() |
|
Utah Jazz UTA | 37 | 34 | 29 | 34 | 134 | ||||
11/20/21 | Utah Jazz UTA | 29 | 25 | 30 | 39 | 123 | Over | ![]() |
|
Sacramento Kings SAC | 28 | 21 | 31 | 25 | 105 | ||||
11/02/21 | Sacramento Kings SAC | 29 | 30 | 28 | 26 | 113 | Over | ![]() |
|
Utah Jazz UTA | 33 | 25 | 32 | 29 | 119 | ||||
10/22/21 | Utah Jazz UTA | 24 | 22 | 35 | 29 | 110 | Under | ![]() |
|
Sacramento Kings SAC | 26 | 26 | 28 | 21 | 101 |
Jazz Vs Over/Under
Kings Vs Over/Under
Jazz Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03/29 | @ HOU | 100-101L | 51 | 23 | 20 | 80 |
03/27 | @ SAS | 111-118L | 36 | 25 | 21 | 83 |
03/25 | @ DAL | 105-115L | 46 | 28 | 12 | 87 |
03/23 | vs HOU | 119-147L | 39 | 24 | 10 | 89 |
03/21 | vs DAL | 97-113L | 38 | 29 | 18 | 84 |
03/20 | vs OKL | 107-119L | 47 | 20 | 15 | 90 |
03/18 | @ MIN | 104-114L | 47 | 25 | 17 | 84 |
03/16 | @ MIN | 100-119L | 51 | 23 | 15 | 83 |
03/15 | @ ATL | 124-125L | 49 | 24 | 11 | 92 |
03/12 | @ BOS | 107-123L | 38 | 23 | 10 | 86 |
Kings Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03/29 | @ DAL | 103-107L | 45 | 24 | 10 | 92 |
03/26 | @ DAL | 96-132L | 42 | 27 | 13 | 90 |
03/25 | @ PHI | 108-96W | 40 | 25 | 7 | 86 |
03/23 | vs ORL | 109-110L | 42 | 26 | 7 | 88 |
03/21 | vs WAS | 102-109L | 37 | 21 | 15 | 87 |
03/20 | vs TOR | 123-89W | 53 | 32 | 15 | 93 |
03/18 | @ MEM | 121-111W | 59 | 30 | 17 | 94 |
03/16 | @ NYK | 91-98L | 42 | 22 | 12 | 86 |
03/13 | @ LAL | 120-107W | 44 | 30 | 12 | 88 |
03/12 | @ MIL | 129-94W | 51 | 34 | 8 | 93 |
Starting Lineups
Utah Jazz | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30.2 | 37.0 | 33.5 | 100% | 32.6 | |
31.0 | 23.6 | 26.0 | 67% | 28.8 | |
26.2 | 20.1 | 16.6 | 50% | 22.2 | |
20.0 | 17.4 | 11.6 | 29% | 19.7 | |
42.0 | 38.5 | 35.2 | 83% | 35.6 |
Sacramento Kings | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30.5 | 18.8 | 20.4 | 100% | 19.9 | |
Keon Ellis
SG
|
30.3 | 21.9 | 12.8 | 30% | 22.5 |
De’Aaron Fox
PG
|
51.5 | 45.8 | 44.3 | 100% | 43.4 |
32.8 | 30.9 | 26.2 | 100% | 26.1 | |
59.9 | 43.3 | 52.5 | 100% | 50.9 |
Jazz Notable Injuries
- Lauri Markkanen (SF/PF): Avg: 23.1pts, 8.2reb, 2.0ast, 33.0 minutes. Last game: 03/27/24. Impact: 6.3
- Jordan Clarkson (SG/SF): Avg: 17.0pts, 3.5reb, 5.0ast, 30.6 minutes. Last game: 03/25/24. Impact: 5.1
- Jason Preston (PG): Avg: 1.0pts, 1.8reb, 1.8ast, 7.6 minutes. Last game: 03/20/24. Impact: 1.2
Kings Notable Injuries
- Malik Monk (SG/SF): Avg: 15.5pts, 2.9reb, 5.1ast, 26.0 minutes. Last game: 03/29/24. Impact: 4.1
- Kevin Huerter (SG): Avg: 10.4pts, 3.5reb, 2.6ast, 24.5 minutes. Last game: 03/18/24. Impact: 2.6
- Mason Jones (SG): Avg: 2.3pts, 1.7reb, 1.7ast, 6.2 minutes. Last game: 03/26/24. Impact: 1.6
- Colby Jones (SG/SF): Avg: 2.0pts, 1.3reb, 0.7ast, 6.7 minutes. Last game: 03/26/24. Impact: 0.7
- Jalen Slawson (PF): Avg: 0.7pts, 0.8reb, 0.2ast, 3.5 minutes. Last game: 03/26/24. Impact: 0.3
Top Player Props
This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.
Stat | Over % | Opposing Defense/Game | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Player | Team | Prop | Line | Proj | Diff | L5 | L10 | L15 | L30 | Opp | Stat | Rank |
Harrison Barnes | SAC | Pts | 15.5 | 18.4 | +2.9 | 20% | 50% | 40% | 40% | UTA | -2.9 | #8 |
Keon Ellis | SAC | Pts | 9.5 | 11.5 | +2.0 | 60% | 40% | 33% | 33% | UTA | +5.3 | #30 |
Domantas Sabonis | SAC | Reb | 14.5 | 15.7 | +1.2 | 0% | 30% | 53% | 53% | UTA | -1.8 | #5 |
Jazz Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #27 | #5 | #22 | #23 | 5.4% |
PF | #14 | #7 | #30 | #20 | 3.5% |
PG | #7 | #2 | #15 | #6 | -16.5% |
SF | #8 | #25 | #20 | #13 | 0.1% |
SG | #30 | #21 | #30 | #30 | 16.9% |
Kings Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #2 | #10 | #9 | #3 | -14.5% |
PF | #19 | #17 | #15 | #13 | -0.5% |
PG | #29 | #11 | #14 | #21 | 6.5% |
SF | #3 | #5 | #4 | #1 | -51.2% |
SG | #16 | #13 | #8 | #11 | -2.8% |

Team Comparison

Recent Trends
- Domantas Sabonis (C) is coming off a triple-double where he put up 13.0 pts, 12.0 reb, 10.0 ast against DAL
- John Collins (C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 32.3% to 27.9, 21.1 min average previous 3 games.
- Chris Duarte (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 31.8% to 11.0, 16.2 min average previous 3 games.
- Kris Dunn (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 35.7% to 15.9, 24.8 min average previous 3 games.
- Trey Lyles (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 34.8% to 15.3, 23.5 min average previous 3 games. The Jazz have a 3-game losing streak on the road. Overall, they are on a 8-game losing streak. The Kings have a 2-game losing streak at home.
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